Why AI Is The Most Dangerous Thing You Can Imagine Right Now

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Hey Thoughty2 here. Earlier this year Facebook was working on a new highly-intelligent AI
chatbot that could talk to and negotiate with humans in a realistic manner. When one Facebook
engineer had the bright idea to take two of these AI bots and let them talk to each other,
that's when something unexpected and terrifying happened. The two AIs invented their own language
that us humans couldn't understand and began using it to talk to each other.
Here's a snippet of what the two bots, named Bob and Alice said to each other:
Bob: I can i i everything else Alice: balls have zero to me to me to me to
me to me to me to me to me to Bob: you i everything else
Alice: balls have a ball to me to me to me to me to me to me to me to me
The Facebook engineers had no idea what they where talking about, but it was very clear
that the AIs did. They had invented their own secret code to converse using the power
of artificial neural networks. International news soon reported that Facebook forcefully
shut down the experiment due to concerns that the AIs were becoming too smart, getting out
of control and to prevent a Skynet situation. This isn't entirely true, yes, they did shut
it down right away, but because they were trying to create an AI that could talk to
humans and if it was going to take the liberty to invent its own language then that wasn't
much use and so the experiment was a failure, in that respect. But nevertheless, this is
still really creepy. As we continue to advance Artificial Intelligence technology and push
the boundaries further and further every year, what happens when they do become self-aware,
sentient beings that are more intelligent than us humans? Could AI take over the world?
And will it be in our lifetimes?
Artificial Intelligence, the ability for computers to think at a human level and beyond and to
self replicate is not a dystopian vision of the future, it is hear, it is now, it is happening.
Most people are unaware at the phenomenal rate that our AI systems have improved over
the past five years and the trend is only getting steeper and steeper. You may not realise
but you use AI every day, we all do. Virtual Assistants like Google Assistant, Siri and
Alexa are obvious examples of cutting edge artificial intelligence, but it's also used
in many really subtle ways that affect your everyday life.
When you see music recommendations on Spotify and film suggestions on Netflix, there is
a highly complex computer algorithm behind that, an algorithm that teaches itself with
passing time, an AI. This is known as machine learning and large retailers such as Amazon
have been using machine learning algorithms for many years now, to predict what you want
to buy, perhaps before you even know yourself. In one infamous case in 2014 American retailer
Target Stores used artificial intelligence to predict that a teenage girl was pregnant,
before any of her family members knew and before she was even sure of it herself.
Target's cleverly designed machine learning algorithms had detected that this particular
Minnesota teenager's buying habits had changed slightly. Over the past couple of months,
she had begun purchasing scent-free soap and extra large bags of cotton wool balls. Upon
seeing his daughter's mail one day, the girl's father stormed into his nearest Target store
and said the following to the store manager: “My daughter got this in the mail! She’s
still in high school, and you’re sending her coupons for baby clothes and cribs? Are
you trying to encourage her to get pregnant?” A short while later, the store manager received
a phone call from the abashed father in which he said: “I had a talk with my daughter.
It turns out there’s been some activities in my house I haven’t been completely aware
of. She’s due in August. I owe you an apology.” So to answer the question, is AI smarter than
human's yet? The answer is perhaps not all of them, but smarter than one slightly naive
Minnesota father, absolutely.
Moore's law states that every year the amount of transistors in computer processing units
will double. This has held true every single year since Gordon Moore theorised it and the
first CPU was invented in 1971. So whilst superhuman artificial intelligence may not
be among us just yet, many futurists predict its advent could happen any time within the
next 50 years, some say it could be far sooner than that, in as little as 10 years time.
Some of the most intelligent individuals in the world who deal with futuristic technology
every single day have repeatedly warned that AI could be the most dangerous thing we ever
create and our greatest ever existential threat. Stephen Hawkins has made numerous pleas to
the global scientific community to tread carefully with AI, or face our own damnation and Elon
Musk is constantly expressing his concerns. In an interview Musk recently stated that
with artificial intelligence we are "Summoning the devil".
Many people who truly understand the power and dangers of Artificial Intelligence have
called it the "Last invention we'll ever make - the last challenge we'll ever face". Because
when the time comes, if we do get it wrong and we do lose control, there will be a final
challenge, a final war, a war against software, a war that we cannot win. Because the AI will
be so many millions times more intelligent than the entire human race, so whatever plan
we come up with, whatever we try to do to regain power and destroy the AI, the AI will
have already thought of well in advance. It would be like ants attempting to wage a war
on humans. Except many thousands of times harder.
From our perspective, as a species, we feel like we are supremely intelligent, compared
to our more primitive animal cousins. But in reality, humans are only fractionally more
intelligent than say, an ape. But that tiny fraction of increased intelligence has allowed
us to develop tools, language and thus civilisation. If we were to plot the intelligence of every
animal on planet earth on a graph from one to one thousand, if mice are at 1, then chimpanzees
would be at 4 and dolphins at 8, then that would place humans at a grand total of...
10. Whereas a super intelligent AI would easily be at 1,000, and likely many times higher.
Our brains are the most complex organism we have discovered in the entire universe but
as marvellous as they are, they are, at the end of the day, limited. They are confined
within our skulls, with only limited room for neurons. An AI would have no such limits,
our computing power isn't yet fast enough, but when the time comes in the very near future,
and it will due to exponential growth, when computer processors are many thousands of
times more powerful than they are today, AIs will have access to as much computer processing
power as they desire. And since software can travel at the speed of light, all over the
globe, there are truly no limits to how powerful an AI can grow. Add on top of that the fact
that shortly after a super AIs conception, it will most likely design its own faster,
smaller and more transient hardware to run on, hardware more powerful than humans could
ever fathom.
Before the AIs do take over and your brain becomes irrelevant, you should make the most
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no risk.
The very moment in time when humans create such a super intelligence - an artificial
intelligence that can re-write its own software and becomes just one percent more intelligent
that humans has a name. This theoretical event is called the "Singularity". Such an AI is
known within the scientific community as Artificial General Intelligence, all the AI we have created
to date is Artificial Narrow Intelligence, or weak AI, since it only operates within
specific boundaries and performs pre-designated tasks, such as shopping recommendations. But
a general AI would be essentially creating a sentient being, creating new life.
Recently the worlds greatest thinkers in the fields of AI and futurism were surveyed on
what year they think the singularity will happen, when will we create general AI? The
average answer was 2040, just over 20 years from now but some scientists have said it
could happen as soon as 2029. Our current technology is not even remotely close, but
in only 10 years it's highly likely that it will be, because human progression and innovation
is and always has been exponential, it is not linear. In the past 50 years we have made
more advances in technology than over the entire history of the human race, and over
just the past 10 years, we have made more technological advances than the previous 50.
Futurist and chief Google Engineer Ray Kurzweil estimates that by 2021, we will be making
more advances and new discoveries in just one year than we have over the entire past
century. This is known as the Law of Accelerating Returns.
98% of the scientific community agree that the singularity will definitely happen and
most of them believe it will happen in our lifetimes. So what will happen to the human
race? Well, the fact is, we don't know and we can never know, until the moment it happens.
One thing that all AI researchers agree strongly on is that when the singularity happens one
of two extremes will happen - the human race will either become extinct or become immortal.
When creating AI we are essentially creating a god, and we can't know if it will be a kind
god or an evil god until its too late. This is because the AI will be so many magnitudes
smarter than us, so our puny minds can't even begin to imagine what a being of such supreme
intelligence would be interested in. What would its desires, hopes, ideologies and morals
be?
If this omniscient AI turns out to be a merciful god the future will be an incredibly exciting
time but we'll look at that in a minute. Let's first take a look at scenario number one,
the extinction of the human race. Because, you know, it's nice to get all the doom and
gloom out of the way. If evolution has taught us one thing it's that a species will do whatever
it can in its power to survive and reproduce. There's no reason why AI would be any different.
Our planet contains limited resources and if the AI deems the entire human race as an
unnecessary consumer of said precious resources, then it could decide to terminate us to free
up all those lovely resources and energy
The only reason humans are civil and decent to other humans, most of the time, is because
they view them as intelligent beings. Why do we find it so easy and guilt-free to swat
a fly yet we wouldn't instantly condemn a stray dog to its death if it found its way
into our home? Because the dog is more intelligent than the fly, so humans, for some reason,
believe that that particular creature's life is worth more, due to its intelligence. This
is called humanisation and its an ability that psychopaths don't possess, their lack
of empathy when harming others comes from the fact that they are unable to humanise
their peers, they see them as lesser beings. So many Nazis felt comfortable and proud with
mercilessly slaughtering millions of Jews, because Hitler had quite wrongly portrayed
them as less intelligent and less worthy beings than the German peoples - he had de-humanised
them.
An AI would be so many magnitudes more intelligent than us that the chance of them de-humanising
us and seeing us more as a pest, similar to how we see ants and mosquitos, is very high.
This would erase any moral guilt they could potentially have about committing genocide.
And how would they go about said genocide? It would be a grand plan so intelligent and
complex that we can neither predict it nor see it coming. Something like, the AI creating
trillions of nano robots that would enter into the bloodstreams of every human on Earth
undetected and then, simultaneously release a tiny quantity of the most toxic poison that
the AI is capable of creating, instantly killing over 7 billion people.
We have no idea how a super AI would think, it could be because of the most basic oversight
in its design. For example, if we create an AI to grow potatoes for us and its primary
goal is to grow as many potatoes as possible. It could one day decide that to grow more
potatoes it needs more land and humans are taking up that land, so it eradicates all
life on Earth, so it can have more room for potato fields. This seems like a stupid prospect,
but its entirely possible, because we don't know what the motives would be of an AI, there
is no guarantee it would view life with the same esteem as we do. One thing that will
not happen is the classic Hollywood image of killer robots out of control. Such "hardware"
would be far too primitive and rudimentary for a super AI, it's choice of weaponry would
be something we don't even know exists yet and something far more effective and terrifying.
But what about the more cheerful outcome? When the singularity hits, what if we discover
that our new sentient overlord is merciful and kind, then boy are we in for a wild and
exciting future. Once the AI reaches levels of intelligence many thousands or even millions
of times that of the human race there are essentially three roles that it could take
within our world.
It could act as an oracle, doing no more than answering any question we ask it. Such as
"How do we solve world hunger?", "How can we build a time travel machine?", "What is
the answer to life, the universe and everything?". So it would essentially be Deep Thought.
The second role it could undertake would be more like a super intelligent servant, a genie
if you like, where it would actually enact what we asked of it. A super-intelligent being
would very likely know how to modify, dissemble and re-assemble atoms and even particles,
and build anything it likes. So we could ask it to build us a time machine, and it would,
using some advanced atomic-level construction technique that us humans couldn't even begin
to comprehend.
The final role it could take on is a ruler, overlord or sovereign. Basically, a god. When
the singularity happens there will be an intelligence explosion, because of the recursive self-improvement
that the AI will be capable of, it will shoot past human level intelligence like a rocket.
Within days, possibly even hours it will have solved world hunger, cured all diseases and
hereditary conditions, reinvented human transportation, possibly even introducing us to teleportation
and figured out the most stable and fair political and economic systems to run our world. But
all this is only the beginning.
When I say we will have created a god, I'm not exaggerating. The AI will effortlessly
be able to create and destroy life and shape the very earth itself. Think about it, for
a few years now scientists have been able to manipulate and move individual atoms in
the lab. If it's possible for us dumb humans to move atoms then it goes without saying
that a super-intelligent being could effortlessly rearrange billions of atoms all at once, meaning
nothing in the universe will be safe from its touch. The AI god could move mountains
and part the seas, Moses-style. Anything and everything could be transmuted into something
else. Garbage could be transformed into bags of rice or even chunks of meat, we would no
longer need to farm animals because atomically-identical meat and other foods could be created out
of anything.
This of course leads to immortality. If the AI can re-arrange atoms then it could, theoretically
create an anti-aging box that an eighty-year-old could walk into and come out the other side
twenty-years-old again. The AI could even create super-intelligent nano bots that would
permenantly live inside all of us and would constantly repair damaged cells, so we would
no longer age. After all the body is like a car, if we can repair it from the inside
it will keep going forever. The human body is just a lot more complex than a car engine,
but it would be child's play to a super AI. And if we were to get knocked down by a bus?
No problem, we could of course ask the AI to back up our brains in advance and a new
body, even a new identical brain, could easily be created and the backup be restored, if
the worst were to happen to us. We truly would become immortal.
Of course, we would eventually come to the realisation that our bodies and limited brains
are only holding us back. We would eventually abandon our physical bodies and upload ourselves
into a new digital realm, where we too would become an AI, just as intelligent as the AI
god that we created. And once we have all become sentient, space travel would be a breeze,
since we would all be software, we could simply beam ourselves on a laser beam to other planets
and other galaxies.
All I have talked about seems like science fiction, possibly scenarios that could unfold
thousands of years in the future, but the terrifying reality is that we are on the very
cusp of all this happening within the next fifty to one hundre years or sooner, the majority
of the world's greatest scientists agree with this. So the next twenty to fifty years are
going to be either terrifying or exciting, but one thing is for sure, we are about to
create our very last and the most significant invention in our entire 2.5 million year lifetime
as the human race. Thanks for watching.
