China’s Grip on U.S. Drug Supply A Looming Disaster

Just Strange
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China controls 95% of the key
ingredients for America's generic drugs.
If exports stop, our hospitals could
collapse within months. From penicellin
to painkillers, the US is dangerously
dependent. Expert Rosemary Gibson warns
this isn't just a supply issue. It's a
national security crisis. Could China's
grip on our medicine supply become a
weapon? Stay tuned as we uncover a
looming disaster.
China has an alarming level of control
over the American medicine supply. And
according to American health policy
expert Rosemary Gibson, it's a disaster
waiting to happen. The United States
depends on China for 95% of the key
components that are necessary to make
our generic drugs. And if China shut the
door on exports, within months, our
health care system would begin to
collapse. Gibson, the author of China
RX, explained just how far this
dependency goes.
>> That's how dependent we are. And it's
not just us. The world is dependent.
Europe is dependent because China has a
chokeold on those upstream raw materials
and chemicals needed to make these
active ingredients which makes a
medicine medicine and that turns into
the pills and vials. That
>> Why is this such a big problem? Because
most of what gets prescribed in
hospitals is generic and that makes us
dangerously exposed.
>> And whatever hospital you're in, whether
it's all the bigname hospitals, what
they use are generic drugs and they're
about 90 91% of what's administered and
prescribed. Then she dropped a bombshell
about what happened during co
>> that in the event of a natural disaster,
global pandemic or a geopolitical event,
the United States will be waiting in
line behind other countries to get vital
medicines to save people's lives. We
have lost our industrial base and during
the pandemic that we had rationing of
vital medicines in this country. It
wasn't called rationing. That would
scare the public. The media didn't call
it rationing. The euphemism used in the
industry is well Dr. So and so well we
won't be able to deliver those drugs to
you today. They're quote on allocation
which means they're actually allocating
whatever they have in certain priority
areas. So we were rationing drugs in the
United States
>> and it gets worse. This could be used as
a weapon. 80 to 98% of these components
of medicines are from China and have at
the moment have to be gotten there. It
just strikes me as a very powerful
potential vector of attack right in a
situation where you know if you put
something bad into a small piece of the
supply it would take a very long time
for anyone to even figure out that an
attack had happened. She pointed to the
rise in illegal prescription drugs laced
with fentinyl so sophisticated that many
fakes are indistinguishable from the
real thing.
>> And I what I'm concerned about is that
we're going to see a convergence of the
illegal market
>> and the legal supply chain and
production of medicines coming from
China.
>> She painted a grim future scenario.
What's to stop enterprising minds in a
very negative way that want to take down
America to put some um debilitating
chemicals into 2% or 5% of the most
widely prescribed generic drugs in the
United States. This isn't just a
commercial issue
>> and I I will call it for the first time
and I believe that we will be seeing
nefarious activity in our legal medicine
supply chain
that will be very difficult to detect
and you could take down America without
firing a shot. You don't need any
expensive missiles.
you could debilitate the population
and leave the infrastructure intact.
>> Then she said the words that should
haunt every policy maker in America.
This is a perfect crime. You can harm
people, even kill them, but how do you
detect it? Nearly 20 years ago, after
the signing of the US China Fair Trade
Agreement, many multinational
pharmaceutical companies, many of which
were headquartered in the US, began
sourcing raw materials for critical
drugs in China. Backed by massive
government subsidies, Chinese
state-owned enterprises drove prices so
low that they could outco compete
existing manufacturers in the US and
other regions, prompting these
manufacturers to shut down factories and
shift operations to China. Johnson and
Johnson, headquartered in New Brunswick,
New Jersey, announced layoffs of 4,800
employees in 2007, followed by another
8,000 layoffs in the US. And abroad two
years later, as the company prepared to
open a new RMD center in Shanghai in
2009, the company's CEO, Alex Gorski,
told the Wall Street Journal in 2015,
"We see this as a shift from bringing
highquality products to China to truly
discovering and developing products in
China." In 2011, Fizer laid off more
than 2,000 researchers, over half of
whom were at the company's research lab
in Groten, Connecticut. The primary
victim of these layoffs was the
company's antibiotic research program in
Grotin, which was reportedly relocated
to Shanghai, marking the first
large-scale migration of a major US
pharmaceutical research division to
China. Shifting production to China
brought millions of dollars in profits
to these companies and their
shareholders, but failed to benefit
ordinary American consumers who still
pay higher drug prices than anywhere
else in the world. In other words,
pharmaceutical companies don't care
about America. They only care about
profits. The race to the bottom for the
cheapest drug ingredients created a
perfect opportunity for China to seize
control. In the mid200s, China flooded
the global market with penicellin raw
materials. Dumping refers to selling at
extremely low prices with the intent to
drive out producers in the US, Europe,
and even India. Eventually, China became
the world's leading supplier of
penicellin raw materials and then they
raised prices. This is an industrial
strategy by a foreign government to
maintain dominance in this field and
when it sees fit, leverage that
advantage to exert influence over any
country to get what it wants. In fact,
four years earlier, former FDA
commissioner Scott Gotautle warned a
Senate committee that the spread of the
Corona virus could disrupt American drug
supply chains, potentially causing
global shortages. He highlighted the US
as heavy reliance on China which
supplies 95% of ibuprofen imports, 91%
of hydrocortisone, 70% of acetaminophen
and 40 45% of penicellin. Overall, China
produces 80% of the US as antibiotic
supply. A 2019 report by the US China
Economic and Security Review Commission
noted that China is the world's largest
producer of active pharmaceutical
ingredients APIs with the US heavily
dependent on Chinese sourced drugs or
APIs. This dependence stems from decades
of US pharmaceutical companies
outsourcing production to China,
prioritizing profits over national
security and American jobs.
Administrations from both parties have
allowed this, leaving the US vulnerable,
especially during crises like the Corona
virus, which also caused a shortage of
sanitary masks, half of which are
produced in China, further straining US
supplies. Imagine all of our medicines,
including military drugs, being entirely
dependent on China, which could become
our adversary. This is simply insane,
said Daniel Slain, a former member of
the US China Economic and Security
Review Commission. The commission was
established by the US Congress 20 years
ago to report on the national security
implications of US. China relations, the
safety of the US drug supply is another
alarming concern as the US Food and Drug
Administration FDA lacks the funding and
personnel to inspect Chinese factories
which may receive advanced warnings
before inspectors arrive. The most
shocking example is the 2008
contamination of Heperin, a blood
thinner distributed by Baxter
Laboratories, which resulted in 81
deaths and nearly 800 illnesses. The FDA
determined that the source of the
contaminated drug was Chongjo SPL, a
Chinese subsidiary of Scientific Protein
Laboratories, SPL. Slain called the US
reliance on Chinese drugs a national
security issue, pointing to China's
recent militarization as a cause for
concern. They are rapidly catching up to
us in fighter jets, submarines, and
missiles. Slain said they have
satellites that can destroy our GPS
systems. They have occupied islands in
the East and South China Seas that
belong to Vietnam, the Philippines, and
Japan. They are militarizing those
islands with missiles. Their goal is to
push us out of the East Pacific. You
don't need to be a military expert to
see where this is headed, he said. Given
all this, we're now relying on China for
medicines. Did the Trump administration
recognize this crisis? Of course. As
early as 2020, President Trump's trade
adviser, Peter Navaro, pointed out that
China dominated the global supply chain
for critical drugs like antibiotics,
ibuprofen, and vitamin C. Warning that
the US could face severe consequences if
China restricted exports. He criticized
past administrations for ignoring this
risk, leaving the US vulnerable in a
crisis. In August 2020, President Trump
signed Executive Order 13944 requiring
federal agencies to prioritize the
purchase of US made drugs and medical
supplies aiming to incentivize domestic
production through a buy American
policy. The order also called for
streamlining regulatory approval
processes for US made products and
increasing transparency in product
origin labeling. Navaro stated that the
goal of the executive order was to bring
the supply chain back to America,
including not only finished drugs, but
also APIs and precursor chemicals to
ensure public health and national
security. Trump publicly emphasized that
the US must produce critical drugs and
equipment domestically rather than rely
on places like China or Ireland. Trump's
first administration also commissioned
the nationalmies of sciences,
engineering and medicine to study the US
medical supply chain assessing the
sources and availability of critical
drugs. This study aimed to provide data
to support policym additionally the
administration pushed the FDA to
strengthen inspections of foreign
manufacturing facilities though actual
inspections were limited due to pandemic
restrictions. In 2019, the FDA inspected
only about 1% of registered facilities
in China. While Trump was known for his
tough trade policies, he was cautious
about imposing heavy tariffs directly on
drugs in the pharmaceutical sector. In
May 2019, a tariff list covering about
$300 billion in Chinese goods explicitly
exempted pharmaceuticals, certain drug
ingredients, and some medical products
to prevent exacerbating shortages or
driving up prices. Fast forward to today
in 2025. Trump's new administration has
taken several high-profile measures to
address pharmaceutical supply chain
security and reduce dependence on China,
especially after the CO 19 pandemic
exposed vulnerabilities in the supply
chain. These measures build on the focus
on domestic production from his first
term, but introduce new strategies as
well. On April 2nd, Trump announced a
comprehensive tariff plan that initially
exempted drugs, but on April 9th, he
reiterated that drug tariffs were
coming, though specific details have yet
to be released. The Trump administration
may use section 232 of the Trade
Expansion Act of 1962 to advance drug
tariffs, arguing that import dependency
threatens national security. In April
2025, the Department of Commerce
launched a section 232 investigation
into drug and semiconductor imports,
providing a legal basis for potential
tariffs. Another possible avenue is the
International Emergency Economic Powers
Act, IEPA, of 1977, which allows the
president to regulate imports under a
national emergency. The Trump
administration continues to emphasize an
America first trade policy aiming to
reduce reliance on foreign APIs and
finished drugs, particularly from China
and India, the latter of which relies on
China for about 70% of its APIs. He
declared, "We will make cars, chips, and
drugs in America." Major pharmaceutical
companies have responded positively. Eli
Liy has invested $23 billion in new
factories across multiple locations.
Merc has invested $1 billion in North
Carolina and Johnson and Johnson has
invested $2 billion in New Jersey for
biologics. While these projects are
driven by policy, they are long-term
initiatives and cannot address import
gaps in the short term. Meanwhile,
Congress is advancing the Biosecure Act,
which aims to restrict multinational
pharmaceutical companies from
outsourcing production to China,
preventing technology transfer and
deepening dependency. If passed, the
bill could force companies to adjust
their global supply chains, but may also
provoke retaliatory restrictions from
China. In 2025, the Trump administration
is addressing US reliance on foreign
pharmaceutical supply chains,
particularly China, through proposed
drug tariffs, section 232
investigations, domestic production
incentives, and PBM reforms. These
measures aim to enhance health security
and national self-sufficiency but come
with risks of shortages, price increases
and RAMP deconstraints.
Compared to his first term, the new
administration is more aggressive in
including drugs in the trade war, but
the actual impact depends on
implementation details and global
reactions. In the short term,
stockpiling and partial exemptions may
prevent catastrophic consequences, but
long-term health security requires a
more comprehensive strategy, including
international cooperation and sustained
investment. Do you think Trump's
measures will succeed? We welcome your
comments and unique insights. Thanks for
you watching. We'll see you next
