TOP PICKS TO WIN THE VANS PIPE MASTERS

Okay, so me Mahina shirt I chose to war by my own doing We got some update here in Hawaii winter time you guys know it's fully begun yesterday, we had the Eddie ceremony and Tonight we have the heat draw for the Vans Pipe Masters and the Tour guys are showing up for their pipe event and the sunset event Winters in full swing back on North Shore after some epic travels through Europe and the rest of the world made a super crazy year we put in a collage of clips together a compilation if you will say of footage from the whole year and making it into one edit and Tomorrow the 8th We will also be doing our store opening in Haleiwa Florence opening its first shop in Haleiwa, which we're very excited about Crazy year for team Florence joined earlier this year, and it's just we just went all around the world Visited shops all around the world. We Tested gear all around the world Testing give my brothers testing gear with Mahina and Zord and on all our trips and just trying to make the best Most useful surf products we could so very exciting But in this video me and Mahina will be going over our breakdown our picks for the bet on line Odds our bets for the Vans Pipe Masters so we're gonna break down who we think our Top picks to win and who's some underdog picks. So we're gonna get right into that First things first, we're gonna start with the men's side ton of Very good surfers in the invite list But we're gonna break it down based off just top three picks based on who's Good in contest and who we think could win based off their talent and ability in a heat scenario and be able to read pipes based on the conditions and Then some picks based off how the odds were laid out. And so those would be the underdog picks so for the men's side These are these are just the top picks of the guys who I think perform really well at pipe They have really good read on The way pipe moves and can often even though the format this year isn't like a traditional heat scenario Where you compete against the guys? Just in your heat to qualify to the next heat you are competing Against everyone in the event in your heat. So there's a round surfers will serve for the two or three times Servers will surf two or three rounds There will be no elimination, but then after the two or three rounds are surfed there will be finalists picked based off their top scores to go to a final and then that final will surf and That'll be for the win of the event. So my top picks I'm gonna be Billy Jamie and Baron and I'll explain why Billy has a way of manufacturing scores out there Some guys just have that they can find a good way even when the conditions aren't that good and He does that pretty often He finds those waves he gets those scores and he can even in this type of format where you compete against the whole draw you it's about accumulation of top scores over the three rounds and He's pretty good at just getting at least two good ones. Jamie. We know Jamie's super motivated Controversial invite Situation has fired him up to the point where he's just like I know he just is like out for blood He wants to win. He wants to prove not that he has anything to prove best pipes are forever But he wants to do really well and The guy just knows pipe like no other he knows it in every condition. He has more time out there than anyone That doesn't mean he will get the waves. This is a contest That's just how things go. But if you have if you give a guy like Jamie three chances to get two good waves I mean the odds are very high that he's gonna get those waves And that's just a lifetime of knowledge and still every swell he is getting the best waves so that's Jamie and Baron Baron is super comfortable in competitive situations great ocean read He knows the sneaky ones on the weird days at pipes and he and pipe and he knows when to wait for the good ones On the good days He has that same draw that those guys have of finding a good wave even when it's hard Which is really important at pipe because in this format you may surf a heat with less than good conditions But your scores are compared to a guy who ain't surfing heat in really good conditions And so you got to really make the most out of what you find out at pipe During your heat and you got to remember you're competing against guys that may surf in different conditions may work in your favor Where you get a heat that's really good and really consistent lots of waves lots of big sets It may not work in your favor where you get a really slow heat The tides weird the winds weird and then the guys later on get a really good heat but that's why there's multiple rounds shuffle guys through and That'll give everyone somewhat Closer to even chance never gonna be perfect, but that's just the way the format works. And so those three guys I Believe are really good at finding good waves in multiple condition Situation so those are my top picks for the underdog picks. This one's a lot harder, but based off the odds You have guys you're just going down the list. You have guys like Ivan Really good odds on him Bet less to win more kind of odds and Really good at pipe. You guys have all seen him on Instagram putting in the time putting in the style and He's got the Multi-game Facet to coming in out of the barrel and doing a big air if he chooses to do so things like that situation and then Benji brand Makana paying no abettion all Local knowledge guys guys that have spent They're young where they spent a lot of time out there a lot of time and they're lower and the odds get down into Where I mean, you don't really consider these guys underdogs, right, but we're talking underdogs based on the odds These are professional pipe surfers. They're all extremely talented But based off the odds, so you're going down the list like Makai Mason Mason is a plus 33. That's crazy. I would put him in my top picks to win List too, but we just can't go too high on that list, but he if he gets on a roll he's on Eli Koa, of course lifetime out there They always do it with a plus 8,000. He just rode what might be way over the winter in the last swell and he's got a way an attachment to pipe and he's on a roll this winter and if the opportunity comes his way he's got the talent and The know how to pick the right wave. There's really high scores here. He wrote a 20 this winter. So he's really low or just you can bet a very little to win a lot with him and he is Too low on that list for for me That's the odds maker made that list but super underdog pick based on the odds a Allah I would say Balaram Nathan and Benji as my top three to win. I like everyone you pick two though I think that's a really solid one. I think you three If you're giving good waves Yeah, I think if you guys get good conditions you guys really perform well Balaram has already won multiple times at pipe Benji Just absolutely Yep, he really commits to pipe as well and you Are just amazing out there. I don't have to explain myself there. And then I would say the odds same The top three odds I think would for me would be Ivan a Allah Kinah a or Tosh Yeah, cuz I feel like Tosh has really been trying to commit lately to bigger waves. I've seen some of the stuff Yep, and kind of a road like crazy backdoor wave last season Great style and great barrel rider What's the odds on them the odds on kind of his plus all plus 800 plus 8,000 8,000 8,000 of it For the women's I think the odds makers kind of nailed this one I mean you have your top picks Katie Moana Molly the Hine Sierra Aaron Brooks All these girls are very very capable. We've seen them come into their own and Just this last year and the year before push the level of what barrel riding is at for women Especially Moana at pipe and what the girls did in Tahiti And that heat who was it was Molly and Katie had a at backdoor last year just crazy and so They're all super capable and super comfortable now in these barreling waves They've had a few years to acclimate to him and their talent is there But now the confidence is there and that's gonna play a huge role in how they compete this year I think underdog picks Coco kind of way down the list with a plus 6,600 That's what she's not an underdog out there, but on the odds she is so I would bet Coco She surfed out there for years has Mason in her corner has uncle Mike in her corner She's got the bloodline and she's got the knowledge and I've seen her get great backdoor waves That'll be my underdog pick and maybe and DeSantos and Luana Silva and DeSantos, she's been charging around the world. She has a lot of Experience and heavy waves. So just that comfortability factor. I think the main thing for the women It's a lot about their comfortableness and their confidence. A lot of them have the talent but they seem to be hesitant in the waves and that like Constricts their ability when you get that hesitation out of the wave heavy wave That's the game-changing factor between what makes a good big wave surfer or slab surfer and one who Just can't never get over the hump is the hesitation the lack of confidence to fully commit So I think those girls will bring that in those type of heats And so that's the pics for the ladies I mean when you went over that list together both agreed on the same pics You guys put your picks in the comments below We'll put a link to the baton line odds and let's over some good conditions I'm gonna go over forecasts. So I've checked the forecast this morning it can always change it always does but It's actually upgraded and gotten a lot better than it looked a few days ago This well has a bit of north in it six to eight foot backdoor Maybe some bigger days or some 10 to 12 foot pipe. So that's super exciting. My pics remain the same based off that forecast Yeah, I mean you never know how these event windows are gonna go but this shaping up to be very consistent this event probably gonna run the 9th and 10th very early in the waiting period and Then how do you know how many days they need? Okay, so two to four days to finish the event There's plenty as well in the waiting period if they run first two days in the 9th and 10th And that's well remains the highest pretty easy finish in good conditions. You never know what those further out forecast, but That's our pics. And so everybody I check it out if you want to if not Do whatever you do We'll be here videos come Hawaii winter videos incoming holiday season