Strategy Insights Ep90:Did Trump Fall for It?The Shocking Truth Behind the Trump-Xi Summit Exposed!

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to Professor Ming's Strategic Insights. The Trump ---- summit ended a few days ago in the spotlight of the world. Although they signed some agreements and reached some consensus, but strictly speaking, it cannot be called a summit of great success. The absence of a joint declaration, the absence of a joint press conference can testify to that. But what's worth noting about it is that Trump's remarks about some questions of Taiwan appears to be different from what they used to be after he talked to Xi Jinping. So that's something that deserves some deliberation. To begin with, Trump says that Xi Jinping told him that he did not want a war with Taiwan. Well, this is only partially correct. Xi Jinping knows that Trump doesn't like war, and Trump loves to be a peacemaker, so he tried to please Trump with some sweet talks. In history, we know that aggressors love peace. If they can get what they want without fighting a war, they'll go for it. That's for sure. Wars are dangerous, and the outcomes are unpredictable, and the cost will be too high. So they will try to avoid the war whenever they can. Following President Trump's words, Secretary of State Rubio offered a different line of thinking. He argues that communist China wants to seize Taiwan through some kind of a referendum or a plebiscite. He argues that in Xi's mind, the ideal case is not to launch a costly war, but to lure Taiwan or to force Taiwan into the situation of a so-called voluntary annexation or voluntary return to the motherland, namely the People's Republic of China. Anyway, through a referendum or through a plebiscite. As I mentioned before, Beijing is launching a cognitive war against Taiwan. They try to mobilize Taiwanese people through fear, and that's a cognitive war. Because in general, Taiwanese people are afraid of war, and they want peace. They want to enjoy what they have and the kind of life they're having. So Beijing tried to utilize this situation and tried to use this kind of mentality to promote arguments like security can be achieved by way of a peace talk. And the way that they can achieve that is through political infiltration. They tried to recruit their agents in Taiwan by combining forces with the so-called pro-China, pro-communist China agents or pro-communist political parties in Taiwan to create some kind of room to promote arguments or promote room for discussions, things like a referendum for peace or a plebiscite for peace. And lastly, what Beijing is good at is that they can dismantle democracy by way of democracy. They can pour in a large amount of misinformation and manipulate it by high-tech internet skills to lead and to guide the public opinion into holding a referendum or plebiscite to achieve their purpose so that they can defeat democracy by way of democracy. So that's the first point. The second point being that Trump argues that Xi Jinping tells him that there are some people in Taiwan who want independence so there'll be a war in the Taiwan Strait or in the Taiwan area. Actually, that's a false argument and that's a false issue. I've been telling you that China or communist China has been using this idea or this slogan of opposition to Taiwan independence as a national grand strategy. Domestically, they use this strategy to mobilize their people to support the government and to support the party. And toward Taiwan, they use this argument to divide us up and to create chaos inside Taiwan, and they're being quite successful. And internationally, they use this slogan or this use of this strategy to lure the powers in international politics such as European countries and the United States and Trump personally. So this is, again, cognitive warfare. And the problem is, it seems that Trump bought it and Trump fell for it. As we argued in our shows over and over that if there is a war in Taiwan, it's not because of Taiwan independence or Taiwan wants to go independent. Rather, it's communist China. They want to invade Taiwan and they want to swallow Taiwan. Even if there's no Taiwanese going for Taiwan independence, Beijing will label us as advocates of Taiwan independence to them. Anybody who doesn't accept the rule of communist China could be labeled as Taiwan independence elements. You know that Taiwan has democracy, Taiwan has a democratic system, we have freedom of speech. Well, you can say anything you want, just like the United States. There are some people in the United States who want to separate from the United States and they want to leave the union, and we can see that. But it's protected by law, it's protected by constitution, as long as you go through the legal, the legitimate process, it's okay. So calling Taiwan names such as you're an independent element or you want independence, things like that, it's just an effort of labeling. Again, it's another form of cognitive war. But the problem again, like I said, Trump bought it and Trump fell for it. So he listened and he took the bait. Simple as that. Let me repeat it. Anything that will cause a war in the Taiwan Strait is no one else but communism or communist party. And that's it. Thirdly, in an interview afterwards, Trump says that there are some people in Taiwan who want independence because they think the United States will support it or the United States is behind it. Well, this is not just a misinformation or disinformation, but it's a smear campaign launched by Beijing. And it's a cognitive war designed by Beijing in the purpose of dividing up the United States and Taiwan. So Trump continues to argue that Taiwan is so far away from the United States, 9,500 miles away, and Taiwan is only 59 miles away from mainland China. So the United States wouldn't go to war at such a faraway place. So meaning that he's deterring Taiwan or deterring some people in Taiwan from seeking independence. Well, this is an act of balance, we understand. But the question is, when you say it at this moment, and after you talk to Xi Jinping, apparently you're influenced by Xi Jinping's words. But if you examine the general public opinion in Taiwan, you know that seeking independence or chasing independence is not the mainstream. The mainstream in Taiwan is maintaining the status quo. And as said, or as accurately described by our President Lai Ching-de, all through these years that people supporting maintaining the status quo ranging anywhere from 70% to 85% depends on the time and depends on the issue at the time of the poll taken. So some people in Taiwan will go for independence because they think that the United States will support it as a forced argument, as a forced issue. And again, it's a smear campaign designed and executed by Beijing. And lastly, in the interview, Trump says that arms sales to Taiwan can be a negotiating chip. Well, it kind of deviates from the United States' long-term position. It also deviates from Ronald Reagan's six assurances to Taiwan. Just by talking to Beijing about arms sales to Taiwan, it's a deviation. Although Trump hasn't decided how to go about this arms sales to Taiwan, by saying so, it shakes the public morale in Taiwan. While Trump may not realize it, it also shakes the public morale and shakes the public confidence in Japan because Taiwan is of vital importance to Japan's security. And it also shakes the public morale in the major allies of the United States, such as the European countries, because they think that Trump may not be reliable, as they see in the war in Ukraine. That, again, fuels their suspicion about Trump's position. And furthermore, by so saying, it gives Beijing a major opening to launch another round of propaganda attack against Taiwan. So it's like offering a perfect angle for Beijing to attack Taiwan. It gratuitously creates a widespread turmoil everywhere, in Taiwan, in Japan, in major European allies, and even inside the United States. Therefore, if President Trump wishes to dismiss this kind of skepticism, the best way to do it is to approve the arms sales to Taiwan as soon as possible. While I know my words may not be widely accepted or even welcomed by some of my American friends, but please, treat my words as a friendly reminder. We have more to talk about in the future shows, but that's all for today. 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