Prediction Markets Point to Major Democratic Senate Gains

The Iowa Senate race right now, Josh Turek, 63%, Ashley Hinson, 37%, so that's Iowa. Still some time to go there. Michigan, as we talked about earlier, $38 million traded on Kalshi tonight, 85%. Abdul El-Sayed, Mike Rogers, 15%. So, you know, the only small value is if you were to take a shot here in terms of maybe getting a little bit of a bump. Would be the Democrats not sweeping the House and the Senate because you absolutely at this point only have 12% on the other side of the Democrats not even taking the Senate at this point. So look, you never know how these things can happen. And certainly something could change, as you said, Joe, with some information or anything like that in the next hour. But at the very least, it appears to me, doing this for an hour in my life, by the way, But doing this for an hour is that the major. The major markets, the ones that are featured on Kalshi and Polymarket as the most traded, over $100 million, over $50 million, over $40 million, do not seem to be in the balance at this point. They seem to be open and shut. Let's see if that is the case. We've seen huge political upsets in the past. And we got an hour before we bring on Kevin and Gabe to tell you the outcomes of those. So I'm not going to sit here like Fox or CNN or anyone else and call races. But according to these markets, by the time we're off the air, I think we're going to be looking at the potentially it could have the Democrats in the Senate up to about 90, 95 percent, which would be a huge jump from where we were. And as Joe mentioned at the beginning of the show, we didn't tell you what to do one way or the other. But if you took the Democrats to win the Senate. An hour ago, you got 10% on your investment already from 78 to 88, and that's doing pretty well. There's other things that you can do, but you probably want to, at this point, check out the Kansas Senate market, the Iowa Senate market, maybe the Florida market as well. These others, some of the big ones, appear to be coming to the end here. Yeah, and again, we're only seeing even in some spots being reported 1%, 2% of the precincts. It's a long way to go, but that's where the predictive markets come into play because some of these overwhelming favorites, the minute those numbers start to balance out, Craig, or reports start to come in the other way, that's when you get in to buy low and sell high before the night is over.