How The American Dream Became Unaffordable For The Middle Class
In the U.S., a salary between $75,000 and $100,000 is often seen as middle class. Yet, with a 2023 average annual wage of $59,384, many Americans struggle as living costs outpace wages. From 1979 to 2024, productivity rose by 80.9%, but wages grew only 29.4%, widening the gap.
Rising housing prices, high unemployment, and reduced geographic mobility limit wage growth, while union decline and globalization pressure wages downward. Economic policies and high licensing requirements further constrain income growth. To support middle-income families, public policies must aim to distribute economic benefits more equitably across American households.
CHAPTERS: 0:00 Unaffordable American Dream 0:57 Wage & Living Costs Gap 2:23 Geographic Mobility 4:32 Globalization & Middle-Class 5:58 Politics & Economy
Produced by: Samantha Harvey Edited by: Jacob Smith Animation: Charlotte Brown Additional Footage: Getty Images
The American middle class is shrinking as wage growth fails to keep pace with inflation and the rising costs of housing, food, and healthcare. While productivity has surged, salaries have stagnated due to a combination of economic policies, decreased geographic mobility, globalization, and the decline of labor unions, leaving many households unable to cover basic living expenses.
Between $75,000 and $100,000 a year
is what most Americans consider middle class.
However, the average salary of an American worker
in the fourth quarter of 2023 was $59,384.
All across the U.S.,
families are facing unprecedented challenges.
The cost of food, electricity, and rent
have all been steadily increasing over the past 12 months.
There are fewer adults living in middle-class households
across the country.
From 1979 to 2024,
productivity in the country increased by 80.9%,
while hourly wages experienced only a 29.4% growth.
It appears workers are getting paid more,
but inflation may have them feeling
like they're getting paid less.
Over the past five years,
salaries have continued to lag behind inflation
in almost all fields of work.
So why have middle-class salaries stagnated in recent years?
And how does this affect all Americans?
The gap between the rise in the cost of living
and wage growth has become a distinctive feature
of the U.S. economy.
In June 2024, it was revealed
that two-thirds of middle-income households
felt their income was not enough to cover living expenses.
But a fundamental aspect affecting American wages
is economic policy.
We look after the overall stability
of the financial system, and we have tools to do that.
The Federal Reserve focuses on achieving maximum employment
and price stability,
using indicators like the natural unemployment rate,
which has historically fluctuated between 4.5% and 5.5%.
From 1949 to 1979, the real unemployment rate
was cumulatively 15.3% lower
than the natural unemployment rate.
In contrast, from 1979 to 2017,
the real unemployment rate has been 35.7% above this index.
This has negatively impacted wages,
which tend to grow more rapidly
during periods of low unemployment.
Side hustles aren't just a way to make
a little extra cash on the side anymore.
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that finds an alarming number of people
are relying on them just to make ends meet.
According to the Economic Policy Institute,
a one-percentage-point reduction in the unemployment rate
can lead to wage growth of between 0.4% and 0.9% for workers.
Thus, the high unemployment of recent decades
has weakened the purchasing power of the middle class.
Another factor contributing to the lack of income growth
for Americans is the decline in geographic mobility.
Historically, workers' ability to relocate
in search of better job opportunities
has been crucial for wage growth.
Child born in poverty in Atlanta or Charlotte
has roughly a 4% chance of rising
to the top fifth of income earners,
while odds of a similar climb for a child born
in Salt Lake City or San Francisco
are over 11%.
However, the proportion of Americans who move
has drastically fallen from over 20% in 1948
to just 8.7% in 2022.
This shift has been even more pronounced in recent years,
where only 1.6% of job seekers relocated
to find new jobs in 2023.
The location of jobs also plays a crucial role
in wage growth.
Despite the rise of remote work during the pandemic,
salaries in remote and hybrid roles
have not significantly increased
compared to full-time office jobs.
Additionally, housing costs have reached record levels
with a median price of $426,900
for existing homes in June 2024,
further hindering middle class mobility.
Rent has increased by more than 30%,
more than two thirds of the 200 largest metro areas
in the US.
The significant disparity in the salaries required
to be considered middle class across different states
also affects Americans.
For example, an annual income of up to $200,000
is needed in states like California and New Jersey
to be considered middle class,
while in states like Mississippi and West Virginia,
this figure is significantly lower.
Occupational licensing has limited job opportunities
and wage growth.
It is estimated that between one fifth
and one third of workers in the United States
need a license to practice their profession.
In general, jobs in states that require licenses
earn about 8% more than those in states that do not.
While licensing may seem necessary for certain professions,
many studies indicate
that there are no significant quality differences
in outcomes between states that require licenses
and those that do not.
Globalization has been another significant factor
putting pressure on the wages of the American middle class.
Trade with lower wage nations
has put pressure on middle class jobs
as many companies move their operations
to countries with lower production costs.
Our hemisphere has been invaded by China
and they are now the number one trading partner
in the region.
Many of the 500 largest industrial corporations
in the United States
have shifted a part of their manufacturing operations
from China to Mexico.
Between 1995 and 2013,
this trade reduced wages for workers without a college degree
by approximately 5.6%.
However, the impact of globalization on wage inequality
has been debated.
Some research suggests that the effect has been minimal
while others argue that trade policies
have benefited corporations
rather than protecting middle class workers.
The decline in union membership in the United States
has created an obstacle to wage growth.
For decades, union membership has been on the decline.
The early half of the 20th century
saw a rapid rise in labor union membership.
But today, only about one eighth
of American workers belong to them.
In 1983, approximately one in five Americans
belong to a union.
By 2023, that figure had dropped to one in 10.
Unionized workers earn about 15.9% more
than their non-unionized counterparts,
demonstrating the power unions have
to improve wage conditions.
Fiscal and labor policies
have a direct impact on wage growth.
Both political parties in the United States
recognize the economic pressures faced by families,
although their approaches to addressing these issues differ.
The Biden administration has focused
on strengthening domestic manufacturing
and union protections,
while the Trump administration promoted tariff policies
to protect the US economy from globalization.
The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017,
which reduced the corporate tax rate,
has sparked debate over its effectiveness
in increasing wages.
Some studies suggest that this reduction
led to an average increase of $750 in annual wages,
while others argue that these benefits
The decline of the middle class in recent decades
has been notable.
In 1971, the middle class represented 61%
of the US population.
By 2021, that figure had dropped to 50%.
Politicians on both sides of the aisle
talk about supporting the middle class,
but in the US, that group is shrinking.
The US middle class is shrinking,
and middle incomes are falling dangerously behind.
As living costs have risen, wages have not kept pace.
Since 1981, housing costs have increased by 300%,
while health and food costs have nearly doubled.
The decline in geographic mobility,
the pressure of globalization,
and the drop in unionization have contributed
to low- and middle-income families
struggling to make ends meet.
To mitigate the growing decline of the middle class,
it is essential to implement public policies
that not only promote economic growth,
but also ensure that the benefits of such growth
are reflected in low- and middle-income families.
The development and well-being of the economy
are crucial not only for middle-class families,
but for all Americans in general.