Điều gì sắp xảy ra với giá vàng: Xuất hiện dự báo 8.650 USD/ounce?

Thank you so much and greetings to all viewers joining our YouTube channel We consistently bring you the latest and most trending topics Here is the detailed content Gold remains caught in the middle awaiting a rate cut while concerns over inflation show no signs of easing On one side the strong buying pressure from the central bank's open market operations on the other the solid weight of the US dollar Are these violent sell-offs just technical pauses or a warning sign of a larger wave ahead The precious metals market is entering a period of tense consolidation Will gold rise above the $6 000 mark or will it see a deeper pullback What's coming next for gold prices Forecasts point to $8 650 per ounce Ladies and gentlemen recent futures contracts for gold on the Pomex exchange have fluctuated around the 5 000 U S dollar mark Every hour the level was seen as a key psychological resistance Despite retreating from the historical high of 5 318 U S dollars per hour set at the end of January gold prices remain significantly higher than the level at which they opened in early 2026 Approximately 4.314 U S dollars per hour reflecting an increase of more than 17% since the beginning of the year According to analysts this development indicates that the market is entering a phase of pricing in expectations stead of reversing the long-term trend One of the strongest factors currently influencing gold is the s the Federal Reserve's primary policy expectation The January jobs report indicates the economy The U S created 130 000 jobs nearly double the forecast as the unemployment rate dropped to 4.3% These figures reinforce the view that the U S Federal Reserve is not in a hurry to ease its policy The likelihood of the U S Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in March has virtually been ruled out according to the latest data and the pace of interest rate cuts in June also slowed significantly The market now leans toward the likelihood of adjustment Interest rates in the second half of the year may fall in July or December As for gold real interest rates are the key variable crucial If the U S Federal Reserve keeps interest rates high longer than expected the U dollar will strengthen may strengthen exerting short-term downward pressure on gold prices The recent 9% drop over a single session January following news related to personnel at the Federal Reserve highlighted a heightened sensitivity extremely high levels of precious metals amid policy signals However experts believe the volatility Strength does not imply structural weakness in the market According to Ms Imaruka Sanova director of the prison administration Gold and precious metals at Panex with the adjustment being an inevitable consequence after prices rose nearly to 1 300 USD Within just one month she noted that strong fluctuations are typical when gold trades at record-high levels That does not alter the market's underlying positive drivers Mr Arun Hiu market analys At Fort Wooden Service Market it is believed that once volatility subsides gold prices could fluctuate within the range of $4 700 to $5 000 per ounce He noted in the short term despite a slight pullback in prices positive developments have already been reflected e price rebounded after last week's sharp rise The bullish trend resumed possibly needing one more a fresh surge in volatility driven by weaker economic data clearer signals of interest rate cuts or heightened tensions Meanwhile Nick Cowley market analyst at Solomon Global believes the current volatility is merely remain volatile in the short term I expect the 5 000 USD level to be reclaimed soon within the coming weeks and prices could potentially Re-evaluate the 5 600 USD budget allocation in the second quarter of 2026 These adjustments are essential following the growth remains strong and technical momentum stays positive Nick Cowley said supportive factors are still in place Although the US dollar is currently Strongly resilient but in the coming months rate cuts are likely to weaken the greenback or at least halt its further rise Marjanea Wool senior market analyst at S com believes the fluctuations in gold and silver reflec The deep investor uncertainty stems from concerns about inflation and recession shifting expectations about monetary policy as well as escalating geopolitical risks In her view although gold prices may continue to remain below the threshold of 5 000 USD per month in the short term with a clear path to reaching 6 000 USD per month by year-end The market still has ample upward momentum yet investors have grown more cautious and deliberate making subsequent rallies less impulsive more focused on exploiting technical gaps and more calculated a stronger foundation rather than relying solely on speculative trading The precious metals market is currently in a phase of Repositioning not digging into trends The current consolidation reflects a cautious sentiment following a recent surge rose sharply while also confirming that the underlying price foundation for gold and silver remains strong Meanwhile the strategist from Nationale de Paris-Paribas believes this precious metal still has significant room for strong gains whereas silver's outlook is less favorable more compellingly gold prices could rise to the 6 000 USD per ounce mark by the end of this year amid these circumstances macroeconomic and geopolitical risks continue to persist according to David Wilson director e commodity strategy at BNP Paribas Mr Wilson also noted that the gold-to-silver price ratio although still lower than the two-year average by more than 80 times has rebounded and may continue to rise expansion I think there's still room for even greater divergence he said In my view gold has a solid foundation clearer than silver when viewed from the perspective of unexpected risks Moreover major institutions around the world are also presenting strong price increase scenarios in the coming period Specifically Siegmugel forecasts that in the scenario Gold's underlying price could reach $6 300 per ounce by the end of 2026 based on the trend of net buying of the central bank and long-term safe-haven demand This forecast was issued despite market conditions as witnessed a typical sharp downturn in recent price movements Hong Kong and Shanghai Pingjing The corporation forecasts that this strong rally in gold could push prices up to $5 000 per ounce in the first half of the year 2026 Persistent buying pressure and the view of gold as a safe-haven asset amid ongoing instability of global political economy Other banks such as Société Générale and Union Bank of Switzerland also provided a forecast range of 6 000 to 6 200 USD per ounce based on conditional price increase scenarios supported by Investment flow continues to gravitate toward gold The outlook picture extends beyond 2026 Some market analysis circulating on news platforms suggests that in the most chaotic scenario gold could aiming for an even higher target by 2027 as demand for shelter surges amid global economic uncertainty Even in a potential scenario gold prices could rise as high as $8 650 per ounce by 2027 extremely optimistic with continuous demand across all market segments Gold's prospects are further strengthened by peripheral buying from central banks National edition The entity that bought the most gold last year announced plans to purchase an additional 150 tons last month Capital flowed into these funds The yellowish substance also remained stable briefly dipping during last week's correction before quickly rebounding Many major banks and asset management firms such as JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs Group have heavily bet on gold Continuing to rise in value supported by long-term demand drivers Notably the People's Bank of China has extended its gold-buying streak into the month of fifteenth consecutive day in January indicating that official demand remains weak The underlying nature of the gold market is as a safe-haven asset gold prices remain highly sensitive to geopolitical and macroeconomic factors with several key drivers pushing gold prices higher during this period 2026–2027 includes purchases by central banks Many central banks around the world are increasing their gold reserves as part of their Economic and geopolitical instability trade disruptions regional conflicts and shifting monetary policy directions have all contributed to gold's appeal Gold is considered a safe asset against risks Zuters emphasized this factor as the key driver sustaining gold demand in 2026 The expectation that monetary policy will ease along with hopes that the Federal Reserve will reduce interest rates during the 2026 period is increasing opportunity costs Gold holdings have decreased relative to bonds and other riskier assets helping to support gold prices The equity capital on the financial statement and investment requirements the amount of capital flow and the cash reserve on the financial statement along with investment needs Private recovery rebalancing supply and demand and creating upward price momentum Despite numerous forecasts predicting an upward trend Gold prices may still face adjustment risks particularly due to monetary policy shifts if the Federal Reserve If the U S or other major banks tighten policy more than expected the opportunity cost of holding gold could rise putting downward pressure on prices Alternatively a stronger U S dollar leading to dollar appreciation makes gold less attractive to investors holding other currencies And if the economic recovery proves stronger than expected with stock markets or other risky assets rebounding more vigorously the resulting outflow of capital from gold could put downward pressure on its price