¡IMPORTANTE! PRONÓSTICO DEL BOLETÍN DE VISAS DE OCTUBRE 2024 | NUEVO AÑO FISCAL

[Music] Always [Music] blessings as it says there, how is everyone here, I'm with a couple of excellent guests. Hey, well, let's go a little quickly because time is of the essence, so we find the acquaintance here, let's start with the most known Geral Lorenzo Ah sorry sorry sorry els cone the best known I told my assistant not to change the script please I told my assistant that I'm going to say I wouldn't do that Excuse me I ask you I ask forgiveness of all the attendees the best known I repeat another returning to the presents interactiv [Music] oor on your channel a huge pleasure with you and with love to talk I met thank you miseno I have another super special guest a great friend a person above all I love very spiritual and he is Geral Lorenzo de Mr visa TV thank you for having accepted my invitation thank you Thank you Luis Thank you Luis I like it and then I now you know that we pray a lot Hector we are going to do we are going to say something because Luis says very spiritual And then and the other one who is also very spiritual What's happening is that I'm like, as I say, concatenating the ideas. Allow me to ask something. Before you continue, let's go. It's a pleasure to be here. No, thank you very much. Well, here we go because people are waiting for us to give them that opinion, especially about Héctor, our special guests gerald and we're going to start with the most we're going to start with I would say that the most famous is, well, Héctor, let's say it That's how we're going to start with it's fame not fame that's uncomfortable Luis maybe start YouTube first than Geral and have more followers but Geral has a trajectory that I had a thousand times when I was 21 years old I was already going through a process that must be respected Hey but but here yes because I think that well Gerald is not Dominican if she doesn't get gray hair while being Exactly I say Oh my God Geral I didn't know you were how old Well, but seriously, speaking a little more seriously, I don't know, I know, don't worry, we're not going to start with Héctor Hector eh I would like you to talk to us about the expectation that everyone is waiting for on the first of October and that we will know him within 4 days approximately 5 days what can you express to all those people who depend on his life His future eh within 5 days in relation to that new fiscal year of 2025 Well I don't know if you want us to touch on the news of the setback or of From the end of the visa quotas for the category based on entry employment, we can say that there will be a setback in the October Visa bulletin as a result of the shortage in demand for Visas available for employment categories, speaking of categories based on family, which is the field that I cover, I don't know much about employment issues, it's your area Luis, I think that, in my opinion, we would have a slight advance between the f1 f3 category and obviously the f2a category, particularly in table B, we could have progress but It also does not rule out the possibility that table a could move a little more because according to what I see in reports I obviously cannot make law of what I am going to say now I am speculating there is no way to know but we receive many cases of quotes here in which They arrived almost on the date stated in the bulletin. So there is probably a slight advance in that sense. Hey, we'll see what happens from now on, but for me, f1, f3 and f2 are more or less almost the same as the same feature of Geral's question. Hey. Why do you think there is this determination of the award or better of numerical limitation by the State Department at this point? I explained to him in easy words so that people understand what Héctor just expressed but a little more focusing on What we expressed about these employment visas and versus family visas, no, yes, this Well, here what we have to know is something that is clear and I think everyone knows it, those who follow us have to have this information, there is an annual limit eh of Visas eh that can be issued per year and that is already a given, the truth is that it is based there on the immigration and nationality law of the United States, a congressional issue and so on, eh. For example, when we talk about the issue of family, well, we already know that there are about 226,000 visas that we have available there, I think that in the employment one there are about 140 something like that, no, Luis, 140,000 visas, correct. Yes, exactly 140. Exactly, about 140,000 visas, so those visas obviously have to be divided into 12 months between the 12 months and that one. It is the reason why We also see a lot that one day we see movement another day we do not see movement simply because what the State Department seeks is to be equitable in terms of what it has to do with the distribution of all those visas that there are for a full year eh As Héctor said, for example, I saw in the last Visa bulletin or it was not in the last bulletin. It seems to me that it was an update from USIS where they made reference to, for example, the B3 visa category. Eh, well, now The quota has been filled, there are no more visas available, the annual limit has been reached, so well, given that situation, we have to wait, we have to wait for it to come back again and between what is the new fiscal year that begins now on October 1st of the current year. We have now it is correct and eh these limitations eh Hector to give you the answer that is so important that everyone would be waiting until when this is going to be given eh Let's say like this backlog Ah we are going to wait suddenly more months in this uncertainty how many months do you put so that Let's start to see that light there or if we are already seeing it, please clarify this. In relation to all this that we are seeing, this phenomenon of the limitation in numbers, people are kind of confused a little and until when can they start to have a certain optimism, well Luis We must be optimistic but we must also be realistic objective yes correct Dominican Republic Mexico we continue to have delays of more than 2 years to schedule an appointment after having completed the six documentary qualified steps it is impossible, in fact it is absurd to think that this is going to happen resolve that this could be resolved in this fiscal year taking into account that we continue to have the same annual limitation of 226 but if we go to the Back Lock of the State Department there are 400,000 cases, that is, obviously we must also consider what part of those cases They are immediate category cases but we also have to add to that the pending cases of adjustment of preference category status that are in the United States and also the cases that are in the administrative process in all the consulates. In other words, the idea of ​​thinking that this year the delays are going to be resolved that is impossible there is no way it can happen also if you look closely Luis so that it can abound a little more if you observe the behavior of the backlog since April 2021 when it was the first time that the state department He announced it in the current month of 2024 in the month of July, which was the last, the backlog has not decreased, it has not dropped below 400,000. So it is absurd to think that immigration is going to be ordered in the next two, three, maybe 4 years, could we consider so things could improve my point of view my analysis I would like to listen to you and see what you think in that sense Wow this is quite worrying that is to say and I partly agree with you Hector in relation to the fact that the man has gotten out of hand government, I don't know if it can be expressed like this and what you are saying is much more worrying. Depending on your position, it takes 3 years to suddenly see an improvement in that Back look, what do you think about all this, what hopes can they have? the f2a these families that are separated eh gerald eh the good ones all the preferential categories above all but more than all these people who were about to, as it could be expressed in popular slang coronar but now we see how certain obstacles And how he expressed it Hector, we don't see that figure of 400,000 going down. So it's like a figure that we're thinking about and and and and it has become something that's already common, not like when one speaks in popular slang, and one gets used to it. bad atmosphere and here we go There we go like we don't see anything positive in that sense I don't know if I'm interpreting it like that in that way a little pessimistic perhaps but as Héctor said objectively Don't look in the case of the f2 a in particular I have to to say that far from being non-agra, they have been from the most fortunate category in the midst of this entire process, obviously understanding that before the pandemic, perhaps there was a shorter estimated time in which they could, and their relatives could immigrate to the United States. but in a pandemic, what has been the category that we have seen the most benefited uh comparing it with all the other categories is exactly the f2a category. So for example uh I was watching today I was reviewing uh some of the uh previous years with respect to the table to the Visa bulletin and I was able to observe that after the pandemic none of those previous years that have occurred has had any movement in the visa bulletin for the month of October of the current year or of the year in which, for example, the year 2022 in 2021 2022 2023 eh When September was closing I was going to enter October there was no type of movement for any of the categories except for the f2a category which was the one that was always reflecting movement so eh having said that I think that eh we could because then Before the pandemic there was movement for all the categories a little bit but there was always movement after the pandemic so there has only been movement for the month of October exactly in the f2a category. What do I mean by all this, I mean that the f2a have been one of the most privileged people, I think that at some point the waiting time for f2a is going to be reduced and much more than what it has been reduced for example in the Dominican Republic. We were seeing cases since they were closing and the appointments that came to people December 2022, that is, before we had approximately 2 years, two points, 2.2 years more or less, now at the present, if we calculate that they are working with December 2022, then we are barely having a year and what a year and 9 months, that is, it has been reducing the waiting time for the fusa category Unfortunately for the other categories it has not been the same luck eh except also for the f2b that in some way they have also been benefited So I understand that what is going to happen in some way is that we are going to to possibly see some type of movement in the type f2 category and we cannot rule out that there is movement in the other categories. But knowing that after the pandemic for the month of October in each year 20 21 22 23 we never saw movement in any of the other categories except f2a, hopefully we will be surprised to see it, hopefully we will find in this month of October a big surprise and we will see movement in the other categories Hector Eh I am here making a parallel of October 2023 that first Visa bulletin that was presented last year to start this fiscal year that is coming to an end and I am also making the parallel with September 2024, that is, I am making that small parallel here for I don't know what opinion you can give me and to all our followers Hello yes oh It seems that it had a inconvenience Héctor Well maybe we can move on to you gerald while he connects once again Héctor gerald uh here this making this parallel like as I explained to you uh from September 2024 to October 2023 that is to say doing that parallel I find something very interesting the f1 had the same date, September 1, 2017, that is to say, there has been a stagnation in that category because we found that it is the same date basically f2a you are referring to the table B okay deo Exactly on one side I have like the boxers not on one side I have October 2023 And on the other side I have September 2024 so what I was expressing is that by making this parallel I think I and you who like statistics that I think it is very important to be able to analyze it we found that the f1 category of single children of American citizens is on the same date, September 1, 2017 for that is, for the rest of the countries in the world, for Mexico also April 1, 2005, no, there was no modification with respect to the current situation. Ah, now, there is a new entry once again Hector give me a second Please that's very good Hector you are listening to us no you can't hear no I don't know he can't hear himself he can't hear your microphone you have to open it I told them that Forgive the appeal Well concatenating the ideas once again and without differ and without differing and without differing exactly and inferring what I was talking about with with eh our appreciated Gerald eh Hector I was explaining to Gerald that I made two parallels as in boxing not on this side October 2023 And on this side September 202 4 to know how you can interpret this and we find that the f1 have the same date September 2017 f2a on that date a year ago we are on September 1, 2023 and now June 15, 2024 f2b January 1, 2017 same now first of January 2017 f3 was a year ago on March 1, 2010 and now it is on January 1, 2011 a year ago F4 was on March 1, 2008 and now it is March 1, 2008 what can be inferred inferred from this eh What deductions can you make, what opinions can you have because I think that the most affected are the f1, the f3, the F4. Sorry, the f3, not so affected, the F4. Yes, of course, the disastrous f2b, but in a way, the f2a are not so bad, I don't know. That's it. It's my perception. Maybe I 'm wrong about what your opinion is and make it clear to Héctor that we are talking to table B of the Visa bulletin, that's what there table of the Visa bulletin Because many things come together here, the person can perhaps start an adjustment of status Perhaps it is starting a consular process, please clarify that part Hector exactly in the context of adjustment of status we know that they have practically no gap in this category to be able to do there was Progress in table B the eh connected to I say the strategy of the state department, in my words, because hey, we cannot continue allowing the bottleneck we have in the National Visa Center to continue increasing if the state department closes table B to prevent more people from continuing to enter. to do their six steps and in this way try to dissolve the backlog that they have of people waiting for appointment but at the same time they attack those who are within the United States who probably have the possibility of submitting a status adjustment the f2a we know that until recently I think 4 months ago it was true yes yes cu well the Visa bulletin of August of July was that table B changed for the f2b for the f2a sorry and you can now use the option to make data adjustments again But we know Here, that is supposed to change at least to mitigate the accumulation a little because there are many people who have a visa and could adjust their status. It is correct and Gerald concatenating the ideas. What do you say about the table in reference to that one? The same comparison that we are expressing now in relation to the table that would be the final action date, which is the table that determines when there is that visa availability to award the immigration benefit either at the level of adjustment of status or at the consular level, we find that The f1 were a year ago in January eh first of 2015 currently October 22, 2015 that is, we are talking about September 2024 no eh tablada A eh f2a were on February 8, 2019 currently November 15, 2021 not almost 2 years f2b September 22, 2015 and currently May 1, 2016 f3 were on January 8, 2009 currently April 1, 2010 and F4 April 22, 2007 And currently August 1, 2007 what reading can be given to that so that the people who are watching this important Live eh know what they could eh eh elements for that forecast Yes of course eh there based on what you are mentioning if we see it in a year we are seeing progress everything that means progress is good it is positive Okay contrary For example, what you mentioned with the topic of table B of the Visa bulletin category f1 category F4 a year ago, they are in the same place as where they were, right now they are in the same place as where they were. They were a year ago with respect to table B of the Visa bulletin, so the table with all the dates that you have given me shows progress, all of that clearly shows progress, whether it is three months or two months, but it shows progress, then, in that sense. Well, eh, that's good news because at the end of the day, eh, they were not stuck. Okay, in the table for there to be an adjudication. And that has allowed and allowed many families to be issued their American residence. eh. You have to be aware of this. what I mentioned a moment ago that table a is going to move based on what based on the availability of Visas that there are Eh annually so in this case well when the the the the the state department considers believes or understands that The annual Visa quota is being met, then they are not going to move the preference categories in table A of the Visa bulletin. If there was movement in those categories that you mentioned, it was because there were Visa quotas available for them. They can be awarded if there has been no movement because Unfortunately then we do not have more availability of visas to then be able to award those visas in a consulate or through adjustment of status magnificent intervention Geral eh masterful eh Hector eh Already almost entering the final stretch from our important Live Eh then you would think that I don't know according to your professional opinion now in October that we find that new eh let's say it was 226,000 Visas eh Who is going to favor in October eh is going to create a specific category what you expressed or will a a proportionally the state department will allocate these 226,000 visas or are they going to focus perhaps on the f2a because perhaps suddenly the The idea is to unite families I don't know please clarify that for us and if you have an opinion eh more about all this for Now enter the final stretch, please. Look, it is important to highlight the idea and I think you will agree with me that historically the State Department rarely exhausts the budget of the 226,000 visas. If we look at the numbers, the data says that historically it is It is very difficult for the State Department to exhaust them all. There are years that were very good that came very close, for example the year 2023, but the processing capacity even though the law establishes that there are 226,000 It seems that there is not enough in the consulates to process all these visas, which means that every year there is a percentage of these visas that are not issued and are transferred to the employment category. That is what the law says. Now, if the consulates still do not manage to exhaust these 226,000 visas We are probably not prepared to add more Visa numbers to the bulletin. So I believe that work is being done and I believe that I am not the same person as the department. or the department of state to expand the capacity it has in different countries. For example, an example of this is the change we made here in the Dominican Republic with the change of provider of biometric services that went from being a private company to the department of The state is already going to have a platform for the Dominican Republic to broadcast B on the platform of the state department. In other words, I think this is part of what the state department should do to from now on be able to exhaust the entire budget and Immigration can advance faster than if the f2a and f2b are going to advance, logically we can say yes because we know that these two are exempt from the annual limit, which means that in theory there is no limit to issuing visas within the framework. from the 226 to the f2a category and the f2b category, therefore these will continue to be favored due to a matter of preference or greater family unity and the other categories. I think they will continue to lag behind. Wow yes, excellent opinion, very objective eh And gerald eh I also think that it is important to know eh eh regarding this forecast which our Live is about now to please finish this important intervention of yours eh How could the State Department and I already believe that we have talked about this before eh improve the possibility to exhaust those 226,000 visas, that is, to allocate the visas, it is still obsolete, somewhere I heard or saw a comment from our followers, that system is obsolete, now that another president comes, perhaps He will go away, he will improve, I saw a good Republican without involving too much politics here because suddenly we have the video but what can that ordinary person who is waiting to unite with their families expect, that is, I explained in easy words what your opinion is we don't listen to you no we don't listen to you Okay and there they listen to me Now yes true Now yes yes Now yes Okay perfect look in particular I have always said that and well the same government of the United States says that people should not sell things that should not leave their belongings eh Until they have a visa I don't even print things right now, actually. There's still a long wait time in some countries, not in all of them. We also talk specifically about what it has to do with the Dominican Republic. So since there is a long wait time, I always recommend what I recommend. people is to try to prepare themselves on some topic within their country of origin that can benefit them when they can come here for when they can come here to the United States. In other words, there must be that type of attitude of Okay, let me prepare myself eh. For me to then be ready for when that moment comes eh Why do I mention it like that in that way It's simple eh we have right now and you would tell me Well but Okay what can the state department do which was perhaps the most direct question you asked me. what they did is that no no the state department does not have personnel yes yes in the consulates and embassies there is not a high level of personnel So it is of no use and that is what we are seeing right now that is, we are seeing that perhaps As Héctor said, the 226,000 visas are not being used up, possibly 100%, so the question would be: What is the reason, or what is the reason why the 226,000 visas are not being used up? Lack of processing, lack of personnel, eh, I don't know if it's missing. of technology, you understand what I mean. So in the end, as he said, we gain nothing by increasing the capacity of visa availability if we don't have a work team that can mobilize and expedite that. So I think that what the department of technology should focus on most state is in the hiring of new personnel and that is why we are also seeing here in the United States we are seeing many advances in certain processes And why is that because you have seen it, you told me on one occasion that you They also offered him to work for uscis so at the end of the day we have us hiring a lot of people but we do n't hear the same from the state department magnificent intervention eh gerald Well thank you very much I don't know if you want Geral hard the best yes Mister @ in the world TV and in the world @p your advisor's advisor your advisor's advisor who is already there already has the copyright that your advisor's advisor that slogan is not already patented [Laughs] trmk please, the one who messes with the entire team no no no, no, I was going to say that here I am always honored to be able to participate with you and sir these days. We saw Luis Victoria, I think you also saw him in a very important Live with Luis Guerra, the lawyer Luis Guerra and with Guerrero and Hey, that was that was spectacular So definitely ger I said but Luis is like strange and when I go to see he was with Luis Guerra with a famous lawyer there now I loo international seminars in Colombia yes no no no no no it's that the man The Man the man is in ot The height was amazing, the beauty, the beauty of this team, the truth is that I consider them friends, they are Humble, simple, spiritual people, both of them, I don't want to say just one, please so that there are no comments there, as true, or so, thank you very much, thank you very much, the truth is Guys, I feel like having you here on our channel, it's a pleasure. I hope that, as always, as beautiful, it wo n't be the last time and so we will continue our friendship and give the best to our community of immigrants because the truth is that honest people, people who give you positive things To the immigrants who want to achieve that long-awaited American dream. Thank you very much. Hey, my friend Héctor in the world, you know, Luis, to finish. What is the American dream? Aha, he is always sleepy the whole day because he works too much. Well, look at the American dream, I learned it. This little jar, look here, it says, I am advertising my university at the Law School of San Thomas University School of Law where I studied this little jar. They gave it to me when I was studying and this is the biggest addiction I have coffee coffee coffee for what you say to be able to control the long-cherished American dream that really if I don't take it welcome welcome to the university Luis welcome to the university a glass of coffee and you know it was the first the first invitation they gave me when I came to live in Miami ago How is it going to be 20 years a Cuban coffee chat to be able to be unemployed I say but that's why What's going on and it turns out that today Coffee addiction because if not you are not going to be unemployed to be able to resist the American dream well It's difficult but Luis, thank you for the opportunity, I respect you and I greatly value being here with you, my brother, my admiration for you, the same, the same, Hero, for blessings for the invitation, for the deference, concatenated with the difference, gentlemen, blessings, very much. Well, a hug for all of you over there. bye bye bye [Music] no