Is Kamala Harris really gearing up for another presidential run in 2028? 👀🇺🇸
In this video, I break down the VERY real signs that Harris is moving toward a campaign — from her upcoming appearances in key early states to what the early polling actually tells us. 📊
But here’s the bigger question: 👉 Would a Harris run actually hurt Democrats’ chances of winning back the White House? I walk through:
Why Harris is likely to start as the frontrunner 🥇 The huge political risks Democrats could face if she runs ⚠️ How a 2028 primary could turn into a re-litigation of the Biden years 🔁 And why that might crowd out the next generation of Democratic leaders 🚧
Bottom line: This isn’t just about one candidate — it’s about the future direction of the Democratic Party.
If you care about the 2028 race (yes, already!), you don’t want to miss this. 👇 #kamalaharris #Politicians
AI Generated·May contain errors
Kamala Harris sure looks like she's running again, and I'm going to tell you why I think
that's actually a very bad thing for the Democratic Party if they want to win back
the White House in 2028. So let's start with a new CNN report by Isaac Edward Dovier.
He reports on Kamala Harris's schedule, and her schedule is going to get busy come next month.
She will appear at fundraisers for the North Carolina, South Carolina,
and Georgia state parties all in the week of April 13th. Then 12 days after that,
she will be at the Arkansas Democrats' annual Fisher Shackleford dinner, great name, in Little
Rock. Edward Isaac Dovier writes this, though she has not made any decision on a repeat run,
her geographic choices for this swing are reminiscent of what her 2020 campaign used to
call its SEC strategy, hoping to win lots of delegates among the heavily black primary
electorates to counter what they expected would be weaker showings in other early voting states,
to which I say, eyebrows raised. All right, so I want to explain why I think Harris is doing what
she's doing, where she is in the race, and then why, most importantly, I think this is a bad
thing for the Democratic Party that she appears to be moving closer to running. Before I do that,
quick pitch, I hope you hit that subscribe button. I am independent, I am authentic,
I'm here every day breaking down the big news. Subscribe, why not? What do you have to lose?
Okay, Kamala Harris, as you may remember, ran for president briefly in 2024, lost to Donald Trump,
lost all seven swing states, lost a popular vote, although Trump didn't get a majority,
he got a plurality of the vote. The expectation after that race was that Harris was either done
with politics or maybe she would run for the governor of California in 2026, a race she
probably could have walked into the office to sort of rehab her image. But Harris dropped out
of or never got into, said she wasn't interested in running for the governor of California,
and made clear that she doesn't think she's done with politics, which leaves really only one race,
the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. I think that she, based on the polling,
would start the race as the front runner. Notice I focused on start the race as the front runner,
I wanna explain that. But Race to the White House, a great site run by my friend Logan Phillips,
does a polling average of 2028 primary polling. And not surprisingly, in the polling average,
Harris is in first, 23%, followed by Gavin Newsom, the governor of California, 19%,
Pete Buttigieg, 11%, AOC Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, 8%.
Now, again, these are national polls, it's not a national race, it'll be some combination of
New Hampshire, Iowa, South Carolina, and Nevada that will probably decide the nominee. But that's
where we are, Harris in most polls is in first place. And I think she'll stay in that role
because she's the best known candidate in the field. When you're talking about a 2028 race
in March of 2026, you're really just asking people, whose name do you recognize? But I think
that the Harris people or Harris herself will learn the wrong lesson from that, or has already
learned the wrong lesson from that. And by that, I mean this, she will look at that and say,
I'm in first place. Why wouldn't I run? It's my nomination to lose.
I think that that sense of her popularity has been propped up by the success of her book,
107 Days, her memoir about the 107 days that she was the Democratic presidential nominee.
She did more dishing on Joe Biden and Gavin Newsom and other people than I thought she might.
It sold really well. She is just wrapping up a six-month book tour now. That's why she's
sort of getting back to politics, going to North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, and Arkansas
over the next month. So I understand why they look at this and she looks at it and she thinks
people like Chris Eliza don't think I'm popular, but who cares? Regular voters,
Democratic primary voters still like me. They bought my book. They put me in first place in
these polls. Here's the thing. Well, there's a bunch of things. Number one,
and I've made this case before, I don't know that Kamala Harris, in fact, I do know,
I do not believe based on following her career since 2010, when she ran for state attorney
general in California, I do not think she is a good general election candidate.
She barely won that race in 2010 in California. She never really had a real general election race
for the Senate. Obviously she was picked to be VP. That's not an election. And then in the one
general election she ran on the national level, she lost to Donald Trump, a deeply flawed candidate.
So number one, I just don't think in sort of candidate skills, when it comes to being able
to reach across the aisle and get voters who are not already hardcore Democrats, I don't think she
has a great record of doing that. Number two, I think that Harris being where she is at the front
of the field right now will probably convince her to run. But what that will mean is that all of the
other candidates, two things will happen. One, they'll get less attention. Harris will get the
most attention because she was the former vice president, the 2024 presidential nominee. She'll
be the prime mover in the race, maybe her and Newsom, but probably just her. Second thing that
will happen, Democrats will spend at least some of 2027, maybe most of 2027, relitigating the Joe Biden
years in the White House. Because the way that Kamala Harris loses the race, and the way I think
she will lose the race, is to not have a good answer for why didn't you see what was going on
physically and mentally? Or if you did see it, why didn't you say something? Now, Harris has said
repeatedly, every time I interacted with him, he was totally fine. But in retrospect, maybe it was
too big a risk. There is no way her Democratic primary opponents are going to let her get away
with just that. Josh Shapiro, the governor of Pennsylvania who will definitely run for president,
has already made clear that Harris and Pete Buttigieg, who is the secretary of transportation,
will have to answer for the role they played in covering up Joe Biden's physical and mental
well-being. Now, cover up is probably too strong a word, but why didn't they say more? Why didn't
they notice more? Why didn't they say more if they did notice? If Harris is in the race,
and she is the frontrunner in the race, I guarantee you everyone else, maybe with the
exception of Buttigieg, will go after her on, you're tied to an unpopular administration.
Even Democrats don't want to go back to the Biden administration. And you covered up,
or you were part of, whether actively or passively, part of a cover up that led to us losing
not just the presidential race, but losing to Donald Trump in another four years of Donald
Trump's presidency. Newsom will talk about that. AOC will talk about it. Shapiro will talk about
it. J.B. Pritzker will talk about it. Andy Beshear will talk about it. I mean,
basically everyone in the race other than Harris and Buttigieg, and maybe even Buttigieg,
will talk about it. And to me, I think two things will happen. Harris's numbers will start to go
down, but it will have spent a lot of the energy, time, and money in the Democratic primary fight
relitigating 2024 and her role, as opposed to looking forward at what does 2028 hold?
What will Democrats say and do in the future? What are the fresh faces of the party? She will
take up so much oxygen in a presidential race, or at least enough oxygen in a presidential race,
that I think it will rob other newer, fresher faces who are not tied to an unpopular past
Democratic administration. I don't think she winds up as the nominee either way. I really
don't. But I do think she can really sidetrack a necessary conversation Democrats need to have
about the future if she runs. And right now, judging on that schedule and what she said
and the conclusions that they draw looking at the polling, which I think are the wrong conclusions,
but the conclusions they undoubtedly draw, I think if you had to press her today, she'd be in the
race. All right, that's it for me. As I said before, I do hope you subscribe. Independent,
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