Josh Allen Rushing Outlook Against Minnesota's Blitz

SportsGrid
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Nov 10, 2026
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Video Summary
AI GeneratedThe discussion focuses on the upcoming matchup between the Buffalo Bills and the Minnesota Vikings, specifically analyzing Josh Allen's mobility and the impact of Buffalo's depleted offensive line. The analysts predict a high likelihood of Allen accumulating significant rushing yards due to Minnesota's aggressive blitzing and Buffalo's need to move the sticks.
Josh Allen is very good against the Blitz.
So it'll be interesting to see what Flores dials up.
Because you Blitz, and what happens if you don't get him,
that means Josh Allen's taking off for a lot
of real estate in front of him, right?
If you go past him type thing.
I like where your head's at.
I like where your head's at.
And I can't help but think, Kevin,
about Josh Allen having to take off a couple of times.
Especially now with two offensive linemen out.
There's going to be times where he's going to be like,
all right, I have a choice.
I'm taking off.
And not to mention, there'll be some design runs as well.
Like, they always do a couple of design runs.
But against this defense, you kind of got to believe, Kevin,
that he could be running for his life on a couple of occasions,
which could lead to him taking off.
Yeah, I totally agree.
I do think that it's tough to get
a handle on just how much this will hurt
Buffalo because of the defense that they are playing.
I think it's been one
of the more underrated elements of the Buffalo Bills
recent run.
is that they have one of the best offensive lines in football.
Like, Jalen Hurts couldn't do anything
in his football career without everyone.
Well, the Eagles offensive line.
You know, people you'd like to get on TV.
Not Gabe, but act like Josh Allen's out there playing one-on-eleven.
Despite the fact that they've had one
of the best offensive lines in football for half a decade.
No, I wouldn't say half a decade.
Our offensive line was a little shakier years ago,
but it's gotten a lot better.
I think it's been there for five years.
Three years?
Yeah, O-line hasn't been a problem.
Although we're still bad at short yardage situations,
but I blame the play calling more than anything.
Are you?
One thing, yes.
Yeah, they are.
It's always an adventure, the Bills.
That's the biggest fallacy in the world.
Oh, Josh Allen is unstoppable in this.
Kind of.
You know, on the goal line, he is, but trust me.
Trust me.
Buffalo Bills fans know we screw up fourth and short all the time.
We run different plays, too.
It's like we don't have like a, yeah,
yeah, we're just going to do this.
It'll work every time.
We really don't.
Like, it's very erratic, but a lot of teams do.
It is what it is.
But one thing with Josh, guys, if you look at his rushing yard numbers,
they're all over the place, right?
If he has to run, like, basically,
Josh isn't going to run if they're routing a team
or they're beating somebody up, right?
He doesn't actually like running.
They're not in love with it either.
They don't mind in the short yardage type stuff,
but he's not like, oh, yeah,
like I'm trying to take off all the time, Kevin.
He does it because he has to.
So I'm just thinking tonight's the type
of football game that he might have to, right?
Closer football game, defense getting in his face a lot,
and it's 30 and a half yards.
I think that's manageable.
Like 30, we get about 30 or more at minus 125.
Yeah, that's what I did.
I played the 30.
I played the 40.
I may play 60.
I haven't decided if I want to do that just yet,
but I had a similar thought to you.
One of the really interesting things, guys,
about this Minnesota defense is if you look
by EPA, they actually aren't an elite rush defense.
It's just that they are so good against pass
that it carries things
because teams cannot figure out
what coverage they are running,
where the blitzes are coming from.
But I do think that Buffalo will run a lot tonight.
And I think that will include some design runs for Josh.
And the thing, of course, as Gabe said,
with the blitz is, yeah,
they're going to get home on Josh tonight,
but it takes two plays for them to not get home
that go for 15 a pop.
And now you're sitting at 30 on just those broken plays alone.
So I think Josh could have a very big rushing game.
Caleb Williams went five for 42 on the ground before getting
hurt against the Minnesota Vikings earlier this season.
And he doesn't like to take off either, right?
But the space is there.
There's only so many quarterbacks that are relevant, by the way,
when you're looking at, like, what they do against mobile quarterbacks.
You know what I mean?
Like, when they played Jared Goff, like, that doesn't help us.
Well, they didn't get a lot of mobile quarterbacks.
That's the thing this year.
They have not.
They have not.
You know, that first game of the year, they got Jordan Love.
Jordan Love's not really a mobile quarterback.
Like, he's a pocket passer.
But he went off.
That was a weird game, 39-22.
It was kind of an anomaly.
But they got – they shut down the Bears in Week 2, 9-3.
They got the Buccaneers.
You know what I mean?
Baker's not running anywhere.
You got the Miami Dolphins.
Malik Willis ain't going anywhere.
You got my boy Tyler Shuck ain't going anywhere.
He ain't running anywhere.
You know what I'm saying?
You go down the list here.
You talk about Jared Goff.
It's kind of the first quarterback that they almost have to dial it up.
Listen, this quarterback can get us.
And I think if you're the Bills,
you're going to need Josh Allen to move the sticks a bit here, Kevin,
because they are a good defense.
To me, though, I like the Bills' team total over 23.5.
I think the Bills, you know, indoors,
Josh Allen and the Bills' offense are pretty hard to stop.
I just saw them in a dome in Vegas.
They got into the 30s.
What happened when they played in L.A.?
Every time they play in L.A. indoors, they get in,
you know, they score a ton of points.
Josh Allen indoors does have big numbers.
Even like as good as Minnesota's defense is.
How many points do you really, you're not holding Buffalo to 13.
You're going to hold them to 17?
Are Buffalo going to be that off tonight?
Only score 17?
I think they get to 24.
