well the Starship if4 flight could
potentially take place as soon as April
or May it's truly an exciting prospect
I'll be it challenging but as we all
know nothing is impossible for SpaceX
this exciting news was recently
announced by none other than Elon Musk
himself along with senior officials of
SpaceX so join us in today's episode of
alphatech as we delve deeper into this
groundbreaking development and explore
the possibilities that lie ahead just
days after Starship if3 made headlines
SpaceX appears to have provided some
insights into when the next test might
occur this schedule seems highly
reliable and a notable detail worth
mentioning is Elon musk's optimistic
response to a post predicting the next
launch in April where musk simply said
hopefully while the statement may not
explicitly confirm the launch date it
does offer an intriguing glimpse into
spacex's resilience following the recent
flights and the Readiness of the
hardware for the next mission if must
hopeful statement materializes and the
next flight indeed takes place in April
particularly before April 20th SpaceX
will set a record with four flights of
the new heavy lift rocket within a year
however achieving this feat will
undoubtedly pose challenges and require
Swift action from SpaceX Engineers
especially considering the limited
information available regarding the
success of the previous flights contrary
to skepticism about Elon musk's
reliability it's worth noting that
another highly influential figure at
SpaceX gwy Shotwell the president and
coo also hinted at the upcoming flight
Shotwell known for her dependability
delivered the opening speech at the
satellite 2024 conference on March 19th
and addressed various topics including
SpaceX starlink Internet satellite
constellation moreover shot well
provided insights into the next Starship
flight a topic of keen interest for many
this dual confirmation from both musk
and Shotwell adds weight to the
likelihood of an upcoming Starship
flight and instills confidence in
spacex's plans for the future in her
comments regarding the Starship test
flight Gwyn Shotwell elaborated that
SpaceX is currently going through the
data after taking the weekend off she
clarified that Starship if3 was
intentionally not orbital rather SpaceX
aimed to ensure that Starship could
safely return on a predetermined
trajectory without the need for a second
stage engine relight looking at head to
Starship if 4 Shotwell indicated that
SpaceX is committed to thoroughly
analyzing both stages to understand what
occurred with the goal of resuming
flights approximately 6 weeks later
ideally in early may this information
provides Clarity and reassurance about
the timeline for the next Starship
launch based on these updates I share
your confidence that early May is a
likely time frame for the launch with a
90% chance of success with spacex's
track record and ongoing efforts there
are are indeed many reasons to be
optimistic about this schedule there are
several noteworthy achievements that
underscore spacex's progress and
technological maturity first off
consistent success with super heavy
startup and Ascent Burns means SpaceX
has demonstrated consistent success with
super heavy startup and Ascent Burns
over two consecutive launches this
highlights a maturing operational system
and a reduction in Risk from pad clear
through staging secondly Flawless hot
staging procedures and flight starts of
ship's six Raptors the successful
execution of two Flawless hot staging
procedures and inflight starts of ship's
six Raptors signifies technological
maturity and confidence in existing
systems this further contributes to a
reduction in risk and lastly at number
three Flawless engine operation despite
flight 2's termination despite flight
2's termination due to operational
issues related to liquid oxygen dumping
the engines themselves operated
flawlessly this showcases technological
maturity with any complications stemming
from operational inexperience rather
than fundamental problems these
achievements collectively demonstrate
spacex's continued progress
technological advancements and
increasing confidence in its systems
ultimately leading to a reduction in
overall risk the main issue encountered
during this flight specifically attitude
control during Coast does not
significantly impact the overall risk
assessment underlying the faa's
regulatory approval project process for
suborbital trajectory launches similarly
the faa's concern about attitude control
for the returning super heavy booster
primarily focuses on mitigating risk to
the public which can be achieved even if
the booster crashes into the sea within
the designated keep out Zone once SpaceX
completes its internal investigation and
implements necessary mitigation measures
the FAA is likely to swiftly approve the
conclusions and amend the launch license
for flight 4 given spacex's rapid
iteration process an estimated 6 weeks
for data analysis and modifications
coupled with another couple of weeks for
FAA review and approval could result in
a launch campaign sometime in early to
miday this timeline reflects spacex's
commitment to safety and efficiency
ensuring a thorough assessment while
maintaining momentum in their launch
schedule regarding the Readiness of the
hardware it has been previously
disclosed that the fourth Starship
flight will be undertaken by ship 29 and
and b11 both Hardware components have
now been fully assembled and undergone
cryogenic testing additionally ship 29
underwent an additional spin test last
week while standing next to ship 28 and
B10 this demonstrates spacex's proactive
approach to Hardware Readiness ensuring
that all components are thoroughly
tested and prepared for the upcoming
launch looking ahead to the fourth
flight according to Shotwell spacex's
immediate goal is getting re-entry right
and ensuring that Starship is able to
land at its designated sites unlike the
Falcon 9 Starship is designed to be
caught by its launch Tower using massive
chopsticks on the Launchpad these
Chopsticks also stack the second stage
Starship spacecraft on the first stage
super heavy booster and their
architecture is a crucial component of
spacex's plan to make the world's
biggest rocket rapidly reusable later
during the discussion the SpaceX
executive shared that the firm plans to
fly 148 Falcon 9 and Falcon heavy
missions this year she expressed her
enthusiasm for getting Starship into
orbit deploying satellites and
recovering both stages fully with rapid
turnaround on those stages as well the
delay between starship's second and
third tests lasted roughly 4 months and
if shotwell's timeline is met then the
fourth flight will Mark the fastest
turnaround for a Starship launch to date
this underscores spacex's commitment to
advancing the capabilities and
turnaround time of their starship launch
system the predicted schedule also
aligns quite well with Elon recently
announced plan to conduct at least six
launches this year with acceleration
over time reaching if8 for 2024 might be
achievable by improving launches by
approximately 23% each time we are
observing improvements across various
preparation stages notably the riness of
the next stack by the launch of the
previous one it's essentially
speculative but I presume they'll
maintain the ifn flight numbering until
they enter service hopefully even up to
the first roundtrip Journey around the
moon or perhaps perhaps even the first
flight to Mars will still be labeled as
if in fact after starship's thirdd
flight Elon Musk also tweeted
promisingly about the future of the
Starship program for the Journey to Mars
Advanced future versions of the
spacecraft will travel between the Stars
this highlights the ambitious scope of
spacex's vision for the future of space
exploration and underscores the
potential for groundbreaking
advancements in the coming years this
Starship is designed to Traverse our
entire solar system and beyond to the
cloud of objects surrounding us a future
Starship much larger and more advanced
will travel to other star systems said
musk in a post on X so far only Voyager
1 2 and Pioneer 10 all NASA spacecraft
have reached Interstellar space Pioneer
11 and New Horizon spacecraft are on
trajectories to escape the solar system
but they have not yet done so during its
third test launch last week the Starship
launch system went much further than it
did during previous launches and
actually managed to put the spacecraft
on its intended trajectory SpaceX only
lost the spacecraft when it attempted to
re-enter Earth's atmosphere with it most
likely burning up or breaking up over
the ocean however this achievement is
significant for two reasons first
starship's super heavy booster rocket or
the first stage is the biggest and most
powerful rocket in history secondly it
exploded during both of its previous
launches despite these challenges the
progress made during the recent test
flight demonstrates the potential of
spacex's Starship program program to
revolutionize space exploration Starship
is used to prefer to both the super
heavy rocket and the Starship spacecraft
together it represents spacex's Next
Generation rocket system designed to
take humans to orbit the Moon and Beyond
a human Landing system variant of the
Starship rocket will play a crucial role
in taking Artemis 3 astronauts from
lunar orbit to the moon's surface and
back unlike state run space agencies
like NASA and ISRO from India which have
a lot of Health and safety and other
internal regulatory mechanisms to worry
about SpaceX operates more like a
startup with a fail fast and reiterate
policy instead of delaying tests and
launches by attempting to get everything
right on the first try SpaceX takes an
approach where it continuously makes
efforts learning from each failure
NASA's space launch system or SLS a
rocket similar in capacity to Starship
has only launched once so far during the
Artemis 1 mission in 2022 and its next
launch will be during the Artemis 2
mission in contrast SpaceX has launched
the Starship a total of three times
since 2023 and is expected to conduct
more such launches this year part of
this contrast can be attributed to how
the SLS is not reusable unlike its
SpaceX counterpart but it also
highlights the vastly different
approaches followed by the two
interdependent Space Giants well that's
about it for today's episode thank you
so much for tuning in and we hope to see
you again next
time