noc18-ce39 Lec 38-Ratio Analysis

IIT Kanpur July 201
20 followers
Dec 3, 2023
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Namaskar welcome back to this course
once again accounting and finance for
civil engineers and this is lecture 38
and what we'll be talking of today after
we've discussed concepts relating to
working capital financial statements and
concepts is a discussion on ratio
analysis so basically we'll spend time
understanding what is called ratio
analysis in the parlance of construction
management now before we get started
with ratio analysis let's try to look at
this illustrative example this table
here gives the data for sales and
profits for organizations a and B the B
will be added shortly if we look at
organization a we have the numbers given
here for year 1 and year 2 we see that
the sales from 2 lakhs have gone to 3
lakhs the profits have increased from
50,000 to one lakh now there is one way
of looking at it that is in terms of
these absolute numbers now if we add
corresponding figures for another
organization let's say organization B
please note that they began together
that is their sales in year 1 were the
same 2 lakhs
now this guy grew to 3 lakhs this guy
grew to 250 thousand this guy had 50,000
but his profit was only 20 thousand he
grew from 50 thousand to one lakh and
this guy grew from 20,000 to 50,000 now
given this information or given this
data there are just so many ways in
which these eight numbers can be looked
at and before we go to the next slide I
would like you to spend some time and
try to interpret and make notes as to
what you can conclude from this
information which is given some of the
points we can discuss here
one is that the sales for both a and B
were identical in the first year that's
what I pointed out to you
however they grew at different levels
the sales of a grew by 50% that is 2
lakh became 3 lakh that is the 50%
growth in the case of B this growth is
only 25% then we can say that in the
first year the profits of a and B are 25
percent and 10 percent and these numbers
become 33 percent and 20 percent of the
next year so what does this 25 percent
refer to if we try to take the ratio of
the profit with respect to the sales
this is 25 percent here it was 10
percent but this became 33 percent and
this becomes 20 percent similarly the
profits of a doubled in the second year
that is the 50,000 became one lakh
whereas in the case of B there is a jump
of two hundred and fifty percent so what
these four points B is two here and the
two that we talked about in the previous
slide what do they tell us they tell us
that apart from the absolute numbers
themselves there's a lot of story which
the ratios tell us they also tell us
that different ratios can be taken you
can take the ratio of profit to sales
you can take the ratio of the growth of
profit from one year to another year you
can compare one organization versus
another organization but you should do
it on a level playing field that is you
should have comparable data all the time
but in ratio analysis one should also
remember always that ratios are
essentially a representation of one
quantity say X as a proportion of
another quantity say Y and it is
expressed as X upon Y what it means is
that both x and y should be known to you
therefore the ratio X upon y in a manner
of speaking
does not give you any new information
what it however does is to put the
information of X&Y
in some perspective that's something
which we'll talk about again later on to
calculate the ratio X divided by Y and
the quotient which is said if it's
multiplied by hundred we express it in
terms of percentages
that's elementary and ratio analysis is
a powerful tool as it makes information
comparable so for example in the
previous example that we took
deliberately we started with the sales
to be identical they need not be
identical of course if you can take two
different companies their sales could be
quite different and then the only way
you can really compare them would be to
talk in terms of how much they have
grown what is the market share and so on
and so forth so that's why ratio
analysis as I said is a tool which helps
you organize the information that you
have it does not really add new
information it only gives you a
different perspective so that's what's
written here ratios as such do not add a
new dimension for example if it says
that company XYZ dispensed 1% of its
revenue your R&D this does not convey
anything so what we need in this case is
what is the revenue and that will give
us an idea as to what is the spending on
R and B thus ratios and absolute values
are actually complementary to each other
when we want to make evaluations and
decisions they are useful for
comparisons as well and what we have to
understand and keep in mind is that when
we are taking ratios we should also
remember that by taking a ratio making a
comparison and so on
we are also making certain simplifying
assumptions and one has to be careful
what ratio to use at what point in time
for what kind of comparison is that
valid invalid
what is the limitations of taking that
ratio and so on so that's something
which you should be always always
careful about
so as far as the industry is concerned
there are three types of comparisons
which are made trend ratios inter firm
comparisons and comparisons with
standards or plans now let's try to
examine them a little bit more as far as
trend ratios are concerned they involve
a comparison of ratios of a form over
time that is present ratios are compared
with the past ratios how has a given
company performed over time so that's
what we were trying to do when we were
trying to see how has the ratio changed
for a company a or a company B from year
one to year two it could be here - to
year five and so on so that is what is a
trend for example a comparison of the
profitability of a firm over a period
say 1981 to 1985 is an illustration of
the trend ratio then there is inter firm
comparison represents a comparison of
ratios of a form with another form which
may be in a similar business at the same
time you can compare two construction
companies you can compare two automobile
manufacturers you can compare two
electronics manufacturers and so on the
concept may also be used for the
industry as a whole and it reflects the
performance in relation to its
competitors when it comes to ratios
there are different ratios that are
defined liquidity capital structure
profitability activity or efficiency so
we will see how there are different
ratios that we take and all of them have
their own relevance as far as accounting
finance is concerned which is a part of
construction management coming to the
liquidity ratio we have the current
ratio or the asset test or the specific
turnover ratio in this lecture I will
not really spend too much time in
defining each of these ratios we will
define some of them and try to upload
some basic definitions on the forum and
the idea will be that you should be
aware of how to calculate these numbers
if it comes to that and the fact that
these numbers are important from the
point of your financing accounts I don't
think we will be able to do justice to
all these numbers at the same time in
this short span that we have at our
disposal today so now coming to current
ratios there is a standard that normally
as far as construction companies is
concerned we would like a company to
have the current assets to current
liabilities ratio to be greater than one
point three is to 1 that is their
current assets should be at least thirty
percent more than their current
liabilities what is current assets and
current liabilities that's something
which we talked about in the first
lecture which we did for this module and
there we had talked about that at the
end of it the current liabilities are
supposed to be met from current assets
and therefore the ability of a
construction company or any company for
that matter to be able to make its
day-to-day expenses is largely dependent
on the current assets and those
day-to-day expenses are their current
liabilities so in order to be
financially sound or adjudged to be
financially sound the current assets
should be 30% more than your current
liabilities similarly when you come to
acid test there is a concept of quick
assets and current liabilities so here
we are talking of current assets here we
are talking of quick assets we will try
to take an illustrative example and try
to see how they are different and here
we find that the norm is your quick
asset should be at least 10% more than
the current liabilities without going
into the details of this specific
turnover ratio let's try to look at an
illustrative example this shows the
description of assets for a particular
company cash is let's say 2000 letters
are 2000 the inventory is 12,000 so now
the total current assets is a plus B
plus C which is all these three and that
totals 16,000 the quick assets which
does not include the inventory is 4,000
and now let's say it's given
the current liabilities are 8,000 so
with this information we can calculate
the current ratio which is basically D
upon G that is the total current assets
- the total current liabilities which is
16,000 upon 8,000 which is 2 is to 1
similarly we can calculate the asset
test ratio which is e upon G which is
the quick assets part of it the quick
assets - the same current liabilities
and that we find is 0.5 is to 1 so now
if you want to go back and compare with
the norms what is expected this here is
greater than 1.3 but this here is less
than 1.1 which is expected from a sound
company so you can see that actually
that if your total assets are 16,000
most of them are actually blocked as far
as the inventory is concerned so you
have very little quick assets so that's
the kind of information now that's the
kind of discussion that somebody has to
keep in mind that if I'm increasing my
inventory at the cost of cash and
debtors my asset test ratio will go down
that is we will not be able to
immediately make our payments will not
be able to honor our immediate
commitments and that commitment is
coming from current liabilities so
that's how we use these ratios in this
case the current ratio and the asset
test ratio now we come to the capital
structure ratio which indicates the
long-term solvency or soundness of a
company when a firm makes a long term
borrowing it commits to paying the
interest regularly and to repay the
principal when it is due in installments
are due dates or in a single payment at
the time of maturity so the company
commits to that when it makes a long
term borrowing as far as the different
types of capital structure ratios are
concerned there is the leverage ratio
and the coverage ratio debt equity debt
asset equity resset and so on and so
forth
again debt to worth should be less than
2 is to 1 these are the kind of
standards these are the kind of norms in
the industry then there are
profitability ratios profitability is a
key word for a commercial company and is
also a measure of the efficiency and
indicates the public acceptance of the
product profits also provide funds for
repaying debts incurred while financing
the project and mobilizing resources and
profitability ratios have been defined
to establish quantitative measures of
the profitability of a company and are
of interest to owners management
creditors and regulatory bodies
profitability ratios can be determined
based either on sales or on investment
and in the former class that is those
based on sales the ratio is commonly
used or gross or net profit margin and
the expenses or operating ratio and on
the other hand such ratios as those
defined in terms of return on assets or
the total capital employed and equity
shareholders are based on investment so
if we have the sales based numbers and
we have investment based numbers so this
is sometimes referred to as ROA and this
is big called ROC e that is the return
on capital employed this is the return
on assets so this chart actually gives
you the kind of description of the
different types of profitability ratios
then there is something called an
activity ratio this set of ratios are
concerned with the measurement of
efficiency in asset management activity
ratios are also called
efficiency ratios and measure the
efficient employment of assets by
relating the assets to sales and/or the
cost of the goods sold and therefore the
activity ratios may therefore be defined
as a test of the relationship between
sales and the cost of the goods sold and
the various assets of the firm so here
we are talking about various assets of
the
that is cash land and so on and so forth
we talked about the different assets and
in relation to those assets the
different assets how is the sales
performing and depending on the
different types of assets different
types of activity ratios can be defined
for example we can talk off the
inventory or the stock turnover ratio
which is the cost of goods sold to the
average inventory we can talk in terms
of the debtors turnover ratio or the
receivables turnover ratio which is
credit sales to the average debtors then
we have the asset turnover ratios which
is total assets to total turnover fixed
assets to the total turnover current
assets to the turnover and working
capital to the turnover ratios so these
here are basically as its turnover
ratios coming to the last part of our
discussion today we have the
productivity ratios which is the
turnover to the number of employees that
turnover to the plants and equipment the
profit to the number of employees and so
on let me give you an illustrative
example there was a news item recently a
couple of months ago maybe a year or two
that India wants to increase its
investment or spending in the
construction industry they want to pump
in a trillion dollars equivalent into
the creation of infrastructure now
that's an absolute number somebody wants
to pump in a trillion dollars or
equivalent of that money into the
construction industry construction of
infrastructure now if we want to
understand whether we will be actually
able to consume that that is even if the
money is available or made available to
the construction industry how will it
get distributed what do we need to do as
a construction industry to be able to
rise to the occasion and consume or
deliver goods and services equivalent of
that trillion dollars where do we start
we could start with what is the total
turnover of all our construction
companies total that and find some
number and see that okay if we are at
number X we want to go to X - what is
the percentage of increase in the
turnover that we are looking at in terms
of turnover if we want to reach or
consume that trillion dollars
additionally similarly let's look at the
number of people which are employed in
that industry and say that if we want to
increase the amount of money being spent
or consumed in that industry what should
be the productivity see at the end of it
if there is a company which has a
turnover of 1 crore and has a thousand
employees that company wants to grow
from 1 crore to 10 crores how does it do
that the only way to do it would be to
increase its efficiency of the employees
the efficiency of the employees is one
crew divided by 1,000 so basically per
employee they are having a certain
amount of turnover if that has to grow
10 times so either the number of
employees have to grow 10 times or the
efficiency of those employees has to
become 10 times or somewhere in between
there will be some growth of employees
some increase in efficiency in order to
get that increase in efficiency what is
the kind of measures that we need to
take there can be a certain amount of
mechanization that it can be a certain
amount of automation and so on so that
will increase the productivity of those
employees as far as the number of
employees is concerned it goes back to
education more or less if we talk of
construction do we have the right amount
of engineers who want to work or who
will be available to work in the
construction industry in order that a
certain target as far as productivity is
concerned can be met so this is the
larger picture of how ratio analysis how
relating one number versus another would
help us understand the facts on the
ground so with this we come to an end of
our
discussion and of course there are some
references which we have always been
following some of them are probably
added to this some of them up taken off
from the previous lectures and so on
that will help you understand some of
the concepts better and now before we
close the discussion in this course let
me just go over very quickly about some
of the key concepts that we have covered
in this course we talked about an
overview of the course where we
primarily talked about different ways
how civil engineers or all engineers is
matter of fact should know about
financing and accounts and we talked
about the concept of time value of money
then we had a lot of discussion on
economic decision-making which had
concepts like cash flow sensitivity
analysis incremental rate of return
break-even analysis depreciation methods
of depreciation Book value and so on
then we spend some time on risk analysis
simulation bidding processes then we
spent time on accounting balance sheets
profit loss statements assets
liabilities working capital and now
today we'd spend time on ratio analysis
so we will talk about this a little bit
more in the forum with some examples
which will be added and we'll try to
finally go to the exam and as far as the
exam is concerned of course I cannot
tell you what the exam would be like but
it will be very similar to the kind of
questions that we've been asking you in
the assignments so those of you have
been trying to do the assignments
regularly should not find it very
difficult to do well in the exam only
thing I would like to mention is that we
will post a few notes and aids to you in
the forum please watch out and follow so
that you are better prepared like I've
always insisted we don't expect you to
memorize any formula which we have given
we'll try to make sure that the either
the formulae are available or some
tables are available to you during the
exam to be able to solve a certain
problem I wish you all the best and
has been a pleasure talking to you on
behalf of my friend professor chai and
myself thank you once again for being
with us thank you
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