Chiến Tranh Tuyên truyền: Sự Thật Đằng Sau Những Tuyên Bố Chiến Thắng

After nearly two weeks of intense fighting the Middle East battlefield is approaching a state that many experts are calling a low point Each side claimed victory in the newspapers President Donald Trump stated that the U S and Israeli airstrikes had severely crippled most of Iran's military capabilities leaving it with nothing left to fight with Yet on the other side Tehran told a completely different story claiming their forces remained intact and shot down numerous enemy aircraft even launching powerful missile attacks against U S bases in the region Two stories two victories but only one truth on the battlefield What is truly unfolding behind the smoke of bombs and wartime propaganda Who holds the real advantage Today on the show let's peel back the layers behind those victory claims and to understand what is truly happening behind the smoke of bombs and wartime propaganda First look straight at what both sides are presenting Contradictory statements Ladies and gentlemen Information warfare—this is the second front of the conflict where truth is obscured by a fog of misinformation Both sides intensified their propaganda efforts to shape global perception leaving public opinion confused amid conflicting claims From the American side Israel stated that Iran has been severely weakened The number of ballistic missiles launched has dropped sharply from hundreds per day initially to just a few dozen recently The navy seized the force after the U S destroyed over 30 minesweepers and small vessels and top leaders were killed Dozens of IRGC and Barsi generals including nuclear scientists According to a March 12 update from the Institute for War and Peace Reporting U S -Israeli coalition forces have struck over 6 000 targets across Iran since February 28 Destroying approximately 60–80% of ballistic missile launchers and numerous air defense radars President Donald Trump stated that the war is going very well and will end very soon and Iran will never have nuclear weapons He reiterated that the situation is progressing rapidly and that we are nearly finished with our objective The U S military has nothing left to attack Iran with On the other hand Iran and its allies claimed they were achieving victory President Massoud Pesekian outlined three conditions for halting the conflict: recognition of Iran's legitimate rights Demand that the United States and Israel compensate for the damages and make an international commitment not to attack Iran again Muttaba Khamenei the new supreme leader did not appear in person in the statement issued on March 12 On Iran's state television the pledge to keep the Strait of Hormuz closed was made as a tool to pressure the United States and Israel while continuing to strike U S bases in the regio unless they shut down and threaten retaliation by seizing or destroying U S -Israeli assets Muttaba's advisor also referred to Trump as shaitan meaning Satan Iran released footage of missiles fired at Israel drones attacking the Gulf region and asserted severely damaged the economies of the United States and Israel through the blockade of Hormuz Not allowing a single liter of oil to pass with oil prices forecast to surge to $200 per barrel and a cyberattack launched Hezbollah continues exerting pressure on Israel forcing the country to分散 its forces while also claiming to have launched over 200 rockets in a single night on March 11–12 a record high Forcing millions of Israelis into bomb shelters Artificial intelligence is helping distort perceptions of the conflict As the conflict with Iran escalates AI-generated content is spreading rapidly across the internet promote misleading claims or outright fabrications Several accounts linked to Iran have falsely claimed that the Islamic regime as carried out successful attacks against U S naval vessels bases and military personnel They use AI-generated images and videos to convince the public that these claims are true This is the latest example of the growing trend of abusing AI during wartime to spread disinformation and manipulate public opinion Experts believe this type of AI-generated propaganda aving already been used very effectively in recent conflicts and wars around the world It's an easy way for governments to strengthen public trust and authority while discrediting their political opponents A typical example is the Tehran Times an Iran-aligned publication posting an article on X on February 28 with the caption stating the breaking news accompanied by satellite images before and after Iran's claim of destroying a U S radar at the Al-Udeid Air Base in Qatar The image shows severe damage but independent sources such as BBC AFP and Arab News have confirmed it is an AI-generated fake The original image from Google Earth in 2025 showing the U S base in Bahrain is not in Qatar with clear anomalies the vehicle remained intact in its original position despite the one-year gap The shadow is identical the coordinates are meaningless and the building's structure has been altered irrationally Google's own tool also detected that both images were generated and edited using the company's AI On March 6 Tehran Times continued sharing images of the destruction and fires at the U S base in the UAE but Gross is the AI of X and experts have identified strong AI indicators Overly cinematic composition excessive smoke and fire unnatural appearance lack of grain noise Real sunlight or physical interaction rain doesn't cry with fire and smoke—there are no credible reports from reliable sources about this event This trend is not new—AI has been effectively used in recent conflicts like Russia Ukraine Israel Hamas to generate video defects of missile attacks according to AV arresting U S soldiers or explosions at Burj Khalifa Experts from BBC or Reuters warn that AI blurs the line between truth and fiction making it difficult for the public to distinguish between genuine and false information while simultaneously fueling confusion and spreading misinformation Experts advise that people should approach the information they encounter with caution and critical thinking especially when AI has advanced to the point where it's nearly impossible to tell whether the images and videos it generates are real or fake They suggest cross-verifying information through reliable sources such as news organizations government sources academic experts researchers or even nonprofit organizations Expert military assessments and independent analysis Military experts and independent analysts continue to offer largely consistent assessments The United States and Israel hold a clear advantage in the air at sea and intelligence The recent strike campaign has severely degraded Iran's missile drone naval and air defense capabilities However a complete strategic victory has not yet been achieved as Iran continues to maintain its ability to disrupt through proxy channels especially Hezbollah and the economic blockade of the Hormuz Strait with Iran's resilience remaining high regardless of prolonged escalation or internal turmoil According to the U S -based reputable independent Institute for the Study of War (ISW) in its daily update reports the coordinated U -Israeli air campaig It has severely damaged Iran's missile and drone capabilities significantly limiting its ability to launch large-scale counterattacks ISW confirms that coalition forces have destroyed hundreds of ballistic missile launch systems air defense radars and numerous rocket production facilities Iran's navy seized the forces after the U S destroyed 16 minesweepers near the Strait of Hormuz and further attacks continued to prevent Iran from laying more mines ISW emphasized that the U S and Israel designed the campaign to destroy the missile system before the defense system was exhausted resulting in an 86% reduction in ballistic missile launches and a 73% decrease in drones compared to the war's early days However Hezbollah still maintains a formidable rocket capability having fired over 450 rockets from Lebanon Since the conflict began Israel has been forced to expand its campaign into Lebanon and spread out its forces According to Sanam Vakil director of the Middle East and North Africa program experts have observed in recent comments and postcards tha This is an effort to reshape the entire 47-year-long U S -Iran conflict But you can't change a regime simply by bombing it Mrs Vakil warned that the IRGC still has the potential to rebuild its forces to some extent and maintain influence beyond Ali Khamenei's death However with Mustafa Khamenei assuming power could lead to even more dangerous chaos including civil war or new extremism Royal Institute of International Affairs Director Mokdo warned that this could become a prolonged conflict—exactly the kind of war President Trump had said he did not want Emphasizing that this is a battle of wills rather than sheer military strength Iran cannot inflict significant military damage on the United States but it could prolong the conflict through appointed forces and economic means Intelligence analysts from ORF the India-based Old Server Research Foundation and MEI The Middle East Research Institute emphasized the element of hyper-speed warfare in the 2026 conflict U S -Israeli intelligence has pinpointed targets with unprecedented precision enabling swift and highly effective strikes On March 10 ISW reported that Iran was descending into a state of internal paranoia and suspicion such as the arrest of hundreds of spies and propaganda agents leading to the decision to escalate uncontrollably such as attacking the rear area despite yielding little strategic benefit ORF describes the 2026 conflict as shaped by intelligence-driven hyper-speed warfare but revealed flaws in escalation control and decision-making Thus according to the general assessment of military experts distinguished guests and independent media sources Iran is gradually being worn down severely weakened in its missile drone naval and nuclear systems Iran's main counterattacks were largely disruptive with Hezbollah using drones to create disturbances in the region and the Strait of Hormuz However the Iranian regime has not completely collapsed The nuclear program has been delayed by several months to a few years The IRGC could reorganize and pose risks of escalation in Lebanon Iraq or the Strait of Hormuz Sources such as the International Institute for Strategic Studies the Royal Institute of International Affairs the Atlantic Council and the Institute for Organization and Finance emphasize tha Although the U S and Israel may claim early military victories strategic success remains distant and highly risky This conflict is reshaping the Middle East's order with global repercussions for energy and security Military experts and strategic research institutes believe the current situation could unfold along three main scenarios Each scenario depends on the level of military escalation Iran's response and the economic and diplomatic pressure from the international community Scenario one: Iran is contained and forced into negotiations This is considered the scenario most desired by Washington and Tel Aviv The central objective of the campaign was not merely to inflict military damage on Iran but also to force Tehran into returning to negotiations under less favorable terms However the likelihood of this scenario occurring is still not entirely certain Iran's current leadership is adopting a hardline stance repeatedly declaring their resolve to resist to the bitter end Throughout history Iran has repeatedly demonstrated its ability to endure prolonged military and economic pressure in order to safeguard its strategic interests Therefore even though this is the most likely scenario the path toward a peaceful agreement could still be long and fraught with instability Scenario 2: Prolonged war and a global energy crisis Another possibility is that the conflict descends into a prolonged stalemate where neither side can achieve a decisive victory In this scenario Iran may lack the strength to directly confront the U S and Israel on the battlefield Yet they still possess numerous tools to exert significant pressure on the global economy One of Tehran's most important assets is the strategic location of the Hormuz Strait The route transports about 20% of the world's oil A major energy shock would have a significant impact on the global economy especially economies heavily reliant on oil imports such as Europe China Japan and South Korea At that point international pressure would escalate rapidly Major economic powers particularly China and the European Union It could bolster strong diplomatic efforts aimed at compelling the parties to cease hostilities In this scenario the war does not end with a clear military victory but rather through strategic exhaustion and global economic pressure Scenario 3 escalates into full-scale war and the risk of regime collapse This is the most dangerous scenario though it has a lower probability The cost to all parties involved would be extremely high If the United States decides to shift from aerial warfare Deploying ground forces into Iran could propel the conflict into an entirely new phase A land-based military campaign targeting Iran would not merely be a conventional conflict but could quickly escalate into a large-scale regional war Even more dangerous this escalation could draw in other major powers They could increase military or political support for Iran while China could join diplomatic or economic efforts o protect its energy interests If the situation gets out of control The Middle East faces the risk of plunging into the largest regional conflict since the start of the 21st century Ladies and gentlemen in a conflict where both bullets and information are used as weapons the truth is rarely found in each side's declarations of victory It often hides in subtle yet hard-to-conceal signs such as fluctuations in the energy market and changes to air travel routes or independent satellite images capturing actual ground-level damage Only by piecing together those fragments of data does the true picture of the battlefield gradually emerge And perhaps the clearest thing in this conflict is not who is winning but the increasingly high cost that the Middle East and the world continue to pay as the conflict drags on What are your thoughts on today’s topic Leave a comment so Khoẻ Tự nhiên can know And now greetings and see you again