How much snow this year? Watch the 2025 winter weather outlook

[music] Philadelphia has been stuck [music] in a snow drought. Four straight winters of below average snowfall, but there is some hope for snow lovers. >> All right, this winter will likely produce more snow than we've seen five of the past six winters. >> All right, so let's start with the setup. Water temperatures in the Ecuadorial Pacific are running below average. That means a weak leninia has formed and there's a good chance it'll continue right through the winter. Now historically leninia and snow have an adverse relationship especially weak leninas. 80% of winters past with weak leninas have produced below average snowfall in the mid-Atlantic. The strength of this year's leninia matches very closely the winter with the winter of 201617 when 15 inches of snow fell in Philadelphia. And that's really not that much. >> No. And that's a big driver even this year as well as the main jetream is going to lock the core of the cold air up in the northern plains and over the Great Lakes with mild and dry conditions in the deep south. That puts us in between a battle zone here between those two air masses. Now, at times the jetream is going to dip across the eastern US, giving us glancing blows of cold air, kind of similar to what we saw earlier this month. This winter is going to favor two particular storm tracks. The first is those fastmoving clipper systems that drive most of the moisture to our north and pull up a burst of mild air into our region. The second will bring some bigger storms coming in from the Tennessee Valley, then up through the coastal plains of the Mid-Atlantic. These often start as snow, but they transition mostly to a wintry mix or even just that cold plain old rain. Now, one or two of these can turn into norers, but likely too late for those blockbuster snows storms for our region. However, it could mean some really good news for those ski resorts up in New England with images like this. >> Yeah, you know what we have to do? We have to wax up our skis and we need to take a road trip to New England. Let's do it. >> Do some skiing. So, putting this all together gives us the key points for this winter. Now, in the end, temperatures should be pretty close to average with several cold shots, including early December, yielding to milder breaks in between. >> All right, expect a fairly active storm track with these big temperature swings. But most of the storms tracking over us or to the north and west means the threat of a big snowstorm with over foot is very low. >> It's kind of a bummer. But here's what everyone cares about. How much snow will we see? Well, with many mixed storms predicted this year, it'll keep snowfall amounts somewhat limited. So, we are forecasting another below average winter snowfall. 22 to 26 in the Lehigh Valley, Philadelphia, 14 to 18 in and 8 to 12 in at the Jersey Shore. >> All right, Cesaly, even though this is a below average snowfall prediction, many will still consider this an active winter season since we'll be dealing with many winter storms, which means we're going to be really busy. [laughter] Although very few will be pure snow stories, [music] >> an active season, it's even more important that you tune in to the ACU weather forecast every night so you know what's heading your way before it gets here. >> All right. So, if you're an avid skier like the two of us, [laughter] >> like I am, >> then uh we might be disappointed. >> Well, locally, but I think um New England could get some really big snowstorms. So, just head up to the north if you want to get some skiing in. And I need to get video if you go skiing. [laughter] >> I didn't say what I ski. I just said, "All right, thank you so much."