There is more to like than fear in 2025 stocks, expert predicts
4 Video Views·Jan 6, 2025
Bullseye American Ingenuity Fund portfolio manager Adam Johnson shares his market and economic outlook for 2025 on ‘Maria Bartiromo’s Wall Street.’
Welcome back. Here's a look at where markets ended this holiday shortened trading week to kick off
the new year. But the S&P 500 is coming off its best two-year performance since 1998. My next
guest says get ready for another year of gains. Joining me now, Bullseye American Ingenuity Fund
portfolio manager Adam Johnson. Great to have you with us. So tell me why this market's going to
just continue to rally. Well there are a number of reasons. We already have an economy growing
three percent. We already have inflation that is coming back down to where we want it to be. Two
percent's the Fed's target. It's running about two and a half percent right now if you average all
the inflation gauges. We have the most number of people ever making the highest gross adjusted
income ever spending the most ever. That's generating earnings growth for the S&P 500
that I think will accelerate to double digits. And now we have an incoming administration that
is finally business friendly. Fewer regulations, lower taxes, drill baby drill means lower oil
prices for everybody. And I think what it really boils down to for me Jackie as someone who runs
the American Ingenuity Fund is this is an administration that supports American ingenuity,
American resilience, American strength, American security. And I think all those reasons are going
to produce new highs. Are you worried at all if the tax cuts not only just for individuals,
small businesses and corporations aren't passed in the first CR, if they're delayed
that that's going to hamper the speed of things? No, I think there are other priorities. We need
to secure the border. We need to be strong to the eyes of the world which are upon us.
We need to unleash drilling. We need to get rid of all the regulations that are holding
American businesses back. We can get to taxes and we will. But I think it's it's about priorities.
Taxes will come. So if it has to be two different packages, then let it be two packages. We'll get
there. OK. Tech and A.I., they drove us forward last year. Is that going to be the story in 2025
or do you see anything else up and coming? Oh, it's one of the big stories. I have right now
more semiconductors in the portfolio than I've ever had because the A.I. theme, because the
compute theme, in other words, we need to figure out how to be able to do more with more to
generate more. And the way you do that is by increasing the power of computers from semiconductors
to the wiring, to the data storage that's behind it. So that's an incredibly powerful theme. Robotics,
an incredibly powerful theme that ties into artificial intelligence. Just look at what's
with logistics. One of the companies that we own in the portfolio, Symbotic, is converting all of
Walmart's 47 warehouses into robotic warehouses. And think about that. You know, you don't need
people to run these things. The lights can stay off. That saves electricity. But you do need
artificial intelligence that helps you figure out how to get material from A to B in a in a
smoother, faster manner without people doing it. So you're bullish. Oh, yeah. There are some out
there saying this market has run too far too fast and we might be due for a pullback or possibly a
correction. What do you think? Well, we've kind of already had one, right? I mean, December was a
little ugly. Some of the names in my portfolio were down a fair amount. That was in part because
inflation kind of piqued its ugly little head up and and bond yields went up. And when bond yields
go up, stocks tend to go down. So we if you look at the S&P 500, we're down five percent in the
about 11 percent. So we've already kind of had a little mini correction. I've done some buying
because I think we are going to see new highs. And over the course of last year, by the way,
we actually had four corrections of anywhere from eight to 11 percent. That's just a natural
part of what happens. I mean, people forget buying those. Oh, yeah. Well, look at what
happened with NVIDIA. It had three corrections of more than 20 percent last year. So you have
to buy those dips and you have to be willing to actually step in. That's part of managing money,
right? It's managing risk. Meanwhile, I want to get to this because it's a rare event in
Washington. Senator Bernie Sanders actually applauding a proposal from President-elect
Trump capping credit card interest rates at 10 percent. Sanders saying that he hopes Trump is
going to support his upcoming legislation on this at a time when credit card defaults, of course,
have been at their highest in 14 years. What do you make of this alliance capping these interest
rates? Things have been tough for consumers, for sure. But as you mentioned, they've still
been spending. Yeah, people are still spending. Well, I am someone who believes that smaller
government is better government. So I don't like anything that gets in the way of a free market.
I don't like caps. Quite frankly, I don't even like tariffs. They get in the way of the free
flow of goods and services. So, yeah, capping interest rates. That to me doesn't sound
appropriate. It doesn't sound right. It's government getting too involved in people's
business. No, if if if your debt is too high, that's your problem. Stop spending. Stop spending.
Don't turn it into something that now requires a government bailout. You know, the the old
expression, you know, any government that's capable of giving its citizens everything they want,
in this case, caps on interest rate is equally capable of taking it away. Smaller government
is better government. No, we should not get involved with capping interest rates. I hear you
on that. Great to see you, Adam Johnson. Thank you so much. Happy New Year. You too, Jackie.

