Talks to find an end to the war between Russia and Ukraine in Abu Dhabi have delivered a prisoner exchange but no breakthrough on peace from the American brokered meeting - and each side continues to strike the other.
As the trilateral conference ended in Abu Dhabi, Donald Trump's son-in-law and crypto partner tried to talk up the prisoner swap as building trust and momentum. But the real momentum remains in the drones and missiles being fired across this country - while Vladimir Putin's negotiator insisted Russia would still reclaim every inch of what he called "its" land. Kyiv is braced for attacks to resume at the pace they were before the talks, and Ukraine has again been striking at Russian oil refineries. Right now it seems this war is heading into its most bitter winter yet, as Ukraine's cities become the frontline - their energy and infrastructure targeted to make them as unlivable as possible.
The peace talks in Abu Dhabi lasted just an hour and a half today, ending with the promise of a large-scale prisoner swap, but no major breakthrough. The US envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff are heading to Moscow to meet Vladimir Putin tomorrow, then on to Dublin to brief President Zelenskyy. Meanwhile Russian drones and missiles have continued to strike Ukraine, including an attack on a busy market in Odessa region, which left four people dead. -------
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President Zelenskyy strengthens European ties amid fraying relations with the US. While diplomatic talks in Abu Dhabi occurred, analysts dismiss them as \"diplomatic theater\" used by Putin to simulate a desire for peace while pursuing Ukrainian capitulation. Russia is expected to escalate attacks on civilian infrastructure this winter to force a surrender through a war of attrition.
In Copenhagen today, President Zelenskyy accompanied the Danish King
and Prime Minister to pay
respects to fallen Danish soldiers,
a symbol of Ukraine's closeness to Europe as its ties
with the US continue to fray.
Now, as we keep worrying about whether
the United States will bomb Iran again, and how
many countries, how many people could suffer because of it,
we are actually waiting to
see what happens to our own societies.
Because of price spikes,
because of shortages of weapons we need for our defence, not offensive,
We are speaking about defense, air defense,
and we can already feel this shock.
A Russian jet-powered drone struck
a market in Chornomorsk near Odessa today,
killing three people and proving the point.
For their part, the Ukrainians today struck
the port at Ust-Luga on the Baltic Sea
and ships carrying missiles in the Gulf of Finland.
They believe that attacking Russia's military facilities
and oil-dependent economy is their best form of defence.
They also hit an oil refinery near Omsk with a deep strike drone.
Day two of Ukraine-Russia talks mediated by the Americans
in Abu Dhabi lasted only an hour and a half.
The Russians and the Americans keen to show their closeness
to each other and hostility to the Europeans.
Concretely, what are the parameters?
Once there are some concrete proposals, we will consider them.
In the meantime, I think it would be useful for them
to learn from American envoys about common sense,
realism and a desire to achieve peace.
If Europe could identify one person to speak on their behalf,
that would be a bigger achievement
than getting the Russians to include them in the negotiation.
This evening, President Zelensky landed in Dublin
for tomorrow's talks with European leaders, including the Taoiseach.
The US envoys first go to Moscow to see President Putin.
There you go, Pop.
Well, President Zelensky has just been making some comments in Dublin.
Here's what he said.
Team held meetings in Abu Dhabi with the American and European side.
The first positive thing I wanted to highlight
is that the representatives of Europe were there,
and that's very important because this war
is in Europe, this war is in Ukraine,
and ending this war without Europe's participation would be unjust,
and it would be impossible, to put it simple.
It's simple.
And Lindsay's still with me. What do you make of that?
Well, there is President Zelensky trying
to pull the Europeans into this process
Because he knows that without them...
He has no protection.
But what the Russians were saying today was,
oh, there needs to be a new security architecture
for Europe.
Well, the Europeans would say that the only threat
to their security is Russia.
And the Russians are talking about, oh,
we need to have non-aggression pacts with
different individual NATO countries.
In other words, trying to destroy the security architecture
which already exists,
which has existed since the end of the Soviet Union in the 1990s.
So you can see there that there's very little chance that the Europeans
and the Russians are
going to agree on that.
And that leaves the Ukrainians very exposed. The question is,
Americans do. President Trump is a lame duck president.
It may be that with a Democrat-led
Congress and Senate,
there's more pressure on him to favor the Ukrainians a little more,
or at least to move slightly in that direction.
But there's no indication that that's what he
wants to do. With me now is Vladimir Ogryzko,
former Ukrainian foreign minister and now director
of the Center for Russian Studies in Kyiv.
So tomorrow, Witkoff and Kushner will go to
Vladimir Putin, what's he doing? What's he playing at?
Frankly speaking, I do not think that it will
be some practical results tomorrow, as there
were no practical results except of one,
what happened in Abu Dhabi, because the one practical
result was that we agreed on 1,000 or 1,500 people
who will be freed from Russian prisoners.
Tomorrow probably Witkoff and Kushner will
inform Putin about Ukrainian and, by the way,
European position. And this is also very important
because for the first time, in fact,
European partners have
been practically participating in these talks.
Unfortunately, not officially, but nevertheless, in my view,
it is a very important first step because next round,
if we will have this round, will be with European partners.
But you think this is largely diplomatic theatre?
In fact, yes. Tomorrow, Putin will say, OK,
I am for 100% for peace, but with means of war.
I read yesterday a very brilliant formula,
by the way, by one of British professors.
He said, Putin is for peace negotiations, but not for peace.
So it's a very good way of expressing it,
I mean, from your point of view.
But I mean, we also saw the Ukrainian negotiator today being
very positive about Abu Dhabi and saying this was constructive.
Why are they sounding positive?
Not very positive.
It is diplomatic theater, excuse me,
to say this very openly, because, look, we have proposed...
To stop fighting in the Black Sea region.
What was the Russian answer? No.
We have proposed stop hitting energy facilities.
What was the Russian answer? No.
We invited, in fact, Europeans to participate in these negotiations.
What said Russia? No.
Look, what can we discuss in fact?
Would you like to be as angry in your language with Donald Trump,
in truth, but you can't?
Look, in my view, this is my personal view,
it is not about official position.
In my view, Trump is backing Putin.
And all events we analyze prove
this very practical conclusion.
And so, as we go into this winter, we've been filming with Kyivians,
you know, through very difficult times already.
Do you think this is going to be the worst winter yet,
since the full-scale invasion?
Look, it could be, but on the other hand, look, we are Ukrainians.
And this means that even in the very,
very difficult situation, we will nevertheless never give up.
This is our logic of life because we are fighting for ourselves,
for our families, for our country.
For what, in fact, Russians are fighting?
For what?
For another 100 square kilometers?
They have not so much territory.
They have, what I would like to say, they have no idea about this war.
We have.
Volodymyr Ogryzko, thank you very much indeed for your time.
Thank you.
Earlier, I spoke to the former Russian
Prime Minister, Mikhail Kasyanov,
who now lives in exile in Latvia.
And I asked him first what he thinks Putin's calculation has
been in this round of talks.
The calculation is very simple to imitate that he wants peace
and send people just to have just
talk talk talk nothing serious
and we shouldn't expect that nothing serious and the results was
zero as always was very very very good thing just exchange
of prisoners as always happened
but no movement to the ceasefire no movement to peace so why take part
To imitate negotiations, to keep
the outside world calm that Putin wants peace and he
continue negotiating terms and conditions acceptable for him.
Acceptable for him means capitulation of Ukraine and,
of course, brave Ukrainians
that stay strong and continue to protect their land.
Russia has clearly been very successful.
...in persuading the Americans of their arguments.
How do you think the results of the midterm elections,
which have weakened Trump...
Substantially, I mean that Congress will
be much more pro-Ukraine than the White House has changed things.
Midterm elections, result of midterm elections,
of course, will have an influence.
I would say the bipartisan support of Ukraine exists now
and it will be stronger in a new Congress.
And that's why I think the support of Americans
to Ukraine continues to take place.
But now that Trump is a lame duck,
Do you think Putin will think he has to try and bring an end to this
while Trump is still president?
Because the next administration may be much more hostile to Russia.
Putin believes that he could win his war of attrition
because of the strong, tough winter
and destroying all civilian infrastructure in Ukraine
and energy infrastructure in particular.
He believes that by spring,
By spring, Ukrainians would be fed up of all their problems
and they will press President Zelensky to accept Putin's conditions.
I don't think he will be successful,
but the war, unfortunately, continues.
Right now, Putin is not prepared for any concessions at all.
What pressure, if any, is Putin under from his own economy?
Economy is already contracting, but state finance,
I emphasize there's two different things,
state finance in good shape at the moment.
Because oil price is high and upcoming three,
four months, that will be absolutely no problem for him.
But if the United States and Europe continue to control
the implementation of sanctions already imposed on Putin's regime,
that could create a problem already for revenue in the first quarter.
In this case, Putin would feel just already that problems,
real crisis problems, crisis could come.
Because economy is contracting
and the second half of next year,
the revenue will be much less.
Already internally in Russia
will be much less
because of state of economy.
The logic of what you're saying...
Is that Putin will escalate this winter
and continue his attacks on infrastructure,
particularly focused on the cities in Ukraine?
Exactly. I think that is his strategy for this winter.
He will be expecting quite successful,
I would say, pressure on Ukraine by himself
without American, I would say, great pressure on him.
Mikhail Kasyanov, thank you very much.
Thank you. Thank you very much.