Winston Churchill's unconventional vision for post-war Germany
Oct 14, 2026
It's 1945, February to be more precise,
and a bunch of political and military leaders
have secretly traveled thousands of kilometers
to meet in the region of Yalta in Crimea,
at the time part of the Soviet Union.
The Yalta Conference, also known as the Crimea Conference,
and which had the codename Argonaut,
took place in the Livadia Palace and saw extremely important
participants such as Field Marshal Sir Alan Brooke
of the United Kingdom, Fleet Admiral
William Leahy of the United States
or General Alexei Antonov of the Soviet Union. The conference
was one of three major conferences of the Allied powers
that took place at the final stages of
World War II to define the future of the world after it,
preceded by the Tehran Conference in
1943 and the Potsdam Conference in August of 1945.
unconditional surrender,
we may allow ourselves a brief period of rejoicing.
As early as the Tehran meeting,
there was a shared view among the participants that
a post-war division of Germany was necessary,
although disagreeing on the number and type
of division needed.
But let's get back to Yalta.
Above all, the conference had three distinguished guests,
President Roosevelt of the US, Joseph
Stalin of the Soviet Union and Winston Churchill,
Prime Minister of the United Kingdom.
I'm going to provide a brief amount of historical context
for the conference and its goals here.
If you want to skip to the Winston Churchill proposal,
you can use the timestamps to find
it.
A fun fact, Roosevelt initially wanted
this meeting to take place at a neutral location
in the Mediterranean, such as Malta,
Cyprus, Sicily, Athens or even Jerusalem.
But Stalin insisted that his doctors opposed any long trips,
proposing instead for them
to meet at the Black Sea resort of Yalta.
Apparently, his fear of flying was one
of the major contributing factors in this decision.
These three leaders represented
the three major states involved in the conflict at that
point.
A point which, by the way, was very close to the end of the war.
By then, the western allies had liberated all of France
and Belgium and were fighting
on the western border of Germany.
In the east, Soviet forces were a mere 65 kilometers from Berlin,
having already pushed
back the Germans from Poland, Romania and Bulgaria.
The question at this point wasn't if Germany
was going to lose, it was when and what to
do with it when the time came.
Oh and also, France was oddly left out of the conference.
General de Gaulle wasn't invited
and was pretty offended by it, saying it was because
Roosevelt hated him, but apparently the Soviets
also didn't want him there.
Anyway, the conference discussed various important topics
and paved the way for the future of
a lot of territories, such as Poland,
Eastern Europe in general, Japan, Korea, the importance
the UN among other things.
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Now let's get back to the
video. I won't get into the other topics of the conference.
If you want I can make a full video
on it, here I will focus on one thing, Germany.
Like I mentioned before, the post-war division
of Germany was seen as key since the first conference of Tehran
and it was in this meeting
in Yalta that the way was paved for the effective separation
of Germany after the war. This was a
key difference, not only was Germany forced
to unconditionally surrender as had been decided by
the allies already, but they were also to be dismembered.
We can actually read a telegram
sent by the US ambassador in the UK
to the American Secretary of State on April 12, 1945,
stating,
At my request, Mr. Eden called a meeting late Wednesday
of the Committee on Dismemberment
of Germany. I raised the question of informing the French,
who, remember, hadn't been a part
of the conference, of the inclusion
of the word dismemberment in Article 12 of the Instrument
of Unconditional Surrender for Germany
and of French participation in the discussions
on said dismemberment.
This dismemberment or to use a simpler word separation as it ended up
actually happening initially consisted of Polish annexation
and Soviet occupation in the east and
French, British and American occupation
in the west along with the temporary creation of the
Saar Protectorate near the French border with Berlin itself
also being divided in four. Eventually
these occupation zones were transformed into East
and West Germany the first being a Soviet puppet
state until the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989.
However, this division wasn't set in stone in Yalta
and only the occupied division of
Berlin was agreed upon.
For Germany as a whole, the door
was still open regarding the type of division that would
take place and whether or not it would be temporary or permanent.
The Saar Protectorate itself could have been permanent too,
it existed from 1946 to 1956.
In that year, they voted on whether to be independent
or to effectively reincorporate
with West Germany, with the latter winning with 67% of the vote.
An interesting fact was that German Chancellor
Konrad Adenauer actually campaigned for independence
of the region, something the French wanted.
In fact, after World War I,
the Saar-Basin Protectorate was also created after the war,
being ruled by France and the British from 1920 to 1935,
also reuniting with Germany
after a referendum.
The prosperity of the region really made the French want it,
or at least want the Germans
not to have it, also safeguarding more
of their border from being in direct contact
with Germany.
But anyway, this was another tangent, let's get back to Yalta.
Because of this desire to separate Germany
and the disagreement between the Allies on
how to do it, a decision was taken to create
a committee on the dismemberment of Germany,
the one mentioned in that earlier telegram.
Within the actions of that committee
were the considerations of various proposals for
the separation of Germany into various nations,
among them one that actually took place but
also one, the point of this video,
proposed by Winston Churchill at that same Yalta conference,
at least arguably.
What we're going to do now is go through very briefly
the way the committee worked,
what it stated and what the main options for the division were,
focusing on the Churchill
one given its audacity and difference from the rest.
So what did this committee actually do?
Its purpose was to decide whether Germany
was to be divided into several nations and
if so, what borders and interrelationships
the new German states were to have.
Up to six German nations were considered being created
by the committee, although I only
found this in text sources and no maps
or descriptions of which these nations would
be and where and only three main proposals
for the division are commonly registered.
The Churchill Plan, the Morgenthau Plan
and the Effective Division Plan that took place.
We'll go through each of these in a minute.
Still to be honest, the division plan seems
to have been based solely on the separately
decided upon occupation plan,
then transforming into East and West Germany due to that occupation
more than any other plan for division.
It seems perhaps that the point of the committee was not fulfilled.
In fact, there's very little to be found about
the proceedings of the committee.
All I could come across on my research
were these telegrams seemingly sent to the Secretary
of State of the US by the same US ambassador to the UK, John Winant.
In one from March 29, 1945,
he states that he attended the first meeting of the committee
and that they outlined their main
considerations in fulfilling their task.
First, how to prevent future German aggression,
second, how to achieve this goal, considering
the destruction of German industry as an aid to demilitarization
and the armament and third,
if for this first consideration to be fulfilled,
the division of Germany was needed and how.
Further on he also states that the Soviet
government understands the Crimea conference
decision in respect to Germany's dismemberment
not as an obligatory plan for dismemberment
but as a possibility in exercising pressure
on Germany with an aim of rendering it harmless
in case other means should prove inadequate.
So perhaps the role of the committee was more
to allow a threat by the allies towards defeated
Germany of abide by our rules or we'll split you up.
Now let's effectively take a look
at the two main proposals for separation other than
the one that ended up taking place.
What was Winston Churchill's plan?
Some people claimed the plan had been abandoned
by 1944 already and so he couldn't have
presented it in Yalta, but still it existed.
Churchill's plan was odd especially when compared to other ones.
He only attributed land lost to Germany's pre-war borders
in eastern Prussia, the territorially
disconnected territory,
which would be attributed to an independent Poland, although allowing
the Soviets to keep eastern Polish territories they had gotten through
the Molotov-Ribbentrop
Pact. A North German state would therefore exist.
In the Saar Basin, a West German state,
which would separate part of the main industrial area
from the rest of the Germans, stopping them
from firing up their war machine in the future,
being an international zone controlled by allied
powers, taking away Germany's coal, steel and industry.
And oddest of all, a South German state,
composed of Bavaria, Baden and Württemberg,
but also including Austria, Hungary and Carpatho-Ukraine.
Austria would be reasonably understandable,
they have a Germanic culture and even share a Roman
Catholic religion with southern Germany,
but why Hungary and Carpatho-Ukraine, regions that are
necessarily very culturally different?
Perhaps he thought Austria-Hungary worked well together,
their empire was chaotic,
but in reality more because of their Balkan territories and not
necessarily the Austro-Hungarian Union itself.
It's said that his goals were to divide Germany
into a monarchist Catholic and a Protestant state,
cementing their division and avoiding
future reunification by drawing the borderline here.
Second, spare southern Germany given that
historically militarism had emanated from Prussia in the north.
And third, protect Hungary and
Carpatho-Ukraine from falling under the Soviet
and communist sphere of influence that came from
Eastern Europe. Oddly enough,
it wasn't the first time in history that a confederation of the Danube
was proposed, although with a different territory.
In 1850, Hungarian statesman Lajos Kossuth proposed
the creation of the state following the Hungarian War
of Independence in 1848 against Austria. It's
interesting to mention that Austria itself was also
the subject of a divided occupation by the
Allies and the Soviet Union after the war exactly in the same manner,
but I feel like this isn't
really talked about. They had four areas,
belonging to the Allies in the West and Vienna
also being divided within the Soviet area.
This lasted from 1945 to 1955, being occupied and
divided, it is reasonable that it would be included
in a post-war territorial reorganization plan
for Central Europe.
The plan was eventually abandoned, arguably by Churchill himself,
but above all by the circumstances
which took place in the post-war period. The only other
Another mainly known plan considered by this committee,
contrasting to the one presented
by the UK, was one presented by US Secretary
of Treasury Henry Morgenthau.
In another telegram, from January 10, 1945,
Morgenthau addresses President Roosevelt about
this.
It becomes clear that his goal above the division
of Germany was the destruction of its industry
and the division was merely a means to achieve that.
In the Morgenthau plan, some land losses would take place
in the east to Poland, although
not as many as there ended up being in reality.
In the north some land would also be given to Denmark
and France would annex the Saar Basin area.
Then three not two German states would be created,
North Germany, South Germany and an international zone
in the Ruhr area, Germany's most industrialized
zone. South Germany would also enter a customs union with Austria,
who would regain its pre-war
borders. While North and South would be independent,
the Ruhr would be controlled by a UN organization
that would oversee the complete destruction
of all industrial equipment, similar to Churchill's idea
but with an expanded zone that reached up to the northern coast
and the important Kiel port and
canal. An investigation concluded the plan was unworkable
and would result in up to 25 million
Germans dying from starvation, although Morgenthau disputed the claim.
Without support from his own
government there was no real consideration for this plan to take place.
It's very interesting
to also see FDR's position on these.
For instance, on a telegraph from April 6, 1945, he states,
I've just read Special German Series No. 2 from Winnendt.
I think our attitude should be one of
study and postponement of final decision.
My original thought, which I still maintain,
is with the purpose of elimination of the word Reich,
making it clear that regardless of the
choice of separation, this was a key point for a future Germany.
However, an earlier telegram
from January that year, forwards a memorandum which states that,
to prevent World War III,
the Allied powers must avoid an enforced partition of Germany into two
or three autonomous states,
unless they result from a referendum by the German people.
It therefore seems that,
despite the wish for a separated Germany
by all Allied powers during the war, this wish ended up
not taking place after the war was done.
Sure, East and West Germany were divided, first in their
occupation zones and then into two Germanys,
but I believe this was more a direct consequence of
that occupation policy rather than a plan for the division
of Germany itself as a result of the work
of the committee. In fact,
I would argue that the creation of those two states is itself directly
related to the reason why a further division
of Germany into several independent states didn't
take place, which is the beginning of the Cold War.
For the Western Allies, it suddenly became
more important to have a resilient post-war West Germany
that would stop Soviet advances
into Western Europe. Even
though the initial occupation plan presented the option for Britain
to release a Northern German state
and the US to release a Southern German state, instead of
unifying it into the Federal Republic as they ended up doing,
as well as the Soviets could
have done in the East instead of keeping a puppet state,
this alone would have created a set of
three German countries.
In addition, it seems that the demilitarization of Germany had been
enough to remove the danger of future conflict,
at least considering the new emergent threat
of the Soviet Union at the time.
In fact, there was even another unfollowed Churchill plan called
Operation Unthinkable which would see an attack
on the Soviet Union in 1945 with British, American
and German soldiers.
Despite this not taking place, I believe it proves the point of how
the Soviets were suddenly seen as the major threat even leading them
to consider the post-war Germans
as possible allies. I think it was this evolution
and the growing Soviet threat that above all
rendered the work of the committee irrelevant
and allowed for them to ignore not necessarily
Churchill or Morgenthau's proposals
which were refused for being too harsh or unrealistic but
other options for the division of Germany
into several sovereign states. Furthermore it's arguable
that this new scenario also paved the way
for European internal cooperation, perhaps
paving the way for the European coal
and steel community and even the modern European Union.
So that was a brief overview of the crazy plan
by Winston Churchill to divide Germany
as well as Austria and Hungary into various states,
providing some historical context
as to when this proposal came up,
the Yalta conference being preceded by the conference
in Tehran and followed by the one in Potsdam.
Understanding how from the Yalta conference came
the creation of a committee on the dismemberment
of Germany, even getting to look
at some historical telegrams that speak of these matters and
learning about at least one other proposal for German separation,
the Morgenthau plan.
Then concluding how this committee's plans
were not really fulfilled and the only effective
division of Germany was the one that happened
as a consequence of the separately decided
occupation zones with the issue
of further separation being abandoned likely due to the
new threat of a Cold War with the Soviets.
Again there were limited sources on this so leave a
comment below with any additional information you may have
or any corrections if you notice mistakes
on my part. Do you think the Allies should have pursued
this war objective and pushed for an
effective division of Germany
into various states perhaps even including neighboring nations and
what do you think that division should have been?
Or was the temporary East-West split along with
significant loss of territories enough to along
with the militarization achieve the same goal
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