TRUMP LỢI HẠI và KHÓ ĐOÁN: NƯỚC CỜ TẠI EO BIỂN HORMUZ LÀM LỘ MẶT THẬT - GIẢ CỦA ĐỒNG MINH

The U S president continually surprises the world even amid the storm of crisis in the Hormuz Strait In the face of the U S -Israel-Iran conflict President Trump played a strategic move: whoever needs oil the most should come and defend Hormuz Both America's allies and its adversaries find themselves in a difficult position At first glance it sounds like a purely pragmatic appeal for shared responsibility but in reality this is a cunning tactic forcing a choice—either join the U S -led alliance or face consequences or accept the risk of losing energy supplies Thus President Trump transformed the tricky Hormuz question The test of survival for the entire world Who will act and who will silently stand aside as the global energy order is being reshaped Dear friends on March 15 U S President Donald Trump called on other nations to should help the U S secure the Hormuz Strait arguing that this vital shipping route benefits them more than opposing Washington does President Trump stated that about 90% of China's imported crude oil passes through this strait while only 2% of U S oil shipments have to pass through here To date no country has publicly announced plans to deploy warships to this strait Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi is reported to have stated on Monday that there are no plans to deploy naval vessels o escort vessels in the Middle East while the Minister of Transport still in Australia spoke with ABC radio In a radio interview Canberra stated it would not send ships through the strait Meanwhile America's long-time ally France declared on Tuesday March 17 tha France will not participate in any military operation aimed at reopening the Strait of Hormuz amid ongoing tensions Option F chose not to stand in the middle instead of allowing the U S to bear the burden alone as in the 1987–1988 tanker war At that time the U S Navy escorted hundreds of smaller Kogod oil tankers to counter Iranian attacks This time U S President Donald Trump publicly declared that the United States will protect the Strait of Hormuz But the countries benefiting most from the oil flow must contribute by sending warships to join He emphasized that countries receiving oil through the Strait of Hormuz must safeguard the route themselves This is no empty rhetoric—President Trump upgraded his approach starting in 2019 when he stated that the U S should not act as a free maritime policeman for China's Japan's or Europe's oil but requires a genuinely voluntary alliance centered on the United States as the coordinating hub He publicly called on approximately seven countries including China France Japan South Korea and the United Kingdom and other countries sent warships to reopen the route blocked by Iran using mines drones and missiles President Trump also issued sharp warnings He warned that NATO would face a very bleak future if its allies did not support the U S in opening the Hormuz Strait and suggested that the summit meeting with President Xi Jinping might be canceled if Beijing did not send a ship to participate So far no country has committed to sending warships immediately Japan stated it is not considering daily security operations in the Hormuz Strait and considers supporting the ship to be legally challenging under the Peace Constitution Australia confirmed it has no plans to send ships while European countries such as Germany Spain Italy and France expressed caution No specific commitments have been made as the EU considers expanding its naval operations from the Red Sea to the Persian Gulf yet still seeking clarity on the war's objectives China which heavily relies on the Strait of Hormuz called for an immediate halt to military activities expressing deep concern but taking no concrete action many of America's traditional allies are now indifferent or outright refusing President Trump turned the Hormuz security issue into a公开 and sharp test of loyalty Silence or refusal is tantamount to acknowledging dependence on the U S for energy security Those who openly oppose will face diplomatic isolation Iran has through its actual actions of blockade effectively positioned itself as the world's foremost energy terrorist just as Saddam Hussein was isolated internationally after invading Kuwait in 1990 leading to the 1991 Gulf War This move perfectly aligned with his America First approach reduce the military and financial burden on the United States while requiring other countries to contribute to the cost of protection by actively participating Turn the crisis into an opportunity to strengthen Washington's leadership without the U S bearing the burden alone Even before the alliance took shape the pressure from President Trump had forced the world to reassess its interests And Hormuz remains a strangled chokepoint as the conflict enters its third week President Trump didn't resort to bullets and force but instead wielded cold precise calculations of self-interest He turned the world's energy weakness into a geopolitical lever forcing nations to choose either join the U S -led coalition to secure Hormuz or accept the shock of soaring oil prices disruption of supply chains and economic decline Latest data from the U S Energy Information Administration and the International Energy Organization updated to early 2026 Before the conflict escalated it underscored how the Strait of Hormuz remains a vital maritime artery About 20 million barrels of crude oil and petroleum products per day equivalent to 20% of global oil consumptio and over 25% of maritime trade Approximately 80-89% of global flow is directed toward Asia with LNG accounting for a similar share around 19-25% of total global LNG trade Since early March 2026 after Iran effectively blockaded the area with outposts mines and missiles traffic dropped sharply driving up oil prices Turn dependence into a weapon President Trump is skillfully exploiting the varying energy dependencies of major countries to wield strategic leverage For China this is the clearest target of pressure as Beijing receives 37.7% of crude oil and gas exports through the port Approximately 45–50% of China's imported oil passes through this strait primarily from six Gulf countries Theo Kappler a company specializing in data and analysis of global energy and freight markets Iran is China's largest supplier providing around 800 000 to 1.4 million barrels of oil per day Overall the Middle East accounts for more than half of Beijing's crude oil supply President Trump exaggerated that China took 90% of the latest oil supply to exert psychological pressure on Beijing Without safeguarding the maritime route China risks disruption to its supply chains and could be forced to reroute sourced from alternatives like Russia which are more expensive and geopolitically complicated But if they join they'll find themselves in a difficult position forced to stand alongside the U S in the midst of ongoing regional tensions Therefore Beijing's current response is quite cautious—expressing concern but taking no concrete action yet With the European Union direct dependence on fossil fuels is lower Although only about 3.8% of crude oil is used directly in fireworks its indirect impact is substantial A sharp rise in energy costs could trigger inflation weakening major economies such as Germany and France Since the Ukraine crisis Europe has diversified its energy supplies but still faces unavoidable shocks President Trump put the EU in a position where it must choose between returning to buying oil from Russia They will either accept security coordination led by the U S or face prolonged economic instability Countries such as France Germany and Spain remain cautious Has not committed to the warship though some are considering expanding the navy's mission from the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden Meanwhile Japan is in a far more vulnerable position with about 95% of its imported oil coming from the Middle East where about 70% passes through the Strait of Hormuz the world's fourth-largest oil importer A prolonged disruption can directly affect the entire economy However the biggest obstacle lies in the Peace Constitution which restricts the country's military role abroad Mr Trump skillfully paved the way by framing this as a mission to protect economic interests yet it still leaves Tokyo in a difficult position Either abandon long-standing principles or accept the risk of economic decline As for the Gulf states such as Saudi Arabia the UAE or Kuwait The irony lies in the fact that these increasingly wealthy and powerful nations remain heavily dependent on the U S security umbrella Without the military presence of Washington their wealthy facilities would be highly vulnerable to attack President Trump exploited this to compel them to share costs through financial contributions military base access or deeper cooperation Overall President Trump is turning the energy weaknesses of other countries into tools of pressure While most major economies are constrained by Hormuz the United States with its very low dependence enjoys greater flexibility No country can remain on the sidelines without paying a price whether economic or geopolitical The U S standing outside but controlling the game is once again the least dependent on Hormuz U S Energy Information Administration data shows that the U imports only about 2.5% of its total oil through the Strait of Hormuz equivalent to 0.4 to 0.5 million barrels per day from countries in the affected region Thanks to shale oil and record domestic production the United States has become a net exporter of crude oil While the Middle East Japan India and Europe are gripped by fear as Bren prices surge to $100–120 per barrel President Trump's strategy was not merely a response to the crisis He capitalized on the crisis to maximize benefits for the United States and emerged as the one in control of the situation Instead of bearing the entire cost of protecting the Strait of Hormuz alone the U S pressures oil-dependent nations to join in Meanwhile the United States continues to maintain a significant military presence in the region including the Fifth Fleet stationed in Bahrain along with bases in Qatar and the UAE When calling on other countries to send warships to join the protection of maritime routes The U S has reduced its costs while increasing the dependence of its allies and partners on its coordinating role President Trump's strategy was clear: pressure other nations into sending warships to share the burden He publicly called on China Japan South Korea France the United Kingdom and NATO countries to join the voluntary alliance The future will be dire if we don't cooperate History shows this approach is nothing new but highly effective In the late 1980s during the conflict in the Binh Region The U S escorted hundreds of oil tankers and forced Iran to back down By 2019 when Mr Trump refused to continue serving as a free maritime police force Countries such as the UK and France have also had to increase their military presence to protect their own interests As of 2026 despite lacking clear commitments pressure from the United States has forced countries to consider joining As a result the United States became an indispensable coordinating hub reducing budgetary burdens in line with prioritizing America first while reinforcing geopolitical standing The more tense the situation the more justification the U S has for maintaining a long- term presence whereas other countries will find it difficult to remain outside the conflict President Trump's strategy during the Hormuz crisis can be described as applying pressure and then forcing others to act He did not directly step in to resolve everything from the outset but allowed the situation to develop to the point where the involved parties themselves realized Only the United States has the capability to control and stabilize the situation This is not a complete reliance on military strength but rather a strategic move designed to make other nations reconsider their own interests and actively sought the United States as a center for resolving the issue In this context Iran found itself at a distinct disadvantage when facing the U S at a level of limited political or military confrontation Tehran may still garner sympathy or implicit support from some Asian countries but when it comes to blocking the world's most critical energy transit route Iran places itself in direct opposition to shared interests Economies heavily reliant on fossil fuels such as China and India are forced to speak out when their vital interests are threatened This significantly undermines Iran's legitimacy on the international stage Meanwhile President Trump also seized the opportunity to重塑 his image as a leader firm yet calculated willing to apply pressure instead of direct large-scale intervention In contrast to Joe Biden's more cautious approach in the earlier phase this strategy carries More practical and flexible in color though still carrying risks if stress exceeds control New-style hegemony coordinating interests instead of seizing control by force The chess move at the Hormuz Strait in 2026 clearly illustrated President Trump's geopolitical style without relying on overwhelming military strength or large-scale unilateral intervention using the crisis as a tool to reshape the global order in America's favor By turning the energy security issue into a test of global survival interests President Trump has pressured nations ranging from strategic rivals like China to close allies Like Japan and Europe they must openly state their positions and pay the price for their reliance on Middle Eastern wealth Iran through its actions of blockade has effectively placed itself in the role of a central threat to global energy security Losing increasing silent support from Asian countries and facing deeper diplomatic isolation than ever before Meanwhile the United States with its reliance on Hormuz accounting for only 2–2 5 percent maintains a central role in global shipping routes coordinating without incurring major direct losses the cost of securing the route is shared The long-term strengthening of U S military presence in the Gulf and the reassertion of dominant energy leadership without needing to spill more American blood Looking further ahead this strategy forecasts a certain pattern U S hegemony in the coming decade will rely less on traditional multilateralism or military intervention received with reciprocal diplomatic gestures compelling all parties to carefully weigh their own interests and act accordingly either willingly or reluctantly accept Washington's leadership role If successful The United States will maintain its indispensable role as gatekeeper in global energy and trade flashpoints globally If it fails due to allies remaining on the sidelines or the crisis escalating beyond control en the U S -first agenda of President Trump's administration will face very high risks Losing credibility as the world seeks alternative solutions And that wraps up today's segment of Khoẻ Tự Nhiên Thank you What are your thoughts on today's topic Please share your opinion in the comments below Thank you everyone Now farewell and see you again