We Found Galaxies Too Old for the Universe

Universe Unveiled
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The James Webb Space Telescope has found galaxies that are too
ancient-looking for the young universe in which they were found.
Now, you may have heard that, but JWST keeps finding them,
and our recent efforts to solve this conundrum point in wildly different directions.
Have we found galaxies older than the universe itself,
or did we just learn something incredible about how galaxies form?
Before we get started, a couple of quick announcements.
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Next up, today's episode is part of PBS Earth Month.
PBS is celebrating by releasing a ton of great new episodes diving deep into our amazing planet.
In particular, you might enjoy the latest episode of Be Smart,
which explores the math, science, and history of the Mercator map,
a flawed work of genius that, in more ways than one, changed the world.
Links to that episode and the full Earth Month playlist also in the description.
Next up, we're excited to announce our third celebration of a galaxy far,
far away with our return of the geodesic merch.
Because whether you're following a geodesic on a closed universe
or reliving your favorite saga, you'll always know where you'll end up.
And now until May the 4th, there's 10% off the whole merch store,
with special deals if you combine your order with previous May the 4th merch.
Now onto the episode.
Telescopes are time machines.
Light takes time to reach us, so we see distant objects as they were
when their light began its earthward journey.
As our telescopes become more powerful, they see further,
and so more and more of the past becomes accessible to us.
The James Webb Space Telescope is one of the most powerful time machines ever built.
It's powerful enough that it's discovered galaxies whose light has been traveling to us
since the universe was just a little over 2% of its current age.
The universe back then should look different, right?
Those galaxies should look different.
After all, this is when galaxies first started to grow,
when they should have been vigorously forming many of their stars.
They should look like hyperactive kids.
Those types of galaxies probably are around back then,
yet JWST has also seen much more developed adult galaxies,
some of which look way too big and way too ancient-looking
for a universe that's only a few hundred million years old.
Over the past year or two, this mystery has made the popscye rounds.
That included some breathless speculation like the idea that the entire Big Bang model is wrong.
If there are ancient galaxies 13 or so billion years ago,
then how can the universe only be 13.5 billion years old?
So far we have not weighed in on this conundrum.
Now many others have done a fantastic job laying it out and debunking some of the foolishness.
Dr. Becky in particular was on top of the progress as new data came in from JWST.
So why should we cover it now?
First, a lot of you have asked for our take, and it's time to go on the record.
Second, the evolution of this mystery has been quite an emotional roller coaster,
swinging from unsolvable to solved,
and now there's new work that swings back in the direction of WTF.
So let's talk about the current status of the early galaxy conundrum.
And before that, let's talk a bit more about
what we actually expect the early universe galaxies to look like.
Galaxies pulled themselves together from tiny density fluctuations in the very early universe
that we see as the dappling of the cosmic microwave background.
The CMB reveals regions with tiny excesses of matter, hydrogen gas,
but more importantly dark matter, which outweighs the gas by a factor of at least 5.
As dark matter pulled itself together by gravity, it pulled the gas in with it.
And as that gas compacted, the first stars were also born.
These very early galaxies must have started small,
but with pretty crazy star formation due to the enormous abundance of gas at that time.
As those galaxies continued to grow, they collided and merged,
and eventually built themselves into the mature galaxies that we see today.
We think we understand this stuff pretty well, or at least we thought we did.
Between the precise CMB measurements and our theoretical understanding of gravity,
star formation, etc, our computer simulations allow us to explore
the possible growth scenarios for galaxies.
We can predict, for example, that early galaxies should have been forming stars like crazy
due to the enormous amount of raw material, the hydrogen gas, around back then.
One thing that should be even more robust as a prediction is the size of dark matter halos.
These are the giant pools of dark matter that encompass all galaxies and hold them together.
Because dark matter should not be strongly affected by the complicated behavior of the
gas in the stars, we have high confidence in our understanding of how those halos grew over time,
or at least we thought we did.
One very clear prediction of this whole model is that a lot of this halo growth
should have happened in the first 10% of the universe's age.
In that first 1.5 billion years since the big bang,
there should have been essentially no very large halos, and so no very large galaxies.
And that's what the theory and simulation say.
But to check these we need powerful time machines.
Telescopes.
Now as our telescopes got bigger and our cameras got more sensitive,
we were finally able to probe early enough times to properly test our models of halo growth.
And this is where the problem started.
Around 15-16 years ago when our high redshift galaxy surveys, aka really far away galaxy surveys,
finally reached these distances, we got some answers.
And those surveys started seeing a few cases of what looked like giant halos at earlier and
earlier times, and also the hint of overly red galaxies in the early universe.
Galaxies that are actively forming new stars should be bright at short wavelengths because
they have lots of giant hot short-lived stars. They are relatively blue in color compared to
older galaxies. And older galaxies that are no longer so actively forming stars
should look redder because the short-lived blue stars have exploded already.
Those earlier surveys didn't reveal anything crazy yet,
just a handful of cases where galaxies looked too big
and or too evolved compared to what was expected from our models.
In 2018 Charles Steinhardt and team articulated this emerging tension in their paper
The Impossibly Early Galaxy Problem.
But impossible things are impossible. It's right there in the name.
So several not-impossible explanations for these galaxies were devised.
For one, we don't really see overly large dark matter halos directly. We only see the starlight,
and then we use that starlight to infer the mass of the stars,
and then the mass of the halos that contain them. But that step requires assumptions.
And if any of the assumptions are wrong, then perhaps we got the wrong halo mass.
And the redness of the galaxies that suggests an old-cellar population could be due to other
things. And there are several other issues with these inferences besides.
And I'll come back to possible solutions in a bit.
But even if the galaxies that were found in these ground-based surveys
were really too old-looking and too big-looking,
well, we haven't quite broken all of astrophysics and cosmology yet.
If we strain our models of galaxy formation, then we can potentially speed up galaxy evolution
to show why these things exist by the time that the universe is 10% of its current age.
What we'd really like to do is to look back even further in time to see if we can find the time
when these galaxies were themselves growing. And that's what we did with the James Webb Space
Telescope. JWST was designed to push this early galaxy game to new extreme limits.
It's the largest telescope ever deployed in space, which means the most powerful.
It's also designed to be sensitive to very long wavelengths of light deep into the infrared part
of the electromagnetic spectrum. The mid-infrared, as we like to call it.
That's important for these first galaxies because of the expansion of the universe.
Their light has been traveling to us for much of the age of the universe.
Because these EM waves are traveling through an expanding universe,
they get stretched out, their wavelengths lengthened. This is cosmological redshift,
and higher redshift means longer travel time and greater distance.
For galaxies that we're interested in, this redshift converts visible and even ultraviolet
light into mid-infrared, which is why JWST is needed. The first efforts with JWST
used similar methods to our ground-based galaxy surveys. So maybe I give you a bit more detail
on that. Now the first thing that you do in a galaxy survey is to take some pics with different
filters corresponding to different wavelength bands, and then you compare the amount of light
in each filter. We call this photometric imaging. We can learn a lot of stuff from the ratios of
filter brightnesses, the so-called colors. We discover candidate galaxies this way. We make
a crude estimate of the distance because the color ratios suggest a redshift. We can constrain the
population, both the number of stars and the distribution of different types of stars.
For example, the redder colors mean an older population with few massive stars.
So what did JWST find? Well first it confirmed the presence of overly massive and overly old-looking
galaxies from the earlier studies. And remember that was from a cosmic age of around 10 percent,
which is a redshift of around 4. Now a critical advantage of JWST is that it's sensitive enough
to do proper spectroscopy on these galaxies. It can measure their spectrum, the amount of
light as a function of wavelength. These spectra confirmed that the redshift are indeed very high.
They also confirmed that the redness of the spectra is due to highly evolved stellar populations
rather than, say, there being a lot of dust in these galaxies which can cause a similar reddening
in photometric analyses. With these confirmations of old-looking early galaxies,
researchers more broadly really started to pay attention. The media started to pick up on this
when JWST pushed to greater distances and earlier times and kept finding these things. Currently
the earliest candidate giant evolved galaxy discovered by JWST is at redshift of 7.3 at
just 5 percent of the universe's age. Now it seems we have a real conflict with our models
of galaxy formation. Dark matter halos too large and stellar populations too evolved for the short
amount of time that they've had to develop. And this is why we started to hear some hysterical
claims that the universe is twice as old as we thought or that the big bang model is completely
overturned. It's not and it isn't. There's just so much independent corroboration of our model of
an expanding 30 point something billion year old universe you can't point to one admittedly
intriguing discrepancy and decide to throw the baby universe out with the bathwater.
There are much more parsimonious explanations for our improbably early galaxies. Let's look at one
of the most compelling. Remember that when we calculated the masses of these supposedly gigantic
dark matter halos we based them on the starlight that we see and that requires an understanding
of the relationship between these two things the starlight and the dark matter halo mass
and that involves assumptions. Here's how that works. One assumption is that the halo mass is
connected to the mass in stars and that stellar mass is connected to the amount of light that we
see in those stars. But we don't see the light from all of those stars. Typically the light we
collect is dominated by the brightest stars in the galaxy. We then have to decide on the relative
numbers of different types of stars so we can extrapolate from the observed starlight to the
mass of the stars seen and unseen. And there's another assumption. And yes from then we can get
to the halo mass. Knowing the distribution of stellar masses in a galaxy on the other side of
the universe takes some guesswork to say the least. And maybe the biggest unknown is something that we
call the initial mass function the IMF. It tells us the relative number of stars at different masses
that form when a burst of star formation happens. We typically use the IMF that's been measured for
the Milky Way galaxy sometimes with various refinements. But we don't know that stars formed
with similar mass distributions in the early universe and they probably didn't. For example
when there's less heavy elements around from generations of old stars it's easier to make
really gigantic stars because gas clouds don't fragment as much when they collapse. That could
give those early galaxies what we call a top heavy IMF. So more massive stars form in a given
burst of star formation relative to what happens in the Milky Way. And more bright massive stars
mean that these galaxies would be overly bright for a given halo mass. So if we're determining
halo mass from the light of these massive stars then we overestimate halo mass. Such a top heavy
IMF is probably the leading contender for explaining the apparent giantness of the dark matter halos.
And this may even solve the conundrum. But the mystery does not stop here. A new study has found
exactly the opposite result to this. This study claims to have identified a sample of galaxies
that are what those impossibly early galaxies became in this part of the universe. And because
this sample is much closer to us we can detect the light of much fainter stars and we can figure out
the initial mass function down to much lower masses. And the result is bad. This study found
that the IMF is actually bottom heavy in those galaxies. There are way more low mass stars little
red dwarves and whatnot compared to the Milky Way for example. And definitely very bottom heavy
compared to what we think a top heavy IMF might look like. The top heavy IMF that was supposed to
solve the problem of the impossible galaxies. And in fact this bottom heavy IMF worsens the problem.
An excess of low mass stars means that when we convert galaxy light to stellar mass we
underestimate that stellar mass and presumably underestimate its related dark matter halo mass.
And that makes it even harder to figure out how those things grew so fast so quick.
Okay so before we join our crazy uncle on the anti-Big Bang conspiracy Facebook group
some words of caution. We don't really know whether this new study really did successfully
identify the modern counterparts of our impossible galaxies and the authors admit that calling them
likely descendants. We also don't know what complicating interactions these galaxies could
have had in the intervening 13 billion years to muddle the IMF. And we also don't know that a
bottom heavy IMF rules out an IMF that's also top heavy. In other words there could be an
overabundance of low mass stars and of high mass stars all compared to masses around that of the
Sun. And it is plausible to assume an IMF like this that would still bring down those early halo masses.
There are similar challenges in explaining the apparent redness of the early galaxies.
The key here is that we need a way to shut down star formation much much more quickly than we
thought likely. Perhaps the leading contender is quite awesome early quasars. Supermassive black
holes in the hearts of these galaxies blasting out radiation and winds that heats up and expels gas
so stars stop forming and the population can evolve quickly. We know this sort of feedback
from quasars happens but now we need to understand why it's so extreme in the early universe.
That involves very rapid growth of supermassive black holes yet another very real and very
interesting problem. The most likely solution to all of this is that we're going to learn
an enormous amount about the surprising processes behind structure growth, star formation,
black hole seeding and growth and who knows what else. And once we figure it out the impossible
early galaxies will become more than just possible they'll become inevitable and natural part of our
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