👇 "Xactimate's always too low." Every public adjuster, roofer, and contractor says it — so I took the complaint straight to the source. David Obert, Chief Product Officer at Verisk, explains Xactly how Xactimate pricing gets built: the surveys, the supply house and retail data feeds, how granular the research really gets, and why "accuracy" is more complicated than anyone waving an estimate in your face wants to admit. If you've ever had to defend your estimate on a roof or across a kitchen table, this is the context you've been missing.
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Video Summary
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This video discusses the common perception that Xactimate pricing is too low and explores how the pricing database is actually developed. It addresses the impact of inflation and global events on construction costs and explains the scientific methodology used to maintain a balanced price point between insurance carriers and contractors.
Xactimate pricing is always too low. Every PA says it.
Every roofer says it. Even half of you
have said it to me. I'm Matt, and I teach
complete adjuster training that gets experience
requirements waived, and I've heard the pricing complaint
from every side of the table. So let's
get straight to the source. In this video,
you'll learn where Xactimate pricing actually comes from,
how granular the data really gets, how often it updates,
and why accurate is a lot more complicated
than the guy waving an estimate
in your face wants you to believe. Starting now.
All right. There was another article that I saw on LinkedIn.
Factors, I don't know if you know
anything about this, but factors influencing roof risk in 2025.
It says that the average
roof replacement in 2025 was 33% up
from the average from the prior three or four years
at 17,600 so that's you know 33% from like 12 to 17,000
or something like that yeah something that
yeah you can speak on uh yeah i mean it's
been interesting to see how i mean just roofs in
general the the the industry today
so and and i know Aaron kind of mentioned to you uh Matt i've
got a close friend who is an adjuster
and um you know it's it's been generally just a very
interesting world the last year and a half
or so right for for the adjuster community no question
because the the truth of the matter is it's
been you know volumes have not been there um whether
it's hail claims or otherwise like if it's hurricanes
or or hails or whatever it's been
it's been relatively quiet part of the challenge
that we're seeing in the industry we've got
inflationary challenges right
and obviously we're seeing especially right now we're seeing ramp ups
in roofing just holistically
and it makes sense right asphalt shingles are going up in price
um oil is really ridiculously expensive right now
um and so even take take the asphalt aside
from it um gas right like people having to truck
in all of this all of this material and things
like that just in just in gas prices it's getting ridiculous
um i've got family in California and
And I was talking to my dad earlier in the week and he said,
I just paid seven dollars a gallon.
And I was like, I can't even now. He's in the L.A. area.
It's certainly not cheap there, but nor has it ever been.
But seven dollars a gallon, like let that compute for a second.
So how is that impacting the whole of the industry? Right.
Our pricing, our pricing team is doing a ton of analysis
as we speak on some of these on some of these pressures.
And we just saw today,
we just saw the inflation report release and inflation is back to,
you know, over the course of the last 30 days, it's back
to pandemic levels of inflation driven primarily by the war in Ukraine.
And so we're seeing a lot of uptick in a lot
of different things in a lot of different categories.
It's not surprising from my perspective that all
of a sudden we're seeing an increase in roofing costs.
I think we're going to continue to see
that as long as this as long as the war continues.
I think we're going to continue to see that just
by virtue of oil prices and gas prices just skyrocketing.
Yeah, for sure. I'm definitely noticing it at the grocery store.
I mean, I just filled up my tank
and it was $4.29 a gallon here in northwest Montana.
so it's not cheap like even here in Utah
which we're traditionally not terribly crazy but we're
paying close to five dollars a gallon as well it's kind
of crazy rumor has it that the number
one thing stopping new adjusters from getting deployed
is experience requirements from the
firms and the carriers even my training gets
those waived at my partner firms so go to
adjustertv.com slash certify to get signed up
so pricing or like you know like uh current events
and stuff like that notwithstanding i think one
of the things that that maybe people
don't really understand or don't maybe don't know about
is that your Verisk's or Xactware price database
is comprehensive
and it's free it's updated every month at least as far as i know right
and it's one of those things that like you you see
on the the storm chaser refer and i was a
chaser adjuster so i'm not disparaging at all
but public adjusters and so on and so forth
kind of having this perennial complaint about well exactimates too low
and the insurance companies
like them because they're cheap
and you know as far as their the pricing in there but i i found
that if i wrote the estimate correctly the way it
was supposed to be you know that that contractors
didn't have a problem with i mean i'd say
this is what i came up with just now that looks good
we'll do it and it was never a problem
um so i'm curious maybe kind of fill in like how that's
that side of things works um in the industry
and you know where the pricing comes from how granular
granular do you guys get and and how accurate
is it right yeah well i mean it's it's an interesting
question and it's funny that you bring that up matt
because you know if you talk to greg pine
who's on a pricing team or jason taylor um they'll tell you
um we know we're doing pretty well with
pricing when the carriers tell us it's too high
and the contractors tell us it's too low and so
you know you're somewhere in the middle somewhere right
and and if everybody's mad then you're
probably doing a good job is kind of the is kind
of the the uh the running joke that we have because
the truth of it is uh i mean we're in an a unique situation
um unlike probably most other companies
in the insurance industry is you know we are kind
of this price validator effectively for the
industry to make sure that everybody is you know everybody
is pricing correctly and and effectively
and i think um you know there's a substantial amount
of research that goes into it and i know
that, you know, depending on who you talk to,
there's all kinds of interesting commentary that
I've heard over the course of my time here at Xactware,
where people have said, well, all you
do is listen to the carrier's pricing.
You don't take into consideration the contractor's pricing.
And I've heard the exact opposite.
You just pay attention to the contractor pricing. You don't
really pay attention to what our pricing is.
It's an interesting paradigm that we exist in.
And the truth of it is we are out surveying. We get data feeds.
We have data flowing into us from many different areas,
whether that's from supply houses and the like directly from retail
shops like Home Depot and Lowe's and stuff that they're providing.
and we leverage some of their pricing data,
but we're also out doing surveys and asking contractors,
okay, what are you charging?
Whether that's on the retail side or the insurance side,
but we're doing a lot of work to figure out
what those prices are and how that makes sense.
So we're not just pricing at an aggregate level though,
so keep that in mind.
We're actually finding out how much are the nails costing
to do carpet work, finish work, or whatever.
There's a lot of data points that flow in
and a lot of data points that we ingest
that help us create kind of that pricing methodology that
that we leverage you know we put it into the the soup
and we have our you know we have a variety
of algorithms that we run through all kinds
of data analyses that we actually run through to
come up with our pricing it's not it's
a very scientific methodology and we've been doing it
for a number of years we've refined it over
the years we've made it better we've improved areas
categories, the way that we research.
And we're continuing to do that as we move into this new
era of data and AI technologies and things like that.
Those are areas that we're also looking
at how we can leverage the new tools that are available
to improve the way that we ingest data,
to improve the way that we serve up the data
to those who are using our solutions. There's a lot
there, but it's something that we're constantly refining,
constantly chasing. Accuracy is an
interesting word. I mean,
ask anybody to get a remodeling job for their kitchen and call up
three contractors and see where that land.
Yeah, for sure. It's all over the map, right? Like
accuracy, accuracy is, is, is an interesting word.
And I, I, I struggle with, with that word
specifically because accuracy sometimes is in the eye
of the beholder, right? Like it's accurate to
me. Is it accurate to you? Well, it may not be right.
I see blues more vibrantly than everybody
else says, does that mean my vision
is more accurate than everybody else's vision? It could
be argued, but that doesn't necessarily mean anything.
So it's an interesting term. I think
accuracy is extraordinarily important to us.
And we are constantly chasing what we believe
should be the right cost for doing work within this industry.
And that's really what we're doing.
And so you see our prices change, but that's on purpose, right?
Because what is a fair and
balanced price today may not be the case tomorrow
because of inflationary pressures, because of like
we just talked about gas or something like that, right?
And so we're constantly refining and
improving the way that we present that price.
And if you want to know if AI is really going
to replace insurance adjusters,
check out this video right here. And as always,
thank you so much for watching and have a great storm.