If the war between Israel and Iran starts, it will
make the Gulf Arab countries tremble.
In fact, most of the Gulf Arab countries
are rich countries. Their main income is
oil, which affects these countries.
One is Palestine and the other is
trade. Without these two, those countries
cannot survive. Now, the
Palestinians are dying on a large scale due to the war being waged by Israel.
Now Israel has intensified the demonic attacks on Lebanon and on
the other hand is preparing for revenge attacks on Iran. The
fear that these attacks will turn into a full-scale war is
haunting the Gulf countries. In this
background, if a full-scale war
starts, on which side will the Gulf countries stand, will they
support Iran as a Muslim country
or will they act in favor of Israel as America's allies? What's
the story, on
which side will the Gulf countries
stand in case of war? What did the foreign ministers of six countries do in Doha?
Has Iran changed the enemy? West Asia
developments are increasing BP. There is a possibility of
Israel attacking Iran at any moment. If a
full-scale war between Iran and Israel
starts, the question of whether the Gulf Arab countries will
support Iran or
support Israel is being debated.
In fact,
Iran attacked Israel in April, at that time, the
Iranian embassy in Damascus, the capital of Syria.
Israel
launched airstrikes and
two key commanders from Iran were killed in these attacks. At
that time, Iran's Supreme Commander Aitula
Kami said that retaliation was necessary. As expected,
in April, Iran launched about
300 missile drones against Israel. At
that time, the Arab Gulf
countries shot down Iranian drones and missiles. They
saved Israel, but
what are the countries going to do now, the signs of April are
not visible anymore, and
some interesting
developments are taking place in West Asia. Iranian
President Masoud Bezhekian
is visiting Qatar, but guess who else is in Qatar.
It is called GCC. GCC stands for
Gulf Cooperation Council. In this alliance there
are Saudi Arabia, Qatar, United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Women, Kuwait. They
shook
hands and held delegation-level
talks. On this occasion,
Iranian President
Masoud Piages called Saudi Arabia as a brotherly country. His intention
is very clear. Israel is threatening to attack at any moment. At
such a
time, the Iranian President traveled to Doha
where he
held a series of meetings to turn the Muslim world towards them.
Pezishkayan is trying to see if the Arab countries believe him,
but it is
not known whether he believes it.
First, let's look at the political, economic and
social relations in West Asia. Iran, the
Arab world, is traditionally the enemy of Iran. Good
relations have been established between the two groups.
China put brakes on the decades of hostility between Saudi Arabia and Iran. The
Dragon Country
called for friendship between the two countries. Since then, the
relations between the two countries have improved. Last year, the
then president of Iran, Ibrahim Raisi,
visited Saudi Arabia.
Arab countries are
emphasizing to increase relations with Iran. In fact, Arab
countries have two key priorities,
one is Palestine and the other is
trade. The Gulf Arab countries
focus more on these two issues.
Most of the Arab countries want to recognize Palestine as a country. There is
no possibility to leave and therefore there is a possibility of meeting with Iran.
Moreover, a lot of money is at stake here.
Mainly, Iran
is located on a vital trade route
called the Strait of Hormuz. Why is the Strait of Hormuz
important? About
30% of the world's sea needs are transported through the Strait of Hormuz.
If it starts, there
is a risk that Iran will close the Strait of Horm again, if that happens,
Iran will disrupt the sea supply to the world
and
there is also a possibility that Iran will attack the refineries of the Arab countries. In fact,
Tehran has already
given warnings in this regard that if Israel or America
attack their refineries,
they will attack the Arab refineries.
warned that the
Arab countries are worried that the sea trade will be interrupted.
Do the Gulf countries want Iran to become weak? Do they
want to destroy Iran's nuclear programs? It is possible that they want to do so,
but the consequences will be less than that.
In fact, it is
almost impossible for the Arab countries not to get involved in the Israeli conflict,
that's why the
countries are
planning to avoid the war. Talaq Gulf countries are
mainly focusing on developing their country.
Arab countries have been following this policy for many years.
Take UAE Bahrain.
recognized Israel as a country in 2008, but the United Arab Emirates held
diplomatic talks with Bahrain for several years to kill the United States. The United
States strongly pushed Israel to establish an alliance between the Arab countries.
Finally, Saudi
Arabia also
took steps to recognize Israel as a country.
After that, the
situation in West Asia worsened with the war between Hamas and Israel.
At this time, if Iran and Israel
go to a full-scale war, the consequences will be
worse, but the
Arab countries are making similar efforts to reduce the tensions.
See the recent announcement made by the
JCC Foreign Ministers in Doha. They
asked to bring many resolutions regarding the carved out areas. Simply put, the
six Gulf countries are asking the international community to moderate the Israeli dispute.
In fact, many top countries
are calling for a ceasefire, but
Israel is
not paying attention to the top countries. Israel
listens to anyone, that is, it is only the United
States of America. There is a
possibility that Biden will take tough decisions on the Gulf countries, but the
Gulf countries have not been able to put pressure on Biden. In
other words, the
Gulf countries are following a wait-and-see approach. The
policy followed by the Gulf countries can
be said to be a safe strategy.
All the plans made for it
will be destroyed, that's why the Gulf countries
are trying to prevent the war, they are
inclined to stop the war in every possible way. In
this order, they
cooperated with Israel in April. It cannot
be said now whether steps will be taken
