Letter to Xi Jinping Highlighting Major Crises and Warning of Party Collapse | China Truths

Welcome to China Truths. In this episode, we will bring you the following stories. Reports of Liu Yuan's letter to Xi Jinping highlighting major crises and warning of party collapse. Miao Hua accused of having three backing factors and mismanaging military art troops. Now, let's dive into the details. It's all covered in today's China Truths. Reports of Liu Yuan's letter to Xi Jinping highlighting major crises and warning of Recent reports circulating within Beijing's political circles claim that Liu Yuan, retired general and son of former Chinese President Liu Shaoqi, submitted a letter to the Communist Party Central Committee, lamenting a potential collapse of the party. According to information disclosed by Australia-based legal scholar Yuan Hongbing, Liu's letter outlines critical crises facing the party. In the letter, Liu enumerates three critical crises faced by the Chinese Communist Party, CCP an economic and social crisis, a political crisis, and the Taiwan Strait crisis. Liu Yuan attributes China's current economic difficulties to policies implemented since the 18th Party Congress. These include extreme leftist economic measures such as state advancing, private sector retreating, establishing Communist Party branches within private and foreign enterprises, and other practices that undermine market principles. He argues that these policies have led to severe economic decline, which cannot be reversed without significant policy changes. Regarding the political crisis, Liu highlights the instability among officials and the military. He describes widespread dissatisfaction among officials, stating, The discontent among party and government officials is palpable. Many have lost hope in the future and are engaging in passive governance. Utilizing their remaining authority to extract personal gains has become the daily goal for many. Liu also emphasizes the instability within the military as an even graver issue. He points to the ongoing purges within the military following the 20th Party Congress. From former defense ministers to rocket force leaders, strategic support units, and hundreds of high-ranking military officials, numerous figures have faced investigations or removals. He adds that even current leaders, such as political work department director Miao Hua, rocket force commander Wang Houbin, and defense minister Dong Jun, are under scrutiny. The pervasive fear among officers has eroded morale, with some carrying loaded weapons to protect themselves, prepared to resist arrest violently if necessary. Liu also critiques the CCP's Taiwan strategy, stating that the party's united front work has largely failed, as Taiwanese society increasingly rejects reunification. He attributes this failure to the resurgence of extreme leftist ideologies reminiscent of the Cultural Revolution and the departure from Deng Xiaoping's hide-your-strength, bide-your-time foreign policy, which has led to international isolation. Liu argues that peaceful reunification is no longer possible, leaving military action as the only remaining option. However, he warns that any military conflict would devastate China's coastal economic hubs, triggering cascading economic, social, and political crises that could lead to the party's collapse. In his letter, Liu Yuan proposes three measures to address these crises. A return to reform and opening-up policies and Deng Xiaoping's diplomatic strategy. Gradual transformation of the CCP into a social-democratic party. Steps to stabilize domestic governance and morale. However, Liu acknowledges that the likelihood of his recommendations being adopted is slim. He notes that his use of the letter's title, Superfluous Words, reflects his recognition of the futility of his efforts. Amidst reports of Xi Jinping inspecting the recently established Military Information Support Department, Yuan Hongbing speculates that she aims to project control over the military. However, distrust within the military persists, with officials outwardly loyal but inwardly resentful. Yuan also highlights how purges within the military and growing instability have alarmed the CCP's Red Second Generation, or descendants of revolutionary leaders, such as Liu Yuan. Miaohua accused of having three backing factors and mismanaging military art troops. Central Military Commission, CMC, member Miaohua has been suspended and placed under investigation, with details and analyses of the incident circulating widely online. It is reported that Miao's political assent was supported by three major backing factors, and his management of several military art troops has led to issues, particularly concerning personal conduct. Analysts suggest that Chinese leader Xi Jinping is grappling with troubles caused by the downfall of his allies, potentially intensifying factional struggles at the upcoming Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th Party Central Committee. A report by Taiwan's United Daily News on December 7 highlighted the significant impact of Miaohua's investigation, especially given his substantial authority within the military. Miaohua, unlike former Defense Minister Li Shangfu, held a position with real power, including control over military personnel decisions. His investigation not only affects Xi Jinping's trusted Fujian faction but also extends to the 31st Group Army and the Navy. Miaohua, often seen as one of Xi's confidants, hails from Fuzhou, Fujian Province, where Xi served from 1985 to 2002. During that time, the two reportedly intersected in personnel matters, helping to lay the foundation for Miaohua's rise. Miaohua's political career was reportedly bolstered by three key backing factors. Family connections. Miaohua married into a powerful military family. His father-in-law, Yi Hanlin, was a former political commissar in the 31st Group Army and later served as deputy director of the political department of the Fuzhou military region. This connection helped Miaohua secure key promotions within the 31st Group Army. Mentorship by Chen Bingde. Chen, a former chief of the General Staff of the People's Liberation Army, PLA, reportedly supported Miaohua's career when Miaohua was serving as political commissar of the 12th Group Army. Both hailed from Jiangsu Province, creating a strong regional bond. Xi Jinping's support. After Xi's rise to power, Miaohua's career accelerated significantly. In 2017, Miaohua became director of the CMC political work department and was promoted to CMC member, gaining the rank of admiral in the navy. The investigation into Miaohua appears linked to personal misconduct, particularly related to his oversight of military art troops. Miao, who managed several military song and dance troops, reportedly faced allegations of crossing boundaries in his personal behavior. Some suggest his actions caught the ire of Peng Liyuan, Xi Jinping's wife, who has a strong background in military arts and previously led a military arts academy. The PLA song and dance troops have long been marred by scandals. In 2016, these units were restructured under the CMC political work department, but issues of corruption and misconduct reportedly persisted. Miaohua's suspension reflects broader instability within the PLA and the Communist Party's leadership. Analysts argue that recent investigations into senior military figures signal Xi's difficulty in maintaining complete control over the armed forces. Taiwanese scholar Wu Tsetse, writing on December 8, suggested that Xi's reaction to Miao's downfall, whether anger at his misconduct or frustration over losing an ally, reveals deeper challenges. If Xi ordered the investigation, it might reflect poorly on his own judgment and appointments. If the investigation was initiated without his consent, it could indicate erosion of his authority within the military. Either scenario exacerbates mistrust within the party and military. As the fourth plenary session of the 20th Party Central Committee approaches, factional infighting is expected to escalate, with Xi Jinping facing threats not only from rival factions but also from within his own camp. Observers believe that the political climate within the CCP will remain turbulent, with further allegations and scandals likely to emerge. The fallout from Miao Hua's investigation underscores Xi Jinping's precarious position as he seeks to consolidate power amid increasing challenges.