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"Dying from COVID, or having a very serious outcome from COVID, in very young children, is essentially less likely than being struck by lightning."
Dr. Harvey Risch says that healthy young children should not be vaccinated against COVID-19. He says that while the risks of death for healthy children are extremely low whether they are vaccinated or not, the risks from the vaccine are still "10 or 50 fold larger."
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Dr. Harvey Risch: Why Are Vaccinated People Getting COVID at Higher Rates Than the Unvaccinated?
So I mean, basically, you're saying that, at this point,
because as we mentioned, these viruses changed considerably
from from the beginning with these vaccines were designed.
Basically, it becomes a plausibility argument for the
use of the vaccines right now. Is that what you're saying?
Well, at the basic level, people think vaccines save lives, we'll
use them. Period. Vaccines are good. You know, and I think for
a lot of the childhood vaccines, that is, on average, the
prevailing viewpoint. And so people accept this is just
another vaccine, therefore, it must be good. Now, people forget
that there were numbers of vaccines that were pulled off
the market. The dengue fever vaccine was pulled off the
market, the SARS-CoV-1 vaccine never made it anywhere. The
MERS vaccine, I think also, these were self limited
pandemic, so to speak, that did not require vaccination. And
there's been the vaccinologist know this better than I do,
there's a numbers of vaccines that were pulled off the market
because of adverse events that they caused, and not providing
enough benefit. So it's not an all or nothing idea that
vaccines are uniformly good. They have benefits and hazards
like most things, especially in medicine. And one has to
evaluate that trade off. That's what doctors are supposed to be
for, is evaluating trade offs for their patients and helping
the patients understand and with informed understanding as to how
to figure out what the risks are, and how they can best
manage them.
So what's the bottom line with at the moment with the state of
the data, you know, the sort of the state of the art data that
that's out there, when it comes to the risks for children and
the vaccination of children to protect them?
In my opinion, healthy children and adolescents should not be
vaccinated. There's children and adolescents who have serious
chronic conditions like obesity, diabetes, cardiovascular
disease, immune compromise, chronic kidney disease, cancer,
that's a different question. They require a personal
evaluation to see what their hazards are. We know from the
study of the Italian data from studies elsewhere that young
children have, five to 12 years old, have about a one in a
million chance of dying from COVID, unvaccinated, have a one
in a million chance of dying from COVID. So the vaccines we
have seen have much greater risks of serious adverse events
and death, even if they're rare, it's infrequent, but it's not
zero. And so the question is, which of these rare events would
you choose to have a rare event from the vaccine, that's maybe
10 or 50 fold larger than a rare event from getting COVID. And so
even though both are uncommon, one is much larger than the
other. So me as a public health person, I say you choose the one
with a lower risk of the same or similar outcome, even though
both are infrequent. So even though most children could
probably be vaccinated without that much harm, still, they're
going to be some and if it's your family, and it's your
child, you know, it's 100%, not zero, not one in a million. And
so those people have to pay attention to that and make
rational calculations based on the fact that dying from COVID
or having a very serious outcome from COVID in very young
children is essentially less likely than being struck by
lightning, by being, you know, injured or killed in an
automobile, automobile accident or something like that. Those
are risks we kind of take for granted in society, put out of
our mind because they're so infrequent. The same would be
true for COVID. It's in that range of things.
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Given all the information you just gave me, and also, you
know, especially this element that we've been using antibody
production as kind of, I guess, a proxy for efficacy of the
vaccine in the first place. How is this that these things got
approved?
Well, these various government scientific agencies like FDA,
CDC, and so on, have very highly trained scientific people doing
the work. However, they are in a very narrow employment field.
And that means that if they want to move up in their
employment pyramids, that most of them won't eventually be able
to do that to become department chairs and heads and things like
that. They have to go outside the government institutions, and
the only place for that is pharma. And so if they make
decisions that are against their pharma, you know, the companies
that they regulate, then they have no opportunity to move up,
you know, by and large in their employment. And so there are
people are reticent to do that. Sometimes it's how it happens.
But by and large, there's there's a psychological force on
people to be compliant in these agencies. The second thing that
we've observed is that Dr. Fauci has put in the approval panels
of these agencies, many people who have conflicts of interest
with pharma. No university, no IRB would allow an advisory
committee to make decisions with all that conflict of interest.
But apparently in NIH, there's no pushback from that, because
the ethics department is apparently run by Dr. Fauci's
wife. And so what we've seen is capture of all these regulatory
approval, you know, panels in the EPA is another one where
of cases, particularly in the part where this has happened,
that there is a lot of regulatory capture in all these
scientific agencies. And it's a problem that it's going to be
difficult to solve, because the people who are actually doing
the work, you know, are very well trained and highly
efficient and expert at doing their jobs, and just don't see
that they're doing anything untoward, compared to the actual
evidence that's out there. What that really means is that they
are selectively looking at evidence without doing a
representative sampling of all the evidence that they should be
paying attention to. And that's how they can come up with
decisions, with evidence favoring one side or the other
by ignoring evidence that they don't want to consider by
calling it weak evidence or poor quality evidence, that using
subjective methods and evaluating evidence, you can get
rid of the stuff that's inconvenient.
It's interesting, you mentioned the EPA. Of course, there's this
recent Supreme Court decision. I'm guessing this is what you're
getting at. So tell me about what you're seeing here.
Well, I think that what we've seen is the growth of the
administrative state that I believe was established by
Woodrow Wilson, and his known elitism against the general
population. And it grew with FDR, to the point where the
massive administrative state of the United States now is a
virtual additional arm of government. Now, I believe if
you read the Federalist Papers, you'll see that it was
philosophically established that Congress is the only one who has
the power to make laws, but Congress can't delegate making
laws to administrative people, that basically the
administrative state was set up to do work to bring to Congress
so that Congress could make the laws. But what happened is, they
started making the policies and the laws in Congress abdicated
that responsibility, even though it was illegal to do that. And
that's what the Supreme Court finally pushed back on, that it
said the EPA can't be making such a wide policy, a policy
that has national implications. EPA can make minor policies that
are in the realm of what administrative bodies should be
doing, but not ones that are tantamount to congressional law.
Our mutual friend Jeffrey Tucker argues that this decision,
Gorsuch's opinion, has broad ramifications well beyond the
EPA and to other agencies. What are your thoughts?
Not being an attorney, I can't really tell because a lot of
these things play out on the details of the case. But the
general principle seems right, and seems that our
administrative state has had a massive overreach in terms of
making policies that are tantamount to law between CDC,
FDA, and so on, with their policies about recommendations
for drug use or drug not use and so on, which become de facto
policies and laws across an entire medical establishment. I
think that I'm hoping that the court will take this up and look
at these and see whether these agencies are really entitled to
be making what are tantamount to laws that the Congress should
be making.