Former Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao just made a rare public appearance—and it’s raising serious questions. Days after Xi Jinping resurfaced in Xiong’an, Wen appeared at the Chinese Academy of Sciences in a highly staged visit. A 1-minute video reveals key details—from the crowd to the convoy and military-linked security details. Is this just a public appearance—or a signal of deeper power dynamics inside China’s leadership? We break down what the footage shows and what it could mean.
Hello, everyone.
Welcome.
Welcome to Lazy Looking Glass.
No, this is real talk.
I have been working on looking glass so hard.
All right.
Um, how's everyone so far?
So good.
Good start of the week.
Yes.
Okay.
I'm sorry that my video, um, Chris reminded me that the video that I tried to play in
my last live stream didn't play.
And so he suggests that I, um, um, actually, you know, use my cell phone to remind, uh,
to, to, to show myself if the video actually plays.
All right.
I'm going to play you another clip of video today.
All right.
What are we going to talk about tonight?
Well, two men, two appearances, same moment, and one of them wasn't supposed to
happen.
I showed you a picture of former premier Wen Jiabao last Saturday, visiting one of
the institutes under China's Academy of Sciences.
Hold on.
Let me, this, this was the picture.
And, uh, in that image, the premier appeared confident, relaxed, almost as if
he w he was still at the center of power.
Now here's what makes this even more interesting.
That visit took place around the same time that Xi Jinping went to Xiong'an after
135 days of not leaving Beijing.
I have a picture of that as well.
You could compare them back to back and both events on their own are significant.
But the fact that they happened, uh, back to back, that is not a coincidence.
Their messages are clearly meant to compete head to head, like two cars
cutting each other off on the road.
Um, so let's get to the bottom of, um, of one of the two events.
Now, after 135 days of staying inside Beijing, Xi Jinping finally made a move.
He went to Xiong'an, his signature project, often described as his future capital.
He chose to go to his own territory to reinforce one message.
I exist because I act.
I show up, so I matter.
Now look at Wen Jiabao.
He also went to, um, his own territory.
Wen Jiabao is a retired party elder.
He has been rumored to lead the central, uh, committee's coordination and decision
making body, which was formed last June.
Um, and this party elder also made a deliberate move.
Now he, uh, Premier Wen Jiabao was trained as a geologist.
So where did he go?
Well, he went to the Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research.
So strictly speaking, he also went to his own territory.
Uh, and just like Xi Jinping, he's boosting his own presence.
Now you may say that's a little bit exaggerated.
How could a retired party elder simply visiting a geology institute be
making a political statement?
Is this over-interpretation or imagination?
Well, I don't think so.
If you watch this to the end, you will understand why this visit
carries a strong political signal.
Anyone who follows CCP politics, uh, close, closely, uh, not just randomly,
but anyone who follows CCP politics closely should not miss this signal at all.
Now, what exactly did Wen Jiabao do that has caused so much, uh, analysis,
speculation, and whispers?
Here's what happened.
A few days after this photo you're looking at surfaced online,
sparking widespread speculation, a full video of his visit
suddenly went viral overseas.
The video is only one minute and nine seconds long.
It shows Wen Jiabao leaving the Institute of Geographic Sciences.
And more importantly, it contains a number of highly sensitive signals.
Um, in fact, it reinforces several suspicions people have already said.
First, the CCP leadership is no longer unified.
There appears to be a divide between Xi Jinping's camp and a party elder
faction associated with Wen Jiabao.
Number two, Xi Jinping may not have full control over the military.
Instead, his rivals, um, may have stronger connections there.
Number three, both, both sides are making moves and especially the
anti-Xi side, they want to be seen.
So these are the conclusions we can draw from the sudden
appearance of this video.
I have just given you the conclusions.
So let's go back.
Uh, let's walk, walk you through this video carefully.
So first, let me show you the video.
It's only one minute and nine seconds long.
All right.
Let me play that.
Hopefully this will, this will play.
Can you guys see?
No.
All right, here we go.
Oh, it's still processing.
It takes time.
Why is that?
Is it still processing?
Yes.
Can you guys see me?
Yeah.
Okay.
It's processing.
Let me start from the very beginning.
Okay.
Uh, tell me if you guys can see it.
Can you see it?
Can you see the video on the screen?
Yes.
I just want to make sure it plays because this is the only video I'll be playing.
I want to make sure you guys, okay.
See, okay.
Let me play.
Watch carefully.
He gets into the second car.
He was going to the first car, but they told him.
No, no, no.
That's not your car.
So now he's in the second car.
Okay.
That's the entire clip.
Um, you guys see it.
I just want to make sure people see it.
Yeah.
Let me, let me know.
Um, all the cars look alike.
People say, uh, he would rather ride in the Audi than a Chinese car.
Yes.
Okay.
Good.
Um, now that you've seen it.
What stood out to you?
Uh, well, when he walked out, he was smiling, relaxed.
People around him were waving, greeting him.
And some people said premier hello, or, uh, greetings, uh, premier.
He looks energized, clearly in a good mood.
He smiled, raised his hands and greeted people, uh, multiple times.
Uh, so this is not a low key behavior.
It's very profile.
Now let's connect this back to what happened earlier.
Uh, the photo alone, uh, had already triggered widespread
discussion over past few days.
And then this video follows.
So that sequence photo first video later is not random.
It's classic method.
Uh, used by the CCP propaganda system.
First release an image to warm things up, let people start talking.
Then release the main content, the video with real with the real message,
step-by-step the topic builds momentum.
Uh, more people notice more people discuss that's exactly the goal.
But here's the key question.
Wen Jiabao has been retired for over 10 years.
So why now?
Why deliberately create such a public moment?
Why draw attention to himself?
I'll leave that question.
Um, I'll come back to address that question later.
Uh, because one thing is already clear.
The photo and the video were not accidental leaks.
They were not casually captured by random onlookers.
These are carefully planned visuals released to the public
with a message behind them.
So why do I say they were planned?
Well, first the crowd.
Um, when Wen Jiabao walks out of the building, you see something very telling.
There are already people waiting outside on both sides.
At first glance, they look like random passerby, but think about it.
That wouldn't be possible.
How would ordinary people know that Wen Jiabao was inside?
And how do they know that when he would walked out?
Right.
And also the second he appeared, people immediately greeted him and say,
hello, premier.
So obviously they knew he was coming out.
Um, and that strongly suggests the scene was arranged.
It's extremely unlikely that random pedestrians just happen to gather at the
right time.
These people were informed in advance and they were waiting there.
And people familiar with how the CCP system works confirmed this.
For someone at Wen Jiabao's level, if he visits a place, the entire institution
would be notified ahead of time.
Everyone would know preparations would be made, security would be arranged,
especially, um, when he's going to be walking around on premise and more
importantly, the surrounding streets would have been controlled and restricted.
Um, ordinary people wouldn't even be able to get close.
So those people that you saw standing outside the gate or the building waiting
for him, those were not random citizens.
Those were, uh, the most likely the staff from the Institute.
They were told in advance, go outside, wait, greet him, wave, um, give him a
proper send off.
So in other words, this is a controlled, organized display.
Now, second, look at the filming itself.
I'm going to play the video again while talking.
I'm going to mute.
I'm going to mute the audio so it doesn't, um, yeah, I'm good.
I'm just going to keep talking.
So the, um, the video that you're watching, it's clearly professionally shot.
Um, what by professional, I mean, it's not a random, uh, onlooker taking the
video from his or her cell phone.
This is not a shaky cell phone recording.
If it were the footage would jump, skate, shake, uh, lose focus or zooming, zoom
out, wouldn't, wouldn't be so smooth.
But here you see the camera is steady.
The movement is smooth.
It follows one naturally with controlled zooming and framing.
So this looks like it was filmed with a proper camera, possibly even on the
tripod.
Um, and yeah, it's edited to feel like a casual recording because
it's vertical, right?
The vertical composition.
So it looked like it's filmed by someone using his or her cell phone.
That's crucial because it means a videographer was positioned in the
perfect spot to capture everything.
When exiting the building, interacting with the crowd and getting into the car
and the car leaving, the cars leaving.
So that tells you one thing, this entire scene from the crowd to the timing, to
the filming was carefully designed.
Now let's move to the second layer of the analysis because this kind of high
profile appearance is extremely unusual for Wen Jiabao.
Other than attending formal state events, like the September 3rd military
parade or the National Day State Council banquet, Wen and in fact, almost all
retired party elders do not appear in public like this.
The last time Wen Jiabao showed up in person in this way was more than 12 years
ago. That was around 2014, shortly after his retirement, during the early period
of Xi Jinping's rule.
Back then, where did he go?
He visited middle schools, Beichuan Middle School in Sichuan after the Wenchuan
earthquake and another school in Hebei.
So those were non-official settings.
That's what a retired leader typically does, you know, to show concern for
education, for the younger generation, staying away from Beijing, away from the
political center.
But this time, everything is different.
He went to the Chinese Academy of Sciences, which is a ministerial level
government organ.
It's a top state institution and it's in the heart of Beijing.
So this is not symbolic and not casual.
It carries official weight.
And here's the bigger context.
It's widely known that Xi Jinping does not like retired leaders getting media
attention. Under his system, party elders are
expected to report their movements, get approval before appearing.
So from the very beginning of his rule, Xi Jinping has tried to eliminate party
elders' interference in politics.
And that's why you rarely see retired leaders in public anymore, especially
during his second and third terms.
And after 2024, with all the rumors about internal brutal struggles and shifting
power, this sensitivity has only increased.
So now ask yourself, if Xi Jinping truly had complete control, if he firmly held
all power, how could he allow this to happen?
How could he allow Wen Jiabao to show up at a top level institution, act like he's
still inspecting work, and then release photos and then videos so publicly?
After the photo came out two days ago, I should say, what, four days ago now,
getting all the attention, this should have been something that Xi Jinping would
immediately suppress.
But the video still came out.
So that tells you one thing, Xi Jinping cannot fully control the party elders the
way he wanted to.
At the very least, he cannot control Wen Jiabao.
Because if he truly had absolute power, even a photo, even a short video should
have been easily to stop.
And yet it wasn't stopped.
And if he had full control, Wen Jiabao being how cautious he is, Wen Jiabao is
extremely cautious and pragmatic, he would never defy Xi Jinping by appearing so
publicly. So what we're seeing is very clear.
Wen Jiabao is not concerned with how Xi Jinping feels.
He is being deliberately high profile, almost as if he wants everyone to see him.
Here's where things get even more interesting.
Because the camera, I don't know if you noticed, the camera just, let me go back to
this. Yeah, the camera didn't just capture Wen Jiabao, it didn't just capture the
crowd, it captured something far more important.
The convoy, the cars and their license plates, and that may be the most revealing part of
this entire video.
So let's look carefully.
Now, after greeting the crowd, Wen walks toward the first car, but then his bodyguards
told him, no, no, no, that was not your car.
But let's take a look at the license plate of the first car.
Where is that? Here we go.
Let me make this bigger so you can see.
So this is the first car he walked toward.
This one is an Audi 6 with a Beijing government plate.
It says Jing, the first is a Chinese character, Jing, short for Beijing.
And then you have letter A and 50698.
Now, plates starting with Jing A5 are typically used by Beijing municipal authorities
or high level government units, which means they were Beijing official present at the
scene. That fits protocol.
Even as a formal premier, Wen Jiabao would normally be accompanied by local officials
from Beijing.
And those officials were most likely already sitting inside the first car when Wen
walked toward it.
Then comes the key moment.
Wen was ushered into the second car, which was kind of blocked in the video.
We couldn't tell it's, he was surrounded by many people when he got into the second
car. And then it was blocked.
But now when the cars started to move, we saw something.
The second car has this plate.
Here we go. This is the second car.
And it is, it's a V, a red V, and then it has a white background, a red V and black
letters and numbers.
Now, there are Chinese experts frantically looking up information about this type of
license plates.
So after checking multiple sources, they come up with the conclusion that this type of
plate is linked to the Central Military Commission, specifically its direct units.
And more importantly, the letter A after the V corresponds to the Joint Staff
Department of CMC.
This department was formerly known as the General Staff Department before Xi Jinping's
military reforms.
So historically, the CMC had four major departments, the General Staff Department,
the General Political Department, the General Logistics Department and General
Armaments Department.
And they each has their own plate designation.
So let me come back.
So VA is assigned to General Staff, which is now the Joint Staff Department.
VB is the General Political Department.
VC is General Logistics Department.
And VD, General Armaments Department.
So V and then A, B, C, D.
So what does that mean?
It means Wen Jiabao was not just riding in a normal government vehicle.
He got into a car connected to the military system under the Central Military
Commission. And that is a completely different signal.
But it doesn't stop there.
Let's take a look at the third car that followed him.
It has a blue plate.
This one is Jing, the first character is a Chinese word for Beijing.
And then C8A018, that number 8A018 is clearly not random.
It has a lot of eights in it.
And unlike the other cars, this is not an Audi.
This is a Chinese Hongqi car, a red flag.
I don't know why they named their car Red Flag.
Sounds like problem, problematic car, red flag car.
Anyways, Hongqi is a Chinese brand traditionally associated with top CCP
leadership. But within the system, there are different levels of Hongqi cars.
And it's not only top leaders who use them, but senior aides and close staff can
also be assigned Hongqi vehicles.
So based on insider explanations, this vehicle most likely carries Wen Jiabao's
close aides.
And so the order of the convoy supports this first car, Beijing officials, second
car, Wen Jiabao himself, he and his bodyguards, third car, his immediate staff.
So that follows normal logic.
Then comes the fourth car and here's its plate.
OK, this one is you're able to see because it's it's very clear.
It's same format as the second car.
We have a red V, a black A and then with a white background.
Again, this is linked to the Central Military Commission's Joint Staff
Department. So now look at the full picture.
Four cars total, one from Beijing municipal government, two from the military
system and one for staff.
And now we arrive at the key question.
Why is Wen Jiabao, a retired civilian leader, riding a military linked vehicles?
Why is his security not handled by the Central Security Bureau, the very agency
normally responsible for protecting the top leaders?
Like himself.
So to be thorough in in our analysis, we have to ask, is it possible that these
cars, especially the second and the fourth, actually belong to the Central
Security Bureau instead of the military?
That question is what we need to answer next.
So to verify this, people started digging deeper.
And here's what they found.
They say that the Central Security Bureau does indeed use letter V series
military plates with white background, with a red V and black numbers.
So, yes, there are similarities, but there are also key differences.
The first is their license plates do not include the letter A, so they wouldn't
have a V and then followed by an A.
And also their license plates follow certain sequential formats
that always start with 01 and 02.
So you have V01 something something and V02 something something.
And there's another view about this.
And they say that some Central Guard Bureau vehicles also have plates that
start with the Chinese character 金 in the front, then followed by the letter V
and then whatever that comes after that.
So the character 金 for Beijing is in front.
So I'll be honest, I cannot confirm this with absolute certainty, but different
sources give slightly different details.
They don't contradict each other.
But if you look at the majority of the information, the
conclusion is fairly consistent.
Plates, what they say is plates with a red V and a black A, the one that you're
looking at are generally tied to units under the Central Military Commission.
And specifically, the letter A represents the Joint Staff Department under the CMC.
Now we come to the most important question of today.
Take a step back and think about this.
Wen Jiabao has been retired for over 10 years.
His visit to the Chinese Academy of Sciences is already unusual, but this
detail makes it even more unusual.
Why are personnel from the military system, specifically from the joint
staff, acting as his security?
Because his car, he sat in the second car, and that car is the military car.
The second and the fourth are the military cars.
And that's exactly where he rode in.
Now this connects to another development many of you have been following.
Who leads the Joint Staff Department?
That would be this guy, Liu Zhengli, a top general whose situation, along with
Zhang Youxia, has been the subject of intense speculation because they were
arrested on January 20th, and their investigation was announced four days
later, so that's interesting, isn't it?
So why not the Central Security Bureau, which normally handles protection for
top leaders, and not just one car, two cars in the convoy are linked to the
joint staff system?
In my opinion, the answer is clear.
Wen Jiabao does not trust the Central Security Bureau, which we know is
controlled by Cai Qi, Xi Jinping's political chief of staff.
Wen Jiabao probably has been relying on the joint staff system to provide security
detail to him for a while.
Now this connects directly to the broader political picture we've been discussing.
It aligns with a key interpretation.
After the situation involving Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhengli's arrest, the system
may have entered a state of real division.
There has been two centers of power within the CCP, or there had been two
centers of power within the CCP before Zhang Youxia's arrest, and they continue
to exist now.
Let me just show you this picture on the screen.
One center is Xi Jinping, or I should say one center is around Xi Jinping.
Another one is linked to party elders, including Wen Jiabao and Hu Jintao.
So according to this theory, or this line of thinking, the reason party elders
formed a central coordination and decision-making body last June was to
counter Xi Jinping.
They were able to do so because they had military backing, namely
support of Zhang Youxia.
So Wen Jiabao, Hu Jintao, and Zhang Youxia were one alliance.
Their security was provided not by Central Security Bureau, but by Zhang
Youxia's military.
And in this case, probably the Joint Staff Department headed by Liu Zhenli.
And that, if you think about it, probably explains why Xi Jinping took down
General Liu Zhenli along with Zhang Youxia.
So the POA provided, or according to this theory, provided security details for
party elders opposing Xi before Zhang Youxia's arrest.
But based on the latest video clip, they seem to have continued afterward.
And why would the military still lean that way?
Why would the military still lean that way?
Well, because figures like Liu Yuan, retired, but still influential within the
military networks are still playing a role.
So under this interpretation, before Zhang Youxia's arrest, the party elder
faction had the support of the POA through Zhang Youxia.
And Liu Yuan helped Zhang Youxia handle political and organizational work while
Zhang Youxia handled operational military control.
After Zhang Youxia's arrest, with the party elder's support, Liu Yuan continued
his work and is still in control of the military.
And the standoff between two power centers has become now even more pronounced.
So the key claim here is Xi Jinping has not fully regained control of the
And this is the proof.
Because the POA is still providing security to party elders like Wen Jiabao,
who is known to be Xi Jinping's biggest internal adversary, if there's one.
And that also explains why 70 days after the announcement of the two generals'
downfall, no major military commanders, no theater commanders, no political
commissars have publicly come out to support Xi Jinping on the decision
concerning the investigation and the downfall of Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli.
That explains why the two generals' names are still listed as NPC delegates.
Now, here's a question that you may ask.
So if the POA is not clearly following Xi Jinping, who are they following?
They're aligned with this alternative central party's decision-making and
coordination structure.
That structure was officially announced.
I didn't make it up.
It was officially announced on the last day of June.
So this is official.
They just didn't announce who's in this body.
But it's widely believed that Wen Jiabao is the team leader of that
organization, with Hu Jintao backing him.
Hu Jintao being the highest-ranking living leader other than Xi Jinping, does
not want to be involved in that decision-making body, but he backs them.
So that's what the deal is with this organization.
So the military right now is aligned with this decision-making body, spearheaded
by Wen Jiabao and supported by Liu Yuan.
Think about it.
It's impossible that the POA remains independent.
They must align themselves with the center of authority, either
Xi Jinping or his opponents.
So the fact that they've remained silent on Xi Jinping's decision to remove the
two generals does not mean that they're independent, because they can't.
Under CCP's system, the military cannot be a floating entity.
It just doesn't exist.
They have to align themselves with someone.
So in this case, I think it's clear who they are supporting.
So what does this video really reveal?
It reinforces the idea of two competing centers of power, two
sides essentially going head-to-head.
And Wen Jiabao's appearance is not just symbolic.
Why does he choose such a high-profile, carefully staged appearance?
Something may have already changed inside the top leadership.
And Xi's opponents are no longer staying in the shadows.
They're stepping into the open.
And the forces behind Wen Jiabao has decided that he should make a public
appearance and make a statement.
And what could have triggered the shift?
One possible factor, the delay of President Trump's visit to China.
Now, previously, there was a kind of a temporary balance between the two sides.
Actually, let's go back to last fall at the Fourth Plenum.
At the Fourth Plenum, the party elders faced the decision to either keep
Xi Jinping until the 21st Party Congress, which is next year, or
force him to step down immediately.
In the end, they chose to allow him to remain in power through
the 21st Party Congress.
That gave Xi Jinping room to act, including moves against the two generals.
And that action angered opposition factions who demanded answers.
But Xi Jinping refused.
Instead, he turned outward.
He turned to Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump, using the prospect of their
visits to strengthen his internal position.
Because as long as those visits are on the table, his opponents still needed
him to function as head of state.
Therefore, a kind of temporary, what I call, ceasefire emerged.
But now, with President Trump delaying the visit, and potentially delaying it
again due to the situation in Iran, and the fact that Zhang Yuxia's situation
is still unknown, the balance may be breaking down.
The anti-Xi side may feel they can no longer wait, because the longer they
wait, the more ground they would lose.
And in that context, the opposing faction may believe that waiting any
longer means effectively conceding.
So they want to make a statement.
So again, I think the delay of Trump's visit has disrupted the temporary
balance the two sides had reached.
And it has reopened the power struggle at the top.
Now, to be clear, there is no direct evidence for all of this.
This is an interpretation, a line of reasoning.
But it is a perspective worth considering.
In fact, the CCP's internal power struggles have made the
outside world take notice.
In a Bloomberg interview, I don't know, maybe a week ago, a few days
ago, in the later part of March, former ambassador to China, Nicholas
Burns, noticed China's unusual behavior recently.
He said China failed to provide meaningful support to Iran, and was
largely silent on Venezuela.
And his key takeaway was that China looked like a fickle friend
to both Iran and Venezuela.
So why does, think about why does China behave that way?
I mean, it's not Xi Jinping's style.
The answer is quite straightforward, in my opinion.
Internal infighting.
The regime is very fragile right now due to intense infighting.
Neither side has complete control of the regime.
When a system is under internal pressure, it often becomes more cautious
externally, because the leadership facing internal instability cannot
easily project strength abroad.
And if that's the case, then what we're seeing here may not
just be a political appearance.
It may be a signal and possibly the first visible sign that something
inside the system has already begun to change.
All right.
That's what I have for you.
Um, isn't that interesting?
I found it to be interesting.
All right.
Let me see what people say.
Okay.
Uh, let me first address the super stickers.
I saw a few flew by.
All right.
Um, oh, here's one.
Brian cow.
Well, thank you, Brian.
Thank you.
Oh, Chris is our moderator tonight.
Great.
Let's see.
Oh, everyone say we can see.
Okay, great.
All right.
Um, questions, comments.
What do you think?
All right.
Uh, no comments, no questions.
That's good.
All right.
Uh, no questions.
All right.
Like here's the SBU 12 SWCC.
Like why didn't the other factions make their move before the cup meeting?
She was going to force, uh, going to force the generals to publicly
announce their support.
What's the status of the other factions against Xi?
Uh, are you asking why Xi's opponents didn't make their move before
the, at the fourth plenum, the fourth plenum was last fall and, or are you
asking before the two sessions, which ended a few weeks ago, I'm not quite
sure which event you were referring to, but last fall at the fourth plenum,
there was so much speculation beforehand that Xi Jinping may face pressure to
step down, you know, due to health reason, but he didn't, I think the, uh,
his argument is that the party still needed him.
If he steps down, then the party could disintegrate.
So the, in the end, they all came together and agreed that Xi Jinping
would gradually step down.
Um, and then, and from now until the 21st party Congress, uh, they will
gradually transition to the next leader.
So that was the agreement and the consensus reached at the fourth plenum.
Uh, and Xi Jinping would step down in, in what, what they call the Hua Guofeng
model because Hua Guofeng was the chosen successor of Mao, but Deng Xiaoping
forced him out, but Deng Xiaoping didn't take him down in a coup.
Deng Xiaoping gradually, um, removed his power.
I think Hua Guofeng, it took Hua Guofeng three years to eventually step down.
So they want to repeat that.
They want to minimize the shock internally to have Xi Jinping gradually
phased out of the political center.
But Xi Jinping being Xi Jinping, you know, doesn't follow rules.
Guess what he did this January?
He took down.
People say that the, the Zhang Youxia and then the party elders, uh, uh, misjudged
Xi, they thought that Xi Jinping was going to play by the rule, but he didn't.
So he, he removed, he took, he took the two generals and, um, and then now
you're asking why the, the, uh, the other factions didn't, didn't remove
Xi Jinping at the two sessions.
Well, because of, um, this upcoming meeting with Trump, right?
The, the, the, the original schedule was what the end of March, the
two sessions was beginning of March.
Then if they remove Xi Jinping, who's going to meet with Trump.
So that's why they couldn't do anything.
And you're asking why the generals didn't publicly announce their support.
See the, the, as soon as the two generals were taken down, the military
leaders quickly needed to figure out who's actually in control because
these people are very practical.
They're not going to risk their future.
Um, loyalty is one thing, uh, their personal ties and
personal relations is another.
Um, but most importantly, they need to quickly assess which
side is gaining the momentum.
So I think the reason they didn't, none of them publicly supported Xi Jinping's
decision is because they, they could see that the party elders, uh, is still,
still has the momentum and the chances for Xi Jinping to completely overthrow,
uh, people like Wen Jiabao and Hu Jintao is very small.
So that's why these military leaders choose to be silent.
Like I said, they cannot remain independent.
They have to attach themselves to someone.
So if they don't attach themselves to Xi Jinping, then that means they have
attached themselves to his opponents.
And that's exactly what's happening.
Inside the PLA because they have to attach themselves to one side or the other.
Uh, but the, the world is not seeing like that, right?
We still see Xi Jinping, you know, being the top leader, but I mean, he has not
left Beijing for 135 days, over four months, people see that his wife has
not left China for two years.
And that's also very unusual.
Not because she doesn't want to go.
Uh, if you look at Xi Jinping's last few international trips, his wife didn't go
with him and that's highly unusual because he's the one who likes to, you
know, bring his wife, uh, everywhere.
He likes to show off his wife because his wife is a celebrity in China.
Um, but she has not gone anywhere.
Uh, she has not left China for two years and that's significant, not
because she doesn't want to, but probably because she cannot, she's
not allowed to leave China and that decision, it was not made by her husband.
Okay.
All right.
Um, that's a long answer.
Okay.
I already answered that question.
Uh, Benjamin Turrifield, like wonderful design in your dress.
I thought I saw in the center of design, a bird white.
Oh, is that a bird?
A flower pink.
Be safe.
Oh, thank you.
It's a sweater.
Is that a flower?
Okay.
Maybe so.
I never, I never noticed.
I never noticed what that is.
Let me step back.
What is that?
I don't know.
A flower, just a pattern.
All right.
Well, thank you.
Um, okay.
Oh, here's a question.
Uh, someone said, Chris Bauer says, do not talk to a woman about her appearance
unless you are in a relationship and it's worse than you imply.
Oh, okay.
I, I didn't get that.
I don't know.
Um, okay.
I'm obviously oblivious to all those subtle messages in your comments.
Um, all right.
Um, yeah, in general, you don't talk about a woman's appearance.
That's true.
Anyways, Netflix for me, did you know your name actually translates
to law in Portuguese?
Really?
I don't think that's a coincidence.
You mean my name lay lay in Portuguese means law.
You know, someone actually told me something really interesting.
Um, because they asked me what my website is.
I said, it's lays real talk.
And they said, do you know that your domain name has the word Israel in it?
I said, I didn't know.
Um, I said, I hope people don't, uh, imagine some kind of a conspiracy theory
in lays real talk.
I said, it's just lays real talk.
Anyways, I found it interesting.
Oh my goodness.
Nowadays, people's imaginations are wild.
Okay.
All right.
Question.
Someone say, is this the beginning of a two party system or a civil war?
Um, I think it's definitely a beginning of it.
No, not a two parties.
It's still one party.
China's still one party.
Uh, when you say party, I thought, are you meaning political party or do you
mean to like entity?
I think it's the beginning of a two political center.
Yeah.
Two, two, two center system.
But I do not believe this will transpire into a civil war because the civil war
would be if the military is divided, then you will have a civil war.
But if the military is on one side, then you can have a civil war.
Unless the, the military is fighting the police, but the police is no match for
the military if there's a civil war.
So, uh, yes, they're divided, but I do not see a civil war.
Okay.
Um, Oh, here's a BT BTS 59.
Well, thank you.
Thank you.
Lay.
She will retain power and reunite with Iran, North Korea, and Russia.
The geopolitical events now is just theater.
What do you think?
She will remain, retain power and reunite with Iran, but we don't, he doesn't even
know what will become of Iran, right?
So he may retain power.
Actually, actually someone, one, um, analyst has the view that, uh, Trump
actually prefers Xi Jinping because he is effectively taking down the PLA from
within, uh, Xi Jinping is destroyed the CCP from within very effectively.
And the whole idea that if they have another leader who is gentler or, or,
um, more neutral, friendlier towards the West, it's not necessarily
in the U S best interest.
You know, they could, you know, repeat Deng Xiaoping's policy of what, um,
Taoguang Yanghui, um, to, to, to, to gain another 10 years.
So from that perspective, Xi Jinping is the perfect friend of the United States.
Anyways.
All right.
Let me see questions, comments.
I think I reached the bottom.
A question from Frank Belucia, if she's wife has been constrained by others for
two years, who might these others be?
Well, his opponents, the party elders, the central committees, decision-making
and coordination body spearheaded by Wen Jiabao and backed by Hu Jintao.
These are the people who said, no, you, your wife cannot go.
You can go.
You know why?
Cause they're afraid that when the two of them leave China, they may do something.
Who knows what they're going to do?
They may, they may not return.
I don't know, but they just don't feel, they don't feel safe to
have both of them leaving China.
Um, from that perspective, Xi Jinping's job, his life is not enviable.
I mean, why does he, why is he so obsessed with that job?
Anyways, um, can you, can you show the video that didn't show from last
week with the associated commentary?
I have provided the link in the description of that video and you
can watch it, um, from X, but I can certainly play it here.
Hold on.
Um, you want it?
You guys want to see it?
I mean, okay.
Let me, let me, let me find that video.
I have it.
I have it here.
Let me play that video.
Uh, here it is.
Can you guys see, tell me if you can see, do you see a
battlefield on the screen?
I want to make sure you guys can see it.
Yes.
Let me play it.
Yes.
Okay.
That's the video.
Isn't that something?
That's the video.
I think this, this serviceman behind this, uh, vehicle armored
vehicle is in trouble now.
And the, whoever leaked that video is also in trouble.
Those people who stood on the, on the Hill were observer observers.
Some were sent from central military commission.
Um, yeah.
Friendly fire anyway.
Uh, but there's a link.
I posted this link, uh, this video in my, um, in, in, uh, on X.
And there's a link to that, uh, in the description of Saturday's
video, if you want to watch it.
Okay.
Uh, if she is overthrown, you, who the next leader are next
leaders, us friendly, I think anyone will be better than him at this point.
But since we don't know who the next person is, so it's hard to say.
Um, I would think anyone is, it would be better than him.
Yeah.
Philandra's Williams.
Hello.
Lay be blessed.
I believe men and Chinese should have access to the Holy Bible.
Do you, um, well, the, the, the Christians in China are persecuted.
There are the state sponsored patriotic church, which are, and the
clergy's are government officials.
They take salaries from the government and then you have the family church
or the underground church, and they're being persecuted.
Um, I have family members who are devout Christians.
Yes.
All right.
Easy.
Uh, yeah, I don't know how to say your name.
If she's overthrown.
Okay.
I already answered that question.
Thank you for the super sticker.
All right.
Um, that's all.
Um, that's all for tonight.
Oh, here's a question from X, X, X, X.
Thank you.
Lay I'm writing from Oklahoma.
I'm not your average Oklahoma as I have been to China four times over the past
15 years while I'm traveled all over the country, I appreciate your channel.
Thank you very much.
And welcome.
Thank you.
All right.
That's all for tonight.
I will see you Thursday.
Okay.
Bye.