Solar Activity Update! Eight M-Class Solar Flares & A G-3 Geomagnetic Storm July 4th 2026!

James Kaufman, World News Report today. Ladies and gentlemen, we're in a heavy geomagnetic storm, and have been since yesterday afternoon. Right when I told you the next shoot or drop would put us in a geomagnetic storm. We're going all the way up to a G3 geomagnetic storm here, and that's on the estimated planetary KP index. It's a weight of solar winds and plasma combined that is hitting Earth at these four different areas here are points. The estimated planetary KP index is the one exclusively used by NASA and NOAA, been upgraded and measures in third of holes, i.e. 3.3, 3.67, 4, 4.3, 4.67, etc. where all the other KP indexes only measure in holes. So this is a much more up-to-date KP index, and it brings us into a KP7.33, which would be a G3 geomagnetic storm, and that would be from 10 to 1 last night central time. We're currently still in a G2 geomagnetic storm, And they expect this to continue on and off into tomorrow. And here we check our KP7.33 suggested G3 geomagnetic storm. We're currently in a G2 geomagnetic storm. And we could very well fall back into a G3 or continue as we're going here. I'm going to show you what they believe will happen. and these are just forecasts i'll also show you what created this mess if you don't remember all right to start off with we've had eight m-class solar flares today no x-class solar flares but eight m-class solar flares we had some very strong m-class solar flares at the end of the day yesterday so we're dealing with around 11 or 12 m-class solar flares that have a chance of being geo-effective towards earth we'll see activity from well some of these m-class solar flares now if y'all want to remember what's causing the weather right now take a look at seven day chart and we'll jump back to this m flare here in this x 1.11 flare right here so we're enjoying this time period right here and as you can see that puts us right into about this this time period uh with a regular speed of a coronal mass ejection now please remember I said this is going to probably be ongoing. Look at all these M flares and close to X flares that we have that happened the very next day on the 1st of July. This means the 30th of June. Now, the 1st of July, we had that M 8.57, the almost X flare I just showed you about, which will be geo-effective towards Earth. It will continue this storm. And late yesterday, and let's see if it's on here, it is, peaking at 1859, we had an M6.38. And we discussed that really most all of the three complex sunspots were popping off at the same time sympathetically. Again, we've had eight M-class solar flares today, mostly generated by AR-4479, and yesterday's M-class solar flares were generated by AR-4478. We've had one M-2 flare generated by 4480. Now, some of those flares yesterday almost are certainly going to be geo-effective towards Earth, but because of how far 4479 has moved around towards the outgoing limb, well, we have to flip a coin on some of that stuff. Today, we had a 20% chance of having an X-class solar flare. Today is far from over. A 70% chance of having an M-class solar flare. We've had eight of them, and we're running a C baseline, a very heavy C baseline, a C3.62 currently. It's a busy day, ladies and gentlemen. Now, here you can see AR4479. It's the only Delta-class sunspot still on the Earth-facing side of our solar disk. It is very active currently. 4478 and 4480, these are the ones that have been active. we've seen no real activity out of 4481 we have a sunspot here you can see it's about to have to be named it looks like it could be fairly complex so total of four sunspots on the Earth-facing side of the disk plus one that probably needs to be named only one Delta class sunspot and one beta gamma class sunspot and two simple sunspots now this picture was just taken 39 minutes ago so wow are we getting some up-to-date information you can see 7-9 there is just a constant eruption now NASA and NOAA are already pointing out this coronal hole it should be central disk in about 40 hours and then we can add another 40 hours for those solar winds to reach earth from that coronal hole unless for some reason the canopy covers it back up uh this is the sunspot that has been named eight one and here's the sunspot coming around the limb right here that will be named probably by days all right here we are today with our G2 G3 they've been doing a pretty good job here of guesstimating unless they armchair quarterback this was put together today so they very well could have done it after they had these numbers very well could have done it after they had these numbers and it looks like they did unless they happen to get it perfectly correct uh you can see that we should be leaving that first part of the geomagnetic storm and at some point tomorrow july 5th we should revisit a lighter geomagnetic storm according to NOAA's Kp index forecast breakdown from july 4th 5th and 6th now they're not great at this unless they armchair quarterback it which means well write it down after the fact so we'll see what happens well i guess the story today here is eight M-flares out of that sunspot group AR4479 and that was probably yesterday yes it was that was the bigger flare yesterday eight M-flares and three at the close of day yesterday we have 11 M-flares we were might have to possibly deal with y'all know that earth is actually connected to the Sun on this outgoing limb and that is our geomagnetic connection to our Sun so when we have a big explosion on the outgoing limb there's a good chance that the energy could actually follow the magnetic connection or rope to Earth right here okay and actually move down that magnetic connection or magnetic rope and we could be affected by anything on the outgoing eight today and a combination of three and that was the second one of the two all right might remember my workup from yesterday easily seen two very powerful one after another all right really what i want you to see here is basically there is plasma leaving our sun most all of the day i mean just all of the day there's plasma leaving our sun here so expect and it's mostly coming from AR4479 in this corner up here but please expect that there's a chance that one of these chromospheric ejections could impact earth all right i want to show you guys most of the eight flares did impact earth as far as the x-ray the x-rays made to earth this is our d region lowest level of the atmosphere absorption prediction center and you can see that everyone got a large dose of x-ray radiation today here on planet earth for the fourth of july happy fourth of july folks and you can see that well uh this goes on forever i'm gonna speed it up speed it up a bit so we can see some of these flares we won't be able to see all eight but we'll be able to see a good amount of them and then you can see now it's over the u.s i don't know if it's had a good influence of the u.s yet but the day is far from over wow what's the story of the day here Well, it looks like they're calling out another G3 geomagnetic storm right here This is the first one we saw today. This one, we didn't see it on the estimated planetary Kp index, but that is a G3 geomagnetic storm right there within the last six hours. So we're still in heavy storm conditions. Take a look at what we're seeing here. plasma went up as high as there's 34 there's 40 centimeters cubed higher than they guesstimated so solar winds went up to 629 i thought they might go a little faster than that 638 i was guessing closer to 700 kilometers per second uh but we started so low here at 386 and that plasma pushed those solar winds in front of it it did double their speed but doubling only brought it up to about 640 you can see that plasma did reach a higher level than we thought it would that 40 centimeters cube 37 where'd I grab that 40 had to be right there outside so that's some heavy plasma everything we uh well the forecast indicated and it's like we're back in space weather territory here with plasma at about 19 20 23.6 and now that it's left it's under 10 again our shields they were down the whole time or oriented south they're now oriented north which is really going to do us well uh the red line shows us if our shields are up or down uh and this middle line here uh well anything below like this purple area that's outlined here bad news bad news for earth and that's right when the heavier plasma was hitting and it probably this heavy plasma here probably destroyed the shields and forced them below to go down basically and we have our shields back above that zero line which means our shields are back up they're oriented to the north and we should be pretty safe you can see temperatures went up with the plasma and the solar winds now they're back to exactly normal to exactly normal this is Discover Solar wind satellite orbits at 1 million miles above earth takes about 40 minutes for what you're seeing here to reach earth jumping over to ACE real-time space weather satellite also at Lagrange 1 million miles above earth Discover Phoenix its replacement well folks they're giving us data It's a day old, and it's like it went crazy yesterday. Space weather might have hit it so hard, it might have disoriented the spacecraft, or they're holding back information. This one's sometimes easier to read, and we're not going to be able to read it because this is for yesterday, and this information looks to be, well, corrupted. All right, over to SDO, HMI Magnetogram, and C4479. It really, really looks mean. It looks like it's a reverse polarity sunspot with the black over the white, but hard to tell at that angle. We have the 4480 going around, 4478, is that right? Still in play. And this sunspot has been named. There's not much to it, 4481. And then you can see that we have a dangerous sunspot by the polarities here coming around. I see white over black in the southern hemisphere. And then white over black in the southern hemisphere is reverse polarity. It should always be black negative over white in the southern hemisphere. And white over black, positive white over negative black in the northern hemisphere. All right, this was taken at 7.06 this morning on the 4th of July. see that coronal hole is coming into play unless the canopy decides to cover it and these are our three very active sunspot groups this is 81 that's just been named i guess this is 82 that will soon be named so get ready it should be in play by tomorrow or if not the next day again this is Soho at 284 angstroms and this is a simple pressure model to show you that we are in fact in a geomagnetic storm caused by the plasma hitting our bow. This is our planet in the middle here the daytime and nighttime side. Remember it spins 360 degrees every 24 hours. It's moving to the left here at about 67,000 miles an hour, orbiting our sun once every year. And what we see in red is heavy plasma and solar winds nailing that bow. So that's what you're seeing, folks. It's the real deal. So what is today's reality? Well, three late inflers, two large ones yesterday, eight inflers today. Most of this stuff's not going to be geo-effective towards Earth Although there is a lot of plasma leaving our sun currently Now, what else are we looking at here? Well, we're seeing that there was really two spots of G3 geomagnetic storm If this is a 6.67, which it is And for some reason they did not mark it as a G3 They marked it as a G2 geomagnetic storm and that was the last shooter drop by the way so we're still in well we were in some pretty nasty plasma that went to only about 20 centimeters cubed if you recall on solo and i think we're about done for the day uh although i'm not sure if the next shooter drop because it is a three hour period will show that we're still in a geomagnetic storm we're not okay we're not everything is basically back to normal as of now and we're looking for a second impact at some time either this evening or tomorrow that said god bless each and every one of y'all please share and subscribe and well give us a thumbs up guys very important And remember that anything's possible in Bizarro World. God bless. Happy Fourth of July. And for those of y'all that are still here, I wanted to show y'all that all the revenue was taken away from my four-hour, four-hour live show last night on the fireworks intro Seven or eight hundred viewers. And we had two companies taken away, each with a 17 second 17 second i've already uh appealed and asked asked to go to court uh 17 seconds on each one of these deals i'll dismiss this one uh on two different songs unbelievable god bless you guys drop us a super chat or a uh well buy us a cup of coffee if you can. It's tough to keep this going when you put four hours of work in and they take all your revenue. Well, have a wonderful 4th of July and I know I'll be back.