【精彩】龔小夏博士：維珍尼亞州選舉 民主黨成功控制州議會參眾兩院 共和黨籍州長揚金（Glenn Youngkin）參選總統路卻步 #Lucy連線

In Virginia, when I followed the Republican Party elections, I saw a lot of Republican students who wanted to talk about abortion. So it attracted a lot of young people's interest. In the activities, you can see that people are too old. The issue of abortion is almost the same. Black and white people also have it. In fact, there are not many people who participate in abortion. But when the issue of abortion becomes the most important issue, local elections will be lost. So this time Virginia lost the local election. What is the effect? Is the effect serious? Or is there a historical effect? Why? Because now our governor, the Republican governor, Virginia has already become a Democratic state. Virginia was in the Obama era. After Obama passed, he elected a Republican party, followed by two Democratic parties. When we saw Obama, it turned out that when I came to Washington in 1998, there were 3.6 million people in Washington. Now there are 10 million people. These 10 million people all work with the government, cooperate with the government, work with the government, and there are more and more people working for the federal government. The government is very big. The housing prices in Washington are soaring. So many people moved to Virginia. You can see that in 2009, the Republican governor was elected in November. Young King was elected in January 2021. At that time, the main reason for his election was to reform American education. American education is now a big problem. American education, I think that left-wing education has killed a generation of young people. It really killed them all. So a generation of people's education How did he do it at the time? He was behind the Democratic Party Let me go back to January 2021. There were a lot of young people who were behind the Democratic Party. After so many people were behind, he used the issue of education. Because at that time, it was a matter of whether or not to allow men to go to the bathroom. There was also the issue of whether or not parents had the right to intervene. He won. But this time, he used abortion as a theme. At once, I really thought it was a failure. So this is the situation I saw in the election. Omar, you're back. So this time, Virginia, This governor was born in 1966. He should be 67 years old this month. Not 57 years old. That's very young. Very young. Because the people in the Republican Party who opposed Trump, who hated Trump, they held a meeting. They held two meetings. It was a big meeting. I thought he didn't have time to go there. What did they want? They wanted to push him out. Because Florida's dissenters came out. You have to come out to run for office. You have to come out. You have to see if you have the power of appeal. As a result, Florida's dissenters A lot of people in the Republican Party wanted Yong Kim to run for office. I talked to him. I don't think he would. He's not that stupid. He was elected in 2028. He was elected in 2021. Everyone has to remember. He was elected in 2021. He took office in January 2022. After he took office, the election in Virginia The mid-term election in 2020 The governor won. This election is a test to see if he has a good reputation in Virginia. Because the polls show His support in Virginia reached 57%. We know that in Virginia Before the 2020 election Biden was 10% more than Trump. A lot of people in the Republican Party are watching Yong Kim. Is it possible for him to come out to replace Trump to be a Republican candidate? At the time, my opinion was impossible. This is impossible. Because there is a very simple problem. Dissenters won 19%. He can't stand it. Why can't he stand it? I think if it's a nationality Trump's people are very close to the people. The Republican Party is very angry about nationality. But these governors always talk about their political achievements. He can't stand it. He can't stand the emotion of anger. Because the anger of the Republican Party is in foreign policy In economic policy, etc. They are very angry. This kind of anger Trump is the only one who can turn this anger into a voting power. The other people can't see their ability yet. So this time the local election is to test this Yong Kim governor. Can he turn the anger of the Republican Party voters into success in voting? Obviously, he can't do it this time. When I watched the election with him the day before yesterday I saw him He has changed from before. In 2021, when he first came out I saw him for the first time. I said, how can it be like this? There are only a dozen people here. Ten years ago, there were only 12 of us. We came out to support him. It's hard to say in the U.S. election. I have known him for almost three years. For the past three years I have seen him from a very I can say that he is a political fool. The young people have always been aware It should be encouraging the public to vote for the governor. But this time his failure proves that he has not yet been able to come out to the table all over the country. So I think he will definitely not come out to vote. He is the presidential candidate. This time, he won't come out to stir up trouble. Because if he stirs up trouble There are dissenters on the top. There are also Nicky Hayes on the top. He can't do that. He can't stir up trouble. What will he do next? He will be next year. In the presidential election next year We have to participate in his inauguration. Virginia is very strange. Virginia can only be the governor for one term. The governor can only be the governor for one term. Obviously, we will participate in the election in 2026. So he will be the governor in 2025. So it is estimated that in 2026 He will participate in the presidential election. Will participate in the presidential election. Will he be able to run for president in that election? It also explains Will he be able to become the future presidential candidate of the Republican Party? Or at least one of the presidential candidates supported by the president. At present, he is This time, the Democratic Party used a lot of power To do Virginia's election. In terms of money, Young Kim did it. They don't have The candidates themselves don't have It's their own problem. From the party headquarters to pay He spent almost 15.8 million US dollars To help the candidates. The Democratic Party is directly The Democratic Party headquarters spent 23.8 million US dollars So this financial difference is very big. As for the candidates of the Democratic Party in North Dakota Everyone is rich in North Dakota. Where we live Is the richest place in the United States. So this election Proves that Virginia is still a Democratic Party state. Obama has been elected Until now Still continue to be elected I think There are two problems Ineligible to run In terms of turning the party I may be more pessimistic People always say One is the young people Unless there is a big change in the young people Unless they really suffered Some very serious wars Death, really tragic events The young generation will not wake up The young generation follows the left Keep going Keep going until you fall into a big fight Until the eyes are swollen This is the young people On the other hand, the government Such a large-scale People eat the federal government meal The more you eat the federal government meal, the more you get in the way This is very reasonable Because the more the federal government is the Democratic Party The more money they will not fire you Unless Unless the federal government has made a big change This big change is I plan to cut the federal government Cut half of it I can cut 80% I can do what I am doing now If not Such a large-scale The federal government cuts Virginia The Democratic Party will definitely There will be some changes by chance But it's very difficult So this is not Not so optimistic This estimate Virginia's election I will stop here