Iran có thể cầm cự được bao lâu? Vì sao Hoa Kỳ rút hàng không mẫu hạm USS Ford về nước?

Hello and greetings to our viewers tuning in to the Dòng chảy Thời sự channel. The geopolitical landscape in the East Sea region is witnessing heart-stopping confrontations among global powers. At the White House, strategic calculations go beyond mere military posturing. but also strategic economic measures designed to undermine the opponent's morale and will to resist. On the turbulent seas, the presence and deployment of U.S. aircraft carriers carrying along incredibly profound implicit messages. So why do these seemingly well-intentioned diplomatic efforts appear so futile? Once again, are these calculated delays driven by cunning strategies for survival? At the same time, deep within the dark, hidden layers beneath the earth's surface, Another fierce battle is still silently unfolding, where the bare underground tunnel systems and sturdy missile bases are being exposed to light for elimination. Will a full-scale conflict erupt, or is it all just strategic maneuvering? in a new cold war-style conflict in the Gulf region? On April 29, U.S. intelligence and media sources Simultaneously revealed a game-changing piece of information. President Trump firmly rejected a strategic proposal from the Tehran administration. Accordingly, a few days ago, Iranian officials issued a gesture of reconciliation. As extremely appealing, it is recommended that both sides jointly lift the maritime blockade. reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ease the oil flow, and temporarily tighten the file on the thorny nuclear weapons dossier to continue seeking a common voice at the negotiation table. At first glance, this appears to be a branch of olive peace. against the backdrop of escalating tensions reaching a peak. Yet, with those green-eyed villains at the White House, This is in fact merely a highly sophisticated delaying tactic. If the U.S. government naively agrees to this claim, agree to relax the restrictions on maritime navigation rights, Then Washington will naturally exploit its sharpest advantages. On the negotiation table, they will no longer have any heavy-weight pieces left. to compel Tehran to abandon its ambitions regarding weapons of mass destruction. At that time, Iran could indefinitely prolong the negotiation process. They will stall, waiting until President Trump's term ends. with the hope that a new administration in Washington will adopt a more flexible policy. One must recall that the nuclear agreement was made during President Obama's tenure. had to go through a prolonged negotiation process that lasted three years. If that scenario were to repeat, the political landscape in the United States could be entirely different three years from now. Precisely because he saw through this scheme, the senior advisors frankly reported to President Trump that, The opportunity to reach a nuclear agreement with Iran at this moment is extremely slim. Instead of getting bogged down in futile negotiations, The U.S. government has chosen a tougher and more comprehensive approach. An indefinite economic blockade campaign has been activated, with the ultimate goal of draining Tehran's resources to the point where they have no choice but to surrender. The U.S. Central Command was not idle either. They are clearly and firmly preparing backup military plans. Ready to strike military facilities along Iran's coastline and the Hormuz Strait region if the situation exceeds limits. The objective of this military deterrence is not to provoke a new Gulf War. but to create shocks strong enough. The ruling authorities in Tehran must return to the negotiating table with a more realistic attitude. And not only limited to threats on paper, On April 28, the U.S. Navy conducted a provocative maritime operation in the Arabian Sea. With expert combat skills, U.S. soldiers descended by rope from the helicopter. Successfully intercepted and detained an Iranian cargo vessel suspected of violating sanctions. Under the immense pressure of economic cycles, the financial system of this Islamic nation is crumbling. Tehran's domestic market has plunged without control to the bottom of its historical lows, when one dollar could be exchanged for up to 1.8 million rials. Every day before the maritime blockade restrictions were imposed, Iran's economy suffered a loss of at least 500 million dollars. The direct consequences on people's livelihood are extremely devastating. Hyperinflation has soared past the 40% mark, pushing food and basic essential prices to unimaginable levels. leaving millions of poor people struggling in hardship amid the whirlwind of sanctions. The withdrawal of the USS Force and the puzzle of U.S. military forces in the South China Sea As pressure mounts on maritime routes, Another important military piece of information has also drawn special attention from observers. On April 29, the U.S. Navy reported that the aircraft carrier USS Force will depart from the South China Sea region. to return home in the coming days. Previously, the Fifth Fleet had maintained an unprecedentedly strong presence with three aircraft carriers. At the same time, right at this location. Specifically, USS Force maintains a presence in the northern part of the Red Sea, while USS Lincoln remains stationed long-term in the Arabian Sea. and the USS Jacques E. W. Booth completed its voyage around the Cape of Good Hope to enter the Arabian Sea. The disease spread to three giant towers at a hotspot. had led many military experts to speculate that the United States was quietly, a defensive formation during a large-scale preemptive strike campaign aimed at Iran. However, the appearance of the USS Jacques E. W. Booth was in fact merely a routine force rotation. to fill the position left by the soon-to-be-departing USS Force, On one hand, officials at the White House have no intention of provoking a direct military confrontation in the near term. President Trump has repeatedly asserted that the supreme weapon he currently relies on is the economic straitjacket. Use financial pressure to suffocate the opponent's source of livelihood. For the coming weeks, the world is unlikely to witness a firestorm unleashed by the U.S. military descending upon the skies of Trung Dong. On the other hand, recalling the USS Force to the country is a completely reasonable decision from both a humanitarian standpoint and to ensure long-term combat effectiveness. As of now, this colossal warship has been traversing the oceans for 11 months straight. USS Force crossed the North Sea to join large-scale NATO exercises. Shortly afterward, in August and September, the ship anchored in Oslo, Norway, as Russian drones repeatedly violated Polish airspace. The journey continues heading south, crossing the Adriatic Sea with stops in Italy and Croatia. By October, amid the United States tightening its sanctions against Maduro's regime in Venezuela, the USS Force hastily weighed anchor and sailed across the Atlantic Ocean into the Caribbean Sea. After completing its mission here in January this year, the vessel had to continuously navigate through waves, returning night and day to Europe, passing through Greece's Crete Island, in order to arrive off the coast of Israel in time to participate in operations deterring Iran starting from February 28. For 11 months, the vast expanse of the sea, far from home, had pushed the strength and spirit of thousands of seamen to their absolute limit. The departure of the USS Force may lead many to question the strength of U.S. deterrence in the region. However, military officials assured the other two air force generals that their combat capabilities had not diminished. It should be remembered that during the initial phase of the intense tensions with Iran, the United States needed to deploy only two carrier groups to maintain overwhelming superiority. In addition, elite units such as the marine combat forces, attack flagship vessels, and the renowned 82nd Airborne Division have already taken position at strategic forward outposts. The U.S. military has ample capability to conduct small-scale land campaigns or carry out devastating air strikes. However, unless economic sanctions completely lose their effectiveness, the evil chili will not hastily withdraw its mirror from its shell. The missile strike from above reduced Iran's missile base to a ruined painting. While the political chessboard is being obscured by the fog of strategic calculations, Space images have provided the most authentic and vivid evidence of the brutality of the recent battles. When the armed clashes temporarily subsided, a series of high-resolution satellite images were released. Permits the analytical dissection of combat results in the forward area. The latest images from American satellites have revealed a horrifying truth. The Iranian facility, which was a critical strategic target, along with a nearby military camp, was completely destroyed by U.S. and Israeli missile fire. From above, the entire complex of architectural structures on the ground once represented the pride of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. There was nothing left but desolate ruins, flattened and ravaged as if they had never existed on the map. The weapon storage areas, radar control towers, and military personnel living quarters had all turned to dust under the destructive force of the most advanced modern bombs and missiles. However, during the military drills in Tehran, the scenario of being attacked from the air was taken into account. They allocated a massive budget to construct bomb shelters and an extensive underground network beneath the ground. Satellite images show these sturdy underground bunkers as if they had survived a firestorm. Nevertheless, the U.S. and Israeli militaries did not overlook this detail. Instead of trying to pierce through the thick reinforced concrete layers protecting the core areas, They had devised a cunning and devious strategy, refined through many battles. It was the concentrated firepower that destroyed all the tunnels and entrances of the underground system. Deep mine sources appear immediately at the entrances of tunnels and completely block all passages. By dismantling these initial ideas, The alliance successfully contained the expensive mobile missile launchers deep inside. Even if the missile remains intact, They also became useless iron masses when they could not be pushed out of the launch pad. This tactic helps to paralyze the opponent's ability to launch an immediate counterattack. but there is no need to resort to expensive and controversial nuclear penetration bombs. However, military analysts have also warned of a potential hidden risk. If a ceasefire is established and the break lasts for a prolonged period, With the current human resources and technical capabilities, Iran is fully capable of mobilizing engineering forces to clear debris. Restore the tunnel entrances; at that time, the missile launch platforms harboring the seeds of destruction once again, it can be brought up from underground to the surface, shift to the Dian's house and the objectives of the United States and its allies in the region. This forces Western reconnaissance satellites and unmanned micro-drones Must operate at full capacity, continuously monitoring all movements. Reconstruction in these sensitive areas around the clock. The mystery beneath the ground and Hezbollah's strategic tunnel network have been exposed. Not only in the air and at sea, but another front is also raging with extreme ferocity. Yet it completely dominates in the darkness, a battle beneath the earth. Recently, the Israeli military conducted a sweeping operation in the town of Qantara. southern Lebanon and discovered a shocking truth. They successfully found and destroyed two massive tunnel systems. considered one of the most important projects of the Hezbollah militant group in this area. The existence of these tunnels has not been around for just one or two days. but it is the result of a long, quiet process of upheaval and construction spanning over ten billion years with massive funding directly channeled from the Tehran government. The technical specifications of this underground network are impressive enough to astonish any strategy. The deepest part of the tunnel reaches 25 meters below ground level, penetrating through layers of hard rock. and reinforced to an extremely sturdy degree. The two tunnel systems are adjacent to each other but do not connect directly. forming a network stretching a total of 2 km. This is not merely a temporary hiding place, but often a fully equipped strategic headquarters. When combat orders are issued, Hezbollah's thousands of fighters can secretly march here. I forgot to wait for the opportunity, and then suddenly surfaced onto the ground. to launch bloody raids across the Israeli border. Deep inside, Israel's patrol forces A large quantity of weapons, ammunition, and military equipment has been discovered. Even more impressive are the thoughtfully designed living spaces intended to serve the needs of daily life. One of the two tunnels is divided into ten separate rooms. Each room is equipped with multiple tiered shelves, a ventilation system, and ample lighting. Inside the tunnels, fire-launching wells are even integrated. The snipers can directly fire homemade mortar shells from underground. to launch attacks into Israeli territory without having to expose themselves, making it very difficult for the enemy's air defense radar systems to accurately locate and timely intercept them. The existence of this underground network attests to the fact that Although the surface appears silent, the seeds of conflict are always sprouting. and the direct support flares up in the darkness of the earth's depths, freezing winter. The overarching picture, the current state of regional dental health, and the future of regional geopolitics. Looking at the current overall situation of the Zhongdong chess game, we can see a peculiarly tense state. A painting with an unclear boundary between war and peace. Two opposing forces do not directly deliver decisive blows to destroy each other. Yet neither side was willing to compromise, thus failing to ease the tension. The United States, with its overwhelming military strength, continues to maintain a solid presence at the frontline. to deter any moves by Iran. More importantly, the White House is using the navy as a colossal vise. to clog the economic lifeline of the opponent. As for Iran, they have maintained a hardline stance; after all, at the negotiation table, firmly refusing to retreat on the nuclear dossier, making the chance of achieving any diplomatic agreement in the near future virtually zero. The current situation in the Hormuz Strait, a vital maritime chokepoint, is the clearest evidence of this reality. It recalls the famous Schrödinger's cat experiment in physics. Right now, a large number of cargo ships are idly waiting in the Gulf of Oman due to the encircling blockade. Meanwhile, some ships from other countries chose a compromise approach. Wait for the substantial fees to the Iranian Navy to pass through safely. From the perspective of the Iranian coastline, large container ships are anchored, standing out against the blue sea. The harsh reality is that if Iran truly wanted to blockade the Strait of Hormuz, They don't even need complex radar systems. Just one cannon firing a single bullet, This most crucial maritime route in the world will instantly come to a standstill. History's cruel mockery is laid bare before our eyes. Vessels blocked by the United States cannot move. Ships wishing to avoid Iran's gun muzzles must pay up and fork out tolls. The United States and Iran are being drawn into a cycle of low-level confrontation yet it carries immense economic and geopolitical significance. A scenario of an immediate full-scale war is unlikely. Yet the hope for a peaceful solution is no less distant. Dear audience, the history of the Trung Dong region from ancient times to the present day Swords and spears have never been absent. Wars, no matter what their cause may be, from religion, territory, to resources, In the end, they all leave behind a legacy of destruction and unending hatred. The current tense standoff between the United States and Iran not just a battle of wits among powerful leaders but it also reflects a tragic law of geopolitics, Power is the only language truly respected at the international chessboard. When secondary calculations and lingering hopes still prevail, Peace is like a fragile, fleeting moment of calm between two wars. The bronze painting exhibition in the coming period will continue to be a dull gray of defensive resilience and tenacity and strategic calculations of the final outcome. The program would like to conclude here. Thank you for your continued attention. Kin Chi sincerely greets you and looks forward to meeting again.