Russians just shoot down three of their own aircraft; four Su-34s burned

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October was a hard month for Russian military aviation. A spate of losses on 11 November could mean November is a hard month, too. Russia is losing a lot of aircraft—in particular, fighters and helicopters, Euromaidan Press says.
The most recent losses occurred during a powerful Ukrainian drone raid targeting energy infrastructure near St. Petersburg, a port city on the Baltic Sea 840 km from Russia's border with Ukraine.
No fewer than 50 Ukrainian one-way attack drones pummeled Baltic Sea port facilities, which have become busier in recent months as the Russians have shifted trade away from the increasingly dangerous Black Sea. As the sun rose on 11 November, the oil terminal in Ust-Luga, 100 km west of St. Petersburg, was ablaze.
The damage on the ground appears to be extensive. The damage in the air was equally severe. During the Ukrainian drone raid, the Russians lost three aircraft and seven airmen, Russian military channels reported. A Russian aviation channel's memorial post shows a Kamov Ka-52 attack helicopter, a Mil Mi-8 transport helicopter, and a Mikoyan MiG-31 interceptor. Other reports name two Ka-52s and an Mi-8, and no MiG-31. Losing a MiG-31, one of Russia's scarcest interceptors, would be the costliest part of the night. "This past night has inflicted a deep wound upon the aerospace forces," Russian channel The Voevoda Speaks mourned, Euromaidan Press says.
Three written-off airframes is a steep toll for a single night of fighting. In October, an unusually costly month for Russian aviation, the Russians lost 13 fighters and helicopters, mostly in accidents and Ukrainian drone and missile strikes on Russian bases. The worst single-day loss last month was on 15 October, when Ukrainian Neptune cruise missiles caught Russian Sukhoi Su-34 fighters on the ground in Borisoglebsk, in western Russia 250 km from the Ukrainian border. Four Su-34s burned, setting back—although not by much—Russia's glide bombing campaign targeting Ukrainian positions and cities. By comparison, the 11 November losses were lighter, but not by much. "Today’s defense of the skies over St. Petersburg against a drone attack has come at a very high price," the Russian Fighterbomber channel wrote. "A very, very, very high price." If the Ukrainians had droned the aircraft on the ground, it seems unlikely they'd have also killed some or all of their crews. A MiG-31 and a Ka-52 have two crew apiece. An Mi-8 usually flies with three. Either mix of aircraft adds up to the seven dead.
But if the Ukrainians hit the aircraft in the air, that may explain the crew losses. While it's highly unlikely the Ukrainians deployed any air-to-air interceptor drones over St. Petersburg on 11 November—these tiny drones range only a few kilometers—it's possible some of the land-attack drones involved in the energy strike targeted aircraft in mid-air instead of facilities on the ground. Consider that at least one Ukrainian unit has begun using Bars cruise missile drones in an air-to-air role by aiming the Bars, which is normally a ground attack weapon, at incoming Russian one-way attack drones, Euromaidan Press says.. The Bars probably needed some modifications before it could work in the air-to-air role, likely including a lighter fuel load that results in a lower overall weight and greater speed. It's unclear the Ukrainians could send these lighter and faster Bars all the way to St. Petersburg if getting lighter and faster means surrendering fuel and thus range.
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