James Kaufman, World News Report Today.
Suspected X-class solar flare and coronal mass ejection
pops off far side of sun during this superior conjunction.
Earlier today, a magnificent halo coronal mass ejection
rocketed away from the far side of our sun.
NOAA's Core 1 coronagraph on GOES-19
recorded this more than impressive explosion.
The solar flare that causes extremely large and fast-moving coronal
mass ejection is expected to be a sizable X-class solar flare,
but we have no confirmation of the strength thus far.
we were actually able to catch this on our new
core one coronagraph look at the size of that
eruption what is that leaving the sun there
and i've never figured out what this light is i'm
trying to see this leaving
the sun here there it goes right there i don't know what it is but and
then that is a freak show
but we were able to catch the huge backside coronal mass ejection it looks
like a very large explosion according to nasa's model it
was just constructed coronal mass ejection
will hit venus and mars but not earth look how fast they have
this cme moving that is incredible
folks we're talking about well less than 24 hours
it's past Mars definitely one of the fastest CMEs
I've ever seen NASA model very strong
and I guess we're very lucky that this happened on the far
side during the simultaneous superior solar conjunction
so the simultaneous conjunction
did in fact activate our sun,
but luckily it was on the non-Earth-facing side thus far.
Of course, this explosion suggests there may
be a very active sunspot group on the far side of the
sun. Unfortunately, images from NASA's Perseverance rover,
which we can see sunspots on the far side
with, are temporarily unavailable
because Mars is at a superior solar conjunction. The rover's
radio signal cannot make it around the sun's atmosphere
to Earth now I was able to go to STL
and come up with these composites they're less than 40 hours old
and you can see that there's
a lot of sunspot activity on the back side of the sun
and again these are about 40 hours old
these composites so these sunspot groups have moved much closer
to coming around and being
Earth facing along with all
these dangerous sunspots that we're about to go over here NASA
pretending like we used the Mars rover to examine
the back side of the sun is laughable that's not
something that we're used to doing whatsoever let me show
y'all something currently according to
NASA's own information I mean we have BepiColombo almost exactly
on the far side of the sun
along with Parker Solar Probe look at this I mean they couldn't
be any further on the back side of the
sun and both have cameras and we have JUICE up here
and we have the Psyche here but more
importantly beppy and our parker sp
are right here we should be able to examine any part of
the back side of the sun we would like
to just more crap now take a look at this CME they have
hitting Earth tomorrow on the 9th right there
that was it right there it almost forms as it
hits earth and you can see it coming around hit earth right there
as well on the 9th tomorrow or
really later this evening as the 9th starts
at 7 p.m central time on the 8th here in the u.s
jumping over to HMI
and intensigram to take a look at the sunspots that are earth facing
It's like we have at least four sunspots ready
to go around the far limb here,
and really five count 4, 3, 3, 7.
All five of those are simple sunspots.
Although directly Earth-facing,
we have a beta gamma sunspot, 4, 3, 3, 4,
and a delta class sunspot, 4, 3, 3, 6.
And I am more than surprised, more than surprised,
that neither one of these complex sunspots has
flared yet jumping over to SOHO turn a 4 angstroms
although technically this was taken on the eighth UTC time it
was taken at 8:06 last night central
time here in the u.s so it's a little bit dated
these sunspots have moved further around the limb
here so very little to worry about here
this sunspot is responsible for the two large C-class
flares one of them looks like it's gonna actually hit us
with a coronal mass ejection on the ninth
along with the solar winds from this mass
which could be uh more than a one day event and then of
course we have the delta class sunspot here
which i'm guessing is reverse polarity we will soon take
a look all right so it looks like part of the sunspot
is well reverse polarity that's going to
be in the southern hemisphere it's going
to be positive over negative we should always see black
over white in the southern hemisphere
and white over black in the northern hemisphere i don't know
what's going to happen when the sun flips its polarity
but that should be well in the near-term
future but this is what makes it a delta class sunspot
the reverse polarity and complexity of
the sunspot although this sunspot
is the one responsible for the CME that's inbound for
either later this evening into tomorrow
so taking a look at NOAA's Kp index forecast from january
8th 9th and 10th they pushed off
the G1 geomagnetic storm it's supposed to be well a double or triple
whammy a glancing blow or direct blow
from the CMEs created by the stronger C flares along with
the coronal hole high speed solar wind stream
and this is going to happen i'll give y'all central
time it's going to be tonight from 7
to 10 from 10 to 1 from 1 to 4
and then from 4 to 7 so from
1 to 7 we could be in a G1 geomagnetic storm
which means nobody gets any sleep and real quickly just
because we're having an event currently i want
to show you the two C flares a C excuse me a five
plus C flare kind of a double whammy here and a C
seven get it on top 7.5 here these are the two
C flares that lifted light coronal mass ejections NASA has one
of them making a direct hit for
tomorrow along with the solar winds or the coronal
hole high speed stream CHSR and it looks like
we're in the middle of an event right here now
with that said we'll take a quick look and see
if we can see that event
and but we'll move on and i do believe we have identified the two
C flares, stronger C flares for the day you'll see
the first one pop off here and i'll show them
this is GOES solar ultraviolet imager there's
the first one that popped off today and you'll see
the second one just at the end of the feed start to pop off
and that's the one we're experiencing
currently and that's going to be happening
at the very end of the feed right about
there so there you go folks we got to see
these two C flares pop off today and i'll show you
real quickly uh well how strong they
were definitely earth-facing i'm not quite sure
if they lifted off well insignificant coronal mass ejections
or not but we'd only be staring down a G1
geomagnetic storm if they have.
So this is self-explanatory if you think about it. That C7.42
or 7.5 is the second flare that's inbound for later this evening
or tomorrow. Today's biggest
flare, the one that's occurring right now, is a C5.64.
You won't see it here, although it will
be assigned to sunspot 4334 the beta gamma sunspot
and not 4336 the delta class sunspot
here is the first explosion here the C 4.4 this being
the second explosion of the day the C 5.66
both generated by AR 4334 directly earth facing unbelievable
that AR 4336 has been so quiet we
have a 10 percent chance of having an X-class solar flare
a 45% chance of having an M-class solar flare and
we have not had one and we're running a C baseline still
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