James Kaufman, World News Report, today.
Ladies and gentlemen,
our sun is back at it after taking a very long break.
We've had one M flare today and two very strong C flares.
We're currently in a geomagnetic storm.
Let's get into that real quickly.
We have an M1.19 right here,
and this is an M1.21, somewhere in that range.
Another flare we had today that was significant was this C8.17.
And we've just had another flare.
It looked like it came
in right at a C9.03.
That one's just dissipating right now as we speak.
Now, none of these are going
to be geo-effective towards Earth, and I'll show you why.
over to spaceweatherlive.com i'm not quite sure
why they didn't assign sunspot groups to the m1.19
flare that you see right here 24 hour max 72 hour max
the five day max perhaps uh they didn't uh
assign that and they did not assign the latest flare probably
because it just occurred the m9
flare. They haven't assigned the C8,
and that is really the only significant flare that we've
covered that hasn't been assigned to a sunspot group.
All right, now the M1.19 and the C9s just
occurred, but were generated by the same sunspot group.
I don't know why they haven't been assigned
to that sunspot. That's AR4384 that you can see
was responsible for several C-class flareings
today only a one percent chance
of x-class solar flares today i think that will rise quite a bit
tomorrow only a 25 percent chance of an m-class solar flare today
that ship has sailed and only a 95 percent
chance of a c-class solar flare we are running
a b baseline still technically as you can see in
between these large flares, we did go into the B range here and here.
We have been running a
B base range or base level for some time here.
Now, here is the sunspot group, a departing
sunspot group that generated all the activity
that we're concerned about. We do have some
incoming sunspots, and the geomagnetic storm
is being caused by this earth-facing geomagnetic
Oh, and we have been promised that the sun would be eclipsed
by GOES-19 since it's only 220 miles above Earth.
It should be eclipsed every single day if it's really
geostationary and sticks or stays above the Western Hemisphere.
that would mean it would get behind the sun,
the instrument, the chronograph,
at least once every single day.
They're telling us it's only going to eclipse during the,
well, solstices,
which makes absolutely zero sense.
Our old GOES satellites are a million miles up at Lagrange Point 1.
That's our SOHO and GOES 18, 17, 16.
they're beyond the sun so they have nothing
to eclipse behind they're telling us that well this
is eclipsing behind the earth
which it should do every single day every single day if if these
satellites stays above the western hemisphere
because again earth makes a 360 every day which
would put the instrument behind Earth, having Earth between
the instrument and the sun daily
It's so evident that if this chronograph is really
on the new GOES-19 satellite that's really
only 22,300 miles up, it's eclipsed
by Earth every single day. Why hasn't it been? It should have been
then why would anyone put the chronograph
on a satellite that was orbiting only at 22,300 miles
above Earth. It's always been on our, well, at Lagrange Point 1
which is one million miles
away from Earth, much further, four times as far as our moon
so this makes no sense, the fact that
they say that will only eclipse by Earth twice
a year makes even less sense because they also say
It's geostationary, and it's even with the equator,
and it follows the Western Hemisphere around the planet every day,
so we can actually predict weather on the planet, planet Earth,
which means it would be behind or get behind Earth
and have Earth between the sun
and the instrument every single day,
which would cause an eclipse.
It's very strange that they won't answer the question,
and even stranger that it's aboard such a low-orbiting satellite.
A quick shot of SOHO before we take a look at the solar storm,
taken at 6:30 this morning.
All of the sunspots are normal polarity, just where they should be.
That is the departing sunspot, giving us trouble right there.
SOHO 284 angstroms also taken at 6:06 this morning
Obviously this is the coral hole we're dealing with
And we're going to take a look at that real quick
We're seeing winds up to about 700 kilometers per second
That is the departing sunspot giving us all the heck
And we have some new sunspots that we may have to deal with this week
And let's finally talk about
that geomagnetic storm that we're currently in
It looks like we were in a G1 storm per the Boulder Index,
per the Estimated Planetary Index, and per the College Index.
I think that we might see another three-hour period,
maybe the next shoot or drop.
It will also show that we're in a geomagnetic storm
because winds have done nothing but increase in speed.
We'll take a look at those on our Discover satellite.
Jumping over to Discover and looking at a one-day chart here.
You can see that our shields, I have risen above the zero here,
and our shields are basically up.
You can see that winds have
been gradually moving up all day long,
and they're very close to, if not at, well, about 666,
670, there's a 684, very close to 700, there's a 705.
So they did break that 700 mark finally.
Our shields are still standing up,
although they have a southern tilt to them.
We may or may not get that geomagnetic storm bar,
but it probably will be at least some sort of activity,
i.e. a disturbance in the next three hours
or when the next bar drops, if nothing else,
especially if the winds continue up.
Now, that geomagnetic storm should only be caused
by that coronal hole that was earth-facing
and should dwindle fairly quickly,
and we'll be out of it very soon with absolutely zero damage.
There may or may not be aurora borealis and aurora australis tonight.
That said, God bless, folks.
The sun's waking up a little bit.
Got some active sunspot groups, it looks like.
And we're currently in a geomagnetic storm
that continues to increase in solar wind speed.
Please share and give us a thumbs up,
and always remember that anything's possible.
Bizarro world.