(粵語)如果烏量產遠程導彈,俄軍將沒有後方|【 #時事軍事】

時事軍事-夏洛山
3109粉絲
Russia is in urgent need of long-range weapons
that could impact the Russian strategic goal of the entire Ukrainian war zone.
While waiting for the U.S. and the West to lift the restrictions on the use of long-range weapons,
Ukraine has begun to use its own long-range weapons to strike Russian internal targets.
The Ukraine Armed Forces General Staff reported that
on the night of Aug. 21,
Ukrainian troops struck a Russian S-300 bomber
The strike was carried out by the Ukrainian Navy and the Six-Nation Alliance.
The only weapon in the Ukrainian Navy's arsenal
that is known to carry out this type of mission
is the Sea Lion missile.
The missile was previously used to attack Crimea's Russian air defense system.
However, recently Ukraine has carried out multiple long-range attacks on Russian internal targets.
It is not clear which weapons the outside world has used against Ukraine,
but it is very likely that it was not provided by the West,
including long-range weapons including the Six-Nation Alliance missile.
This indicates that Ukraine may already have its own long-range weapons.
It is reported that the Ukrainian Armed Forces
has already received a new type of long-range weapon called the Paralyzer.
This is a combination of a missile and a drone.
The Paralyzer is the name of a type of bread in Ukraine.
For non-Ukrainian foreigners,
the pronunciation of this word is very difficult.
On Aug. 24,
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky
confirmed the existence of the Paralyzer during the almost-independent
Ukrainian Independence Day celebrations.
It is reported that on Aug. 24,
which is also the 33rd anniversary of Ukraine's departure from the former Soviet Union,
Ukraine used this weapon for the first time
to strike Russian military facilities on the occupied territory.
On Tuesday, Zelensky said in an independent forum that
the first Ukrainian missile, the Paralyzer,
had already undergone a positive test.
He said that it is still too early to talk about new long-range weapons,
but I still want to share with you.
Zelensky praised the achievements of the Ukrainian defense industry,
but his plans for new long-range weapons remain unresolved.
On Aug. 26,
Ukrainian Defense Minister Vumelov promised
that he would soon use this new weapon again
to respond to Ukraine's hostilities.
He said that Ukraine was preparing to respond with its own weapons.
This will once again prove that to win,
you need long-range capabilities and the ability to cancel restrictions on enemy military facilities.
Ukrainian Defense Strategy Center Security Research Project Director
Fedor Vychevsky said
that Ukraine's Paralyzer is at the forefront of defense technology development.
He said that the Ukrainian company has close cooperation with the military,
participating in the production of self-propelled devices,
Paralyzers and anti-paralyzer weapons.
The development of new long-range weapons
is supported by the Strategic Industry Department and the Numerical Transformation Department.
Ukraine is gradually evolving into a new military hub,
similar to the U.S. military hub,
but it is driven by the military industry.
The U.S. military says
that this long-range weapon, known as the Paralyzer,
can reach a range of up to 430 nautical miles,
which is comparable to the U.S. six-gun tactical missiles.
Ukraine has been trying to develop its own arms industry
and encourages production on its own territory
to reduce its dependence on Western military aid.
The West has restricted Ukraine's use of long-range weapons
provided by the West to strike the Russian domestic targets.
Russia is taking advantage of the rear,
which is not under attack,
to launch air strikes against Ukraine.
The War Research Institute estimated in a recent report
that within the range of the U.S. six-gun tactical missiles,
there are at least 250 important military targets
in the Russian territory that Ukraine needs to strike.
However, due to the current restrictions on long-range weapons,
Ukraine can only use the shorter-range海马斯
and導引多管火箭系统
to strike about 20 of them.
If Ukraine has a sufficient number of Paralyzer,
Ukraine may be under the influence of non-Western weapons
to strike all 250 important Russian military targets.
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The vice-president of Russia's Technological Innovation,
Fyodorov, said
this new long-range weapon
will be a game-changer for the Russian military.
Since it is not restricted by the United Nations,
Russia is in a hurry to create such a system.
He said the next step is to expand the production scale.
I think this will change the rules of the game,
because we will be able to hit Russia
in places that are still unimaginable.
Fyodorov has not explained in detail
the exact number of such weapons,
or the actual number currently in the hands of the Russian military.
But since 2022,
he has been involved in the development of domestic missiles.
The new weapon has always been a long-term goal for Russia.
The Paralytic Missile is about
a new development plan that started about 18 months ago.
Unlike the Sea Star missile,
the Paralytic Missile has nothing to do
with the system developed by the former Soviet Union.
It is said that the missile has a solid fuel booster
and a jet engine,
allowing it to fly at a higher speed for a longer period of time.
Fyodorov said
the cost of each missile is not more than $1 million.
The military is now turning to private companies
to find a solution
to realize production and further reduce production costs.
Private companies have become the main suppliers
This includes UAVs currently operating in Russia,
as well as UAVs that have attacked the Russian Black Sea Fleet many times.
Fyodorov said
Russia's vast territory
makes it difficult for Russian air defense.
It is difficult to produce enough anti-aircraft missiles
to cover the entire territory.
This gives the Russian military
a deep-rooted opportunity to fight.
Recently, Russia's actions in Kuwait
may have drawn Russian troops
and it is not the right time to wait
for the arrival of Western aid.
At the same time, this invasion
has made people begin to suspect
that Russia is not able to carry out
any major offensive in the remaining time of the year.
Russia's response to Ukraine's
actions in Kuwait shows
that Russia has almost
put all its forces on the front lines of Ukraine,
especially in Donbass.
Russia's equipment is forced to
defend Kuwait and continue to attack
between Donbass, making it a difficult choice.
In the past, the Russian military
lost about 1,000 people every day on the Ukrainian battlefield
and the corresponding equipment was lost.
Russia's mobilization capacity per month
is about 20,000 to 30,000 people,
which is about the same as the losses on the front lines.
This shows that Russia has almost
no extra back-up troops
against the Ukrainian armored forces
of Kursk and Belgorod.
Since the beginning of the war,
the West has restricted the use of long-range weapons
creating an unequal situation on the line of fire.
This forces Ukraine to consider
while ensuring unreserved defense.
Russia, on the other hand,
will be able to send more troops
to participate in the Donbass War.
Ukraine's action in Kursk
is in a situation where long-range weapons
cannot be used,
so it has to find a way
to bring a limited number of troops
into Russia
to extend the attack distance.
Of course, it has also had other more
positive effects,
such as pushing the Russian air force
back to a place farther away
from the border area in Ukraine,
so that it cannot continue
to use the border area
to throw long-range bombs
This forces the Russian bomber
to fly further away
and for a longer time
so that its ability to attack
is significantly reduced.
At the same time,
the Ukrainian troops
also use attack drones
to attack Russian reconnaissance drones
and use strong electronic interference
to suppress Russian wireless telecommunications
so that the Russian troops
cannot see the battlefield
and it is difficult to conduct
command and control on the battlefield.
This may be one of the reasons
why the Russian troops
have not taken action
in Kursk so far.
In short, the Russian troops
have never had a passive situation
since the beginning of the war.
Russia's choice
to use a few months
to recruit new troops
and accelerate military production
is likely to meet
the needs of protecting Kursk.
This means that Moscow must pay
a huge cost of counterattack
or continue to persist
in its actions in Donbass
and pay Kursk, Belgorod
and even more regions
at all costs to Ukraine.
Regardless of Putin's choice,
there is basically no way out.
Russia has launched
an invasion of Kursk
and has begun to build
its own long-range weapons
to change the battlefield.
This result is actually being forced out.
Russia seems to have found
a new path to victory.
If Russia's allies
put more effort on long-range weapons,
the end of the war
may come sooner.
