Four months into Trump’s second term—and despite nonstop media hostility—he’s nearly tied or ahead in major polls. How is that possible?
It’s simple: A booming economy, a foreign policy grounded in realism, a secure border, and popular working-class policies—all contrasted by a Democratic opposition mired in chaos, antisemitism, and no credible alternative.
Victor Davis Hanson discusses this on today’s episode of “Victor Davis Hanson: In His Own Words.”
“Every time people say we’re headed for a recession or his trade war is gonna tank the economy, data comes out. … Inflation is down. Energy prices are way down. Economic growth is up. Joblessness is down.
“ Most of the issues that he’s trying to undo of the progressive project, the public supports him. And his Democratic opposition—four months into his tenure—has still completely lost its mind and not only does not offer an alternative agenda, but personally, emotionally, psychologically puts people off.”
(0:00) Current Polls (2:18) Economic Indicators and Trump's Policies (2:51) Trump's Foreign Policy Approach (4:47) Public Perception and Media Response (6:09) Democratic Opposition and Conclusion (8:03) Closing Remarks
We're at four months now in the new Trump second administration.
A strange thing has happened, if you look at the polls,
Trump in the real clear politics averages, which to be fair have a
preponderance of left-wing polls, is still only about a point, point and a
half down. But in other polls Rasmussen, he's either
even or he's a couple of points ahead. And yet all of the
media and all of the major organs on the left, but even in the center and right,
the Wall Street Journal, they have been uniformly negative.
So how in the world is Donald Trump almost equal
and much higher than he was at his first term at this time?
The answer is twofold.
Hello, this is Victor Davis Hanson for The Daily Signal. We're at four months now
in the new Trump second administration.
And a strange thing has happened, if you look at the polls,
after diving for Trump with the announcement that he was going to
subject certain countries to high tariffs, which panicked the stock market.
Now the stock market's almost recovered or has recovered all of its loss.
It went down a little bit when Trump said he was going to
continue the tariffs to force the European Union to have reciprocal
treatment toward the United States.
But nevertheless, Trump, in the real clear politics averages, which, to be fair,
have a preponderance of left-wing polls, is still only about a point, point and a half down.
But in other polls, Rasmussen, he's either even or he's a couple of points ahead.
And yet all of the media and all of the major organs on the left, but even in the center and
right, the Wall Street Journal, to take another example we've discussed, they have been uniformly
negative.
So how in the world is Donald Trump?
And Donald Trump has not been reticent.
He has tweeted all sorts of things about, you know, Bruce Springsteen and Taylor Swift and
Canada, things that were very controversial.
How can he be almost equal and much higher than he was at his first term at this time?
The answer is twofold.
Number one is what he's doing.
Every time people say we're headed for a recession or his trade war is gonna tank the economy,
data comes out.
This week, it was a corporate profits were unusually high, strong.
It came out that we're not in a housing recession, that housing sales are steady.
Inflation is down.
Energy prices are way down.
Economic growth is up.
Joblessness is down.
So that is one reason.
The second is Donald Trump has been touring the world, and you can call it mercantilism,
but essentially the Trump doctrine is we're not going to get an optional military engagements
on the ground anywhere, and we're going to have our relations be transactional.
So even our enemies, to the degree it's even possible, we're gonna try to find some mechanism
by which we can stop wars, maybe rare earth mineral corridor in Ukraine, or maybe we're
dangling a end of sanctions for Iran.
I don't think that's going to work, but the point is people appreciate the idea that Trump
first is trying to exhaust peaceful avenues before he uses force.
And he's trying to address the theater wars that Joe Biden left him in Ukraine and the
Middle East.
The economy is strong.
The border is 99% closed.
We've gone from over 150,000 entries down to less than 8,000, and in many places, fewer.
The wall is going to be continued.
The border patrol has increased.
The deportations, despite the court orders, continue.
So the things that he's doing are very popular, especially to the working classes.
Black, white, Hispanic, they like cheap gas prices.
They like news that there's going to be $8 to $10 trillion of investment and new jobs
in assembly manufacturing in the United States.
They like the idea that we're cutting unnecessary funds for government, and we're not touching
Social Security.
They like the idea that Trump is trying to reduce taxes on the middle class in the terms
of Social Security or tips.
But there's another facet, and that is not Trump, but the people who despise Trump and
are attacking Trump.
When the electorate looks at that and they say, well, Trump, I like everything he's doing,
but I don't like what he said about Canada.
It just kind of bothers me.
I don't like him lowering himself to attacking Bruce Springsteen in kind.
Yes.
But what is the alternative?
Well, the alternative is the left is glorifying a murder, Luigi Mangione, and the campuses
will not, cannot, do not want to stop the anti-Semitism.
So we see foreign guests with masks on who continue to use violence, vandalize our campuses.
Now we have two wonderful Israeli citizens who have been murdered, and it doesn't seem
that anybody in the core base of the Democratic Party is objecting at all.
This comes on the heels of attacks on Tesla.
This comes on the heels of this strange Democratic reaction to Trump where they use almost
pornographic language, SHIT, the F word.
Tim Walz can't give a speech without either comparing Trump to Hitler or using, calling
him some pejorative, and the result of all this is when they look to the Democratic
alternative, there is no alternative.
There's no explanation why they opened the border.
There's no explanation, opposition to what Trump is doing.
Why aren't they saying, we like an open border, stop it, Donald Trump?
They're not even doing that.
They're not presenting any positive, constructive alternative.
There is no shadow government.
There is nobody in the Democratic Party that is popular.
Not Tim Walz, not Kamala Harris, not Chuck Schumer, not even AOC, especially not Jasmine
Crockett.
I mean popular to the American people in general.
And so when you add the fact that the economic news is pretty good, and there's a lot of
initiatives on the horizon, peace initiatives, foreign investment initiatives, trade initiatives,
and when you look at the people around Trump, Marco Rubio, Scott Besant, they're very
good.
And when they go before Congress, they're calm, they're rational, they're data-driven.
The Democratic senators who press them and inquire of them and mock them are usually
poorly prepared, hysterical, angry, and make fools of themselves.
Add it all up, things are going pretty good in the country.
Donald Trump is a whirlwind.
He's staging a counter-revolution, and most of the issues that he's trying to undo of
the progressive project, the public supports him.
And his Democratic opposition four months into his tenure has still completely lost
its mind, and not only does not offer an alternative agenda, but personally, emotionally, psychologically
puts people off.
They do not like the way that they're talking, they do not like the way they're acting,
and they don't like them in general.
Thank you very much.
This is Victor Davis Hanson for The Daily Signal.