A HUGE Severe Weather Event Is Coming

A huge severe weather threat is coming, and it's going to lead to even more tornadoes and significant damaging winds. After a major tornado outbreak struck the Midwest with multiple violent tornadoes yesterday, our severe weather threat is about to change a lot. This new setup will favor a broader severe weather threat stretching from the central United States into the Midwest, Ohio Valley, and portions of the East Coast. Large hail, scattered tornadoes, and pockets of significant wind damage are all on the table as the atmosphere becomes increasingly favorable for severe weather. And we are also going to have another major storm in the Midwest next week, so let's get right into the forecast. And we do have a lot to talk about in today's forecast, but I do want to recap what happened yesterday as we had a dangerous tornado outbreak take place across the Midwest with several violent tornadoes in both Eastern Illinois and Western Indiana. We had tornadoes as far north as we're seeing in Kenosha. We even had tornadoes as far east as Michigan and Indiana, and this was one of them back over near Streeter, Illinois. This was just southwest of Streeter. This was a very intense tornado. It was a wedge tornado, and this was one of several large tornadoes that we had yesterday. The National Weather Service will be serving all of these tornadoes later today, and we'll have some ratings on everything, so make sure that you're following me on Facebook and Twitter, at MaxVelocityWX for those updates. But I do have to say, yesterday was a very dangerous tornado outbreak, and it definitely took a turn that not many people expected. And these are all the storm reports that we had from yesterday's event, and notice one of the biggest things that sticks out here is that we had over 400 different wind reports, including wind damage, all the way from the west portion of Texas into the northeast. It was a widespread day of damaging winds. Granted, the worst of this threat happened much further south and east than a lot of people forecasted, including myself. I thought the worst risk would be in Northern Illinois and extreme southern Wisconsin, and even though there was severe weather in that area, it really was the most powerful in central Illinois and back into extreme western Ohio, along with 17 tornado reports. We had multiple tornadoes. We probably had over two dozen tornadoes from yesterday. These are just the reports from visual that people had, but we had a lot of radar-confirmed tornadoes last night. We'll probably have a big survey here over the next couple of days of all of those different tornadoes. Now let's talk more about the severe weather potential over the next few days, and we'll begin with today, which is Friday, and we have a large slight risk of severe weather anywhere from the mid-Atlantic back into the northeast, and also another slight risk of severe weather in parts of the High Plains, where all hazards of severe weather will be on the table today, but the main concern is gonna be damaging winds. We have a 30% chance of damaging winds within about a 25-mile radius, stretching from Richmond, Virginia, back into New York City, so make sure you're hatching down trampolines and protecting loose lawn items. There's also risk of some sporadic pocket-change-sized hail, but nothing too out of the ordinary, and then a very low tornado risk over in the Texas and Oklahoma panhandles, and as we go into tomorrow, we got the return of more significant severe weather in the Midwest and the Central Plains and the Ozarks, and it almost feels like deja vu, but luckily, this is really not the same storm system. This is not what we just saw over the last few days with a major windbag hitting Chicago and Milwaukee one day, and then the next day, we have all these large tornadoes. We are probably gonna see a lot of storms tomorrow, but it's gonna be a very different setup. Right now, we have a level three out of five enhanced risk of severe weather, which does include St. Louis, Kansas City, as well as included in this, and a large slight risk from Des Moines back into Wichita, Springfield, Missouri, and Springfield, Illinois, and then a large marginal threat, including Chicago and Milwaukee back into Amarillo, where all hazards of severe weather will be possible, as we are expecting at least one or two different lines of thunderstorms, one of which will produce significant damaging winds across most of Missouri. We are talking about damaging winds as high as 70 to 85 miles per hour tomorrow afternoon and evening, and we're also watching for a threat of very large hail up to the size of baseballs from Des Moines back into Wichita with those initial supercells. There is also an elevated risk of tornadoes. I honestly could see there being a EF2 plus tornado risk outlined in a future outlook, but at least for right now, we have a 5% tornado risk for northern Missouri, southern Iowa, and northeastern Kansas, and then a large 2% tornado risk surrounding that entire area. So make sure you're staying weather aware tomorrow. I don't think we're gonna be live today, but tomorrow looks very likely that we'll be live on this channel, so make sure that you're subscribed to the channel down below for the latest updates, and we'll, again, probably be live for that. As we go into Sunday, the threat of severe weather will continue, but it should be another kind of low-end day, sort of like what today is, just a bit smaller. We have another slight risk over here in the northeast, including Washington, D.C., Richmond, and Philadelphia, and a marginal threat across the southern plains, mainly watching for damaging wind gusts and large hail. Now let's go day by day with the timing of severe weather, and we will start off in the northeast, and overall, this is a pretty typical springtime day of severe weather. We will have some scattered showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon, starting as early as 12 to 1 o'clock eastern time, moving towards Albany and even near New York City, and even though these storms don't look overly impressive on the future radar, they will be capable of producing strong downburst damaging winds, and that's really about it. I don't expect much more beyond that, maybe a little bit of pocket change-sized hail back down here in West Virginia out of that cluster of thunderstorms that goes up, but generally speaking, these storms are gonna be scattered across the board, so just make sure you're staying weather-aware this afternoon. If you have outdoor plans here anytime between 12 and 8, it's definitely a good idea to have some way to receive weather alerts, and if you hear thunder roar, definitely go indoors, because lightning can strike from tens of miles away. These storms should be done by no later than about 10 o'clock tonight. There will also be some scattered showers and thunderstorms if you live over here in Kentucky and Tennessee, and though severe weather is unlikely in this area, we are still watching for maybe some small hail and gusty winds, and also some lightning, which could disrupt any outdoor activities on this beautiful Friday night. Over in the Central Plains, in Southern Plains, we could see some kind of interesting weather here. Over around four to five o'clock Central time, storms may fire up near Oklahoma City and Tulsa. If this happens, we could actually see some large hail and damaging wind gusts. I actually wouldn't even rule out a brief spin-up tornado in this area because we have all these alpha boundaries that could be shot off, so something could happen here that's a little funky, but overall, the risk of any sort of significant tornado threat is basically minuscule, and then as we go into the overnight hours tonight into Saturday morning, those storms will start to weaken out. We could have another round of thunderstorms Saturday morning here across the Central Plains between St. Louis and Kansas City, and this would be mainly a damaging wind threat, maybe an isolated tornado threat with this line during the early morning hours, and then this may continue even into Tennessee and Kentucky as we go into the afternoon on Saturday, but really, the real story with Saturday is what's gonna be happening as we get closer to about four to five o'clock across parts of the Midwest and also into the Central Plains. Right now, the HRRR model run has a very interesting scenario right now at hand where we have this large area of elevated thunderstorms that is gonna be producing some large hail and damaging wind gusts, but it also shows a couple of discrete supercells trying to organize again in the Midwest, which is really weird because right now the SBC outlook, for example, is much more focused on this area here, but I think what's gonna happen Saturday is going to be really coming down to what happens in the morning hours on Saturday with this little cluster of thunderstorms that is currently forecasted to happen because if this happens, it actually might lead our severe weather threat to be a bit further to the north in parts of Wisconsin and even parts of Northwestern Illinois. With that said, this is still fairly uncertain, but even if you look at the significant tornado parameter values, they're gonna be elevated over here in parts of Wisconsin and Illinois, so I could see the tornado threat being expanded. Across the board, though, there's basically a risk of a few tornadoes anywhere from areas like Kentucky and even Tennessee back over towards Kansas City and as far north as Milwaukee, so it's a pretty large area that we're looking at here for your Saturday evening, and then eventually by about 7, 8 o'clock, the storms are gonna become a lot more widespread in nature, damaging winds is gonna be possible across this entire area, but I still think the main corridor for damaging winds will definitely be over here in eastern Kansas, central Missouri, and also back into western Illinois, and then by about 9, 10 o'clock central time, those storms are just gonna continue to march down to the south and east, and I am forecasting this to produce a significant damaging wind threat through Wichita, Columbia, Jefferson City, and Quincy, at least through about 10 to 11 o'clock, even near Springfield and Peoria, could get pretty nasty out there, at least with a significant damaging wind threat, perhaps even a couple of spin-up tornadoes in that line, and then after midnight, these storms will start to fall apart as they move towards Indianapolis and Evansville, but guys, Saturday, very stormy day ahead, I do think we'll be live here on Saturday, so make sure you are subscribed to the channel and click the bell icon so you're notified for when we do go live, and then on Sunday, the leftover storms from Saturday will leave enough energy in place for there to be another round of thunderstorms across the Mid-Atlantic and the Northeast during the mid to late afternoon and early evening over there in Maryland and even near the New Jersey area with some isolated large hail, damaging winds, and maybe a quick spin-up tornado possible. The southern plains are also gonna see a lot of thunderstorms here on the Sunday afternoon, there's gonna be a lot of hailstorms, I think, down here, and maybe some downburst damaging wind gusts, but overall, the tornado threat is expected to be near zero, wouldn't rule out a brief tornado somewhere, but we're not looking at a very tornadic environment in this area, and as we go into Monday, we should have a little break in the action, at least in terms of significant severe weather, but I am worried that we got another big storm on the horizon for the Midwest and Ohio Valley. In fact, looking at some of these latest model runs, as we go into Monday, we're not really expecting a whole lot of severe weather here across the country, I think Monday will probably be the quietest day of severe weather that we have for the next seven days, because by Tuesday, we are gonna get a little storm that comes out of Canada that is gonna spin across Wisconsin, and I do think that this is gonna bring some severe weather to the Great Lakes, Midwest, and back into the Ohio Valley on Tuesday, and you might think, oh, this is the big storm, right? No, this is not. This is not even that strong of a storm, in my opinion. There might be a couple of severe storms out there, but I don't think this is gonna compare to the potential that Wednesday has, because on Wednesday, there's gonna be a low-pressure system developing from the Rockies into the Central Plains, and granted, this is not the same thing as what we just saw yesterday, but it is the same area where this storm system came from, and so the trajectory is gonna be kind of the same thing, so as we go into Wednesday, I do think there's gonna be an elevated threat of severe weather across much of the Midwest. We're looking at Illinois, Southern Wisconsin, and Eastern Missouri, and then back into the Ohio Valley. This severe weather event here on Wednesday might be a bit more significant a little further to the south and east, not nearly as far north like Iowa and even central and northern Wisconsin. It might be a bit more confined to Illinois, Indiana, Ohio for the highest-end severe weather threat, and I think all hazards will be possible, including significant damaging winds, hail, and the risk of strong tornadoes. It's a little too early for specifics right now, but a lot of models are picking this up right now around Wednesday and Thursday of next week, and as we go into Thursday of next week, severe weather would continue with that storm system across the northeast, and then beyond this, things get a lot more uncertain, but I'm gonna be honest, guys. I don't think significant severe weather is going anywhere anytime soon. This hyperactive June weather pattern that we are currently in does not look like it's going anywhere anytime soon. Also, a huge announcement. We officially reached two million subscribers on our livestream yesterday while we were covering that tornado outbreak. I wanna thank each and every one of you for your continued support. It has been an unbelievable last couple of years. We went literally from 100,000 subscribers, I think, maybe two years ago, all the way to two million now. It is incredible how many people the weather coverage we do reaches, so I really wanna thank each and every one of you for spreading the word all the time about what we do here. I also wanna give you guys a heads up that we do have limited edition two million subscriber merch, including a signed hat from me. We have signed hats, and we have signed cards. These are all available on shopmaxvelocity.net. We only have 500 hats, and we've already sold about 78% of them as of the time I'm recording this video. We sold almost all of them on our livestream yesterday. We also sold out of our ducks already. They were a limited edition of 300, which is honestly my bad, so I did release the two million subscriber ducks that are limited release in silver. That way, if you want to get a duck, they are here for you. They're gonna be here for maybe a week or two, so if you wanna get one, make sure to check this out at shopmaxvelocity.net. There's signed cards as well, t-shirts, mug stickers, and a lot more, so check this out on shopmaxvelocity.net. It's also the top link in the description below. And as always, thank you all so much for watching today's forecast. If you are new to the channel, make sure to subscribe down below. We'll have another video tomorrow morning, and then it looks like a livestream tomorrow afternoon and evening, so stay tuned to the channel, and make sure you're subscribed down below, and make sure to follow us on Facebook and Twitter. Links are in the description, and we will see you in the next video.