After the sudden removal of China’s top generals, Xi Jinping appears to have seized the initiative. But behind the scenes, the opposite may be true. In this program, we break down why Xi is facing a serious legitimacy crisis inside the CCP—how procedural violations, elite fear, and silent resistance are paralyzing the system. From the Politburo’s refusal to publicly back him, to military commanders staying quiet, to insiders fleeing overseas, this is not just a power struggle—it’s a breakdown of trust at the top.
Hi, everyone. Welcome to Lei's Real Talk. All right. I see some super stickers here
from Bob Parda. Well, thank you, Bob. It's Sunday night. What a week it's been.
I decided to do a program today because there's simply too much happening right now to ignore.
Let's talk about the political situation in Beijing. On the surface, Xi Jinping's latest move
looks decisive. Two of the PLA's highest ranking commanders were taken down,
and investigations were announced almost immediately. At the same time, she continued
to receive visiting heads of state in Beijing. To many observers, that looks like a successful
power move. But inside the CCP, the reaction has been very different. What's missing is
unified support. Instead, what followed was silence. No public loyalty pledges from key
officials, no coordinated statements from the military branches or theater commands,
and no visible backing from party's top organs. And in a system like CCP's,
silence is dangerous. That's where Xi Jinping's real predicament begins.
The problem isn't just who was removed. It's how it was done. And Xi is now facing a legitimacy
crisis at the top of the party. And at its core, this is a procedural problem.
So let me start with the first problem, legality. So Zhang Youxia is a member of the Politburo.
Yes, we do. Not this guy. All right, let's stay with this image. So Zhang Youxia is a member of
the Politburo. Under CCP's own rules, removing a Politburo member requires approval by the full
bureau. Usually a 25-person body, now 24 people. That step never happened.
Xi Jinping did not consult the Politburo. He did not consult the Politburo Standing Committee
either. That alone already places his action outside the party's formal framework.
Now comes the second problem, and this one is even more serious. The Central Military Commission.
Zhang Youxia is not just a Politburo member, he's also the vice chairman of the CMC.
And according to rules, investigating or removing a CMC member requires approval by the CMC itself.
And here's the catch. That was impossible, because if you look at the... Where did it go?
Okay, I don't have a... Oh, here's the CMC picture. So there were only four people left,
that's Xi Jinping, Zhang Youxia, Zhang Shimin, and Liu Zhenli. If they were to have a vote,
Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli were obviously or are obviously not going to vote to arrest
themselves, which means that Xi Jinping simply did not have the votes to have him removed.
And he knew this. Xi Jinping understood very clearly that if he followed normal procedures,
he had no chance of removing Zhang Youxia. The Politburo wouldn't approve it,
and the CMC couldn't approve it either. And that's exactly why he chose not to follow
the rules at all. And that's exactly where the problem begins. And in my opinion, he took a
major gamble. So now let's switch topic a little bit. I want to talk about how did it actually
happen. Right now, there are at least six different versions. I think more than six,
but six main versions circulating about when, where, and how the two generals were taken down.
But I want to be very clear about what I don't believe. Let me go back to
this picture. Let's go back to the two generals. I don't believe Zhang Youxia was arrested in a
team way, not by CCDI officers. CCDI stands for Central Committee of Discipline Inspection. It's
the CCP party organ that investigates its own members. And he was not taken by public security,
not by the Central Security Bureau, not from a hotel, not from his office, and not from a
meeting. Why? Because if CCDI or internal security were ordered to arrest a top-ranking general,
what would those people think? They would immediately know that the procedure was illegal.
And also, too many people would have been involved. The plan would have leaked.
A normal arrest simply wouldn't work. The version I give the most weight to is this.
This is one of the versions that has been circulating about his arrest.
Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhengmi were attacked by assassins at the Central Party School
on the morning of January 20th, shortly before a seminar to be attended by all top CCP leaders.
These attackers were not personnel from the CCP's internal security systems.
That would have been far too risky for the reason I gave above. According to accounts I've heard,
they were professional assassins, possibly from Xinjiang or Central Asia.
The two generals reportedly suffered serious injuries during the attack.
Now, think about it. Their bodyguards were likely prepared for scenarios like
sudden detention, but they did not expect external assassins operating inside
what should have been an internal venue. In other words, they were prepared to deal with
internal attackers but not external assassins. This precisely shows how Xi Jinping didn't follow
the rules. So why does this version make sense to me? Because Xi Jinping has tried before to use
PLA officers or police to carry out arrests or assassinations. We've heard about those before,
and those attempts failed. Look at what has happened to people like, okay, sorry,
about the internet speed, who allegedly committed suicide for developing a private
armed force for Xi Jinping. So they all paid a heavy price after failed attempts. Xi Jinping
simply could not rely on active duty military or police to do this job. So the solution becomes
obvious. Hire outside professionals. Now there's another key piece of evidence, and it comes from
CCTV. Viewers have noticed something extremely unusual at the party school seminar on January
20th. This event, that seminar, was reported by CCTV. People saw on CCTV that the name plates
were a mess. Some officials had no name plates in front of them. Some had two. Others didn't
match their seats. I mean, the name plates were mismatched. This should have never happened at
CCP meetings ever. You know how many staff they have working at these venues to line up all the
name plates? So why did it happen on January 20th? I heard one influencer who offered a very good
analysis. He said, because Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhengli were removed right before the meeting,
that's where it happened. And so organizers had to reshuffle seats at the last minute to cover up
the absence of two top leaders. Zhang Youxia would normally have been seated in the front
row, given his rank, right in front of the camera. They had to remove his name plate,
move someone else into his seat, and rearrange the order, all while still trying to maintain
protocol and hierarchy in the seat arrangement. There simply wasn't enough time to realign
every name plate. And that's why the visuals looked chaotic.
And now it gets even more serious. Yesterday, an influencer with connections to the party elders
faction came forward with a new revelation, confirming many of the details. And according
to his account, the attack occurred early in the morning of January 20th. And the location was
indeed the Central Party School. The assailants carried out the attack and, according to him,
succeeded. After the incident, Xi Jinping immediately convened an emergency meeting
in a small conference room at the party school. Present were the seven members of the
Politburo Standing Committee. I do have a picture. There they are. Plus the vice president of China,
Han Zheng. Eight people in total. Oh yeah, there's eight people on the chart. Two, four,
yeah, there are eight people. At the meeting, Cai Qi delivered a briefing. He accused Zhang
Youxia of leaking secrets, committing treason, and forming factions for personal gain.
He then declared that Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhengli had already been dealt with,
taken away, and placed under investigation. That was it. No prior discussion, no advance notice.
Of course, Xi Jinping and Cai Qi knew this, but the other six people at the meeting didn't know.
And according to the whistleblower, the room was stunned. None of the other Standing Committee
members and Han Zheng were prepared for this. Among the people present, only Han Zheng explicitly
voiced support. That's one. And then Xi Jinping and Cai Qi knew, of course.
So the remaining five, Zhao Leji, Li Qiang, Wang Huning, Li Xi, and Ding Xuexiang,
the other five people on this chart, were shocked and said nothing on the spot.
And that silence is significant. It changes everything. Without collective
authorization, what happened becomes a personal act by Xi Jinping, either an illegal abduction
or an illegal assassination of Zhang Youxia. And that means the entire arrest and investigation
lacks procedural legitimacy. And this is exactly the excuse many Zhang Youxia followers and
sympathizers, those in the military and those in the party, are now using to engage in soft
resistance. So let me be very clear here. They are not necessarily defending Zhang Youxia's innocence.
They're challenging how Xi Jinping did it. And for Xi Jinping, this creates an urgent problem
because it is illegal. Because you're not just taking down a mid-level officer, you're taking
down the vice chairman of CMC and a political member. So Xi Jinping now has to retroactively
fix the missing procedure, and therefore legitimize his actions. And that is why the
January 31st Politburo meeting mattered so much. The one that happened yesterday. Was it yesterday
or Friday? I think it was Friday, January 30th. I think it took place on, I mean, our time Friday,
but it could be their time on Saturday. Now, if the Politburo had publicly announced
collective support for removing General Zhang Youxia, Xi Jinping could claim party backing,
then he's legit. If not, his action to take down the two generals is still illegal. But
the Politburo meeting did not produce anything about the removal of Zhang Youxia.
The retroactive fix didn't happen. Xinhua released no video, no photos,
no visuals at all about the meeting, and not a single mention of Zhang Youxia or the generals
in the press reports, which tells us one thing very clearly. The Politburo did not reach consensus
to back Xi Jinping's action. Now, during the days when Xi Jinping's power was unchallenged,
this would be unthinkable. He gets away with everything he wanted, or he got away with
everything he wanted. His wish was the Politburo's decision, but this time it did not happen.
Here's why this is truly alarming for Xi Jinping. Because this Politburo was handpicked
by Xi Jinping himself just three years ago. It's overwhelmingly made up of his own loyalists.
If even this Politburo cannot reach consensus to support him, then Xi Jinping's grip on power
is in serious trouble. Again, officials are not openly claiming Zhang Youxia is innocent.
They're not openly defending Zhang Youxia. They're saying the process to arrest him
was illegal. And without a clear documented Politburo decision, without meeting records
that formalize that decision, Xi Jinping is held liable to explain what has happened to Zhang
Youxia, where the general is. And until that happens, senior officials will wait, watch,
stay silent, and do nothing. This is where Xi Jinping is stuck. This isn't just awkward,
it's dangerous. No matter how ruthless he is, there is a ceiling that he cannot break. I mean,
he could flip the table, but he cannot tear down the house. He cannot abolish the Politburo or its
standing committee. In the end, he still needs others to stand with him. And right now, they're
not. And this silence isn't really about rules on paper. Procedure is just an excuse. The real issue
is trust, people's lost confidence in him. Everyone understands one thing very clearly.
Procedures can be fixed later, but broken trust or lost confidence cannot. So to understand why
so many officials are choosing silence, we need to look at Xi Jinping's own track record
with the people who helped him or helped him rise. And this leads directly to
Xi's deeper problem. Leaders who discard allies once they've served their purpose
do not hold stable power for long. Over time, loyalty evaporates and insiders quietly pull
away. If you look back at Xi Jinping's rise over the past decade, he has been ruthless to all of
his major helpers. Let me give you a few examples. The first person on the list, here are four,
is Hu Jintao. The former party leader and Xi Jinping's predecessor was instrumental in elevating
Xi, and Hu fought hard to help him consolidate authority. At the time, Xi Jinping was fighting with
Bo Xilai and Jiang Zemin's faction, and Hu Jintao supported Xi Jinping. Xi Jinping even faced
assassination attempts from the Jiang Zemin faction, and Hu Jintao mobilized the troops
to protect him. Yet at the 20th Party Congress, Xi Jinping deceived Hu Jintao on personnel decisions
and kicked everyone from Hu's faction out of the Politburo when Hu was finding it out
in his folder at the meeting. He was publicly humiliated and escorted out of the hall in front
of the entire world. And then there was Wang Qishan, who is a princeling, who is the son-in-law
of a former president of China. Now, during the first few years of Xi Jinping's rule,
Wang was Xi's right-hand man, carrying out his anti-corruption campaign, which was a very dangerous
job to do. And Wang dismantled rival factions and cleared the path for Xi's dominance. Today,
Wang's position is increasingly precarious. All of his former aides have been investigated
and brought down. I mean, when I say his, it's Wang. All of Wang Qishan's former aides have
fallen, have been investigated. The man who once shielded Xi Jinping can now barely protect himself.
And then the next on the list is General Liu Yuan. The princeling heavyweight helped Xi Jinping push
anti-corruption deep into the military, taking down key anti-Xi generals. During that period,
Liu Yuan reportedly survived four assassination attempts from the Jian Zemin faction.
Once his mission was complete and Xi Jinping took full control, Liu was quietly removed
from the center of power and parked at the National People's Congress for semi-retirement.
The reason? Jealousy. Because Liu is well-connected and is very talented,
obviously more talented than Xi Jinping. And Xi Jinping was not very comfortable
having someone smarter than him being around him. And finally, Zhang Youxia. The two were
childhood friends. Zhang was crucial in securing military backing for Xi Jinping's third term
at the 20th Party Congress. Without Zhang Youxia's support, Xi Jinping wouldn't be where he is today.
Plus, Zhang has no ambition in overtaking Xi Jinping's power. He just has different views
on Russia and Taiwan. If Xi Jinping wanted to get rid of Zhang, he could have persuaded Zhang
to retire gracefully, and Zhang likely would have accepted. Instead, Xi Jinping did the worst
thing one can ever do to a friend. He had two junior incompetent officers, He Weidong and
Miao Hua, to monitor and intimidate General Zhang. What followed is now history.
And then there's Li Keqiang. You all know the former premier, who was only a scholar with no
ambition to challenge Xi Jinping. For years, Li carried the burden of managing China's
collapsing economy, often forced to take responsibility for policies he did not design
and could not change. And he retired. He was forced into retirement
before the official retirement age. And then came his sudden death.
Whether one believes foul play was involved or not, the message received by party insiders was
chilling. Even a former premier can be erased quietly without explanation once he's no longer
useful. In fact, today I heard that Li Keqiang's mysterious death in 2023 was the final straw that
pushed Zhang Youxia to go against Xi Jinping, to fight for his own survival. Because the former
premier Li Keqiang kept speaking out at their high-level meetings against Xi Jinping's idea
of a military takeover of Taiwan. Now Zhang Youxia shares Li Keqiang's view on Taiwan.
So when Li Keqiang died, Zhang Youxia felt imminent threat, and that's the moment when he
decided to do something about it. But when you really think about it, Li Keqiang and Zhang Youxia
cannot be the only officials in the CCP who are against war. And think about how they would feel
at this moment. So the above cases help answer a question many people are asking. Why have the
military theater commands, party organs, and core bureaucratic systems refuse to come out forcefully
in support of Xi Jinping during this crisis? The answer is very simple. They know that pledging
loyalty to Xi Jinping is dangerous. They've watched what has happened to people who stand
close to him, and they refuse to take that risk. So they stay on the sidelines. They remain silent.
And that silence doesn't require coordination. It reflects a shared calculation. And right now,
silence is exactly what we're seeing. This is what the legitimacy crisis looks like when it
starts leaking outward. A few days ago, I believe it was January the 28th,
there was a former Shanghai entrepreneurial now living in the U.S. His name is Hu Lizhen.
He reviewed that a former deputy head of CCP's central organization department
had successfully fled to a foreign country. He did not want to name that country. I have a feeling
it's the United States, but he didn't want to say it. He said that you're going to find out.
And according to Mr. Hu, he said the reason he knows is that official is a friend of his friend.
So he said large scale leaks of CCP secrets are forthcoming. He believes Zhang Youxian's arrest
will trigger a black box information explosion inside the CCP. Under these conditions,
he said Xi Jinping's dream of becoming an emperor is becoming impossible to sustain.
His moves have been too aggressive, setting off a chain reaction, most notably the flight
of officials. And everyone is now acting to protect themselves. And inside the CCP,
the logic has become you die or I die. It's like the Russian roulette, right?
Those who manage to escape will inevitably take what they know with them. Xi Jinping
arrested Zhang Youxian, but what she underestimated is the extensive network of supporters
that Zhang Youxian has, not just in the military, but elsewhere as well.
And Mr. Hu said that he's been talking to his contacts in China. And he said that after speaking
with his contacts across multiple provinces, he said daily life still looks normal on the surface,
but inside the political system, turbulence has already begun and more insiders are fleeing.
So that's what's happening in the political ecosystem inside China. Now today, multiple
sources are saying that Zhang Youxian is still alive. And that's good news. Let me just put his
image. Although I cannot verify that, one of those sources is actually Mr. Hu Liren, the one that I
told you about. He says that based on information he received from contacts in Beijing, the location
where Zhang Youxian is currently being held is now being identified. And he said it's at the border
between Beijing and Langfang. And it's actually near the Beijing Daxing International Airport.
And he said just south of that airport, there's a training base operated by the
Central Security Bureau, the very agency that protects Xi Jinping and the other six members
of the standing committee. And Mr. Hu claims that Zhang Youxian is being detained at the base
and is undergoing severe mistreatment. The person who's supervising his interrogation is
Xi Jinping's chief of staff in handling party affairs. And Cai Qi has reportedly been staying
at this facility in recent days and is alleged to be the person directing the interrogation
and possibly the use of torture against the general. And by the way, this claim confirms
another person's claim saying that Cai Qi did not attend the Politburo meeting
that just took place a day ago. At the time, I thought that maybe Xi Jinping didn't want him to
go because he would be the target. But now with this information, I think maybe he was busy
interrogating the generals. At the same time, another development is drawing attention. It is
said that Zhang Youxian's immediate and extended family members have already been required to leave
Beijing. They have reportedly been relocated to areas south of the capital region. Now,
historically, when arrangements like this are made, it usually means one thing. The individual
has lost all remaining political security boundaries and both their personal fate and
political future have effectively been sealed. I think those two pieces of information actually
contradict with each other. I think if the general is still alive and being interrogated,
I don't think Xi Jinping would move his family members out of Beijing.
But if the general has died, he might do something, move them away. Again,
these claims are based on what people say are Beijing-side sources. They may not be true.
They may be part of the smokescreen to hide the truth from us.
I want to answer some questions. I'm sure you have these questions on your mind. One question
that I know a lot of people want to know is, when will this matter be settled?
And when will the dust finally settle? Because it's been going on for
more than a week, almost two weeks now. Honestly, it's very hard to say.
But let me put it this way. I don't think the current silent situation will continue
beyond the Lunar New Year, which is two weeks away. I think before that, we may start to see
fairly clear signs emerge. It could go either way. It could go in Xi Jinping's favor or
in Zhang Xuxia's supporters' favor. I think one person will be the weathervane to watch,
that's Cai Qi. Xi Jinping may sacrifice him as the scapegoat. Actually, I heard today
that on Xiaohongshu, one of China's social media platforms, people say that on Xiaohongshu,
Cai Qi's name is no longer searchable. Could you imagine that? I haven't tested, but I heard that
today. Now, the anti-Xi faction or factions may not be able to take down Xi Jinping, but they will
want to take down Cai Qi and possibly Wang Xiaohong, the Minister of Public Security.
And another person to watch is Chen Xi, who is the head of the CCP's Central Party School.
If this incident happened at the Central Party School, then he cannot possibly be uninvolved.
He will have to be one of the participants. So, the movements of these three individuals,
Cai Qi, Wang Xiaohong, and Chen Xi, will be important signals to watch in the next two weeks.
And another question is, I'm sure you all thought of this, how will Xi Jinping
cleanse Zhang Youxia's influence in the PLA, if he doesn't have support in the PLA at all,
if people do not like him? So, how will he regain control of the PLA,
now that his people have been purged and many of the generals are Zhang Youxia's people?
So, how will he cleanse Zhang Youxia's influence in the PLA? Because if he purges them out
too quickly, then he effectively destroys the entire military. But if he doesn't do it,
then those people will forever not be loyal to him. So, how will he regain control of the PLA?
I think he would deploy, well, first of all, he would definitely want to clean out
what he calls the two-faced officials or officers. The fact that 10 days have passed,
people have not shown their loyalty to him, that's a provocation. It's a demonstration that
these people are resisting him, refusing to recognize his authority. And once Xi Jinping
regains the upper hand, once he fully recovers his power, he will not let this go. All those
officers who fail to take a public stance, it could be hundreds of thousands of generals and
officers, not a single one will be spared. He will retaliate ruthlessly. But how will he do it?
He will adopt the cultural revolution method. So what that means is he will immediately dispatch
work teams to every military theater commands and every service branch. And each team will arrive
with military orders in hand, effectively holding Xi Jinping's personal mandate.
They will ask one question, will you take a stand to support Chairman Xi or not? If you refuse to
answer, then you are replaced on the spot. Or worse, this work team can go directly to your
door, isolate and investigate you. Whether you're a commander or a political commissar, they will
replace you with someone else. They will isolate you. They will take care of the individuals
one at a time. They will take a step-by-step approach to gradually seize military control.
So on day one, they will isolate the theater commander and the political commissar. They will
focus on these two. And then on day two, they go down, maybe the deputy commanders and deputy
commissars. And then on day three, they will go down to army commanders and then go down to
division commanders. And then we'll move to brigade and battalion all the way down.
And then they will do this step-by-step. And during that time, they have established terror
in the military. And who he will rely on is intelligence services, secret police organs,
and above all, his authority as the chairman of the CMC. So using the security and intelligence
apparatus to carry out this is entirely feasible because the CCP has done this many times before.
But there is one handicap that Xi Jinping has, time. He needs time to roll this out. And right
now, both sides are competing to have control. So Zhang Youxia's followers and supporters should
not waste their time for Xi Jinping to get organized and start this. Because they could
keep silent and not do anything. But if they allow Xi Jinping to have the time to manage to
roll out this process, then he could genuinely reassert control over the military.
And once the military is back under his control, every party elder and every red princeling who
opposed him would not be spared by him. Just take a look at Zhang Youxia. He was his childhood
friend. He's a princeling. He's high-ranking. And he was helpful to Xi Jinping. And look what
has happened to him. So in hindsight, Zhang Youxia's instinct after Li Keqiang's death was
right. I mean, he sensed something. And he took action. But the party elders didn't do their
share to back the general up. And that's why Xi Jinping took the chance and gambled everything.
I think this case is the perfect example to show you why when a gentleman fights with a ruffian,
the gentleman will always lose. In this case, the party elders, Hu Jintao, Wen Jiabao,
even Zhang Youxia, they all follow rules. I shouldn't say they're gentlemen, but they
behaved, they still respected the rules, internal rules in the party, and they behaved
in an orderly manner. But Xi Jinping did not follow rules. He does not follow rules.
So when you're fighting with someone who breaks all the rules, you're going to lose.
This is a warning to all Western leaders. If they still have the slightest fantasy,
thinking that they can win Xi Jinping because he's going to respect any agreement he signs or
keep his promises, you're going to lose. You're going to lose miserably. The downfall of Zhang
Youxia is the perfect example to show that. And so I don't know. I just hope people are smart
enough to realize you can't reason. You can't play by the rules when your opponent breaks all the
rules. All right. That's what I have for you tonight. It's Sunday night. Well, let me first
thank the people who gave me the super stickers. Bob Potter. Thank you, Bob. Let me know if you
have any questions. But I think I answered two questions already. All right. Sunday night,
or maybe for some of you, it's Monday morning. I appreciate so many of you joining me.
I think the next two weeks will be critical. Something will emerge. We just don't know what
it is. I also heard that the two sides are negotiating. The party elders, the central
committees, coordination and decision body made up of the seven-person body are negotiating with
Xi Jinping. So I think it's very likely that Wang Xiaohong, Cai Xi will be taken down because
they have to be responsible. Someone has to be responsible. So we'll see. If that doesn't happen,
then I would say all the party elders and then all Zhang Youxia supporters in the military,
they will be screwed. Things don't look good for them. All right. Okay.
Wow. So many comments. Someone says she keeps babbling the same thing over and over again.
I take that as a compliment. It's not easy to babble the same thing over and over.
Can you babble the same thing over and over again and attract 7,000 people to your live stream?
If you can, then I admire you. All right. Okay. All right. Wow. There's so many comments.
Oh, there's a Rebecca. Rebecca Durks. Thank you, Lei. I appreciate your awareness of the
Chinese culture and insights on the political system and how that works. Well, thank you,
Rebecca. Thank you. All right. Questions, comments? There's just so many. I have to just
quickly scroll down all the super stickers. Paul White. Well, thank you, Paul. I appreciate that.
Kevin Steinwitz. Why are the tanks and troops not entering Beijing center?
They're waiting. Next week, because I have been looking at all the clips of videos
online about the military movements, and I think I'll address that next week.
What I heard is there are 11 troops gathering outside Beijing, waiting for, I think,
the negotiation with Xi Jinping pans out. The people who are negotiating with Xi Jinping are
the party elders. That's what I heard. Kevin, again, when will U.S. and other
embassies evacuate Beijing? I think they're all monitoring the situation.
Although I heard the Japanese consulate or embassy in China has alerted its
nationals living in China to be ready to evacuate. Soon after, the news about the general's arrest
were leaked. That's what I heard. Daniel McInnes. Lei is extremely in,
very hardworking, in-depth, knowledgeable, and authentic. God bless Lei. Well, thank you, Daniel.
I try. All right, Daniel. Thank you. Kevin, again, what if military commanders just
arrest Xi's agents? I'm sure a lot of them want to, but they have to do this in a coordinated
manner. What I heard is the party elders fear that a civil war will break out.
This is what I heard. The commander of the Central Military Theater and the Eastern
Military Theater are somewhat loyal to Hu Jintao. They were recently promoted by Zhang Youxia
just in December. Particularly the Central Military Theater commander, Han Shengyan,
he did an assessment. He calculated that once the military enters Beijing, they will inevitably
fight with Xi Jinping's security forces managed by Wang Xiaohong. He estimated there could be
casualties in the thousands. I mean, he said hundreds to thousands. This is why the party
elders are still debating whether they should do that or not. Also, everyone will know that there's
a civil war happening in China because you can't hide it. The public will see it. The Chinese
citizens will see it. So that's why they're still trying to resolve this amongst themselves
through negotiation. That's what I heard. Okay. Oh, here's one. Gregory Miller Kitsap.
Do you think Zhang Youxia and Liu are dead? Well, watch my program yesterday. My gut feeling is
they're not doing well. I think they're not doing well. They either have died or they're
being tortured. Also, because they suffered injuries. Watch my program yesterday. Between
yesterday's program and tonight's program, I think the chances for them to be living at this moment
is under 50 percent. That's how I look at it. But let's hope I'm wrong. Let's seriously hope I'm
wrong. Okay. But thank you. Qinan Feng, what are the odds that the CCP will fall? I think
it's going in that direction. Can you tell? I mean, Xi Jinping's move on the two generals
from China's rivals' adversaries' perspective is not a bad move because he's effectively destroying
China's military command and China's military. He's taking down the PLA from within. He's also
breaking down the bureaucratic system from within.
So from America's perspective, it's not a bad thing. What are the odds the CCP will fall? I
think something will happen in 2026. There's no way the regime can continue the way it is
for another year or two. I don't think they can continue the status quo until the 21st party
congress, which is October 2027. I don't think it's going to last that long. Something will
happen. Amanda McClory plus. Thank you. Thank you, Amanda. All right. Think for yourself.
How does this end? Total war or power shifts? I don't know. I think I could predict the next
two weeks, but I can't really predict too far. It all depends on the determination of the party
elders, that committee, the central body of decision and coordination body, the seven-person
committee. But I heard that they're divided. Their views are not the same. They don't see
eye to eye on this issue, how to handle Xi Jinping right now. So it's too early to say
how this will end at this point. Hopefully, I'll give you an update next week, next Tuesday.
I'm working on that. All right. Here's one. Tenzing. Okay, well, thank you. Sorry if I
can't pronounce your name. All right. Any more questions? No? Wow, there's so many comments.
All right. Okay, that's all for tonight. Oh, here's a question at the very end.
What do you think the rest of the world leaders think, essentially, the Brits and Canada?
How do I know? How do I know what the rest of the world leaders think about the British and
Canadian PMs? But I don't know what they think. But what I can say is, when the CCP, these people,
they need to wake up. Because when the regime falls, when CCP collapses, or when Xi Jinping
steps down, the regime will collapse. And the Chinese people will be heard loud and clear.
They're going to turn around, look at every world leader, and tell them honestly what they think of
them. And all of those leaders who have been too soft, who have kowtowed in front of Xi Jinping,
will not be forgiven. So I don't think these people will have a good reputation with the
Chinese people in the near future. So if they're smart, they should be at least neutral, learn from
what the CCP generals are doing. If all the CCP officials and generals are not taking side,
then why do they want to pick the side of Xi Jinping and the CCP? It's so dumb. But I know
what's driving them is this anti-Trump paranoia or mentality. You could be opposing Trump, but
that doesn't mean that you have to turn to Xi Jinping. That's the dumbest thing ever to do.
So people need to really be smart. I don't understand what their aides have done for
them. They need to do research. I'm sure all those silent officials and generals in China
deep down are laughing at the Canadian PM and the British PM. They just can't say it. But one day
when they're allowed to say it, they will be heard. And I think when that moment comes,
I think there will be some major embarrassment to the two guys, Stammer and Carney. I think it
will be utter embarrassment to them. So if some of their aides are listening right now,
you need to wake up and do your homework and give good advices to your boss and subscribe to my
channel. We had a lot of fun tonight. How about we end it here. I'll be back next week.
I'll enjoy the rest of my weekend now. Bye.