80 Replacement Slavic Origins and Migrat Media yJkChkSpZak 001

Ancient Europe: History, culture and Humans
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9 Video Views·Mar 12, 2026
The Slavic languages today dominate the eastern half of the European continent,
but their exact origins have long been shrouded in mystery.
While some scholars advocated for a Central European origin in or around modern Poland,
others have posited that the Slavs originated further east, perhaps in Ukraine or Russia.
According to others, East Central Europe was originally Germanic and only became Slavic
from the 6th century AD onwards, when the term Slav is first attested.
Procopius places these early Slavs initially north of the Carpathians.
In the course of the century, they are also attested on the Lower Danube,
the Middle Danube, and even in Istria.
In the following century, they are also mentioned south of the Danube,
in Dalmatia, in the eastern Alps, and finally also in Bohemia and eastern Germany.
Archaeologically, this expansion of the Slavs seems to go hand-in-hand with the expansion of
an archaeological culture referred to as the Prague-Kolchak group, which shows remarkable
conformity over the vast expanse it covered, indicating that this culture expanded so quickly
that regional differences didn't have time to develop.
Before these early mentions of the Slavs in our sources,
Greco-Roman authors described the inhabitants of Central Europe,
including Eastern Central Europe, as Garamani.
Some of the most well-known of the tribes inhabiting this area were the Marcomanni
and the Quadi, who famously fought against Marcus Aurelius during the
Marcomannic Wars of the late 2nd century AD.
These tribes seem to have inhabited the southeastern frontier of the Germanic world,
as to the east of them we find the Azegis, a Sarmatian people,
and even further east the Dacians, who inhabited a territory roughly corresponding to modern Romania.
But the cultural and ethnic composition of this part of Europe soon began to change.
From the 3rd century AD onwards, new major players arrived on the scene,
chief among them the Goths.
Whilst modern scholars uniformly identify the Goths as a Germanic people,
most ancient sources actually refer to them as Scythians,
and even though they definitely spoke a Germanic language,
and probably also believed in Germanic gods,
they had come a long way from their home in the north.
A paleogenetic study from 2023 that I've previously covered on the channel
showed that on their way, they intermixed heavily with the Steppe people north of the Black Sea,
which the Greeks traditionally referred to as Scythians,
which might be why they referred to the Goths as such.
But the Goths weren't the only newcomers in the area.
While they occupied the areas just north of the Lower Danube and the Black Sea,
the Vandals had become their western neighbours,
settling along the Middle Danube.
From this period onwards,
it seems like the entire northern frontier of the Roman Empire had become Germanic,
from the Rhine in the west,
all the way along the Danube and to the Black Sea in the east.
This apparent expansion of Germanic-speaking groups
is often seen as the prelude to the so-called Migration Period,
or the time of the barbarian invasions,
as many of these peoples,
among them the aforementioned Vandals and Goths,
eventually moved into Roman territory to establish kingdoms of their own
within the borders of the declining Western Roman Empire.
The movement of these groups from eastern Central Europe to the southeast
left much of the territories east of the River Oder abandoned.
From the 6th century onwards,
the territories between the Elbe and the Oder
also saw a dramatic decline in population density
that has often been attributed to Alp-Germanic groups
moving southwards into what is today's southern Germany.
New groups are subsequently mentioned in these regions,
which our historical sources refer to as Slavs,
and a new kind of material culture seemingly expanded alongside them.
But could the authors of these sources have made a mistake?
Seeing as the region was dominated by Slavic-speaking groups
from the early Middle Ages onwards,
they can't have been too far off,
and indeed some scholars have proposed
that at least some of the people that Greco-Roman writers
have identified as Germanic were indeed early Slavs,
particularly when it comes to the Iron Age Przeworsk culture,
which I've covered in a previous video.
While most scholars today see the Przeworsk culture as Germanic,
some have seen it as Slavic in the past,
and this is an interpretation still often encountered today.
And when it comes to the earliest stages of the Przeworsk culture,
which developed during the 3rd century BC,
we don't have any historical sources to refer to
to help us identify the linguistic and ethnic affiliations
of the people of this culture.
This is also the case for virtually all neighbouring archaeological cultures
of Northern Europe during this period,
and it is only from the 1st century BC onwards
that the inhabitants of this region came to be known as Germani.
Previously, Greco-Roman authors had simply referred
to all Northwestern Barbarians as Celts,
and to all Northeastern Barbarians as Scythians.
When Caesar first popularised the term Germanic
for the population of Central Europe,
he probably did so primarily for political reasons,
although archaeological findings suggest that during his time,
cultural changes took place in the region
which have been interpreted as evidence
for an originally Celtic population
either abandoning the area,
or slowly becoming Germanised,
or a combination of both scenarios.
So, while archaeological developments
seem to at least partially correspond
to the first appearances of Germani in our sources,
in the aforementioned case of the Goths moving into Eastern Europe,
such a correspondence seems to be missing,
seeing as the Greeks identified them as Scythians,
just as they had been doing
for the inhabitants of this region for centuries.
This shows that changes in the ethnic labels
of the population of a certain region in our sources
can reflect cultural changes
that sometimes result from population movements,
but they don't always have to.
But what about archaeology by itself?
Surely we can just identify the archaeological cultures
that correspond to the areas
that Greco-Roman authors gave a certain ethnic label,
and thus we can claim that a certain archaeological culture
was Germanic or Slavic.
Unfortunately, it's not always that straightforward.
If we go back to Caesar and his classification
of the regions east of the Rhine
and north of the Danube as Germanic,
then we will find that the material culture
of parts of what he dubbed Germania
was actually more similar to Gaul,
which was Celtic.
It has thus often been stated
that these parts of Germania
weren't Germanic at the time of Caesar
and only became so in the subsequent decades.
So, deciding whether a certain population
or archaeological culture in the past
was Germanic or Slavic
isn't quite as straightforward as it may first appear.
Luckily, for the past decade or so,
a new tool has emerged
to help us investigate such questions
in the form of paleogenetic studies,
and it just so happens that one such study
on the topic of this video was published last year.
In this study, a team around the geneticist
Joshua Gretzinger set out to investigate
whether the genetic makeup of the people
the ancient authors referred to as Germanic
differed from that of those
whom they called Slavic
in order to find out
if the original population was replaced
or if they were in fact identical
and it was just the name that changed.
If they were identical,
there would be two possible interpretations.
Firstly, an originally Germanic population
was Slavicized from the 6th century onwards.
Or secondly,
the Slavs had always been present in the region,
but Greco-Roman authors
didn't differentiate between them
and Germanic-speaking groups.
But if the populations aren't identical,
or at least not similar enough to each other
to suggest genetic continuity,
the most likely explanation would be
that an original Germanic population
was largely replaced by a Slavic population.
Now, let us take a look at the study's setup
and its results to find out
which scenario is the most likely.
The study looked at a total of 555
ancient individuals,
359 of whom fall within the time frame
that, according to most historians
and archaeologists,
can be associated with the first appearance
of the Slavs.
The samples were taken
from a total of 26 different sites
across Central and Eastern Europe,
with a particular focus on three regions.
The Elbe-Saale region of Eastern Germany,
the Northwestern Balkans,
and an Eastern European region
comprised of Poland and Northwestern Ukraine.
As mentioned previously,
Eastern Germany,
as well as Poland and Northwestern Ukraine,
had become Germanic by late antiquity,
according to our historical sources.
Whilst Eastern Germany was a core territory
of the Alp-Germanic culture,
which is often associated with the Suevi,
Northern Poland was home
to the Wilbach culture,
which has been associated with the Goths,
where Southern Poland and Northwestern Ukraine
were part of the Przeworsk culture,
from which the Vandals
and other East Germanic people
probably developed.
The Northwestern Balkans, meanwhile,
were originally home to the Illyrians,
although they had been under Roman rule
for many centuries,
which had led to immigration
from other parts of the empire,
particularly from Anatolia.
To complement these three regions,
the researchers also included
two other historic populations
in their dataset,
one from the Baltics
and one from Northwestern Russia.
By adding these regions,
the total of ancient individuals
involved in this study
rises to 1,840,
which is one of the highest numbers
I've personally seen
in these kinds of studies.
But given the fact that this paper
covers such a vast geographic area
and over a period of around two millennia,
from the Iron Age to the late Middle Ages,
this is not surprising.
As is common in these studies,
they also included modern genetic data
as a reference point
from a total of roughly 10,500 people,
which notably also included 600 Zorbs,
a Slavic-speaking minority
native to Eastern Germany.
Having established the dataset
the study's authors used,
let us now take a look at their results.
They found that roughly
between 600 and 800 AD,
the genetic composition
of the three main study areas
changed significantly.
When it comes to Poland,
the researchers used
Roman-period Wielbach individuals
as a reference point,
which resemble modern Danes
and Norwegians most closely,
although a few individuals
show great affinity
to modern Southern Europeans,
perhaps indicating the presence
of people of Mediterranean origin.
Meanwhile,
the pre-Slavic population
of Eastern Germany
was defined by Alb-Germanic samples
from around the 6th century AD,
and the majority
of the investigated individuals
were most similar
to modern Northern German
and Dutch populations,
although a substantial number
of individuals resembling
modern Southwestern European populations
were also present.
The study's authors
could trace this ancestry
back to Northern Italy
and the Northwestern Balkans,
and found that it was
mostly carried by females.
Their burials don't indicate
any major variation
in terms of their social standing,
however,
so it is likely
that they were treated as equals.
This is also shown
by the presence of individuals
of mixed descent,
which shows that these two groups
were intermixing with each other.
The only difference that was found
was in the type of burials themselves.
Individuals of mostly
Northern European descent
were more likely to be buried in pits
than people of mostly
Southern European ancestry.
Everything else was pretty much equal.
The fact that the Southern
and Northern groups
are still clearly visible
might indicate that the Southern group
had arrived relatively recently,
perhaps only a generation or two ago.
Because their burials
don't indicate any differences
in their social standing
compared to the Northern group,
it is unlikely that they were slaves.
Perhaps they were refugees
from the confrontations
between the Ostrogoths
and the Eastern Roman Empire
that led to the devastation
of large parts of Italy,
or the subsequent invasion by the Lombards,
which came through the region
from which they originated.
If this Southern European group is included,
the population of East Germany
during the migration period
shifts to resemble modern Belgians
and Western Germans
more closely on average.
In the Northwestern Balkans, meanwhile,
the pre-Slavic population
was defined by using samples
from the Roman period,
and they were most similar
to modern Italians
and Eastern Mediterranean groups.
When looking at the individual regions
more closely,
some other interesting observations
can be made.
Firstly, both the Northwestern Balkans
and Eastern Germany
appeared genetically considerably more diverse
before 600 AD than after,
whereas Northern Poland
was more homogenous
and retained a similar level of homogeneity
after 600 AD.
Though the general genetic profile
of the population
changed even more dramatically
than in the other two regions.
All three populations
shifted towards greater genetic affinity
to modern Eastern European populations
after 600 AD.
The transformation was most striking
in the Northwestern Balkans,
where the population's genetic profile
shifted from resembling modern Italians
to modern Eastern Europeans
in just a few centuries.
The changes in Eastern Germany
and Northern Poland, meanwhile,
were slightly less severe,
mainly because the incoming groups
shared a broadly Northern European profile
with the native inhabitants of the region.
The differences in the more Northwestern-oriented
Roman and Migration Period populations
compared to the later,
more Northeastern-oriented
medieval populations
are still stark, however,
and point to significant changes
in the genetic makeup of the regions.
Unfortunately,
there's a substantial gap
between these pre-Slavic
and the post-Slavic populations,
which makes it difficult to pinpoint
when this change occurred exactly,
and whether it was a protracted process
that lasted centuries,
or if it happened within the span
of only a generation or two.
The new populations in the three main areas
the study investigated
all closely resemble
modern Slavic-speaking groups,
but also ancient populations
from the Baltic region,
indicating that at least
part of the gene pool of the early Slavs
might have been derived from Baltic sources.
Although this change was dramatic,
the populations of all three regions
had undergone large-scale shifts
in their genetic makeup before,
as is illustrated by admixture models
from the last 5,000 years,
which were included in this study.
For these models,
the researchers divided Europe
into 12 distinct ancestral regions.
What is problematic with them, however,
is that they weren't based
on ancient populations,
but on modern ones,
which makes it difficult
to draw conclusions
related to specific ancient populations,
as these regions are themselves
the result of millennia of intermixing.
We need to keep this in mind
when examining these models,
as they may not represent
ancient populations accurately.
The, for our purposes,
most relevant ancestral regions
are the following.
A Western British and Irish region
that also includes Northern France,
Belgium and the Southern Netherlands.
A North Sea zone,
which is made up of the Northern Netherlands,
Northern Germany and Denmark.
Scandinavia, which comprises
Southern and Central Sweden
and most of Norway.
Southern Europe, which includes
Spain, Portugal, Southern France,
Southwestern Switzerland,
Northwestern Italy,
Corsica and Sardinia.
A region the researchers called West Asian,
made up of Greece,
parts of Southern Bulgaria,
Turkey and Northern Syria.
And finally, a Baltic region
centered around Lithuania and Latvia,
as well as parts of adjacent countries.
Most of these regions
are far from homogeneous
in terms of their culture, language
and most importantly,
also in terms of their genetic makeup,
which makes it difficult to relate
these three regions
to specific ancient groups.
Let us take a brief look
at each of them in turn
to establish what they might
actually represent.
The region the researchers referred to
as Western British and Irish
was mostly shaped by Celtic
and Germanic groups
in the last three millennia
to differing degrees.
Whilst the Southern Netherlands,
Belgium and England
were impacted severely
by Germanic groups
during the migration period,
their influence was less pronounced,
yet still very much tangible
in Northern France,
as well as in parts of Wales
and Scotland.
The latter two,
and to a certain degree also Cornwall,
still retained a distinct Celtic identity
in either language or culture or both.
The same obviously applies to Ireland,
which according to another study
by Gretzinger et al,
was least affected genetically
by migration since the Roman period.
The North Sea zone
is perhaps a little less problematic,
as it has been home to Germanic people
for at least the last 2000 years,
and Northern Germany,
the Northern Netherlands
and Denmark
form a very tight cluster genetically.
The only major migration
that occurred in the region
in the last two millennia
was the arrival of the Slavs,
but they only impacted
the easternmost part of this region.
Scandinavia is also not a huge problem,
as the researchers purposely excluded
the regions with high degrees
of Uralic admixture.
That being said,
Southern Scandinavia today
doesn't equal Scandinavia
during the Iron Age or earlier periods,
as substantial admixture components
associated with Central,
Western and Eastern European,
as well as Uralic populations
impacted the region.
Western Norway, for example,
was influenced by admixture
from Britain and Arden
during the Viking Age,
whilst Southern Sweden
received substantial amounts of admixture
from Central Europe,
and both Southern and Central Sweden
were impacted by Baltic
and Uralic admixture.
The Southern European region
of this study
is almost exclusively made up
of Roman-speaking groups,
with the exception of the Basques.
In contrast to the other groups
included in this region,
a recent study by Olalde et al.
has shown that they weren't
genetically impacted
by any major migrations
since the Iron Age,
making them genetically distinct
from their neighbours.
Perhaps even more distinct
are Sardinians,
as they are the closest
modern European population
to the ancient farming communities
in Anatolia
that first introduced agriculture
to Europe about 9,000 years ago.
These two examples show
that the regions included
in this group
are genetically homogeneous,
in spite of the fact
that most of them
are linguistically related.
But it should also be obvious
that individuals from regions
as distant from each other
as Southwestern Switzerland
and Southern Spain
are genetically distinct
from each other.
The West Asian group
that the researchers established
is also problematic,
as it consists of modern
Greek, Slavic, Turkish
and Kurdish groups.
As another study
by Olalde et al. has shown,
Greek, Slavic
and Turkish populations
are genetically distinct
from each other,
although there are naturally
certain areas of overlap.
But I'm not sure
if these similarities
warrant grouping them together.
And finally,
there's the Baltic group.
Although this group
seems to derive
most of its ancestry
from the Bronze and Iron Age
inhabitants of the Baltics,
they were also impacted
by other ethnolinguistic groups,
such as the Finnic-speaking Estonians,
various Slavic-speaking groups,
chief among them
the Poles and the Russians,
and also by Germans.
So, in conclusion,
in many of these cases,
it is unclear
which ancient populations
these groups can actually
accurately represent,
at least to me.
Perhaps the least problematic of them
are the North Sea
and Scandinavian groups,
which might at least
approximately represent
Roman-period continental
and North Germanic groups,
respectively.
The Baltic group
might fall into the same category,
although, as far as I'm aware,
no study has dealt
with the genetic history
of the Baltic region
in particular yet,
so further research
might be needed here
before making
any definitive statements.
Even though the Southern European group
can't represent
any particular ancient group,
it may serve
as a sufficiently accurate approximation
for southwestern Mediterranean groups
of the Roman period in general,
as most of the region
didn't seem to be impacted heavily
by the turmoil
of the migration period.
At least not in a genetic sense.
The Arab conquest
of most of Iberia
also didn't seem
to fundamentally change
the genetic makeup
of the peninsula,
although modern Iberians
still carry small amounts
of North African ancestry.
A little more problematic
are the West Asian
and the Western British
and Irish groups.
Greece and Turkey
are genetically distinct today
due to the large population
movements in the region
at the beginning
of the 20th century,
and atmospheric components
differ substantially
between different regions
within these countries.
Northern Greece, for example,
derives almost 40%
of its ancestry from Slavs,
whilst Crete
and the Aegean Islands
are predominantly
ancient Aegean in their origin.
Meanwhile,
the Western British
and Irish group
is a mix of mostly Celtic
and Germanic influences,
with the former dominating
in the West,
whilst the latter
is more prominent in the East.
So, I'm not entirely sure
what ancient populations
this group is supposed to represent.
In case of the ancestry composition,
Ireland has been impacted
the least by Germanic groups
over the last few millennia,
so it is probably the best proxy
for ancient Northwestern
European populations.
That being said,
Ireland may still not be
representative of pre-Germanic
Northwestern Europe as a whole.
Nevertheless,
to avoid confusion,
I will refer to this group
as Northwestern European
in the following.
With this background knowledge
out of the way,
I think it is finally time
to take a look
at the actual admixture models
that the study provided,
starting with the Northwestern Balkans.
As already mentioned,
the ancestry composition
of the Northwestern Balkans
remained fairly stable
for most of the region's history,
all the way up to the latter parts
of the first millennium AD,
when the region underwent
dramatic changes
through an influx of Baltic ancestry.
Before this period,
the dominant component
in the region
had been Southern European ancestry,
which ranged from 50%
to almost 75%.
West Asian ancestry
was also prominent,
particularly around 3000 BC
and during the Roman period
at around 25% and 20% respectively.
This probably represents
an influx of Eastern Mediterranean populations,
which has been observed
in other studies before.
Northwestern European,
as well as Baltic ancestry,
were also significant in the region,
fluctuating between 10% and 20%
before the Roman period,
when they largely disappeared.
As stated previously,
the most dramatic change occurred
towards the latter parts
of the first millennium AD,
when the Baltic component
reappeared in force,
making up almost 50%
of the local ancestry.
Southern European ancestry,
meanwhile, fell to about a quarter
and West Asian ancestry
decreased to around 10%.
Interestingly,
a small influx of North
Sea-related ancestry
can also be observed,
perhaps indicating the presence
of some individuals
with partial Continental
Germanic ancestry.
By the modern period,
this component had decreased again,
but so had the degree
of Baltic ancestry,
which now sits at about 40%.
Southern European ancestry,
meanwhile,
increased again dramatically
to just below 40%.
In the case of Eastern Germany,
the earliest admixture model
the study's authors provided
dates to around 2000 BC,
and at that time,
the population interestingly
derived over half of the ancestry
from admixture similar to that
of modern Northwestern Europeans.
The second biggest ancestry
component during this time
was derived from a population
similar to the study's Baltic group
at around 25%.
At around the middle
of the first millennium BC,
the region shows a composition
with a fairly even split
of Northwestern European
as well as North Sea-zone-related
ancestry at roughly around 25% each.
This is supplemented by about 15%
of Scandinavian and Baltic ancestry
and around 5% Southern European
and West Asian ancestry.
As stated previously,
this can be seen as the beginning
of the Germanic period,
but interestingly,
only 40% of the local ancestry
can be associated with
the modern Germanic proxies,
unless the Northwestern European component
can also be related to Germanic groups.
But even if that was the case,
the Germanic component
would still only reach about 50%.
About a thousand years later,
towards the late migration period,
the ancestry of individuals
in this region
had come to be dominated
by the North Sea component,
making up around 50%
of local ancestry.
This change seems to have occurred
at the expense
of Northwestern European ancestry
as well as the Baltic ancestry components.
Another big change
is the influx of Southern European ancestry,
which, as has already been stated,
might be associated
with mostly female Roman immigrants
and accounted for about 20%
of the population's admixture.
The degree of Scandinavian ancestry
interestingly remained unchanged
over this period.
Overall, the population
seems to have become more Germanic,
at least from a modern perspective,
through an influx
of North Sea-related ancestry,
perhaps corresponding to the area
having become a core territory
of the up-Germanic culture.
Even though these were
fairly significant developments,
they pale in comparison
to the change the population underwent
over the next 500 years.
The North Sea component
shrank down significantly,
to about 20%.
And about two-thirds
of the local ancestry
was now derived from modern
Baltic-like ancestry sources.
Interestingly, this development
was reversed to a large degree
in the succeeding centuries,
as modern Eastern Germans
again derived most of the ancestry
from the North Sea zone,
at around 40%.
Although Baltic ancestry
is still significant at over 25%.
Another quarter of the ancestry
of modern Eastern Germans
is derived from Southern Europeans.
This component had also decreased
during the Slavic period,
so ancestry from Southern Europe
must have been introduced
at some point in the last millennium,
although I can't think of how
and when exactly this occurred.
The Slavic-speaking Zorbs
of modern Eastern Germany
were similarly affected
by this influx of Southern DNA,
at the expense of Baltic ancestry,
although the Baltic admixture component
is still dominant at roughly 50%.
The North Sea component
also slightly increased again,
although nowhere near significantly
as had been the case
among other Eastern German populations.
Now, let us move on to Poland
and Northwestern Ukraine.
During the early third millennium BC,
the population of Poland
and Northwestern Ukraine
was perhaps surprisingly dominated
by a Southern European component,
which contributed over 50%
to the genetic makeup of the inhabitants.
The second-largest component
came from Northwestern Europe
at just below 25%,
with Baltic ancestry
only making up around 15%.
Unfortunately, we don't have
any admixture models
for Eastern Germany this early on,
but it would be interesting to see
if the Southern European component
was similarly high.
Seeing as modern Southern Europeans
carry high amounts
of early European farmer ancestry
from Anatolia,
it is likely that the high degree
of this admixture component in Poland
represents their presence
in the region during this time.
Towards the end of the millennium,
this changed significantly.
Now, Northwestern European ancestry
was dominant at almost 50%,
and Baltic ancestry
had increased to about a quarter.
Southern European ancestry
had almost disappeared completely,
while North Sea
and Scandinavian admixture components
had been introduced,
making up about 15%
of the total ancestry of the region.
This might reflect the arrival
of Indo-European speaking groups
from the steppe
related to the expansion
of the Corded Ware
and Belbigia cultures.
About half a millennium later,
the admixture of the region
shifted dramatically once again.
Baltic ancestry was now dominant
at about two thirds,
and British and Irish ancestry
had decreased to about 20%.
Other ancestry components
were pretty much reduced
to being insignificant.
Then there's a long gap
with the next admixture model
representing the population
of the Roman period
about one and a half thousand years later.
The Baltic component
had almost disappeared completely
at the expense
of Scandinavian related ancestry,
which now made up around 60%
of the local genetic profile.
Another 20% came from the North Sea zone.
This change might be associated
with Germanic speaking groups
moving into the region
over the preceding centuries,
but it is particularly interesting
that the majority of ancestry
seems to have come from Scandinavia
rather than continental Europe.
This might indicate
that East Germanic groups
such as the Goths
did actually derive
a large proportion of the ancestry
from Scandinavia.
It should be stated, however,
that the samples of this period
were taken from the northern
Polish Wilbach culture exclusively,
so this admixture composition
is probably not representative
of Poland and northwestern Ukraine
as a whole.
Moving on to the Slavic period
at around 1000 AD,
the Scandinavian component
had almost disappeared completely,
and the North Sea component
was reduced significantly
to around 10%,
both at the expense
of Baltic ancestry,
which, similar to Eastern Germany
at this time,
now made up around two-thirds
of the local ancestry.
Interestingly,
there was also a slight increase
in Southern European ancestry,
which is in stark contrast
to Eastern Germany
where this component decreased.
And today,
the inhabitants of modern Poland
and northwestern Ukraine
showcase a genetic profile
that is very similar
to that of the swabs of Eastern Germany,
with the exception
of slightly lower degrees
of Southern European ancestry
and some northwestern European ancestry
that is pretty much absent
in both the swabs
and the Eastern Germans.
This overview shows
that whilst the ancestry composition
of all three regions
changed over time,
they all underwent
very similar changes
towards the end
of the first millennium AD
by receiving an influx
of ancestry similar
to that of the modern Baltics,
which can probably be associated
with the arrival
of Slavic-speaking groups
in those regions.
But as I stated previously,
these atmosphere models
use modern populations
as a reference,
so based on this data alone,
we can't say for certain
that the newcomers
actually came from the Baltics.
To find out
where they actually came from
and how they are related
or unrelated
to the previous inhabitants
of the investigated regions,
the researchers compared
segments of their DNA
with segments of the DNA
of those individuals
that were present
in the investigated regions before
to see if substantial segments
were passed down
from one to the other.
And that was in fact
not the case,
indicating that
the previous population
didn't contribute substantially
to the formation
of the new genetic makeup
of these regions.
In fact,
over 80% of both
the population of eastern Germany
and the northwestern Balkans
seems to have been replaced,
and in the case of Poland,
this number increased
to over 90%.
Interestingly,
the new populations
in all three regions
shared many DNA segments
between them,
indicating a relatively
recent common source.
This source seems
to have split up
into a distinct southern
and northern branch
relatively early,
perhaps reflecting
an early split
between south Slavic
and north Slavic groups.
To find out
where this Slavic ancestry originated,
the researchers analysed
an early Slavic site
on the Polish side
of the Polish-Ukrainian border.
When comparing
the genetic makeup
of individuals
from this site
to modern Slavic-speaking populations,
the researchers could determine
that modern Slavs
are incredibly similar to them,
with some,
such as modern Ukrainians,
western Russians
and Belarusians,
being pretty much indistinguishable.
Interestingly,
modern western Poles
also derive nearly 100%
of their ancestry
from people closely related
to the inhabitants
of this site.
This can be explained
by the resettlement of Poles
from what is now
western Ukraine and Belarus
into modern western Poland
following World War II.
Modern Sorbs also derive
the vast majority
of their ancestry
from this component at 88%,
which is remarkable
considering that
they have been surrounded
by German-speaking populations
for centuries.
Slovakia also displays
high degrees
of this ancestry component
at over 80%,
and in the northwestern Balkans
it still accounts
for almost three-quarters
of the ancestry
of the modern population.
This ancestry component
is also dominant
among modern Czechs,
making up around
two-thirds of their ancestry.
Generally speaking,
there is a clear core area
centred around Ukraine,
Belarus and western Russia,
and extending into
eastern Central Europe
and the northwestern Balkans.
Outside of these regions,
Slavic ancestry
drops significantly,
although it still accounts
for between a quarter
and half of the ancestry
of the modern inhabitants
of the rest of the Balkans,
including Greece,
but excluding Crete,
where the degree
of Slavic admixture
is lower,
but still significant.
The admixture
is also prominent
in the Baltic countries
and in eastern Germany,
where it accounts
for between 30 and 40%
of the modern inhabitants'
genetic background.
But all of this
still doesn't tell us
where this ancestry
component originated,
which is what we'll be
getting into now.
According to the study's authors,
the largest part
of this admixture
seems to have been derived
from Bronze and Iron Age
Baltic populations
at around 70%.
This Baltic population
then intermixed with groups
located to the south
that were high
in early European
farmer ancestry,
which made up
the remaining 30%
of their ancestry,
before migrating
to other areas of Europe.
It is possible
that western
or northwestern
European sources
also played a minor role
in the development
of the genetic profile,
although this can't
be said for certain
with current methods
and the current samples available.
It is also uncertain
which southern groups
exactly the Baltic populations
intermixed with,
as the researchers
lacked samples
from the region
for this period.
We do know, however,
that this admixture event
probably started
around 1000 BC
in the area of southern Belarus
and northwestern Ukraine,
and may have lasted
as long as 1000 years.
It might also coincide
with the breakup
of Balto-Slavic
as a linguistic unit.
In this scenario,
the ancestor
of the more conservative
Baltic languages
would have probably
been spoken
by the inhabitants
of the Baltic,
whereas the Slavic languages
developed as a result
of the intermixing
of Baltic people
with a population
from the northwestern
Black Sea region.
In this context,
it would be very interesting
to see if Slavic
displays certain
linguistic features
that might be attributed
to language contact
with any of the attested languages
spoken in the region
during this period,
perhaps a dialect of Scythian.
Be that as it may,
after this admixture event,
these early Slavs
split into different groups
that migrated west,
southwest and southeastwards.
The group that had moved west
would eventually turn back east
and end up in modern Russia,
whereas the southeastern group
came to settle
in the northeastern Balkans.
The southwestern group
split somewhere
in southeastern Central Europe
and migrated to eastern Germany,
as well as the northwestern
and southern Balkans from there.
All of these groups
don't seem to have intermixed
with others along their way,
but eventually did so
when they arrived
at their respective destinations.
This eventually gave rise
to the distinctive
genetic subgroups
of the medieval Slavic world
and probably also contributed
to the breakup
of the Slavic languages
into Eastern West Slavic
on the one hand
and South Slavic on the other.
And this is going to be it
for this video.
Thank you so much for watching
and even more so
if you have made it to the end.
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I've made yet
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