The average student now owes £45,000 when they graduate from university, and interest rates on that debt have never been higher, with some students seeing over 7% added to their statements in the last 12 months. With such high rates, should graduates focus on getting the debt down as soon as possible?
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00:00 - Value 01:05 - The Dearing report 02:08 - How long will it take? 02:45 - The interest rate 03:48 - Inflation vs the rate 05:09 - What percentage pay it back? 07:18 - Who should overpay? 09:47 - Graduate tax
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Video Title: Don't let money get in the way of university - a Welsh Government video Author: Welsh Government / Llywodraeth Cymru Source: Don't let money get in the way of university - a Welsh Government video.webm License: Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Welsh Government on YouTube, CC BY 3.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/..., via Wikimedia Commons
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Education is something that not everybody has.
So you should value your education.
There's something that I've been trying to figure out recently.
Just how much value should we place on an education?
What I'm trying to illustrate is that this is the great power of education.
The power to lift people out of poverty.
There was a time in this country when a higher education was free.
But those days are long gone.
In 1990, when the Student Loan Company was founded,
the average loan was £390 a year.
It was to help with living costs.
Today, the average loan amount at graduation is £45,000.
There is someone in the UK alive today
who owes the Student Loan Company £200,000, you know, living costs.
By 2040, our government thinks that in order to access the value of an education,
the people of the UK will owe £460 billion.
How will we ever pay that off?
Should you even try to pay that off?
What's the criteria for a successful university course?
It was 1997 when Sir John Dearing released this report
into the future of higher education in the UK.
The so-called Dearing report was more of a dear John to the education system of old,
breaking the hearts of students who would now need to pay towards their education.
We see a need for those who benefit from education and training after the age of 18
to bear a greater share of the costs.
A cost that they consider affordable and justified
by the probable return of their investment of time and money.
I wonder if John ever thought when he made that suggestion
we would get to a place where a surf science degree from Cornwall University
would swell to the price of £9,250 a year.
You just get spit right out of them.
I question if students would consider 10k a year in tuition fees,
not to mention the living costs themselves,
affordable and justified if they had to pay it all up front.
How many students really consider the probable return of a university education
when the student loan system allows them to kick the can down a very long road?
Don't let money get in the way of university.
How long it takes you to pay back that loan
all depends on which student loan plan you fit into.
There are five in total.
Plan four is for Scotland and three applies to postgraduates.
The other plans really are about when you studied
and when you start paying back the loan depends on how much you earn.
This differs from plan to plan and so does crucially when the debt is wiped off,
which varies a lot from the age of 65 to 25 years after you finish
to 40 years after you finish on the newest plan.
Instead of going through this line by line,
below I've linked this table if you want to access it.
Just click the link and I'll email it to you.
But can we just take a moment to acknowledge the interest rate on these loans?
7.8% at the top end.
Now that rate's not static, it's not a fixed percentage.
If we look at this rates table we can see how they've changed in recent years.
We can just see that the rates really have cranked up recently.
The reason for two columns is because most loans the rate you pay is either RPI,
the Retail Price Index, a measure of inflation.
And if you earn above a certain threshold,
this increases to as much as RPI plus 3% which is this measure here.
When I was at uni the common wisdom that was thrown around was always
student loans are the cheapest loans that you'll ever get.
The interest rate is so low just forget about it.
Martin Lewis comments on this actually even today
around how he thinks people view this interest rate incorrectly.
Everything's gone up in line.
The fact that the number's gone up doesn't matter because your wages have gone up,
costs have gone up, everything's gone up in proportion to each other.
Do you understand that concept?
I think we understand and he is correct in what he's saying.
The only criticism I have though is that wages have not always
matched the rate of inflation over the last decade or so.
It's not this perfect relationship where you know they all go up at the same time.
But if we apply Martin's logic to the peak of the problem recently.
The problem is you don't get much for a pound these days.
Headline inflation was quoted at 11%.
At the same time wages had grown by about 6%
and the interest rate being applied to student debts was around 7%.
So in real terms the loan value had actually fallen versus inflation
but risen slightly above wages as the purchasing power of workers in this example
was significantly below the rate of inflation and just below the interest on the loan.
Wages did then continue to rise above inflation post this
but this is not a perfect example again.
It's not like as Martin describes it's not that they all lift up at exactly the same time.
It's more an on average over a long period of time
we hope it all comes out in the wash kind of thing.
But Martin is correct that 7% being slapped onto your debt is not a real 7% rise.
It's more just trying to keep up with inflation.
And as inflation falls so too will the annual rate of interest being added to the loan
which is set each September.
But I imagine you know sitting there at home
getting your statement through the post and seeing 7% interest added on feels crap.
I think it's seeing all this interest added onto the loan
that's prompted people to think I need to do something here.
The loan is going up by more than the payments I make.
I mean you could get a bank loan for cheaper than that
but with a bank loan you repay every penny.
I've paused to let you answer but I hope you appreciate that
I can't actually hear what you're saying so I'm just going to tell you anyway.
That's the figure that the IFS come up with as to how many people
won't repay back their full student debt.
They will essentially hit the limit at which point the debt is wiped.
So this is the point that's key to the discussion today on
if you should overpay or focus on clearing the debt sooner.
If I asked you what is the cost of university
you might sensibly say well it's tuition fees plus another bit for
maintenance loans and then interest over the period.
You would be right that say 50k in interest is the price tag
but that isn't the cost that's the price on paper.
The cost to an individual is typically somewhere between zero and around 150,000 pounds
and the determining factor on how much it costs you is not what course you did.
It's not even the interest that's added to the debt over the lifetime of you paying it.
It's how much you earn.
The factors that really influence the cost to you then for this reason
are the threshold at which you start paying back the loan, this number
and if that rises with inflation.
It didn't recently which means in real term student loans are costing people more
but the amount that you earn above this number in the context of this percentage
is the monthly cost and this is how much you're really going to pay.
And then also another key consideration is when the debt is wiped.
If you're on Plan 2 and once you leave university you get a job on £28,295 a year
and then you never get a pay rise you'll be paying £90 a year to your loan
that's 9% of the 1k above the threshold.
Over 30 years you would have paid a total of £2,700 to your education costs.
Any overpayment that you make during that period would not reduce your monthly payment
and would only likely serve to increase the total cost of your university education.
Let's say you go I'm going to whack in an extra 2k.
You're still going to be paying the £90 a year
you've just moved the cost of university from £2,700 to £4,700
and the student loan company will happily take that money off you.
They even say that if you make an overpayment yourself
and then you decide that you want the money back they won't give it to you.
There are some really good student loan calculators online
that can try and help you make this decision in your own personal circumstances
and I've linked them below for you.
But I think it helps to visualise it like this.
If this is 100% of the people who take a student loan based on plan 2 rules
at this end we have anyone who earns less than £27,295
and at this end we have high earners.
Let's say a high earner in this example is anything above 80k a year in income
which puts you in the top 5% of earners in the UK.
How much you pay back works a bit like this.
Below this line income wise people pay nothing.
They never crossed the threshold.
Their education for this reason was essentially free.
This end is the 13% who pay back everything including all interest added onto the loan
and then there's this big range in the middle here
which goes from this end who probably don't even pay back what they borrowed
let alone the interest before it's wiped
and then a range who will pay back what they borrow plus some interest
but not the full balance before the loan is wiped.
It's this range of options that makes this question complicated to answer
and the fact that a student loan shares characteristics of both a tax
and a loan at the same time
we might want to overpay loans.
We definitely don't want to overpay tax.
For low earners they should not overpay
but this range in the middle is pretty unclear
made even worse by the introduction of a 40-year payment on plan 5
and the freezing of the bands
which means that most people now pay more than they would have.
So my opinion on this for what it's worth
please understand it's not financial advice.
What applies to someone on plan 1 won't apply on plan 2 or 5
and I don't know where you fall on the income distribution either
but if I was in the middle earning range
where it's unclear which option to take
I would probably only overpay my student loan
if I was sure that I was going to clear the debt in full
maybe I'm on plan 1 or I've nearly paid it all off
or I know I'll be a high earner
and I've already maximized other financial opportunities
and milestones in my life.
The kind of money we're talking about here
I would say putting down a deposit on a house
is a better use of that amount of cash
or even throwing money into a tax-efficient vehicle like a pension
that'll give you significant tax incentives for doing so.
You could even if you wanted to
invest the money in say a stocks and shares ISA
I'll list the ones below that I use in the description
but then you have the flexibility of
if you ever find yourself in a position in the future
where you're like oh crap I'm earning a lot now
I am going to clear this
at least you can access the cash
you could also put it in a cash ISA if you want
if you're a bit more cautious.
The thing about this question is
you won't actually know if you made the right decision
until past the event
but again use the calculators that I've provided below
to inform that decision a bit more.
I think we've all realised now
that for most people watching this
that don't get family support
paying for a university education
you're not taking out a loan
you're signing up to a graduate tax.
The Deering report laid out that it wanted to
make sure students saw the cost of university
as affordable and justified.
You could argue in a way that the loan system ensures
there are no barriers to getting that education
but I'm sure many of us are going to sit here going
is it really worth it?
A 30 or 40 year commitment
which is essentially a 9% graduate tax
for a three-year education
is that worth it?
I just want to quote the IFS here
going to university is a very good investment
for most students
over their working lives
men will be about £130,000 better off on average
by going to university after taxes
student loan repayments
and foregone earnings are taken into account
for women this figure is £100,000.
So while it's not great
that that figure isn't the same for men and women
the IFS is saying here
that they think a university education
leads to higher lifetime earnings
so I hope that makes anyone feel better
that currently has a loan.
If you're sat there thinking
should I? shouldn't I go?
Well just understand that the cost of university
is very real
and there are calls constantly from universities
to make the ticket price for tuition fees even higher.
Don't just do it because you think you should
or you're unsure what to do with your life
you'll end up doing a three-year course in surf studies
only to wind up in a call centre
in landlocked cotton in the elms
and not a scrap of coastline
for 100 miles in every direction.
This is a big commitment
you will live with this commitment
for most of your working life
and let's face it
there are other options
you could go travelling
you could do an apprenticeship
you could get a trade
or here's a suggestion