Physicist fact-checks Michio Kaku's biggest claims — quantum collapse of capitalism, Theory of Everything, black hole gateways. Does celebrity physics do more damage than good?
Brian Keating breaks down Michio Kaku's viral Diary of a CEO appearance, fact-checking everything from quantum computing to black holes to the multiverse.
We cover Why quantum computers won't kill capitalism overnight String theory: candidate framework or confirmed Theory of Everything? "Read the mind of God" — Einstein's phrase or Hawking's? Tabby Star: aliens vs. dust, and why Kaku buries the retreat Black holes as gateways, wormholes as cousins of black holes, and what spaghettification actually rules out
Celebrity physicists who present speculation as settled science set back the field more than any funding cut.
CHAPTERS 00:00 Quantum computers and capitalism collapse 01:23 What quantum computing actually can and can't do 03:39 String theory and the Theory of Everything 06:16 Who really said "read the mind of God" 09:40 Tabby Star: aliens or something boring? 13:45 11 dimensions: prediction or math requirement? 18:19 Is dark matter made of string vibrations? 23:03 The multiverse bubble bath — poetry or physics? 28:39 Wormholes vs. black holes: not very similar 34:22 Simulation theory and Kaku's "Option Four" 37:37 Verdict: great communicator, bad epistemics ——— 📬 Get the transcript, fascinating bonus content, and my Monday M.A.G.I.C. Message: https://briankeating.com/yt 🌠 Have a .edu email and live in the USA 🇺🇸? You automatically win a meteorite: https://BrianKeating.com/edu 🔔 Subscribe: https://www.youtube.com/DrBrianKeating?sub_confirmation=1 🎯 Support Into the Impossible on Patreon — get my weekly M.A.G.I.C. Message, unfiltered bonus content, and live monthly Office Hours with me: https://www.patreon.com/drbriankeating ⭐ Join this channel for perks, monthly Office Hours, and your name in the Member Roster at the end of every episode: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCmXH_moPhfkqCk6S3b9RWuw/join
Capitalism would vanish. Society would come to a halt. There'd be civil war. This is a quantum
computer. It's a computer that computes not on transistors, which is old-fashioned, it computes
on atoms. Welcome back to Into the Impossible and this is a special sub-series called Keating's
Razors. Trying to understand which bold claims that are out there actually make the cut and
which don't survive the close shave. Today's episode features past guest and physicist extraordinaire
Michio Kaku, a man not known for lack of hyperbole or humility when it comes to the physical universe.
And he was recently on Diary of a CEO, a business podcast. But Michio got a ton of attention for
some of his claims. The very first thing that really got my undies in a bundle was his discussion
of quantum computing. So I'll play the clip for you now. The ultimate object beyond the
transistor that you can compute with is the atom. So these are called quantum computers.
Why are they powerful? Because they compute not on transistors, they compute on atoms. And you can't
get much smaller than an atom and have stable matter. But that's what quantum computers can do
and they exist. This is not science fiction, they already exist. So what Michio is saying is that a
quantum computer, which is a real technology, I just talked with John Martinez who's working on a
quantum computing company called Colabs, and he won the Nobel Prize just last year for his work
on macroscopic quantum phenomena, mainly in Josephson junctions and qubits and superconducting
circuits, which we use in all sorts of telescopes like the Simons Observatory. But real quantum
computing is both a long way off, according to John and many others, but it's far from doing what
Michio just claimed it's going to do. His takeaway is that quantum computing is going to directly lead
to the abolishment and vanishing of capitalism and therefore society would come to a halt.
So that's the chain, Michio. Quantum computer breaks encryption and therefore
capitalism is gone. That's the first thing. There's nothing in between. We have to migrate to
post-quantum cryptography, we have to go beyond that now. So what does that mean? Governments have
to do this, banks have to do this, they would have a five alarm fire according to Michio. Not that
there would be a challenging and possibly expensive transition, just capitalism gone. Credits roll
and your bank account vanishes. You know what else could theoretically break RSA encryption? A
sufficiently powerful classical computer and a motivated group of white hat or black hat hackers.
We know about this. They could also run Shor's algorithm. We've known about this since the 1990s.
The global financial system has been responding in a measured way. We'll deal with it when it's
relevant. And by the way, NIST, National Institute of Standards and Technology, has already standardized
a post-quantum cryptographic algorithm to deal with just this. It's not a problem, it's not a five
alarm problem, it's not going to cause society collapse, let alone all of capitalism. Can you
imagine if economic systems depended on quantum computing or any other physical laws? Like,
oh no, we can't do this. The second law of thermodynamics prevents you from accessing
your kid's piggy bank. Okay, it's not going to happen. And you know, maybe if you watch Live
Free or Die Hard too many times, you might come away with that impression. That's maybe just a
crime, but don't present it as physics. Please don't present it as physics. I'm a physicist
working on the theory of everything. What is the theory of everything? An equation perhaps no more
than one inch long that will allow us to quote, read the mind of God. These are Einstein's words,
the theory of the Big Bang, the theory of creation itself, the theory of everything.
Okay, now this is a big one. Michio says, I work in string theory, which is the theory that eluded
Einstein in the last 30 years of his life. The theory of everything. Well, there's actually a
problems here. First of all, Einstein never worked on string theory. It wasn't developed
until the 60s and 70s, decades after Einstein was already dead. So the idea that Einstein was
searching for this elusive theory that eluded him his whole life is really not an incorrect
assessment whatsoever. String theory wasn't even on the event horizon on the day he passed away.
Second, string theory is not a theory of everything. It's a candidate for a possible
unification scheme, which could potentially lead to a theory of everything. But there's
a big difference between that and a patented theory of everything. A theory of everything
would have to make testable, falsifiable predictions. String theory makes none of
those. And their proponents, the actual people working on it today, unlike Michio,
doesn't work on it, did work on what's called string field theory, which he points out,
he didn't invent string theory. Some people give him credit for that. He worked on a branch of an
allied field called string field theory, which has not produced nearly the excitement or
breakthroughs such as they are as string theory itself has. So a theory of everything at this
point is a complete misnomer, let alone at the time when Einstein died and inspired young seven
year old Michio Kaku apparently to become a physicist. So I think it's just interesting.
And it's fun to note that he says we think as in we think it's the theory that eluded Einstein,
it is the theory that he searched for. So he's already kind of hedging his bets. But it doesn't
stop there. He keeps going. So Michio is candid enough to say that we think we might find it as
an answer. But he doesn't actually follow up on what his original claim was, which is that Einstein
thought it was the answer to everything. That's the thing that eluded him. That's the thing that
everyone wants to defeat Einstein over and kind of claim his Dungeons and Dragons like hit points.
If you prove Einstein wrong, then you somehow become more famous than Einstein. I'm not really
sure. But that take right there is a perfect microcosm for what's wrong with Michio's answers
in this otherwise very entertaining interview with my friend Stephen Bartlett.
Okay, so the next example, again, is with the topic of string theory and Michio and every
physicist idol Albert Einstein. And that's that the theory, if achieved, the string theory in
Michio's case, or the theory of everything, would allow one to read the mind of God. Now, he says,
these are Einstein's words, but Einstein never used that phrase. In fact, it's Stephen Hawking,
who used those phrase at the end of A Brief History of Time. He says, if we,
when we do understand string theory, we will then be able to read the mind of God. What's
interesting is that Einstein nor Hawking really believed in God. There are certain quotes that we
can say that I'd say would refer to things about God, God doesn't play dice is a famous one.
If the Eclipse Expedition 1919 turned out to be in violation of Einstein's general relativity,
Einstein said, I would feel sorry for God because my equations are right.
So the mind of God is, you know, sort of echoing theology, but not physics. So
when you have a scientific hypothesis, and you dress it in a religious landscape,
you make it sound inevitable, make it sound like it's already true. And that's the core
bedrock of reality. We have no idea if there's a theory, but we don't even know if there's a grand
unified theory. In other words, unified theories, I'll take a step back, are joining together of
two previously disparate theories. So electricity was once thought to be different than magnetism.
Here's a magnet. Behind me is a plasma globe. These are very different phenomena. And they
were thought to be completely separate until Maxwell unified electricity and magnetism into
one theory. Then later in the 70s, 60s and 70s, Weinberg, Salaam, helped to unify electromagnetism
with the weak nuclear force making the electroweak force. That's where we are right now,
we don't have a unification of the strong nuclear force with the electroweak force.
And we certainly don't have a theory that unifies gravity with those other three forces. So that
would be the theory of everything. And in a sense to say that the theory of everything would be
reading the mind of God implies that that is a done deal, but for the actual equations.
And it's completely fallacious. We have no idea if there's even a grand unified theory that unifies
electricity, magnetism, the weak force and the strong force. We certainly don't have any proof
that a godlike entity would create a universe where there has to be a unification between all
the four forces of nature. So I have serious colleagues, people that I respect, physicists
who object to this framing very, very strongly. It doesn't really change anybody's opinion just
because you stated it, but the hyperbole behind it and the accentuating that string theory
is already sort of the solution, but for the fact that we haven't found any of this pesky
experimental evidence for it is really skipping over the pages to get to the end of the chapter
of Revelation, where God is suddenly allowing his mind to be read like an open book. So I think
Einstein was a genius, but he was also wrong about a lot of things, and he was a human being
like any other human being. As I point out in my second book, Into the Impossible, I think like a
Nobel Prize winner, my conversation with Barry Barish, who won the Nobel Prize for the LIGO
experiment with his colleagues Kit Thorne and the late Ray Weiss, there is no necessary belief
that Einstein was infallible. And in fact, Barry was pleased to learn when I had the conversation
with him four or five years ago for the first time. So they're talking about, in this clip here,
they're talking about this star that's probably aliens. Definitely, maybe, probably, maybe not aliens. Here we go.
...of one particular star that reduces in its intensity by 20 percent.
Yeah, there is a star that oscillates. What does that mean? So it drops by about 20 percent.
So it's reducing its light output by 20 percent. That's right. How often?
You don't have to wait for centuries. It's within a matter of months to years. A star that reduces,
frequently reduces, its light output by 20 percent. Yeah, which is very unusual. It's the only one we
saw, we've seen so far. The theory goes that an advanced civilization will surround it with like
a metal sphere to capture its energy. Yeah. And that would explain why we see a 20 percent reduction
in the light output? No, they think that it's probably an orbiting, an orbiting globe
that eclipses the mother star. Okay, so this one, this is a topic about voyaging stars. So this is
known as KIC 8462852, but it's really known as Tabby's Star in the popular imagination. It dims by
22 percent every now and then, which is an enormous diminution of its luminosity. Now, to compare this
to what a planet transiting a star causes, that's about one to two percent. It's 10 times bigger
than that. So a planet cannot be the explanation. That's fair. But what Kaku is not telling you is
that there's no confirmed explanation. Shouldn't go to aliens, you know, maybe ever, but certainly
not as your first explanation, especially when the authors themselves, including Tabby, have said that
they have some conjecture as to what it may be. But they're careful scientists. They're not being
hyperbolic and trying to, you know, promote something. So this we should say is that it's
exciting. We don't know what it is. It could be comets. It could be dust. It could be circumstellar
matter. It could even be an undetected companion star or even a black hole. Those are all super
exciting and still in play. But Kaku jumps to the sci-fi version that clearly he'd be pleased as
to be the first to kind of deliver to us that one that we basically know is wrong, which is that an
advanced civilization would encircle the star with a metal shell to capture its energy. And then he
immediately says, actually, no, they think it's probably an orbiting globe. OK, so wait, this is
an alien megastructure created. The concept created by my first guest on the podcast, Freeman Dyson,
a Dyson sphere. Option A, alien megastructure. Option B, really big planet. And Kaku presents
option A and gets excited and then retreats to option B after without acknowledging that
that's a retreat. That's not proper way to communicate scientifically. That's sort of
magic trick pulling out of the thin air, shall we say. So option B, never mind. I actually work
in the early universe. I built instruments to look at the oldest lights in existence. And
I like to say something, you know, people ask me a question, whether it's about climate change or
about, you know, free energy from, you know, tabletop fusion. I like to say, I don't know.
I think that's a great thing. I think I'm going to do another reaction video to a survey I just
read about recently horrified me where they asked astrobiologists, do you believe in extraterrestrial
life? Do you believe in extraterrestrial technology? And I thought that was an offensive
question that should never be answered by a self-respecting scientist. I'll get into that
in a future video, in a future Razor, Keating's Razor episode. Okay. Now we get to one of Kaku's
favorite hobby horses, which we discussed on his appearance on the Into the Impossible podcast
four or five years ago. And that's 11 dimensions. He says string theory predicts 11 dimensions.
In other words, string theory says that we live not just in a four dimensional world,
but in a 11 dimensional world, these other dimensions we cannot see,
but we think that the universe coexists with other universes.
Here's the problem. First of all, there's no string theory. There's many string theories,
as many string theories as there are models of inflation. And Kaku admitted that on my podcast.
He said, it's not his burden to tell you which of the 10 to the 500 vacuous state we live in. It's
unlike an electromagnetism. I don't have to tell you what ground state we are in. It's directly
enabled and encoded in the theory itself. So string theory requires 11 dimensions to make
the math work. That's not a prediction. That's a structural requirement. And here's the bigger
problem. We have no evidence whatsoever for any dimension beyond the four, three of space,
one of time that we experienced. Four dimensions we have zero evidence for. None. Not a single
experimental observational hint that the extra seven spatial dimensions positive by string
theory exists. This isn't a minor caveat. This is a huge part. This is the entire ballgame. You can't
claim a victory when the theory hasn't been verified with no experimental evidence for
its biggest claim of all, which is the existence of extra dimension. We just sort of assume it.
And actually later on, he talks about the fact that the universe is expanding into
the multiverse and the multiverse is made up of these extra dimensions. This is just totally wrong.
I'll add that clip and we'll talk about this because extra dimensions are plausible as a
theoretical idea. And there's real reasons that physicists, including some of the most eminent
currently alive and some that I've talked to on the podcast that they find these compelling, but
string theory believes that there are 11 extra dimensions as if that's an established fact is
dangerous and misleading. The multiverse believes that there are trillions of universes. It doesn't
believe anything. We either have evidence or we don't right now. We don't have any evidence of
that. We don't have any evidence, physical, hard evidence of aliens. We don't have any physical,
hard evidence of string theories, extra, extra dimensions. It doesn't mean we never will.
And we can be quite optimistic and hopeful, and we can even do more and design experiments to
detect aliens and to detect technology as people like Avi Loeb are trying to do, for example,
or go around it and make predictions and experiments for experiments to find evidence
of string theoretic telltale relics. We just don't have them yet.
String theory is something that you came up with.
I came up with string field theory, which is one of the branches of string theory, right?
Okay. This one I want to handle delicately because I respect Michio and I really like
him personally. So it's a little hard to criticize, but I have to say string theory
itself was first originated in the sixties by the Veneziano and others. And later it kind of
lay dormant for a while, but it really was picked up by in field theoretic form by Mike
John Schwartz and Edward Witten in the 1980s. Green and Schwartz solved the anomaly cancellation
problem in 1984, which was considered one of the greatest breakthroughs in theoretical physics.
Witten did enormous work in the mathematics. And these are the people who built what string
theory has become. Some say it's become dangerous and it's sort of suck the oxygen,
vitality, funding, and young minds out of the field for, you know, three generations of physicists
over the last 45 plus years. Now, Kaku is talking about something separate string field theory.
So we benefit from things that we work on that others have created and invented.
I didn't invent the CMB. I work on the CMB. Now, Michio Kaku is a better science communicator
than almost any human being alive. Anyone who's been alive because he's reached so many people,
millions of people, including me, and he's influenced. But there's a difference between
being a pioneer in a field and being a popular. He did write papers in the 60s and early 70s
on string field theory. They're not cited as among the top most relevant papers in even in
the field of string field theory. But but they were some of the some of the original contributions
that he did make. And no one can take that away from him. And that's fine. And he should be proud
of that. It also happens to be that there's no evidence for string field theory. But it was an
important step in the intellectual development. And I'm not to say you should only work on things
that have experimental evidence. We didn't have experimental evidence for the Big Bang for many
decades after it was first conceived. So should we have stopped working? Of course not. Of course
not. I'm not saying that at all. But now we realize that there's another octave. There's
another layer even beyond what we see with the Large Hadron Collider. Dark matter. Dark matter
is invisible matter that surrounds the Milky Way galaxy. And we don't know what it is. There's a
Nobel Prize waiting for somebody who can figure out what dark matter is. It's invisible matter.
Invisible matter that surrounds the entire Milky Way galaxy. We think that we cannot yet prove
that it's nothing but the next octave. We're just saying, you know, quoting directly,
we think that we cannot yet prove that dark matter is nothing but the next octave. We start talking
about string theory and poetic things as if it's already proven that dark matter is a form
of string theory or is a manifestation of string theory. This is impossible to let slide. As much
as I like Michio. So let me translate that from Kaku speak to normal physicist speak. Dark matter
is the next octave of string vibrations. He has no evidence for this. We don't have any evidence
for strings. We don't have any conception of what the string particle inventory and spectrum would
be, let alone what octaves they are. And so he even said, we think, and we cannot prove it.
That means that sort of implied to me, maybe I'm wrong. Maybe I'm too simple to understand it.
That in the, in the future, we, we will have it. We just don't have the technology right now.
Not that it's impossible, you know, epistemically, we can never know it. So dark matter is real.
It seems to be overwhelming galaxy rotation curve. Some of which were discovered here by my late
great colleagues, Jeff and Margaret Burbage, when they were working with Vera Rubin, who was,
was learning how to make galaxy rotation curve from the spectra with Margaret, who is the
observational astronomer. Gravitational lensing tells us about dark matter. CMB tells us about
dark matters existence. Something is definitely there. Now there could be something different.
There could be a modification to not just Einstein's theory of relativity, but Newton's
theory of universal gravitation that could be wrong or need to be modified on galactic scales
at extremely low acceleration. So if you have a, if you have a large acceleration and you have
billions of years of evolution, things will be going way too fast. But if you have tiny
acceleration where we don't really know, cause it's very hard to test in a non-gravitational
environment. If you go into space and even in space, there's microgravity. So how do you test
small gravitational field behavior at large, enormous scales? It's extremely hard to do,
but people like past guests on the podcast, Mordecai Milgram, I'll put a link to his episode
up here. They conjecture that gravity is wrong and this has happened before, right? So Le Verrier
predicted the existence of Neptune based on the anomaly of the orbit of the planet Uranus, which
was then attributed to dark matter, you know, namely Neptune, which people couldn't see and
now they can see it obviously, but it was an unseen gravitational pull due to ordinary matter
or particulate matter. And Le Verrier tried to solve for the anomaly of Mercury's precession,
that it doesn't come back at the same point, it advances by 43 arc seconds per century.
And he also proposed a new planet there, the planet Vulcan, some planet unseeable inward of
Mercury around the sun and we can never see it even during an eclipse. Of course, that turned
out to be wrong. Einstein had to modify gravity. So there's precedent for both particulate dark
matter and for modifications of gravity. There's nothing wrong with either one of those. They
might both be right. There might be some combination of the two. There's many different
people working on it, but people claiming that dark matter is string theoretic vibrations
as the answer to this mystery is literally kind of a double speak because he told you that it
can't be proven yet. He already stipulates that dark matter is the result of an octave vibration
of string theory, meaning that he explained something currently unexplainable in terms of
something completely unknowable, string theory, and something for which we have no evidence.
It's very frustrating when great communicator heroes to many people then suggest things that
will go down in the public's imagination. It's seen by 3 million people plus this video already
in just a week. This is going to influence a lot of people to believe things that just aren't
verifiable. I think that's bad. I think it's destructive to science. Many people have
criticized Vincio for his hyperbolic discussions of things. I presented him with the Arthur C.
Clarke Award. I like to think we're still friends, but just because someone's a friend doesn't mean
that they're immune from criticism. I will criticize people for their ideas. I'm not
going to criticize them personally. I haven't mentioned personal attack once in this video,
and I never will because I do have respect for what he does.
And going back to what you were saying about the bubble bath idea.
Right. Then the question is, are there other stars? Yes. Are there other galaxies? There are
billions and billions of planets out there. We think that the whole shebang is curved.
We're nothing but inhabitants on the skin of this gigantic bubble. Now we're saying that maybe there
are other bubbles out there. A multiverse. A multiverse of universes. Parallel universes.
In fact, where multiverse has gotten into the literature, comic books now refer to the multiverse.
Spider-Man and things like that. So it's even part of the vernacular, the common language of the
average person, that we believe in parallel universes. So yeah, these parallel universes
come from physics. Okay, now he talks about something again in my wheelhouse,
the multiverse, the bubble bath of universes. So what does a bubble bath of universes mean
in the context of string theory? String theory predicts 10 to the 500th possible vacuum states,
maybe an infinite number. Each one could be a different universe. Each universe could have
different physical constants of nature, different gravity, different light speed. Eternal inflation
could produce pocket universes separated by inflating space. And that is the theory behind
the multiverse. Now the multiverse is not proven by any means, but here's the evidence for the
multiverse. It's actually equal to the evidence for string theory. So there's nothing. We don't
have evidence that other universes exist. We don't have evidence that string theory landscape is real.
The bubble bath is a metaphor for something that's exciting, that's interesting, that's
intriguing, that's a consequence of many theories of inflation. But it hasn't made a testable
prediction that we could falsify. We always have to think about that. Michio maybe believes that
the elegance, the beauty of string theory manifests that must be true, but that has never been true.
I mean, what's more beautiful than the orbits of the planets follow the nested Pythagorean solids
or the harmony and the resonances and the notes of the Pythagorean musical scales? And that was
thought to be the orchestration of the inner solar system out to the planet Mars by no less
than the titanic astronomer Kepler. So they thought these things, and the Greeks thought
these things. Does that mean that because they're beautiful, they're right? Of course not. Nobody
believes that. And my friend Sabine Hassenfelder has made a lot of criticism about string theory,
the multiverse, and all sorts of other things. And I think that this is the part that bothers me.
He says, we think. He keeps saying we think, which is cautious. But he really should say,
we don't know for sure. There's a conjecture. We think that there could be a bubble bath of
universe. It sounds beautiful. It sounds poetic. You can just envision me or you or Stephen Bartlett
lathering up. But he presents this with the confidence of a weather forecast here in San
Diego. You don't even have to look outside. We know what the weather is. So don't give the
confidence to it. I don't object to people discussing the multiverse. I do it too. I think
it's a legitimate part of science. But I object to you presenting it as, I object to people
presenting it to you, a layperson perhaps, as established physics. That's very different.
Very different from what responsible science advocacy and communication should be. And
there's so much of this out there. I just saw a video with Joe Rogan and a former astronomer
physicist from NASA. And they're talking about quantum mechanics and faster than light
communication. And I'll probably have to do a reaction video about that too. Again,
I don't just, you know, cherry pick. I'm not punching down. You know, it's hard to punch
down to someone like Michio Kaku or Neil deGrasse Tyson, even. I'll push back on everybody.
Because I think it's important to tell the truth. That is, without the truth, we have nothing. We
have, we, we, we basically have, we'll have a deformed society. Science has to be the ground
truth. You should push back. And I take pushback and I push back myself.
Comic books now refer to the multiverse, Spider-Man and things like that. So it's even
part of the vernacular, the common language of the average person that we believe in parallel
universes. So yeah, these parallel universes come from physics.
So he says the multiverse has now gotten into the literature. Comic books now refer to the
multiverse. Spider-Man, the spider-verse, right, Michio? I laugh at things like that. He's saying
the multiverse is real. Essentially the reality, maybe some of the strongest pieces of evidence is
that it appears in comic books and movies. Actually, I understand what he's saying. The
multiverse has extended into the lexicon. It's actually a problem for me to do things with LLMs
because now, even if I wanted to say, well, what does the, an LLM or AI system predict about the
possibility of alternate universes? Well, it'll scan all of the corpus of human knowledge and
creation. Because the word exists doesn't mean the thing exists. I mean, there's many more things
you can think about. Unicorns, dragons that fly through space. What he does in that one sentence
is kind of use pop science as an evidence, as a piece of evidence for scientific claim. That's
not how science works. I know he knows that. I love Spider-Man. I want to be Spider-Man. I was
about seven years old. But Spider-Man is not a cosmology instrument. There's a cosmology balloon
telescope called Spider-Boom. You can check that out. Princeton University, developed by a colleague
of mine from back in the Caltech era. Kind of like bicep times six, I think. I think they should have
made it eight biceps floating in space on a balloon. And that's a really legitimate scientific
experiment, which may provide evidence that inflation is true. And that may even provide
evidence that the multiverse is well-motivated, but not provable.
And that's the gateway called a wormhole, which is very similar to a black hole. A little bit
different, but very similar. He says here, a gateway called a wormhole. Very similar to a
black hole. A little bit different, but very similar. Okay. They're not very similar. They're
completely different concepts. Black holes are well-known solutions to Einstein's field equations.
We observe them. We have images of their event horizon, or really their photosphere. We don't
actually see them that high. We can see their effect in gravitating systems nearby, like stars.
Past guest on the podcast, Ryan Argenzel, spoke about this in his conversation. We linked that
here. And so black holes are well understood. I had Shep Dolman on a couple of times talk about
the Event Horizon Telescope. And their existence of black holes is without doubt. And we've also
talked with LIGO pioneers and the collisions of black holes. Not only the existence of black
holes, but black holes merging together produce observable signals exactly in harmony with
Einstein's relativity. But wormholes, no, sorry. Wormholes are hypothetical. Their existence
requires negative energy density, which is known not to be possible in the quantity needed to keep
a macroscopic wormhole open. I've talked about this with Juan Maldacena just recently. Link that
here in the show notes below. And I also had him deliver a technical lecture here. And I have that
on my other channel, Keating Experiments, where I put stuff that may be less of interest to the
general public, but you can find that a link to that channel in the show notes below. And his
talk about wormholes and the thermodynamics and so forth is very interesting. But even Juan
admitted to me, there's no possible way that we understand right now where you could have a
wormhole. It requires these very different points in spacetime to be connected. But there are also
very different equations than what governs the behavior of black holes. To call them very similar
is completely wrong. They might be cousins, but they're basically strangers that have the same
last name. And so the whole part is correct. So Kaku is not wrong that wormholes can appear
theoretically, but he is presenting it as if they're actually plausible, legitimate, proven
solutions. They're absolutely not. They're completely on the frontier of speculation.
That's why they were generated by Kip Thorne as solutions for fictional movies like Contact and
Interstellar. And I made a joke recently that I think that Interstellar is less plausible
scientifically than Project Hail Mary. Because of these things, such as the near impossibility of
creating a wormhole to do time travel, you need to create a wormhole in advance and put the
destination somewhere that you want to go and then somehow get back to the original starting point
and not violate causality and not die yourself and, you know, kind of build the wormhole before
you need it, so to speak. And that's completely impossible by laws of locality and causality.
So this, I think, is pretty risky business for Michio to get into. But as this is one,
he's quite good at explaining it. And that's almost the problem. He's so good. It would be
fine if he wasn't so damn good at doing what he does. But he presents it as if it's an open and
shut case. So here's another one. The black hole gateway. If I were to take a guess, I would say
that it's an entrance. It's a gateway, perhaps to another universe. Okay, the black hole. This is
the one that got a lot of attention, sending me this clip and partially the reason I did this,
because I got so many questions. It says if I were to take a guess, I would say that a black hole
is an entrance. It is a gateway, perhaps to another universe. He even added, if you know
what's inside the black hole, you'll win a Nobel Prize. So what he's acknowledging in the same
breath is saying that it's a gateway is that nobody knows what's inside. But he gives you the
answer anyway. So it would be fine if he was a science fiction author, if he's Andy Weir,
you know, or Chris Hadfield writing some science fiction book, hard science fiction is great, or
Carl Sagan. But if you fall into a black hole, the tidal forces, the difference in force between your
feet and your head, for example, will spaghettify you at the subatomic level before you reach the
singularity, which would be the gateway to another dimension, according to him. So if you survive
the journey, you can't go through the portal, you'd be disrupted and destroyed long before you
got any more interesting. So even if there is something on the other side, a white hole, a baby
universe, a quantum firewall, you're not going through it, you're going to be incinerated,
ripped apart in transit, on the way to your destination from which you cannot escape.
All roads once you're in the event horizon lead to the singularity, as Jan 11 pointed on the
podcast, time becomes space and space becomes time and that you cannot avoid your ultimate
destination singularity inside of it. Now he knows about spaghettification, he's mentioned it on
podcast too. He studies physics, but when the cameras are on the nuances get diluted. And I
think it's possibly difficult to imagine how we could actually promote this idea other than trying
to make sensationalism. And that's what I don't want. Science is fascinating. And I almost don't
listen to or read much science fiction because it's science fact is so interesting. Nonfiction
is so interesting. We don't need physics of Star Trek with a tenure track. We need honest to
goodness exposition of what we know and what we do not yet know. And I think that's even more
fascinating than anything. You know, you look back Galileo, Einstein, they almost did none of
this. Okay, there weren't maybe science popularizers back then. And so the science popularizers who
will say or something in order to generate interest or hype or whatever, it may have all
started with Hawking come to think of. Well, my personal point of view is, is there's option
four that you don't mention. And option four is that there is no simulation at all.
That all this talk is nothing but fairy tales. Okay, the last one, simulation theory.
This is the one that frustrated me the most, I think, not because I'm a simulation truther.
I'm not. But I think the way that he handled it intellectually was not in the most appropriate way.
And I think it's worth talking about. I've had Nick Bostrom on many times. His simulation argument
is one of the most carefully constructed philosophical arguments in modern science.
It's not a guess. It's a logical structure. Here it goes. It has these three premises.
Number one, almost all civilizations that develop the capability to run
ancestor simulations go extinct before they run them. So we can run ancestor simulations right
now. We can simulate, you know, the time of civilization. There's some game that
I remember from from the 80s or 90s. Rather, you start out as like bacteria culture and then go up
to evolve to intergalactic colonization. But those are ancestor simulations up until they become
future. OK, so part one, ancestor simulations can be developed, but they go extinct. Typically,
the civilizations go extinct before they run. Number two, advanced civilizations that could
run simulations have no interest in doing so. That's a possibility. So we could just say we
don't know. Number three, we're almost certainly in a simulation because if simulations are being
run at all, there would be billions of simulated universes and only one base layer of reality.
That makes it statistically overwhelming that we occupy a simulated rather than base universe.
Kaku says, I opinion, number four, there is no simulation at all. That's not a fourth option.
That was just calling number two, number four, and having the same choice with the Kaku label.
And his reason for dismissing Bostrom was kind of a little bit to nervous,
OK, saying the universe is based on probabilities, not on simulation.
I don't know what that even means. Simulations are probabilities. There are probabilistic.
That's the whole point. You add in some randomness to the simulation. Otherwise,
you know exactly what's happening. And that's forbidden completely even at the quantum level,
right, by Heisenberg. So that's the entire point of a simulation. Probability distributions.
We test the veracity compared to what the observations do. Now, we don't have observations
of the simulation. We don't have observations of the multiverse. We don't have observations
of string theory. So it's very hard to do these things. But in the models where we do have
simulations, even at the level of QCD, we have the QCD vacuum. That has been used as evidence
against the simulation theory because the required computation power scales as very large
power of dimensionality. And so therefore, if string theory were true, but maybe he's
consonant with his belief that string theory is true and already true without any evidence,
which is a dangerous proposition to accept. But scaling is very high power of dimensionality
would make string theory even more computationally expensive than a good old fashioned
four dimensional three space plus one time dimension universe that we know we live in,
at least in the macroscopic scale. Doesn't mean he's wrong, but he doesn't refute Bostrom. He
just announced that he disagrees and then conjectures something that Bostrom already came
up with. So, you know, it's wild. The multiverse in which Kaku spent 20 minutes describing
as likely real has exactly the same epistemological status as the simulation hypothesis.
Neither has been experimentally tested. Neither is really falsifiable either. But
Kaku will tell you that the multiverse comes from physics and simulation theory is fairy tales.
The only difference is the one that he finds himself in is the more comfortable epistemic
position to be. That's not science, that's preference. And as my Latin friends say,
de gustatum, known as disputando. Taste is not disputable. So taste is not disputable. I'm not
criticizing Michio for his taste, that he prefers string theory, prefers the multiverse. He doesn't
prefer the simulation hypothesis. That's fine, but state it clearly. Okay, so let's wrap it up.
There's about 12 times, maybe 13 times that I caught Michio a little bit over his skis. And
again, I want to be very sincere. I like Michio a lot. He's been around for decades and he keeps
getting better and better at what he does. He is one of the greatest communicators, not only today,
but has ever lived. He's done more to excite people to get into this field of science than
any other person, maybe with the possible exception of someone like Carl Sagan. Well,
Carl Sagan's not alive, but of Neil deGrasse Tyson, right? Let's be honest. He's an incredible
intellect. He's just infectious curiosity and clever. And so I don't want to do that. I read
his books when I was a kid. He came to speak. I've heard him speak many times and I've presented him
with awards for the very foundation whose namesake started this whole journey of podcasting for me.
So the issue is not at all, he's not a bad physicist. He's a good communicator and emissary
of science. But when you're a celebrity, people emphasize your weight. That's why
the title of the podcast with Stephen emphasizes credentials as a top physicist,
not as a top communicator of physics. Now, when you do that, you have an obligation to present
things as established science only when and if they are and not talk about them in hyperbolic
terms when there's either no evidence or evidence against them, as may be the case for some of us.
So presenting it as settled science does a disservice to real scientists working in the
that are trying to search for these inevitable truths. Now, we may get there, we may not.
The beauty of real science is that it's real. And we can say, I don't know, we can be humble.
You have to be simultaneously humble and a little bit arrogant to think that you can
confront mother nature with her infinite arsenal of arrayed forces against you.
We'll never win science, but you can win the little battles in science. But part of the way
you win is by recruiting people in an honest way. Don't mislead people to get them to join
your battle. And so I think that that's important. I'm not saying he lied or
misled anybody intentionally. I think he's truly convinced that these things are correct
and that his position is right. I don't think he would ever meaningfully
mislead anybody in the public. He's too nice of a person to do that.
So this is just out there. Casey sees it, or in case you saw the video,
as many millions of people have and will in the future, just a little bit of a sidebar to
be cautious. And because I think the truth itself is interesting enough. And I think that this is
an incredible time to be alive. So much is exciting. So much is on the cusp of revolution
and revelation. And we can do that, but we have to do so honestly and not in the interest of
dressing up the characters that are already dressed up. We already have the finest script
ever devised. Mother nature gave us a script. We don't need people acting. We need people
telling the truth about what the science is telling us, what it cannot yet tell us
and where the future may go. That's what makes science so interesting.
So that's my rant. That's my Keating's razor. And we'll see you in the next episode.