Earth Facing Solar Flares & Still In A Heavy Geomagnetic Storm October 1st 2025!

James Kaufman, World News Report, today. Ladies and gentlemen, it is October 1st, and we're still in a very strong geomagnetic storm, believe it or not. It's even really gotten stronger on us. I just can't imagine the solar winds from that coronal hole already reaching Earth, but it looks like that's what has occurred. At least that's our best guess thus far. Taking a look at the KP index, it's a combination of solar winds and plasma hitting the ground in different areas of the country. Our Boulder index first, well, it shows 12 hours of a G1 geomagnetic storm and about three hours of a rest period. Taking a look at our Fredericksburg KP index, we started the day with six hours of a geomagnetic disturbance for about three hours. Very light solar winds, followed by a G1 geomagnetic storm. Now our estimated planetary index. This is the KP index that was just upgraded by NASA, exclusively used by NASA and NOAA. And you'll see that it actually measures in thirds instead of whole numbers like the rest of them. And this starts the day out with... Nine hours of a G1 geomagnetic storm, followed by a geomagnetic disturbance, followed by a G2 geomagnetic storm here. Finally, our college index, always or usually the most sensitive, started the day out with six hours of a geomagnetic disturbance, went to a G3 geomagnetic storm, and then back to a G2 geomagnetic storm for the last six hours. Moving over to NOAA's dashboard itself, we've had another three-hour period added, a G1 geomagnetic storm here just added, coming off that G2 geomagnetic storm, the lightest G2 you could have, a 5.67. So we've had 12 hours of a G1 geomagnetic storm, three hours of a G2 geomagnetic storm, and a lull in the middle of the day, which makes very little sense. All right, it looks like we've had two M-class solar flares. First one was right around 2:30 UTC time, an M1.26. We had a couple of strong C flares in there. Then we just had a second M-class solar flare, and this was right about 16.45 UTC time. It came in at about a one point 1.25, 1.25, so two M1 solar flares, now I'd say nothing to worry about, but our shields are down, we're in that equinox period, we're dealing with the Russell-McFerrin effect, and, well, these are directly Earth-facing blasts, so if they lifted a coronal mass ejection off the sun, They will be inbound, and they will be disruptive towards Earth. Headed over to Space Weather Live, we see that we've had one M-class solar flare here at 42.32. That's going to be a beta gamma sunspot. You can tell by the color orange here. We have two delta-class sunspots, the most complex sunspots of 42.30 and 42.36. Now, 4236 is going to be responsible for the last M-class solar flare. They just have not had time to post it yet, believe it or not. This happened exactly 72 hours ago, and I think we dealt with that yesterday. They saw the plasma jump yesterday. So we have two. Light M-class solar flares, one from 4232 and one from 4236, it's not mentioned yet, although we'll be able to visibly see it pop off. All right, 15% chance of an X-class solar flare. We do have two delta sunspots on our Earth-facing solar disk. 60% chance of an M-class solar flare. We've had two thus far. We're running at C3.3 currently, basically a C baseline, so there's a 100% chance of having a C flare. Over to HMI Intensigram, you can see 42.36 responsible for the last M flare, as you will see in just a moment, and then 42.32 responsible for the other M1.25 solar flare earlier in the day. 42.30 thus far has been quiet. These are our two delta sunspots. This is our beta gamma sunspot. And these are all simple sunspots. We have a total of nine sunspots that are Earth-facing currently. And there should be more named coming around the limb here. All right, our last hour on goes on the ultraviolet imager. See that M flare pop off right there. Just like we talked about. That is from that delta class sunspot, 4236. And there she blows. Now, we have had this coronal hole facing Earth for some time. Looks like some of it has had a chance to face Earth for at least 40 hours. And we're seeing a huge uptick in solar winds, as I will show you guys. Now, just in case y'all couldn't see it. NOAA was nice enough to put together this coronal hole pictorial for us, showing us where the coronal hole was. Of course, a coronal hole is where we don't have our outer canopy and it allows solar winds to leave the sun at a much faster pace. Coronal holes create solar winds, filament eruptions, and Solar flares create coronal mass ejections, which are made up of plasma and solar winds, but their main component is plasma. All right, headed over to our NOAA KP index forecast from the 1st, 2nd, 3rd. They came in and, well, Monday morning, armchair quarterbacked this thing yesterday. They haven't done this today, so it's... Well, nothing but good news, although this is not reality here on the 2nd. We've all seen that already. I think it's so strange that they come in and fix their work after they've already screwed it up here on the KP forecast. All right, over to our Space Weather Prediction Center. We've just upgraded this model for 1.3 million dollars last year, and let's see how it did. Today is the first. It's got plasma starting the day off at around, I would say, 7, 7, maybe 7 1⁄2 centimeters. And ending the day at about 4, maybe 3 centimeters. So 7 1⁄2 to 3, something like that. That's our plasma. Let's look at our solar winds on the first now. They started out at about 425, maybe 400. They did go up. But they only rose to about 550. Looks like they'll rise the rest of the way tomorrow here. They have it going up to about 575. I believe solar winds are currently up to over 800 kilometers per second. Over 800 kilometers per second. 7.5 to 3. And let's see, 400 to 475. Over to our D-region absorption prediction center, D-region being the lowest part of our atmosphere, closest to us, Earth. This is our X-rays that are getting through the radiation, and everyone's getting a good dose, as you can see, all around the globe. This is the last M-flare that just popped off right there, mostly over South America and the Caribbean. Some very, very small parts over maybe Florida, over parts of the Atlantic and Pacific, and of course, the Caribbean's pretty well dead in the strike zone of that, along with Venezuela, Colombia, etc. All right, headed over to our Discover satellite, real-time solar winds. You see our shields are down here, at least leaning towards the south here, that, well, is what I'm talking about, I'm going to say that shields have a southern component to them. It really allows what little solar weather to come through. Now, I would say that, but we're seeing some pretty strong solar winds. We had this bunch of plasma here. Now, most of the day, plasma has been in the 2, about 2.75 range, baseline down to zero here. About two, I didn't really see it go up to seven, but I saw this period here where we got some readings up to 45.54, 29, 43.12, 28.41, 28.39, 26.75. I don't know what's caused that. We don't I don't really have a, uh... Anything as far as the spike in temperature here. Anything to prove that this would be good data, but there's so many of them, I assume we got hit by a something there. Something. A bird, perhaps? That was a joke. All right, here we go. So we have these anomalies up to about 46 centimeters cubed plasma. Regularly, it's at about 2. Remember, they said it would start at 7 and end up at 2. It looks like it could end up around 1 or 2. Solar winds, they start right here, they said it would start off today at 400, started the day off at 700, not 400, supposed to go up to 475 kilometers per second, and there's an 854 there, it has continued to rise here. I do think we'll have these coronal winds for several more days. After that we had some anomalies here. There's an 830. There's one way up there. I don't think we can grab. And there was an 869 right there. Nothing crazy out of the temperature. Even with that 869, temperature didn't go crazy. Plasma is still at 1.61. This little anomaly here is the only thing that has me puzzled. We had not been hit by coronal mass ejection. This is pure solar winds causing this geomagnetic storm. Jumping to our ACE satellite from our Discovery satellite, our older satellite just to prove it. There's that anomaly up there. I guess there's about 10 or 15 ticks. Each one stands for a minute. You can see that instead of starting at 400, we started at 600. We have been over 800 a couple of times, and we'll continue to trend up. Temperature has stayed normal all day long. Shields are down. All right, these are the delta-class sunspots that we've been looking at. One is negative over positive in the southern hemisphere, as it should be, but very complex and large. The other one to me looks like negative over positive in the northern hemisphere, which again would be that reverse polarity sunspot we looked at. It's arguably either, but I do think it looks like the black is over the white here, which would be negative over positive for reverse polarity. Again, they tell us that those are super rare, but we seem to see them almost daily. All right, this is a no-go. This was taken 48 hours ago. 48 hours ago, so it's completely useless. I don't know why they haven't upgraded this. That coronal hole is further to the right here, as we all saw, which means it's had time to reach Earth. The one right before this, the HMI... Magnetogram was taken at 5 a.m. this morning on the first so it was a good picture a few hours old but this one's over 48 hours old and completely useless over to SOHO the ESA I guess the Europeans are on vacation this hasn't been messed with in about a week's time completely wrong They have, well, this is the 10th here, I believe. Plasma is shooting up to the moon. Let's see. There it is, Earth first. As y'all can see, they have plasma much, much higher than it really is, and even going higher. And there wasn't really a chromospheric ejection. It was Earth bound. So for the first, as y'all can see, it goes to about there. Ridiculous. What's even more ridiculous is... There's solar wind prediction. It starts here on the first, and y'all can see that it's down here below 300 kilometers, never above 350 kilometers per second. It's more than twice that fast currently. What a waste of time and money. All right, taking a look at where Earth is, Or this right here, we have... Ceres, behind it, Saturn, Neptune, Eris, Pluto, we have geomagnetic connections to everything in pink here, Uranus, so in a real bad spot on the far side of our solar system where all the gas giants are. Someone also mentioned to me that Pluto takes 248 years to orbit the Sun, and I had mentioned a much larger number, and they were absolutely correct. I did check on that for us. So 248 years, and time-wise, it, well, takes the longest. Neptune is the slowest-moving planet, but Pluto takes the longest time period. to orbit our sun. Now, with that said, we should expect an uptick in earthquake, seismic, volcanic activity while Earth's on this side of the solar system. God bless, guys. Please share. Please subscribe. We are going to be giving a giveaway or two out to people that watch the whole videos. I just haven't decided how I'm going to do it, but I will at some point this week figure it out. I'll probably mention two different numbers, one at one point of the video, one at another point of the video, and the people that email me those numbers would be put into the drawing, and I'm not sure what we're going to give away yet, but I'm sure it'll be super cool. That said, God bless. Please share, subscribe, and always remember that anything's possible in the Bizarro World.