🔴(Bản Full) Kịch Bản Chiến Tranh Hạt Nhân Mỹ - Trung Ở Eo Biển Đài Loan Khủng Khiếp Ra Sao?

Putin's Ukraine invasion has raised concerns about nuclear war Russian President Vladimir Putin has placed his nuclear forces at a high level of intelligence and warned that any attempt to intervene from the outside will lead to consequences that people have never seen This military provocation has appeared on the front pages of many newspapers and attracted attention in Washington then the risk of escalation can even go beyond the current tense situation in Europe This will be a script that will make the whole world worried because the US and China are the opponents who are fighting side by side on the military front Any war between them will bring unmeasurable catastrophic consequences Recently, a war game by the US new security center and the press conference program of the joint NBC has helped clarify the rapid escalation of the U.S.-China conflict The game uses a family crisis in 2027 to test how the US and China will act under certain conditions The results have shown that the modernization of military and expansion of China's nuclear arsenal not to mention Beijing's high mission to reunify with Taiwan It means that in the real world, a war between China and the US can very well become a nuclear war Beijing sees Taiwan as a separate republic If the Communist Party of China decides to invade the island, the leaders of this country will probably not accept failure without serious harm to the business of the regime Therefore, the Communist Party of China is ready to take significant risks to ensure that the conflict ends under the conditions that the Communist Party of China sees as acceptable This means that it must convince the US and its allies that the cost of defending Taiwan is too high for this group to oppose the invasion Although China has many ways to achieve that goal, in Beijing's opinion, using nuclear weapons may be the most effective means to keep the US from interfering in the conflict Over the past decades, China has tried to turn the PLA Chinese army into what President Xi Jinping calls a world-class army It can defeat any third party to join the defense of Taiwan China's combat strategy is called anti-approach, anti-invasion, A2 on AD It is based on the ability to deploy normal military power within a few thousand rounds to prevent the US military from resisting China's attacks on Taiwan Meanwhile, this nuclear arsenal will increasingly provide Beijing with a strong 7th regiment as well as new combat capabilities, thereby increasing the risk of war and escalation China has only had a few hundred ground-based nuclear weapons But last year, nuclear experts at the Center for Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons James Martin and a series of US scientists identified three missile hangars being built in the Xinjiang region The Financial Times reported that China is likely to conduct hypersonic missile tests as part of the attack system can still avoid the missile defense system and bring nuclear weapons directly to the targets in the US airspace The US Department of Defense estimates that by 2030, China will have about 1,000 nuclear warheads available, more than three times the number it currently owns Based on these forecasts, Chinese leaders can believe that as early as five years from now, the PLA will have enough normal and nuclear military power to be able to fight and win in the war to reunify with Taiwan In recent war games, including members of Congress, former government officials and experts in high-level national security decisions in China and the United States have clarified that a war between the US and China can escalate quickly It shows that both countries will have to face war-related motives to incite military attack on the territory of the other country In the game, such attacks are expected to be adjusted to avoid escalation Both sides are extremely cautious when attacking military targets However, these attacks still go through the red lines of both countries and create a series of bite-by-bite attacks that continuously expand the scope and intensity of the conflict For example, in the simulation, China launched a head-on attack on US important bases in the Indo-Pacific region Specifically, they attacked Guam because this is an important command base for US military operations in Asia and because this is only the territory of Territory and not the target of the US So the Chinese side believes that attacking it will escalate less than attacking other targets In response, the US targets China's warships at the harbors and surrounding facilities but does not attack the mainland However, both sides consider these moves to be an attack on their territory which means that they have passed an important hurdle Instead of admitting that both sides are concerned about attacks on the territory both sides are convinced that the initial attacks are necessary military actions which have a limited nature and will be recognized by the other side according to that nature However, the reaction to the initial attacks only makes the situation worse when the US responds to China's moves by attacking targets in mainland China and the Chinese side responds to Washington's attacks by attacking locations in Hawaii A particularly alarming discovery from this war game is that China realizes that it needs to threaten the nuclear right from the start to prevent support from the outside for Taiwan This threat has been repeated over and over again especially after the mainland of China was attacked Sometimes, Washington's attempts to divert attention from the war are more concerned by the Chinese military than the invasion of Taiwan itself But China has had difficulties in persuading the US to believe that their nuclear threat is reliable In fact, China's recent and important changes to the nuclear issue and its willingness to use it can affect the views of other countries China's nuclear threat is often not considered reliable because they claim not to be the first to use nuclear weapons In addition, because they have smaller nuclear warehouses but are growing and lacking experience in threatening nuclear weapons This in itself can encourage China to use nuclear weapons first to strengthen credibility for their warnings China can also show its nuclear power because it is limited in its ability to launch long-range attacks Five years from now, the ability of the PLA to launch a normal attack will go further than the locations in the second island chain in the Pacific Specifically, Guam and Palau will still be extremely limited It is impossible to attack the US territory with normal weapons China will have to find another way to force the US people to pay Until a certain point in the game The US still feels that their larger nuclear arsenal is enough to prevent escalation and does not assess the seriousness of the threats from China Therefore, the Chinese team feels the need to escalate significantly to send a message that the US can be at risk if Washington does not back down Despite China's unprecedented nuclear policy The war has recorded that Beijing has allowed nuclear weapons to explode off the coast of Hawaii as an example This decision does not cause much damage because the electromagnetic gun only damages the ship's electronic equipment in the vicinity but does not directly affect the Hawaiian state The game ended before the US team was able to respond But it is likely that using nuclear weapons for the first time since World War II will lead to a response in reality The most likely scenarios of nuclear escalation in the US-China war are different from the scenarios of the Cold War The United States and the Soviet Union are afraid of a large-scale nuclear attack without orders This will lead to a comprehensive strategic confrontation However, in the confrontation in Taiwan Beijing can use nuclear weapons in a more restrictive way to show determination or to increase the chances of victory on the battlefield It is not clear what the war will look like after that restrictive nuclear plan is applied and whether the US can find a way down the ladder while still achieving its goals or not The clear lesson from this war game is that the US needs to strengthen its normal military capabilities in the Indo-Pacific To ensure that China never considers invading Taiwan as a cautious tactical move To do so, the US must commit to maintaining its normal military superiority by expanding its long-range weapons storage and investing in submarine capabilities Washington must also be able to carry out offensive operations inside the first island and the second, even when being attacked This will require the US to access new bases to allocate US forces to enhance their survivability and ensure that they can effectively protect Taiwan from China's attacks In addition, the US needs to develop a network of partners ready to join the defense of Taiwan Allies are an irreplaceable advantage The US has, but China does not The US should strengthen its strategy and combat planning with important partners to send a strong signal of determination to China Part of these efforts will be that the US and its allies need to develop military strategies to help them win the war, but not to surpass China's red line The game has highlighted the difficulty of this task But what it does not highlight is the complexity of developing military strategies that combine the strategic goals and military capabilities of many countries In the future, US military planners, as well as Washington's allies and partners need to understand the fact that in the Taiwan conflict China will consider all nuclear and common options And the US is running out of time to strengthen deterrence and make China believe that an invasion of Taiwan can be successful The biggest risk is that Washington and its allies decide not to take the opportunity and act Just one or two more years, everything may be too late In 1971, the United Nations passed a resolution to establish the People's Republic of China by Mao Zedong The founding of the People's Republic of China was a failure It was forced to retreat This is the historical turning point that made the Communist Party of China enter the world stage for the first time Now it has become an illegitimate basis for the policy of one China of Beijing It does not take Taiwan by force But now everything is changing when Taiwan's international position is more and more clearly recognized by countries especially the United States, the main ally of Taiwan for more than half a century Not long ago, at the end of July, the US House of Representatives passed the Taiwan International Coordination Act to oppose China's use of the UN Resolution 2758 to undermine Taiwan's international position for a long time The House of Representatives' bill, the UN General Assembly Resolution 2758, only recognizes China as the only legitimate representative of China in the United Nations but does not represent any position in the relationship between China and Taiwan This bill particularly emphasizes that the United States opposes any initiative to change Taiwan's position without the consent of the people of Taiwan The Taiwan International Coordination Act is a historical document of the US House of Representatives to change Taiwan's international position Unfortunately, it was not discussed by many people The U.S. lawmakers this time suddenly took the UN Resolution 1971 and reviewed it The reason is because the United States believes it is time to fight for Taiwan's sovereign national position In the late years, the Chinese leader hurriedly led the dissolution of the US-China relationship with the aim of confronting Lee So These two movements are in line with the wishes of the US Thanks to this, a US-China relationship entered its heyday In 1971, the United Nations passed the Resolution 1758 The representative of the People's Republic of China was replaced by the People's Republic of China More than half a century since then the United States has been in favor of China's voluntary actions in the mainland in international organizations to seriously weaken Taiwan's international position The Chinese Communist Party has a three-paragraph article on national sovereignty That is, there is only one China in the world The Communist Party of China is the only legitimate government of China And Taiwan is an inseparable part of China According to this paragraph Taiwan is under the rule of mainland China Accordingly, Taiwan will never have the status of a country with legitimate sovereignty In the past half a century, because the United States needs China's cooperation in international affairs and also because it embraces unrealistic ideas about China's political reforms so it has wasted Beijing's arrogance for a long time The Communist Party of China, because it took advantage of the UN Resolution 2758 to increase the international status expanded its influence and used all measures to suppress Taiwan making Taiwan unrecognizable on the diplomatic front But in fact, the UN Resolution does not mention that mainland China has the right to own Taiwan but only mentions the removal of the United States from the United Nations At that time, the United Nations was almost always the United States that made the decision The United States, in order to pull back the Chinese Communist Party, did not want to completely abandon Taiwan and left a tail in the law that is, it does not mention that China has the right to own Taiwan After the US-China relationship broke the United States made an effort to prevent China from fulfilling its unification dream In the two or three years that Joe Biden took office as president the United States has been closely related to the European Union and even put some of the powers in Asia-Pacific including Japan, South Korea, India, and Australia into its nest Until now, China has been completely isolated The United States believes that it is time to go straight into the red thread of the Communist Party of China that is, to recognize Taiwan's sovereignty and support Taiwan in international diplomacy and promote the establishment of diplomatic relations between the United States and Taiwan until Taiwan joins the United Nations This has become a standard design framework for each side of a country which is also the theory of the two countries that Beijing hates very much The United States is now determined to do as it pleases to step on the red thread of China, but not a little bit red The meaning of this sentence is that the United States is prepared for today These are the men who have to suffer When Biden first took office, experts had predicted that the United States would adopt a long-term strategy to track Beijing's red thread and would never step on the red line At the same time, Washington will not stop cutting salami leaves until it comes close to the red thread Now it seems like the Americans want to do more The United States has done it now, it has done it for Trump It has done it, it will do it until the end This move shows that the United States' assertion of the power struggle between the United States and China has had basic changes The United States has completed diplomatic clashes with Beijing On the military front, the first priority is to prevent intrusion On the economic and technological front, China is being suppressed More than half of the Chinese Communist government is facing the most serious constitutional crisis since its founding As Mr. Blinken said, the United States is based on power that is more severe than Beijing If you have overwhelming power, there is nothing to worry about Almost at the same time when the British Foreign Minister visited China, the British House of Commons stated in a report that Taiwan is an independent country and it is called the People's Republic of China The People's Republic of China includes the population, territory, government and the ability to establish relations with other countries This type of country requires more recognition by the international community This is one step further than the United States which almost directly recognizes Taiwan as an independent and sovereign country Taking advantage of the new actions The United Nations should improve the Law No. 2758 which has been misinterpreted The United Nations should correct the mistakes of the people and the media to visit and interview The United Nations should maintain peace and security on the Taiwan Strait The United Nations should allow Taiwan to participate in related meetings and activities It is clear that the United States and Britain have reached a consensus on the issue and have quickly submitted a petition to the United Nations This has a much deeper impact We can assume that Taiwan has become an independent country and will gradually become an international hub This is the beginning of something not the end Taiwan will definitely establish diplomatic relations with more countries and participate in more international affairs and join the United Nations This is an unprecedented provocation for China and China only reacted reasonably Today is no longer the same China is basically no longer able to resist This is a general trend that encourages many countries to follow If Xi Jinping can't fight but the flower is not finished plus his power is getting weaker He will have to face more serious political challenges Now we can say that Beijing is longing for a reminiscence but also looking forward to Taiwan being expanded by the United States Because the situation is no longer the same When the Asia-Pacific region countries with a strong position with China are constantly increasing The United States-Japan-Korea AUKUS The two fours are too close opponents that the leader of Beijing must face On August 18, the three countries of the United States-Japan-Korea held a summit meeting at the U.S. Davis Resort After the summit, the three countries announced three articles The agreement to expand security and economic relations between the three countries and reaffirm the peace through the Taiwan Strait is essential for the security and prosperity of the international community The United States-Japan-Korea decided to join the fight However, this is not the first time that the United States-Japan-Korea held an official summit not a side meeting This is also the first time that Biden has received a foreign leader at the Davis Resort since taking office This helps us see clearly the importance that Biden has for this In the joint statement, the three countries pointed out that China's dangerous and rampant behavior is illegal in the South China Sea and reiterated their opposition to China's unilateral efforts to change the status quo of the Indo-Pacific region Especially, the accusation of the development and militarization of the islands as well as the movements that are suspected of using sea police and military to carry out coercive actions This meeting is different from the previous one Previously, the three countries often deliberately avoided directly mentioning China In the joint statement, the three countries promised to quickly coordinate and jointly respond to security threats in the Indo-Pacific region in line with the agreement to strengthen measures to respond to China In addition to demonstrating that the United States-Japan-Korea jointly oppose China, this summit also has a great meaning but there are still long-standing disputes about the significance of the two countries' relations In conclusion, South Korea still has a hard time getting rid of Japan's anger at Japan's suppression of other countries from the colonialist to the WWII North Korea is also not satisfied with the sincerity of Japan's apologies This is always a weakness Japan, South Korea, and the United States. At this summit, Fumio Kishida and Junsu Sobuchiyo once again showed the sincerity in bilateral cooperation with Biden. This is not easy in the face of pressure from the Japanese and South Korean public opinion. Japan-South Korea is what China is most concerned about. From the above, it can be seen that the Biden administration has spent a lot of effort and effort and political courage of the Japanese and South Korean leaders to create conditions for the three-way summit that has never been held at the Davis Camp. But the core of these efforts is to unite to deal with China's threats and red policy. The strength of the U.S.-Japan-South Korea alliance is not only reflected in the military security framework, but also in the actual economic development. As South Korea emphasizes, the economic strength of the three-way cooperation has been demonstrated by creating a third of the world's GDP and trade volumes together. Choi Sang-mok, a senior assistant to the President of South Korea on economic issues, said that the United States, Japan, and South Korea provide 80% of the world's manufacturing equipment. Japan alone has more than 50% of the world's supply of chips. After the three countries have strengthened their alliances, they will also try to launch a system of early warning of the disruption of the popular supply chain. The United States, Japan, and South Korea have shown joint efforts to fight China at the Davis Summit. This is an important milestone in dealing with China. For Taiwan, the country is under increasing pressure and pressure from Beijing. This is a side that receives great protection and must be prioritized. On August 21, the Taiwan National Policy Research Institute held a forum. The scholars at the meeting analyzed that the Davis Summit between the United States, Japan, and South Korea is a prototype of a small Asian NATO or the Northeast Asian version of the Aukus Alliance. Taiwan has become more aware that it needs to take note of changes in the situation against China in the field of economic security, which plays a more important role based on its position. However, from understanding the situation to taking action, there is still a long way to go. The story of China-Taiwan will still be a long-running drama for all of us to watch. The U.S.-China conflict is only a matter of time. With the increasingly tense developments as they are now, perhaps it is time for the two countries to decide on a side. U.S. Commander-in-Chief John Aquilino once again made a shocking statement when he said he would attack 1,000 Chinese targets in 24 hours. He also used a term that sounds like hell. So if the Chinese Communist Party attacks Taiwan, which of China's 1,000 targets will the U.S. military attack? U.S. Defense Secretary Karlyn Hicks revealed the Replicator initiative at a meeting of the NDIA Defense Industry Association in Washington, D.C. on Aug. 29. The U.S. military plans to produce and deploy thousands of drones in the next 18 to 24 months, both on land and at sea, helping the U.S. military win when forced to fight, putting fewer people in a more dangerous position, and shortening the period of update, improvement, and distribution. Hicks said we must ensure that leaders of the Communist Party of China wake up early every morning and when they consider the risks of the invasion, they will come to the conclusion that today is not the time. Not only today, but from now to one day in 2027, 2035, 2049, and beyond. Admiral John Aquilino, head of the U.S. Pacific Command, said at the meeting that we should pay attention to China to really understand where they are and what they are doing. I have a standard of measurement, attack 1,000 targets in 24 hours. Aquilino also said that this concept of warfare will help expand the advantages of the United States in this area. He also used a term, that is, the illusion of hell. Thousands of low-cost unmanned aircraft systems can be used to become another important choice for the U.S. military to counterattack, double the effectiveness of counterattacks and significantly reduce the cost on the battlefield. To prevent the Communist Party of China at the highest level, the U.S. military has taken new measures. The U.S. military is about to deploy an anti-unmanned aircraft, the most capable prototype is the Valkyrie XQ-58 unmanned aircraft. This is a low-cost unmanned aircraft system that can be used, which the U.S. Air Force is still studying and developing. The primary purpose is to make a faithful support aircraft for the F-22 and F-35 fighter jets, which are controlled by the mothership to complete tasks such as reconnaissance and absorb the enemy's firepower. It can also be deployed separately. The UAV XQ-58 can be launched from almost all locations, including both support ships, containers and trucks. In 2019, the UAV XQ-58 made its first flight and then completed many tests with F-22, F-35, F-15E fighter jets. Its stealth capability meets the battlefield requirements. Moreover, the price is also low enough. The UAV XQ-58s are currently produced about 50 per year. The price is about $4 million per aircraft. If produced more than 100 aircraft per year, the cost may be less than $2 million per aircraft. The price for thousands of aircraft may be even lower. The next versions of it need to be continuously improved to suit different battlefields. This cost may be equivalent to Tomahawk cruise missiles. The price of Tomahawk cruise missiles is about $1.87 million. The price of the fifth batch is about $2 million. Australia has just purchased 200 Tomahawk cruise missiles launched from warships with a total value of about $800 million and an average price of about $4 million. The UAV Valkyrie is low-cost and can be independently controlled by humans or AI. It has many advantages over the Tomahawk cruise missiles. Tomahawk cruise missiles weigh about 1,300 kg to 1,600 kg, with the head weighing about 454 kg. Meanwhile, the UAV Valkyrie weighs about 1,134 kg and has a maximum take-off weight of 2,722 kg. It has a combined payload of 272 kg and can also carry a payload of 272 kg. Tomahawk cruise missiles fly at a maximum speed of about 913 km per hour. The UAV Valkyrie has a cruising speed of about 882 km per hour and a maximum speed of about 1,050 km per hour. Tomahawk cruise missiles have a maximum range of more than 1,600 km. The UAV Valkyrie has a maximum range of about 5,600 km and a maximum flight altitude of 14,000 m. Tomahawk cruise missiles can fly in the air for two hours and use cameras to evaluate the effectiveness of previous attacks and find targets. Valkyrie drones clearly have higher control freedom. Tomahawk cruise missiles can hit a target and drones with many weapons can hit many targets and perform many tasks, even when the US military deploys a large number of drones. Tomahawk cruise missiles will not disappear at the moment. Tomahawk cruise missiles launched from US warships and submarines can be launched immediately after receiving an order. If an ASIC ship carries 20 Tomahawk cruise missiles and launches a missile every 3 minutes, the attack can be completed in 1 hour. Such an attack speed cannot be replaced, which means that after 1.5 or 2 hours, hundreds or even thousands of Tomahawk cruise missiles will hit the target. If US warships and submarines are deployed first, the total size of the first-stage attack with Tomahawk cruise missiles can reach 1,500 to 1,900 missiles. The US military's unmanned aircraft attack will take place later, possibly at the same time as the air strikes by bombers. The targets of the Tomahawk cruise missile attack will include missile launch vehicles, air defense systems, China's command center and communications, etc. It will also attack coastal airports, docking ports, oil storages, ammunition storages, transit routes, power stations, etc. of China. US unmanned aircraft can continue to attack similar targets. The use of US unmanned aircraft and Tomahawk cruise missiles can sweep away the Chinese Communist Party's missile bases faster, weakening the Chinese Communist Party's air defense capabilities and destroying more and more targets on the ground. One thousand targets of the US Indo-Pacific Command mentioned may have indicated targets being attacked by thousands of unmanned aircraft. The US bombers carrying a large number of AGM-158 missiles will carry out the second attack mission after taking off from the island of Guam. In a few hours, they can reach the east coast of Taiwan, 500 km from the Chinese coast, and can attack targets within 500 km from the Chinese coast, as well as attack Chinese warships. US Tomahawk cruise missiles and UAVs mainly carry out ground attacks, and US bombers can attack Chinese warships in advance. US unmanned aircraft can also attack targets on the sea, but they will not be able to replace US Air Force anti-ship missiles. The AGM-158 missile can be designed to be invisible, very difficult to detect. When launched from a fighter plane, its initial speed reaches the speed of the plane's journey. The destructive power of the high-speed collision mode is also difficult to replace for the shipwreck. US unmanned aircraft can cooperate to carry out anti-missile attacks and serious interference in the air defense system of Chinese warships. Chinese warships are difficult to deal with the explosive attack of anti-ship missiles and unmanned aircraft. They will lose their combat ability and the Chinese fleet will be destroyed faster. US unmanned aircraft can also attack Chinese small warships, such as the Type 054A frigate and the Type 056A frigate. As long as they touch the radar and communication antennas, they can lose their combat ability. US bombers and fighter planes can focus on attacking large warships, such as the Type 055 destroyer and the Type 052D destroyer, aircraft carriers, amphibious attack ships, amphibious ships, etc. Thousands of unmanned aircraft can also become a star in the Chinese Communist Party's manned tactics. Beijing will use a large number of military ships to carry infantry and amphibious troops into the Taiwan Strait. The cost of the US military's unmanned aircraft to attack these small ships is not high. The scene of thousands of Chinese Communist Party warships being destroyed in the Taiwan Strait may actually be a hellish scene. The scene in the coastal areas of the Communist Party of China will be similar. When the US military revealed the Replicator initiative, leaders, generals and troops of the Communist Party of China will all be shocked, whether on the sea or on the ground. As long as the troops are close to the front line, they can always become victims of the blind war launched by the Communist Party of China. The simple unmanned aircraft tactics currently on the Russian-Ukrainian battlefield can only be seen as a small game. The original purpose of designing the XQ-58 and KIA unmanned aircraft is to act as a support aircraft that can be used for fighter planes. It maximizes the ability to protect F-22, F-35 and F-15E fighter planes. Once the Chinese Communist Party's fighter planes are tricked, they will quickly destroy the air-to-air missiles they carry. After the J-20 fighter jets launch missiles, they can no longer disperse. The US military will have a large number of unmanned aircraft fly in front and some fighter planes with pilots will fly behind the unmanned aircraft at a certain distance. While Chinese fighter planes are busy fighting in the air with US unmanned aircraft, US military fighter planes and Taiwan fighter planes can easily lock down Chinese fighter planes and carry out air-to-air missile attacks from a greater distance. This can be said to be a horse-chasing horse, a bird-chasing bird. If Chinese fighter planes fall into the range of Taiwan's air defense missiles, they will all become targets. Chinese fighter planes often train to cross the center line of the Taiwan Strait, but in actual combat, it is no different from diving into the sea. The US military's unmanned aircraft can change the form of air combat in the future. US unmanned aircraft cannot attack Chinese fighter planes, but they can easily attack Chinese helicopters. Any Chinese helicopter, ranging from amphibious assault ships or the coast of Fujian, if it encounters a US unmanned aircraft, under direct attack, it is likely to dive into the sea. The Chinese Air Force's H-6 bombers fly at a speed of 768 km per hour, which is slower than the UAV XQ-58 Valkyrie. If the UAV Valkyrie hits the engine, the oil tanker in the belly and the cockpit of this H-6 plane, the consequences are unimaginable. With a maximum range of 5,600 km, the UAV Valkyrie can attack almost all of China's advanced airfields. Although it cannot shoot down J-20, J-16, Su-30, Su-35 fighters in the air, it can destroy the first fighter jets on this land. The simple UAV of Ukraine has made such a precedent. If a large-scale UAV of the U.S. military attacks all of China's airfields, the Chinese Air Force will not be able to compete with the superior Taiwan Strait airspace, or even be able to defend the coastal areas. The U.S. military is preparing to deploy thousands of unmanned aircraft, estimated at $ 2 million each. Thus, 1,000 UAVs are worth about $ 2 billion, 2,000 UAVs are worth about $ 4 billion, and 3,000 UAVs are worth about $ 6 billion. The U.S. military aid to Ukraine has exceeded $ 43 billion. The U.S. military's use of unmanned aircraft will also significantly reduce the risk of injury. The U.S. military's aircraft on the U.S. airfields do not need to participate in the first phase of the war. In addition, they will be in a state of waiting outside the range of the Chinese communists' missiles. Only after the U.S. missiles and unmanned aircraft have destroyed the Dongfeng-21 and Dongfeng-17 missiles, the U.S. aircraft carriers can participate in air strikes. The Chinese Communist Party's Dongfeng-26 missile has a range of 5,000 km, and can control the sea area from 1,000 to 1,500 km across the sea. Thus, the distance from the coast is not more than 3,500 to 4,000 km. The maximum range of the UAV Valkyrie is 5,600 km, and it can also attack the base of the Chinese Communist Party's Dongfeng-26 missile. In 2021, the XQ-58 unmanned aerial vehicle tested a small unmanned aerial vehicle, the ATIUS-600, from a bomb depot inside, during reconnaissance missions. Even when the Chinese Communist Party's missile launchers move between different positions, they cannot escape the eyes of the unmanned aircraft. The Chinese Communist Party may have to use all air defense firepower to deal with the U.S. military's unmanned aircraft. After a battle, the Chinese Communist Party's air defense system will be completely lost. At that time, the U.S. military's fighter jets and aircraft on the U.S. airfield will be like going into a vacuum. The U.S. military has 251 MQ-9 unmanned aircraft, which can carry up to four to eight Hellfire missiles, can attack many different small targets, and has the Chinese Communist Party's troops like terrorists. The Chinese Communist Party never stops catching up with the U.S. military's unmanned aircraft. Although they look similar, they are still at great disadvantage in key areas such as patrol, re-plant, and remote control. In areas such as targeting, data processing, concentration control, etc., the gap is getting bigger. The U.S. Secretary of Defense said in a statement that the most important link in the war between the U.S. and China is quality. On August 28-29, the Chinese Communist Party held a work conference on the quality of equipment for the whole army. Vice President of the Military Commission Zhang Xiaohuai said that it is necessary to improve the quality of equipment with an attitude of responsibility for victory, responsibility for the effectiveness of combat, and responsibility for the life of the military cadres. It is especially important to improve the quality of equipment in the military. The Relocator initiative, which was announced by the U.S. military, could not be postponed by the Chinese Communist Party for a short time. Seeing a thousand of our targets locked up like that, I don't know if the Chinese military still wants to start a war to lead to another hellish scene. After the BRICS summit, there are rumors that Xi Jinping's health is getting worse in the midst of the collapse of the Chinese economy. Everything forced us to ask the question, how long will the Chinese government exist and what will happen next? Xi Jinping's recent strange behavior is also attracting attention. Some analysts point out that China is currently facing serious problems in the economy, diplomacy, internal affairs, and social inequality. They can lead to a coup among the high-level leaders of the regime, and the only party that can carry out the coup is Hong Yidai. The second red generation, the descendants of the leaders of the Communist Party of China in the early days. In recent months, Xi Jinping has not been to the flood areas in the North China Sea to survey. He also missed the party-building meeting of the entire Chinese military. During a visit to South Africa, he also unexpectedly missed an important speech at the BRICS business forum, causing international media to go berserk. After returning from South Africa, he flew straight to Xinjiang, but did not return to Beijing. Then, on the Internet, a series of videos recorded the scene of a large increase in traffic in Thach Gia Trang, a city in northern Hubei Province, next to Beijing, and caused a lot of misunderstandings. Recently, on September 4, China officially announced that Chinese Prime Minister Li Keqiang would attend the G20 summit for the 18th time in New Delhi, India, from September 9 to September 10. This will be the first time Xi Jinping has missed this summit since he became president. Commentator Nhat Sơn told NTD that after flying straight from South Africa to Xinjiang, Xi Jinping has repeatedly talked about stability. This shows that the situation in China is very unstable. Since entering his third term, he has been more and more concerned about being assassinated. The sudden disappearance of Xi Jinping from the BRICS summit made many people believe that he was worried about security. Professor Hua Chenguang, a researcher at the Harvard University of Stanford, predicted the political situation of the Communist Party of China and said that Xi Jinping was likely to be overthrown by a coup in the palace, condemning the power struggle in the ruling group. And the only party that can shake the position of Xi Jinping is Hong Yi-tai. Hong Kong commentator Nhan Thuan-ku, a young media worker, recently posted on his personal Facebook page and pointed out that there are three groups in Hong Yi-tai. One is people in high positions in the party and the country like Xi Jinping. Two are people who go into business or take the highest positions in the country's business. Three are people who are accepted to Western education, only do professional work, do not participate in politics as well as business, or feel bored with Chinese politics. Nhan said that Hong Yi-tai and Xi Jinping did not have a fundamental conflict of interest, but the fate of themselves and their families depended on the death of the Communist Party of China. The problem now is that the Communist Party of China has been and is unstable, as if the opportunity for Xi Jinping to form this party is very fragile. In the face of the collapse of the regime, Hong Yi-tai will have to choose to replace the ruler. But the problem is that Xi Jinping has been in power for 10 years and has also eliminated the opposing factions. The other Hong Yi-tai have not achieved any development or have not found anyone who can replace Xi Jinping. Meanwhile, the commentator of the time, Duong Tinh Vien, said that Xi Jinping's recent mysterious actions may be due to concerns about his own safety. He analyzed that in an organization like the Communist Party of China, the more Xi Jinping concentrates all his power on himself and monopolizes all his power, the more resistance there is within the party. Those who oppose him, want to kill him, and want to plot against him can say more than ever. Now he is really lonely. Except for some relatives, perhaps he cannot trust others. He can see them as the enemy of his heart. In fact, there may be many people in this number who see him as an enemy and they have resources, guns, power, and talent in their hands. They are entirely capable of conducting a massacre or a coup against Xi Jinping to some extent. Xi Jinping is the only leader of the Communist Party of China to publicly express his belief in the existence of the Buddha. Wikileaks once published a secret document that revealed that Xi Jinping believed in Buddhism and supernatural forces. On August 30, 2011, Wikileaks published a confidential email from the U.S. Embassy in Beijing to Washington, D.C. on November 16, 2009. The code name of this email is 09BRECING3128, and the level of confidentiality is confidential. The subject of the email is Vice President Chen Yun, Xi Jinping, a man full of ambition for the cultural revolution. The email said that the person who provided this information was a professor, a close friend of Xi Jinping, and had a long-standing relationship with the U.S. Embassy. Wikileaks hid the name of the professor when publishing the email. According to this professor, Xi Jinping believed in the supernatural powers of Buddhism, and Xi had met this professor when he took office in Xiamen. In the conversation, Xi Jinping showed great interest in Buddhist martial arts and other supernatural powers that are good for health, as well as the Great Sun, the deity of Buddhism. The professor said he was not sure if Xi really believed in Buddhism or not, or if he was just looking for a way to help the physical and mental health of the individual. After all, the professor was also very surprised by Xi's understanding of the topic of supernatural powers. In addition, the Chinese Communist Party media also reported that on January 7, 2014, Xi Jinping said at the Central Committee for Political and Legal Affairs that don't just look at what is happening today, be careful later, the sins of the dead will all be punished, don't do things like that, above all, there are gods, you must have a pure heart. It can be seen that Xi believes that there are gods, and believes that good and evil are the same. The commentator of the Time-Honored Road revealed that he received information from a special source that although Xi Jinping holds more power after the 20th Party Congress, he is very worried about his life and is also very worried that some of China's ancient supernatural powers will affect his body. Therefore, Xi is now very focused on personal safety. If there is a gust of wind, he will temporarily flee to avoid an unfavorable situation, avoid being assassinated. The Time-Honored Road took the example of the Map of China, a Chinese folk book predicted about Xi Jinping. The Map of China mentioned that the map of China would become the territory of the ruling party, that is, the White Dragon Bird would become the ruler of the party that was exterminated. The word on the map is the word Xi, that is, they belong to Xi Jinping in the form of the Chinese word. Moreover, this book also said that the White Dragon Bird would hit the cliff and die. This is assumed to be a prediction that because of the protection of the party, Xi Jinping will have a tragic ending. Another famous supernatural book is also said to refer to Xi Jinping as the Map of China, which was written by the two scholars of astronomy and astrology, replacing numbers, feng shui and time-honored road, which was composed by Tian Kang and Li Shunfeng in the years 626-649 during the reign of Emperor Taizong. In November 2015, Xi Jinping and the President of the People's Republic of China Taiwan, Ma Ying-jeou, held a horse-riding competition in Singapore. At that time, the People's Daily, the top media agency of the Communist Party of China, wrote an article and quoted the prophecy in the Taoist chant about the four-legged dragon and said that it would be a tragic end. The article explains that this scroll may be a preface to the horse-riding competition because the dragon has two wings pointing to the Chinese character in Xi Jinping and the four-legged dragon is pointing to the Chinese character in Ma Ying-jeou. In fact, the 46th statue of the Buddha statue is also related to Xi Jinping, because this statue almost directly mentioned Xi Jinping, and also mentioned a coup. In the statue, there is a poem as follows. The first one, the first predecessor, his ghosts with pale heads were revealed His face was covered in gold with a sword The cavalry entered the palace between a minute delay A warrior has to put on customs Did you swear to me Your coat will be golden Your priest will receive tributes from Công Xao The first three characters, the first predecessor, be Oakland and the firstdecision In ancient Chinese, the word yi and the word bing, which means peace in the name of Xi Jinping, have the same meaning, which is peace and tranquility. In Chinese, there are two words, the word ong, which is a combination of the word gong and wu. The word bach in the front and the word wu in the back are combined to form the word tapu, which is the family name of Mr. Tapu. In short, there are two words, tapu and gong, which are Mr. Tapu. The last two sentences are certainly describing a surprise coup. The People's Daily newspaper published an article about the coup that shows that Xi Jinping is very confident in the Feng Shui and the Four-Tour River mentioned in the book. It is possible that he has read these things and is very confident in those prophecies. Recently, Xi Jinping suddenly launched a major escalation in the missile force. This has raised the situation of instability in the Communist Party of China. Mr. Niu Cheng, a former Chinese officer and a former chief of staff of the Communist Party of China Naval Command, is now living in the United States. He told NTD that Xi Jinping has always been unfaithful to the military. Many generals in the military are also not loyal to Mr. Cheng. Mr. Niu pointed out that a man who has a great influence in the Communist Party of China's military, General Liu Aizhou, was secretly killed by Xi Jinping. Meanwhile, Mr. Cheng's health is a big mystery. There are many rumors that there are signs that Xi Jinping is having serious health problems, which is too much for a man in his 70s to face. If he passes away or cannot function normally, there will be a war for leadership, similar to after the death of Mao Zedong. The scale of that war will be extremely large, and most of it will depend on the calculations of the leaders of the Communist Party of China, as well as the loyalty of the Chinese military and the Ministry of National Security. Both the military and the security forces have no doubt that they will be deeply divided by the leftist ideology. These two organizations will be the main players in the war, especially the military. But both can create the Bonaparte ideology, and can maintain, change or destroy the Chinese government depending on their direction. The event of his passing will bring the best opportunity for the Chinese people or the overseas community in overthrowing the Communist Party of China, because this will be the most vulnerable period of the party, as after the death of Mao Zedong or the Communist Party of China. However, unlike when Mao Zedong passed away, when the power of Mao's ideology was still strong, now there is no such power in China. It's not like during the Communist Party of China, so the Chinese economy is now stagnant and declining. The resistance to the ruling system of the Communist Party of China has been weakened by the unusual economic growth rate now. When it no longer exists, there will be an opportunity to resist the Communist Party of China. From there, there will be a transition to a single leader or a government, possibly a military government. Then there may be a transition to a form of government, with a tendency towards democracy. The current Chinese system is vulnerable, with three models for a temporary government. The Singapore model, the Taiwan model, and the Hong Kong model, also known as the New Emperor model. In China's political history, the Hong Kong model will be the most likely outcome. The first is the Singapore model. Li Guangzhiu has dominated Singapore's politics since it became independent in 1965 and held the post of prime minister until 1990. He still has influence as the senior minister until 2004 and the advisor minister until 2011. Li Guangzhiu is probably the most passionate supporter of both political ideas and Asian values, which have a profound impact on Singapore's politics. This model is the closest model to democracy among the three models considered. A monarchy, but a calm one. A soft monarchy, not greedy, which avoids nationalism and promotes nationalism among the working class through the capitalist system. The capitalist system dominates society, the rule of law and long-term economic and social plans for the benefit of society. The next model is the Taiwan model. With the Taiwan model, China's transition will follow a path similar to that of the People's Republic of China, the official name of Taiwan. That is, the transition process will last for many decades, from a military regime under the rule of the imperialists to a dictatorship and finally to a democratic regime. In this case, the Chinese military and security apparatus will form a military regime that exists for a short time, possibly for decades. After this period, it will move to a dictatorship that accepts participation at the political limit. Like the Singapore model, this could happen many decades before the transition to a democratic regime. According to the Taiwan model, China will not be free, even non-free. At the end of the transition process, ethnic and non-ethnic ideologies will become strong and interfere with relations with the West. The Taiwan model brings a path that many people know about the Chinese Communist Party's transition. If the party loses control after the Chinese Communist Party passes away or after a deep crisis in the country or internationally, it promises a democracy if many steps of transition are successfully directed. The Hong Kong model, according to Hong Kong leader John Man, China will have a new emperor like Oliver Cromwell in the British Civil War or Napoleon Bonaparte of the war of 1799 overthrowing the military dictatorship. In the context of China, the Hong Kong model is a step back with Chinese politics in the early 20th century, the rule of the middle class or the ruling class. This will be a strong dictatorship of a single leader. As examples from Central and Eastern Europe have shown, the process of changing after communism is always difficult. It may lead to the model of a powerful leader as we have seen in Russia and some old communist countries in Central Europe. As in the rule of Vladimir Meshia in Slovakia in the 1990s or Slobodan Milosevic in the South West in that decade, these countries have had a difficult transition to democracy. And of course, Russia has never changed to democracy. A Cromwell or Bonaparte will come from the army, the Communist Party of China or the Security Department, as President Vladimir Putin did. A new leader will certainly call for China's greatness and promote the story that the greatness of this country has been hindered by decades of rule of the Communist Party of China and non-governmental foreign forces, such as Japan and the United States. If the Communist Party of China fails, China will follow Russia's path towards stronger authoritarianism. If the Communist Party of China is weak, but has a strong desire to restore the glory of the past, there will be a pretense that democracy has come, but China will not be a democracy. In short, the political development process in China will require many changes. There will be a transformation from a communist body to a post-communist body. China's post-Communist Party of China may go through many further transformations. Each transformation will be difficult and bring many risks related to stability in China as well as its impact on world politics. Moreover, a post-Communist China will be ruled by a single great leader, basically an emperor, as has happened in the past of China. This is due to the political, traditional and cultural history of China, as well as the external threats that China has to face. And so China is still in danger. The final issue is how the Lai government combines with some democratic factors into what could be a dictatorship led by a powerful leader or a government in many decades will happen. As has happened in Russia or China under the reign of Zhou Zhongshan and General Jiechi before the invasion of Japan. Xi's mysterious health issues require us to analyze what will happen after Xi passes away or loses his ability to function normally. As well as how the Chinese people and the overseas community can affect the political development in China. Everything can come to us sooner than expected. And now our program would like to pause. Please leave your comments below to discuss with us. I hope you enjoyed today's video. Goodbye and see you in the next program.