All eyes are on Xi Jinping as he reappears in Tibet after weeks of rumors about his health and political survival. At Beidaihe, Party elders struck a fragile “four-point consensus” that keeps Xi in place—for now—while quietly preparing his exit. But the real power play is unfolding in the streets of Beijing, where tanks, troop carriers, and live ammunition have turned parade rehearsals into something that looks more like a coup drill. General Zhang Youxia and the 82nd Army are moving into position. Is this a parade to glorify Xi—or the beginning of his downfall? 1) The Beidaihe Consensus 2) Xi’s Tibet trip 3) Coup or parade preparations?
Hello. Hello everyone. Hi. Welcome to
Lays Roll Talk. I was just reading
comments and I saw someone said that he
is a redneck from Los Angeles. Well,
welcome.
You know that Lei aspires to uh to be a
redneck.
All right. Welcome to Lelay's Real Talk.
Well, uh we're at the end of August.
Believe it or not, the summer is almost
behind us and I hope everyone has had a
great summer. Yes. Okay. So, for the
month of August, all eyes have been on
on the CCP's secret behings
and on the fate of Xiinping's power.
Will he continue to rule after the
fourth party plenum? Or will he be
forced into some kind of partial
retirement? Speculation has been running
wild. After showing up at the Great Hall
of the People on July 25th to receive
credentials from 16 newly arrived
ambassadors, Xiinping disappeared from
the public view for more than 20 days.
In that time, his minister of
international leazison department uh
here we go. There there we go. uh is
rumored to be detained for in for
investigation.
Then came a bizarre story, a million
dollar car crash in Sydney, Australia,
involving a 23-year-old woman allegedly
linked to the Shei family. Rumors
swirled that she himself had been
admitted to the 301 military hospital
and that three top medical experts from
Shanghai were flown into Beijing to see
him.
Then guess what? On August the 20th,
yesterday, Xiinping suddenly reappeared,
making what state media hyped as a grand
comeback. I mean, they didn't really say
that, but the way they promoted his uh
appearance in in Tibet
is suggesting that it's a grand
comeback. So he showed up in Tibet with
a massive entourage as if he's saying
I'm back. So um let me see. Do I have a
picture of him? Oh, there he is. Um in
in Lassa Lassa
in the square where they held the
celebration, there was a giant portrait
of Xiinping erected in the main square
and state media glorified him this time
with the title Lingu or Supreme Leader
and even the PLA daily resumed calling
him
the core. The message was clear. The
regime wanted to show she's grip on
power and to show that it was
unshakable.
Meanwhile, Beijing itself has gone into
a kind of semilockdown in preparation
for the upcoming military parade on
September 3rd. Um, which is the parade
to commemorate the victory uh in World
War II. The PLA spokesperson has
confirmed that Xiinping will inspect the
troops that day. But the level of
tension surrounding the preparations is
so unusual that many are asking, is this
really about a parade or could it be a
disguised military showdown led by she's
rival General Jang Yosia? So these
developments may all be tied to a
temporary deal Xiinping struck with his
rivals at Betai.
Let's break this down. I'll first tell
you about the Bahai consensus. Then
Xiinping's Tibet trip. Last but not
least, General Jang's parade
preparation, which is anything but
unusual.
So, first things first, let me um first
tell you about
um what Mr. Woo, where's Mr. Woo? Oh,
here's the here's the portrait. a
portrait in Tibet in Lassa.
There we go. The Supreme Leader is back.
Okay. So, here's Mr. Woo, one of the
dissident living in the US. And so, on
August the 15th, he posted what he
called the four the fourpoint consensus
of the Beta meeting. Um so these are the
agreement or temporary agreement that
Xiinping had reached
with his rivals or this is the temporary
agreement that all factions have
reached. So there are four points. The
first one is to maintain the stability
of the party's central leadership.
Um Xiinping will remain in his post and
continue to play the role of the top
leader. State propaganda should stay
consistent about his status, but
excessive personal worship will no
longer be allowed. Point number two,
Xiinping will not be permitted to serve
in another term. Number three, party,
government, and military powers will be
relatively separated.
Number four, the party's coordinating
bodies will oversee preparations for the
fourth platinum and begin laying the
groundwork for the 21st party congress
in 2027.
So to me, this consensus looks like a
deadlock. It basically says she will
step down eventually in 2027 at the 21st
party congress, but until then, no one
knows what to do with him. So, for now,
we'll keep him in place until figuring
out the next move.
Um, that explains why state media
suddenly revived the Xiinping core, the
core title, right? the
and it also explains why um Pawi Daily
fell in line and why Xiinping needed
such a dramatic display in Tibet. So let
me talk about his trip to Tibet Tibet.
Well, officially his visit was to attend
the 60th anniversary of the Tibet
Autonomous Region or the establishment
of the uh autonomous region of Tibet. It
was established in 1965, six years after
the 14th Dalai Lama fled into exile in
India following the failed 1959
uprising.
But here's what's odd about the trip. I
have summarized I think seven points. Um
first of all, he didn't need to go at
all. Shiinping didn't have to go.
uh the 60th anniversary which is this
year isn't as significant as the 50th.
In fact, back in 2015, 10 years ago,
Xiinping didn't attend the 50th
anniversary. He sent Polo Standing
Committee member uh Eugen instead. At
the time, Yu's rank was about the same
as Wan Huning's rank today. This time,
Xiinping went in person, likely because
he he desperately needed a high-profile
event to show he's still in command or
as some people believe that he
desperately needed divine protections
and so he visited the um the holy place
in Lassa,
the holy place of Tibetan tantism.
So some people believe that he needs
some uh spiritual guidance in Tibet.
All right. Um so that's point number
one. Why I believe it's unusual, right?
He didn't have to go but he went. Number
two, he brought an unusually large and
entourage. Two standing committee
members joined him. Woning
uh
Oh yeah. Th this is this was the event.
So he brought Wang Huning, the head of
the head of the CPPCC,
and also um Tai Chi, his right-hand man,
and the chief um the chief in charge,
his right-hand man in charge of party
affairs.
And alongside them were
Let me see where were Chris has helped
me with pictures. Oh, here's Yeah.
So here you have
who is the minister of United Front,
head of the United Front work,
vice premier in charge of um economy,
the economy, Janguin, another vice
premere, and then Wang Xiaoong uh the
minister of public security. Uh there's
a vice chairman of the National People's
Congress uh who's a Tibetan Lan Jam Kang
Jam Kong
and then Hua vice chairman of the CPPCC
and then Jang Ming central military
commission member in charge of military
discipline and anti-corruption.
Now the strangest part is Hungua
because
um as you all know now that he is in the
anti-shi camp and he's one of the names
floated as a possible successor to
Xiinping and she has worked so hard to
sideline Hu Jun Hua. So it's highly
unlikely that Xiinping invited Hu to
join him on this trip. And also Hutin
Huang wasn't needed for this trip
because his boss CPPCC chairman Wong
Huning was already on the trip. Normally
if the chairman goes, the vice chairman
stays behind. The fact that who went
anyway shows that the reformist faction
or the camp insisted on sending who
um just as checks and balances and
Xiinping had no choice but to accepted.
Okay, so that's point number two. Now
point number three, Xiinping wasn't even
the head of his entourage. State media
reported that Wan Huning and not
Xiinping was listed as head of the
delegation from Beijing. This is highly
unusual
um by CCP's own protocol. The highest
ranking official always leads the
delegation.
Number four, Xiinping left Tibet early.
Not only was he not the head of the
delegation, but he also cut his visit
short. He stayed in Lassa for less than
24 hours.
Compare that to his last visit in 2021
where he stayed for 3 days.
This time he ar this is very short. He
arrived on the 20th and then left on the
21st. It's not even 24 hours. Even
stranger, the officials who traveled
with him, the the his entourage, the the
people that I just showed you on
previous slides, they didn't return to
Beijing with him. They simply went to
the Lassa airport to see him off and
then stayed behind to finish their
business.
Isn't that unusual?
And then there's a missing man on this
trip. I think you probably can guess
that. Yes, his vice chairman Jang Yosha.
Now, despite the large entourage, vice
chairman of Central Military Commission,
Jang Yosha was nowhere to be seen. In
fact, Xiinping and Jang Yoa haven't
appeared together for quite some time
now. And this Tibet trip was she's fifth
domestic visit of 2025, but the first
time he inspected local troops. in the
previous four visits. Uh he broke his
tradition of always visiting local
troops. Um and that actually was one of
the reasons why people say that he has
lost power um or he has lost control
over the military because he stopped
visiting local troops. now in Tibet he
he went um but he in in in in all all
this time um
usually or I shouldn't say usually it's
almost the case when the CMC chairman
inspects troops his vice chairman should
always accompany him but Juan wasn't
there some might argue that well maybe
Janga was busy preparing for the
September 3rd parade if So the next in
line, General Leo Jun Lee, uh the CMC's
chief of staff
um should should go in his place, right?
But he didn't go either. Leo didn't go
either. Instead, the man sent was Jang
Shiming, the CMC member in charge of
discipline and anti-corruption.
Now, Janga isn't I'm sorry, not Jang
Ming. This J isn't a field commander.
He's a discip discip disciplinary
officer.
By tradition, someone in his capacity
doesn't accompany the top commander to
in to inspect troops because it's really
sending the wrong message. Um, so having
him sat next to Xiinping, let me in this
photo. Do I have the photo? Oh yeah,
here's the photo. Let me make this
bigger.
So, sitting to Xiinping's
um left is Djang Ming.
Um
yeah, so that's Jang Shaming. So, yeah,
he sat right next to to the left of
Xiinping, right? So, this sends a very
awkward message. Was he there to keep an
eye on Xiinping? Why did a a um
why did an officer in charge of um
discipline and anti-corruption
go on inspect the troops you know with
Xiinping? It's just very odd. Now
another absence is um this is very odd
is that when Xiinping met with the Shing
Jang military district officers,
its commander, Lieutenant General Wang
Kai
here, here we go. He was absent. Okay.
And then the man sitting
um
people say the man sitting next to him
next to Xiinping on his right was his
political commissar.
Um so here's the here's the weird part.
Now,
why why would the commander of the Shing
Jang military district
absent when Xiinping is visiting,
right? Um, and that's just very odd. So,
here here's here's what people
this is what people believe has
happened. Um, Wankai is closely
associated with Jang Yosha. He built his
career in the 13th um and the 14th group
armies, both considered Jang Yuan's
strongholds. Now remember um I told you
about uh a week ago that uh General Leo
Yuan recently tooured Suchan and to
rally support within the PLA. Well, the
13th group army is based in in Suchan in
Chundu Suchan and the 14th is inn.
So Wang Kai and Janga both held the
title of commander of the 13th group
army. Of course they were eight years
apart. Um their ties to the 13th army
make them close.
um his absence from from Xiinping's
reception alongside the absence of Jang
Yua and Lio Juni all point in the same
direction. It's a message from Janga
which is that Shiin no longer commands
the real muscle of the PLA. His
activities now are mostly symbolic
and Wankai's absence was almost
certainly ordered by Jang Yoshia
himself.
And then
point number seven, uh, Xiinping didn't
look healthy. Footage from Tibet showed
him walking slowly and sometimes even
wobbly. Hold on, let me um play you the
video.
Uh, let me add to
Yeah, here's him. A collage of video
showing him walking in uh
and he looked very sad. I mean, he just
it wasn't enthusiastic at all.
He met with different groups.
[Applause]
He looked very he wasn't enthusiastic as
you could tell.
Fore
[Applause]
[Applause]
[Music]
Okay, now you'll see the footage when he
uh visit when he inspected the uh the
Shing Jang military district officers
and he looked very very unhappy and he
moved extremely slow in this clip. Take
a look.
[Music]
Okay. So, um I think the last clip where
where you see him walk I mean he walking
he's he walks he walks so slowly. I mean
um anyway a medical expert actually said
that
um Lassa sits on the high altitude
uh Tibetan plateau and people with heart
conditions or poor health are not
advised to travel there. Now Xiinping
has cardiovascular condition. Um, a
medical expert suggested that he must
have undergone uh me health physical
exams or tests at the 301 military
hospital before the trip and perhaps the
three doctors flow in from Shanghai were
uh part were likely part of the team uh
assessing whether he should he was fit
to go or not. So um so that's what
people believe because yeah going to uh
Lassa the the high altitude you know a
lot of people get sick because they're
not used to the the high altitude.
Um so taken together these signs suggest
Xiinping's trip to Tibet was more about
political theater than leadership. He
was sent there to project unity and to
reaffirm his status as party leader. But
it came at the risk of his health
because he didn't look too happy. Um um
and also that is why he left within 24
hours
leaving his entourage behind to carry
out the actual duties because he could
not his health could not afford to stay
uh could not let him stay there for more
uh for any longer. And meanwhile, Jang
Yuan and the military deliberately
distanced themselves. They sent only the
lowest ranking CMC member and exclude
the Shing Jang uh commander from she's
reception. The message couldn't be
clearer. Xiinping no longer commands the
army. Now, let's talk about General Jang
and the parade preparation in Beijing
because it looks nothing like uh it
doesn't look normal at all. I mean, in
fact, Beijing, the capital city, has
been anything but normal lately. Um,
after the first rehearsal on August the
9th, the second one was staged on August
the 16th, running from 5:30 p.m. all the
way till the um
uh till 3:30 the next morning uh with
some 40,000 personnel involved. And the
second drill covered an even wider area,
disrupting daily life on a massive
scale. Shops closed early, soldiers
guarded intersections and overpasses,
and residents filmed a long convoy of
tanks and armored vehicles rumbling into
the city day and night. And one video
went viral. Uh, let me play you the
video. It's this one. I'm going to Yeah,
this video um shows rows of tanks were
blocked at an intersection by buses
parked across the road. So, people are
saying, "Was it just poor planning uh or
was it intentional?" Some suggest this
bizarre scene reflected deep divisions
at the very top. Neither side wanted a
fire
firefight. Hold on, let me play this
again.
um
they don't want to have an open fight on
the streets. So buses may have been used
as a lastditch effort to stop the tanks
from advancing. The fact that someone
dared to block the army speaks volumes.
There are there there must be real
disagreements or even open confrontation
inside the system. Um although not
everyone believes that this was
intentional. Some people believe this
could be um the result of a a poorly a
poorly run
uh drill. It's just poor planning. So
the views are divided. Some believe it's
just poor planning. Some people believe
it's deliberate.
Um but this year's parade preparation
are unlike anything in the past. No
previous parade involved live ammunition
inside the capitol. Absolute not.
But this time, reports say Jungan Park,
right outside the Forbidden City, has
been stocked with weapons and armor
and military
Hold on, let me see.
Yeah. So, military personnel or military
camps have sprung up in downtown Beijing
and in these parks.
Um, so here's a picture of people taken
from a park where they show these um
military men. They were stationed. They
camped out in the parks and they've seen
tanks and armored vehicles parked across
the city and in earlier years now these
uh defenses were always staged on this
outskirts. They're not in the city. Now
the sight of live weapons in the in the
very heart of the capital has left
residents asking is this really parade
preparation or a soft coup disguised as
one?
Um, and you probably remember that I
told you the unit deployed in Beijing is
the 82nd Group Army, formerly the Elite
38th Army.
Um
and its presence
the the the pre the presence of the 82nd
army around the capital has fueled
intense speculation because this army
has always been a trump card in CCP
power struggles based in Baing. It
belongs to the central theater command
the strongest of China's five theaters.
Today the 82nd
uh army number numbers about 86,000
troops. Um
and its predecessor it used to be the
38th Army. The 38th Army had a story has
a history of stepping into political
crisis. So let me just give you a few
examples of how this elite army um got
involved in political
uh crisis or political struggles. So in
1971 during the uh the famous September
13th incident when vice chairman of CMC
Lingo tried to flee to Soviet Union,
Maoadong ordered the 38th Army to move
north of Beijing and block the airport
and Lynn's plane eventually crashed in
Mongolia quite possibly brought down by
a missile. And in 1989, the 38th was one
of the units sent to enforce martial law
in Beijing. But its commander, General,
refused to obey the order. And for that
act of defiance, he was sentenced to
five years in prison.
Um, and he is accident uh I I'm proud to
tell you that he is incidentally a
distant relative of mine. Um in 2012
during the standoff between Huin Tao and
Jangzaming whose camp deployed the 38th
Army into Beijing to confront Janzamin's
ally Joong Kong and in 2015 Jang Yua
helped Xiinping by moving the 38th Army
into Junghai
disarming the Central Security Bureau
uh and removing its chiefing.
replacing him with men loyal to Xi
Jinping. So yes, the 38th has always
been at the center of CCP infighting and
today its successor the 82nd carries the
same weight and they are everywhere in
Beijing and that makes people uh worry.
So what's interesting on August the 16th
the PL daily ran a remarkable article
about this 82nd
army and it was titled an 82nd group
army brigade rebuilds the prestige of
political counters. So the language was
striking. It praises a beautiful
turnaround and declare that telling the
truth and reporting real situations is
not only a party requirement
but essential to winning battles. Now
think about that under she absolute
loyalty has meant falsified reports and
doctorred information. So telling the
truth reporting the facts is not
Xiinping language. its reform era
language. Even more telling, the article
never once mentioned Xiinping, Xiinping
thoughts or Xiinping's leadership.
Instead, it closed with a praise for
collective leadership and democratic
centralism
uh which are hallmarks of the reformist
group. So, it reads something like this.
It reads something like this. It says,
"When democratic centralism becomes the
golden key to building consensus and
solving problems, when telling the truth
and reporting facts becomes the hard
standard for building combat power, the
prestige of political carters will be
rebuilt step by step. In other words,
rather than deny deny rumors about 82
movements in the capital city, um the
PLE daily doubled down. It sent a signal
the focus is on collective leadership
and not Xiinping. At this point, it
seems clear that the central theater
command is in Janguia's hands. And this
bold article about the 82nd army was no
accident. It was a declaration.
Um, in this struggle, the guiding
principles are party discipline, the
central committee and collective
leadership, Nashi Jinping.
Um,
so the reports of the 82nd's unusual
deployment
uh or unusual deployments were no
baseless rumor.
Um, with brigades stationed inside
Beijing and near Jun Nanghai, the
message is unmistakable. Xiinping may
still act like he's in charge, but Janga
is preparing his own counterattack.
So, in short, Xiinping's Tibet trip, the
Bai consensus, and the tense parade
preparations all reveal one thing, which
is that the CCP leadership is locked in
stalemate. They want Shei to keep
playing the role of leader to buy
themselves time. Meanwhile, Jang Yuja is
using the parade to tighten his grip on
Beijing.
She may insist on inspecting the troops,
but his rivals are using the moment to
show where real power lies. So, on
September the 3,
we will see a parade. But underneath
this spectacle
uh looms a dangerous test of power,
right? But in my opinion, the biggest
wild card of all isn't some soldier
firing a shot. I don't think that will
happen. But I think the the the biggest
wild card of all is Xiinping's health.
uh in the end his health may decide not
just his fate but the party's fate as
well. All right, so that's all I have.
Oh, but I like to mention that um if
you've enjoyed my video on the moon, you
should enjoy this the sequel to that. Uh
I think Chris made the best video or
edited the best video he has ever he has
ever done and it's released tonight. I
think it has been released. Um, it's
based on a a a fascinating story that I
read about the history of the moon. Um,
and it it's like uh it's a science
fiction epic. Uh, so um the story is
just is just fascinating. So I hope you
will enjoy that. Uh yeah, it's uh So
Chris, if you could paste the link um to
help people find it, that would be
great. So that's all that's all.
Let me see.
Okay.
All right.
Okay. Let me first uh address the people
who have
given me super stickers. I think I saw a
few flying by.
All right, let's see. Oh, here's one for
global as a Tibetan and from Lassa. This
is truly sad. This forced festivities to
welcome the oppressor in front of the uh
patala which is the Dalai Lama's home.
It is Yeah. It shouldn't be a
celebration. It's just a
um it's just so ironic.
Yeah, it's very sad. I agree with you. I
agree with you entirely. Well, thank you
very much for the for this for the
support.
Okay,
moving on.
Let's see.
Okay. Well, uh, Chrissy, if you could
share the link of the Looking Glass
video.
Okay, let's see.
All right, let's see.
Have I reached the bottom?
If you have questions for me, put my
name in front so I know it's uh
addressed to me. Wise downer. Well,
thank you, Wes. Sorry, Wes. Thank you,
Wes.
Um,
okay.
Okay, here's a question from
someone said, "Shiinping will retire and
start a YouTube channel."
All right. I I doubt it. Okay. Seek the
truth. Is it true that Wong Huning has
been removed from power? No, not yet.
I know there there
he will go down with Xiinping and when
Xiin Ping goes down he will
um but as as long as Xiinping is still
kept there I think he will they need him
they need him around Xiinping so it
looks like there's no change so it looks
like it's status quo yeah so so his fate
is tied with that of Xiinping
Uh what someone asked me what do I think
of the meeting between Wangi Wan and
Modi best friends now?
I think nowadays politics or geopolitics
have really just I mean politicians are
all actors now. They should earn Academy
Awards for their performance. It's all
political theater now,
right? And it's like uh yeah, it's I
think they just, you know, put out an
act for us to believe
what they want us to believe. I don't
believe China and India are best
friends. No.
Someone asked me, "Do you think you're
too negative about China? Do you know
whoever interviewed whoever?" Oh, this
Jin Cuin,
you know who she is? Her father is an as
a CCP official.
You know, people like Jin Cu, you know,
they are well educated in the West. They
have all the
academic credentials. I mean, she has a
PhD in economics. Um, so there's a whole
class of quote unquote experts like them
and I think there are more of them now.
So these are the second or the third
generations of CCP
elders
who are sent to the west well educated
in the west and then they are working in
various think tanks or or educa you know
educational in education institutions
uh or even banks right they hold these
key they they appear as experts
But their whole goal is to defend the
CCP because their family's prestige
is tied to the longevity of the regime.
So these very western
um looking well-educated quote unquote
experts I think they're doing great harm
u than any surf service. So I highly,
you know, I'm sorry I have to say this.
I mean, there's nothing personal against
her, but I'm just saying if you look at
their background, who their parents are,
who their parents' parents are, who
their grandparents are, I mean, it's
they are the privileged class of people
in China. Of course, they're going to
defend their privilege. They're not
speaking for the
hundreds of millions of Chinese who are
struggling in China. So, it's very sad,
but the West allowed them to come here.
We allowed them to come here. We gave
them an education. We probably even gave
them a scholarship. Like Xiinping's
daughter got a full scholarship from
Harvard. Um,
we educate them. But do we change their
mind? No. instead, you know, their
narratives are precisely CCP's
narratives, but they learn how to use
the western um approach to convince to
convince us. So, they talk like a
westerner. Uh they appear they appear
very westernized.
So, what have we done? And and she's not
alone. If you look at all these
organizations, if you look at, you know,
the New York Times, Wall Street Journal,
uh I mean, all these major media
outlets, they employ these Chinese,
you know,
uh
ethnic Chinese. But if you really do
research on the background of these
Chinese, where their parents come from,
where their grand who their their
grandparents are, they're not ordinary
Chinese. I mean I'm I I shouldn't say
not all of them but very very few few of
them are ordinary Chinese with no
background at all. Otherwise they would
not have the chance to come to the US
and be well educated or even hold a job
in in in in organizations like the New
York Times. Almost all of them
have ties to the CCP or someone in in in
the CCP. So what have we done? They're
everywhere in the society now.
So that's the harm.
And it's very sad. It's very sad, you
know, to hear these people because
they're very selfish,
you know, they're not really speaking
for the interest of the Chinese people
in general. They're only speaking for
their class of people.
I'm sorry, but this is my honest
opinion.
Uh, it's it's not a personal thing, but
it's
it's generally a problem that I'm
concerned with.
All right.
All right. Nor clause. What does it take
to change how Chinese people think or
how they're educated at this point? It's
an uphill battle. It's so difficult. Um,
I would say the probably the better ed
the the the better education they
received, the worse the problem they
have.
Um because they're more
I I found that the ordinary the the
truly ordinary average people from small
towns and cities are
appear normal have normal thinking like
everyone else around the world. But the
so-called CCP elite they are the most
selfish and ruthless people.
Uh and so you ask me how to change them.
Yeah, you you have I think you have to
remove their privilege. Once they don't
have the privilege, they'll learn their
lesson.
It it it's very difficult because I mean
all day long I I see all these
um heartbreaking stories taking place in
Chinese society and some of the things
that are happening
um among people is is unthinkable.
Yeah, I don't even want to talk about
it.
Okay, here's a question. What is Yan
Honging? has been weighed in in what has
been going on? What's his view? Um,
here's okay, I have to tell you this
this situation
in the overseas Chinese dissident
communities. There are quite a number of
people who are very
uh
very well connected with China and
they're very these people are very good.
They give up a lot of things to
um
to be able to do what they do because
they are courageous. They speak up. But
what I have found is they all have their
own opinion
and they're not easily
convinced to change their view. Some of
them um adamantly believe that Xiinping
is still in power while others believe
that he's not. Um and they're both the
both camp are very strong
and some believe that Xiinping will
attack Taiwan like im you know the war
is imminent and while others believe
that
there's no way he will not attack Taiwan
because he's he's um he's he's a very
timid individual. He's he doesn't have
the courage to start a war. And I found
that over the years, of the four years
that that I've been doing this, their
view has not changed.
And after a while, I realized whatever
they say, it's almost like to defend
their viewpoint.
And to me, that's unnecessary.
Like I said 1 billion people missing,
but I have no problem if someone said
that that's not true. To me, that's
actually a better thing because if China
has more people, I would rather be wrong
um than see China actually having lost
so many lives because having more lives
is more important than proving that I'm
right. So, I have no problem to actually
find out to find out that I was wrong
that China actually had more people.
If somebody tell if one day we find out
China does have one billion people, I
mean I'll be happy because at least we
lost, you know, uh we we lost fewer
lives, right? Um so I think to do to do
our job well, you cannot be attached to
your view one way or the other. If
someday I discover that Xiinping is
fully in control, I'll tell you that
because I'm not attached to my uh to my
narratives.
Uh because my job is to really tell you
to assess the situation and tell you
what's really happening. So for me to
stubbornly hold on to my view that this
is true, that I was right, that I was
right from the beginning, I think is
counterproductive. I could lose my
credibility that way. Um so I found some
of these um heavyweight dissidents are a
little bit like that. They want to prove
their point. Um
yeah, but that but that doesn't mean
that the things that they share or the
tips that they the information that they
got from from the inside from from their
sources are not credible or not valid.
But sometimes when you receive
information, it's how you interpret
them, right? How you interpret it. So um
yeah, so that's what I try to uh view as
many people's
opinions as possible and then come up
with my assessment. And I think the
situation in China or in Jonah is
changing so fast. The dynamics could
swing in one way or the other. Anything
is possible. Uh so so I don't want to
stick to my version of the story and not
change. Uh because if if I do that then
I'm not being factual. I'm not being
objective. Um, so when you ask me how I
feel about uh, Professor Yuan's opinion,
he is one of those who adamantly believe
that Xiinping
uh, is in is in control and will start a
war against Taiwan imminently. So that's
um, that's his view. Yeah.
China uncensored. Another China watcher
doesn't seem to think Xiinping's power
is compromised. What do you think? Well,
I mean it it's normal. Uh but they h but
you have to give your justifications.
Um like I try to
um I try to give you my justifications
of why I think
what I why I believe what I believe,
right? Um
but I'm okay with Xiinping still in
power.
You know, some people they find it to be
painful to admit that Xiinping is still
in power. And I think that's also wrong
because our job is not pass our personal
feeling to our viewers. Our job is to
tell you exactly what might be
happening, right? Even though nobody
knows for sure what's happening because
it's such a blackbox operation. Um,
so as long as they could provide the
justifications and the reasoning, I
think it's it's it's great. It's great
to hear different opinions. I think peop
wise people are open to different
opinions. Um, so I always find it
interesting to to to to watch programs
or read articles uh from people who
believe that Xiinping is is still in
power. I want to see what they say. Uh
but so far
I think he is he doesn't have he lost
control of the military. Uh but he
doesn't he still has uh some political
power because the whole regime needs him
in that place and that gives him
political clout. He still has to act. Um
so he hasn't lost power entirely.
That's that's my view.
Okay.
All right.
So, because if it it's because for
anyone to argue that she's power is not
affected,
then there's just so many um incidents
that that's hard to explain. You know,
there's no way that XiGP is in full
control
while losing so many of his lieutenants.
How could you explain that? There's no
way. Uh either he's crazy or he has lost
some power. There's no way you could
explain that Xiinping is fully in
control and yet just wants to get rid of
everyone he promoted. That that doesn't
that doesn't jive.
Okay. All right.
That's my long rant on that.
Somebody said, "Do you feel bad for
she?" I do feel bad for him. But he he
created his the this predictment
himself. He when he first came to power,
I mean, people respected him. People
generally believed that he was going to
make some um positive changes for China.
Um and his initial anti-corruption
campaign was wellreceived because China
needed that under Jenzamin. It was it
was very corrupt. But then he I mean he
was faced with a tough decision whether
he wants to whether he wanted to steer
China to the right or to the left. Um to
the right means he has to embrace
some level of political reforms.
But he he didn't like the capitalists.
He didn't really understand capitalism.
See, here's the handicap. He didn't
understand what he he didn't know what
he didn't know. And no one actually was
patient enough
uh or kind enough to really
kind of a mentor him. Of course, it's
difficult to mentor a CCP leader.
They're not coachable. But if someone
really had the courage and the
compassion and the ability and the
determination to tell him the right
thing to do without, you know, without
fearing of losing his life, he might
have listened. But no one, but everybody
just said, "Okay, well, you're the boss.
Do whatever you want." So he never quite
under
un uh understood capitalism or or the
market economy. So he thought that he
solved the many um downsides of capital,
you know, of the pro the the problem in
American society and you know the the
quote unquote chaos in a market economy.
He didn't understand what what those
phenomena really mean. So he went to the
left because he only knows how the
leftist ideology works. He grew up with
it. Um so
and people of his generation all had
this problem.
Yeah.
Okay.
All right. So that's all that Oh, here's
I want to thank I want to here's a
question. Marest
666. Do you know why Beijing was called
Ping or Bing?
And so and so with Guangjo from Canton,
but Shanghai remain unchanged.
I think the fanatics right um
because it's based on ping
uh because the ping for Shanghai is the
same.
Being was um what what's the the fanatic
system that they used before the CCP
came came over? There was a phonetic
system called what do you call that?
Guiles. Guys, what what is it called? I
I forgot. But there was a a phonetic
system that they used to pronounce
Chinese words used by the Republic of
China, the the the nationalists before
the CCP came. And that's how Being
Canton
um and Canton I think may even be a name
given by its Western merchants. But when
the CCP came over, they changed names.
Um, communists and socialists do not
want you to carry on your tradition. So
the first thing they do when they take
over is change names, right? So they
changed all the names of the streets in
Shanghai and Beijing. Um, the same thing
with the progressive movement in the US.
They want to change like from Washington
Street to something else. uh they they
don't like these um the names that carry
carries meaning of a history or has a
historical meaning. They want to change
history. So they changed the phonetic
system and came up with ping. So all the
spellings have changed but Shanghai is
pronounced exactly the same under the
ping you know in the ping with the ping
system. So that's why it remains the
same.
All right. I've talked for quite a
while. I hope you'll um take a look at
my
sequel to the moon video. Uh it's
Chris's best work so far. I'm very proud
of him. So, take a look. Uh all right,
that's all for tonight. Thank you very
much and I'll see you this weekend. Bye.