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Democrats were promised a blue wave. Instead, they're out there on their surfboards,
sunscreen on, ready to catch some momentum, and all they're hearing is the Jaws theme song getting
louder and louder. Because President Trump's party didn't just get a little advantage. In fact,
they got a full-blown billion-dollar political machine, and somehow the Democrats handed them
the blueprint themselves by accident. Now, here's the thing nobody saw coming.
The Supreme Court just torched 50 years of spending limits like they were some old
parking ticket. Six to three guys, Kavanaugh writing the opinion, Kagan writing a furious
dissent that best we can tell, absolutely nobody at the DNC read before the money train actually
left the station. And speaking of money, the DNC is broke. I mean, it's flat broke,
not cutting back on catering broke. I'm talking about $18 million in debt level broke.
Meanwhile, MAGA Inc. is just sitting on $41 million, barely touched. It's kind of like a
dragon guarding a pile of gold that it hasn't even bothered to count.
Yeah. So today, we're going to go ahead and name every name, every state, every dollar. And by the
end of this video, you're going to understand exactly why November may be the biggest gut
punch that this country has seen in a century. Oh, and guys, if you or someone you love is on
Medicare or turning 65 years old, Chapter offers completely free help, real humans,
zero sales pressure. Hit the link in the description down below this video, or give
my friends a call at the phone number down below right now, 909-563-8279. And of course,
the average senior is saving about $1,100 per year. All right. Oh, and if you're new here,
please subscribe. I mean, we've been calling this before the money even showed up.
All right, guys, we need to rewind just a few months, okay? Everybody knew the story.
Democrats were supposed to be riding a big old blue wave, big momentum, easy midterms. This is
what the media told you all the way back in January, right? But instead, sitting on their
surfboards, hearing the Jaws music, I mean, guys, waiting for a wave that just never showed up
because something happened, something that the pundits didn't see coming.
Republicans didn't just get a little advantage. They got a billion-dollar machine, a structural,
historic, we've never seen anything like this kind of advantage. Now, this wasn't just the GOP has
more cash in a drawer somewhere. This is money that changes strategy. It changes ads. It changes
which doors get knocked on. It changes which states get flooded and which get ignored.
So the real question tonight is pretty simple. How on earth did this happen? Buckle up, guys,
because once you see how these pieces all fit together, the courts, the cash, the collapse,
there's something different, completely different about this election than you did five years ago.
Oh, and hey, real quick, before we keep rolling, a lot of you have told me that you like listening
to this while you're driving, you're walking the dog, or getting your workout in. So I have very
good news for you. Every episode is also available on Spotify right now. So just search The Ron Yates
Report and hit follow so that you never miss another one. All right, so let's get back to
the story. So I want to talk numbers, real ones, boring, cold, humiliating for somebody numbers,
okay? The RNC, the NRSC, and the NRCC combined are sitting on roughly $256 million. Zero debt
on the RNC side, highest cash total in that committee's entire history. Meanwhile, the DNC,
the DSCC, and the DCCC, I think I added too many Cs. Anyway, about $126 million combined,
and the DNC itself is carrying $18 million in debt. Even CNN, not exactly a MAGA fan club,
reported the RNC has a seven-to-one fundraising advantage over the DNC.
Then if you add MAGA Inc., Trump's own super PAC sitting on what, $41 million, barely touched?
Bloomberg looked at the whole Republican-aligned ecosystem and landed on a number north of $1
billion. Campaigns run on money, guys. Ads, staff, buses, mailers, turnout operations,
none of this stuff's free. So when one side has a billion dollars and the other side has a maxed
out credit card with a $18 million balance on it, that is not a small gap, guys. This is a
Grand Canyon. So now, here's the plot twist. The Supreme Court, yes, the Supreme Court, guys,
they got involved, and not in a small way. Six to three, NRSC versus FEC. So the court just
tore up spending limits that had stood for 50 years, half a century, older than most of your
parents, just as Brett Kavanaugh wrote the majority opinion. Chief Justice John Roberts
signed on, gone are the days of tiny little coordination caps between party committees
and candidates. Justice Elena Keegan, yeah, furious, pissed off, wrote a dissent warning
that this turns parties into a conduit for unlimited donations. And look, guys, maybe she's
right to worry about it. But here's the awkward part that nobody wants to say out loud. The rules
change for everybody. Democrats got the same rule book. They just don't have the money to use it.
It's kind of like handing two people an all-you-can-eat buffet pass. One shows up with
a wallet. The other one shows up with an IOU. Same rules, very different dinner.
Now, if you know somebody who's still wondering why this election always feels different,
go ahead and send them this video. I mean, once you see how these pieces connect, the whole picture
makes a whole lot more sense, let me tell you. So here's the part that really should keep the
DNC up at night. MAGA Inc., Trump's super PAC, is sitting on that $41 million. And guess how much of
that has actually been spent? Basically none, like less than 1%. This is not a war chest. This
is a war chest that hasn't even been unlocked yet. The safe is closed. The combination is written
down somewhere, but nobody's touched it. Campaigns do this on purpose. You don't blow through your
ad budget in June for a November election. You camp out. You wait. You let the other side spend
all their money. Let them get tired. Let them get sloppy. And then, right when it matters the most,
you flood the zone. So somewhere out there, Democratic strategists are starting to stare at
their spreadsheets, and they're doing the math, and they're realizing the very scary number that
they've been quoting the reporters isn't even the real number yet. In fact, the real number
is still sitting in the vault. Now, this is not a threat. This is a countdown.
So we need to talk about Michigan, guys. Trump territory in 2024, okay? And now, a real live,
honest to goodness, pickup opportunity for the GOP. Republican Mike Rogers is polling well.
Meanwhile, over on the Democratic side, I mean, they're still sorting out their own primary mess
between candidates that nobody especially excited about, all right? Nothing says confident front
runner energy quite like your own voters shrugging and going, well, I guess one of these two,
and nobody really wants to vote for either one. So here we go. The battle for control of the U.S.
Senate is coming into focus, and new Fox News power rankings now placing Michigan's open seat
as Leans Democrat. History is on the Democrat side. They have won every Michigan Senate race
since 1996. But this primary is about more than Michigan. It's the latest battleground in the
Democratic Party's fight between the establishment and the far left. Yes, it's internal. You got
establishment-backed Congresswoman Haley Stevens, who's got a unique approach, holds a lead over
progressive Abdul El-Sayed in the polling. Both have settled on the same strategy, drumming up the
anti-Trump messaging. I am authentically Michigan. You know who I sound like? I sound like the
people who I talk to in Michigan, who are getting screwed right now by Donald Trump. Donald Trump
is not himself the disease of our politics. He's just the worst symptom of the disease of our
politics. Joining me now is Michigan Republican Senate candidate Mike Rogers. And Mike Rogers,
you'd be senator if you had just, how much, 19,000 more votes last time. It was one of the
toughest races in the country. Yeah, very close. What's going to be different this time as you
line up Stevens or El-Sayed? Two things. This is a change election in Michigan. That's what the
pundits get wrong. And, you know, the Cook Report still has us listed as a toss-up. We think that's
closer to the truth. They've had these two Senate seats for 32 years. They've been in charge of
Lansing, Michigan, our state government, for 10 years. And every metric has gone down. Education,
we're now 44th. We've lost 30,000 manufacturing jobs in the last eight years. We have the highest
utility rates in the Midwest, about 20% higher than the national average. So you just go down
every metric that you determine how a state's doing, median wage down. I think people are ready
for a change. And we've got solutions to these problems. And that's why we're seeing in our
polling, our numbers are up and people are ready to change direction. It's, you know, the national
race is about, you know, the president who won. In Michigan, we didn't have that success. We still
have two of the same party talking the same way and vote in the same way. And I think people are
ready for a change in Michigan. That's why we've done as well as we've done. Fundamentally, there's
so much different from last race. Number one, you got the nomination already. You ran unopposed.
Last time you took it right to August, September, a brutal primary. Tough to get money, tough to get
recognition. You can't run against your opponent. This time you got two candidates trying to fill an
open seat on the other side. Who do you do better against? We think we do better against both.
We have to remember, I mean, one is obviously more radical. Abdul is, I think, far too radical to be
a serious contender. Would he be a better matcher for you? I think we're going to win on both of them.
I'll tell you why. They both support doing away with gas-powered cars and making you drive an
EV, the government mandated. In Michigan? Oh, yeah. They both believe that men should be in women's sports.
They both believe in high taxes. They both oppose the overtime taxes relief that the president gave
us. By the way, we have three million Michigan working families that are benefiting from no tax
on overtime. They want to put it back. So those things are the same. We can do very, very well
because we're making that contrast of the high cost of living, poor education, loss of manufacturing
jobs under Democrat leadership in Michigan. We're going to change that so we can do better against
each one of them. Abdul presents just a different candidate because, I mean, I just don't think he
likes America. And by the way, you can't say when somebody loads their car with explosives, drives
it into a synagogue to kill 140 kids, you could see how someone might feel that way. And he said
that. He absolutely said it. James Clyburn said this about El Sayed's rallies. He says, I saw a
picture that concerned me coming out of Michigan. I saw the rally. I didn't see a single person that
looks like me, meaning black. That tells me all I need to know. If you look at the socialist movement,
it's all over, all over educated white guys. There's no minorities involved. What's going on
here? Yeah, I'm not sure what's happening in this movement, but I mean, it is. It's very dark. It's
very pessimistic. It's very much the one more government program and your life is going to get
better versus, I think, what I think people are ready for. They want to get out of the yoke of
government regulation and high taxes and optimism and you can do anything and everything is still
possible in America. I mean, think about it. I started on an automobile assembly line, now I'm
the nominee to the United States Senate. Military backer and FBI chairman of the Select Committee
on Intelligence looking to get back, but this time as a senator. Mike Rogers, great to see you.
Great to see you, Brian. Best of luck. Now, here's the thing about a state like Michigan.
When both parties smell blood and water, the money follows. Ads buy, field offices,
mailers stacking up in your mailbox like it's a competition for who can waste the most paper.
Michigan didn't ask to be the center of the political universe this cycle, but when you're
a swing state sitting right next to a billion dollar war chest, congratulations, you're famous
now. Buckle up, Michigan. You're about to see more campaign ads than actual Michigan weather changes
and that's saying something, guys. Now, down south, things are getting pretty spicy too.
In Georgia, Jon Ossoff is clinging to a lead over Republican Mike Collins. Just four points in a
state that famously refuses to be predicted by anybody ever. Georgia polling is basically a
coin flip wearing a suit, all right? All right. We've got a call to make in that race in Georgia
we've been looking at. Allie, what can you tell us? Mike Collins is going to be facing off against
Jon Ossoff in the Senate competition and in November, he's got 55.6% of the vote, 61% of the
vote in against Derek Dooley. He's endorsed by Donald Trump. Let me just show you what happened
in May in this thing. Derek Dooley did well in parts of northern Georgia, around Atlanta and
here. This is Buddy Carter. He was in the race. He got 25% of the vote. Look at Buddy Carter's
district. What has happened now? It's all gone to Mike Collins. So we're actually probably going to
see this spread maintained, if not increased. But Mike Collins will be the Republican candidate
there. And then, of course, there's North Carolina. You got Roy Cooper versus Michael Watley
and Roy Cooper can't seem to crack 50%. Despite outspending Watley, money helps,
but money isn't magic. Now, of course, the NRSC already reserved nearly $60 million in ads there.
Now, this is not a hint. This is a billboard the size of the state capitol. North Carolina has not
elected a Democrat senator since 2008. This is longer than some of your streaming subscriptions
have existed. So you got two states, two nail biters, and both of them are about to get absolutely
carpet bombed with campaign commercials between now and November. Hope you like the jingles.
Now, nobody circled New Hampshire on their bingo card this cycle. Did you? Because I didn't. And
here we are, guys. Democrat Chris Pappas, he's up there by just a few points over the Republican
side, where the Sununu name carries some serious weight. Now, if you combine that with a real
Republican voter registration edge in the state, and suddenly a race nobody was talking about in
January is getting real attention in June. It's funny how that works, right? I mean,
you ignore a state for a decade, you call it safe, you stop showing up, and then act shocked
when it stops being safe. Bet you won't neglect it next time, will you?
So New Hampshire didn't change. The assumptions about New Hampshire changed.
And with a well-funded campaign able to actually compete there now? Well,
this is exactly the kind of race that a billion-dollar war chest was built for.
Not the flashy states, the sneaky ones. The ones where a few million dollars in the right ad slots
turns a safe seat into a genuine nail biter. Don't blink. This one could flip fast.
So now, let's zoom out for the house, guys. Because this part,
this should really be setting off alarm bells somewhere in a DNC conference room right now.
So, Cook Political Report has Republicans sitting at 212 seats, Democrats at 205, with 18 toss-ups.
Inside elections has the GOP even closer to the majority, 215 seats, just three shy of the 218
needed. And Fox News, well, they're floating a number as high as 224 on a good night.
Now, if you compare that to 2018, the last time that we did this dance,
when the Democrats were the ones that were sitting pretty, heading into a wave that netted them 40
seats, it flipped. It has completely flipped, almost completely upside down. And historically,
the president's party gaining house seats has only happened three times in the last 100 years,
1934, 1998, and 2002. Republicans think 2026 might make it four. And this is not a small claim.
This is a rewrite the history books claim. So, while everybody was arguing on social media,
something quieter happened. Maps got redrawn. Now, over the past couple of years,
a wave of states redrew their congressional district lines. And wouldn't you know it,
guys, that wave broke disproportionately in the GOP's favor heading into November.
Now, you guys remember the state of Virginia, right? Democrats tried their own redistricting
move, a referendum attempting to redraw the map 10 to 1 in their favor. Not slightly favorable,
I'm saying 10 to 1. Subtle as a marching band in a library. Well, the courts struck it down
immediately. Total failure. Total waste of money that they didn't exactly have laying around.
So, while the Democrats were busy getting their redistricting attempt laughed out of court,
other states were quietly finishing theirs, the legal way. And those maps now, they're now
favoring Republicans in dozens of competitive districts. Nobody live tweets redistricting.
It's boring. It's maps and lawyers and zoning meeting emergencies and energy like that.
But boring is exactly how you win an election without anybody noticing until it's already over.
Now, let's be very honest, guys. Even if the DNC found a suitcase of cash tomorrow,
money isn't their only problem. They're defending a brutal map. Georgia, North Carolina, Michigan,
New Hampshire, all at once, all expensive, all requiring ads and staff and organizing
simultaneously. This is the political equivalent of trying to patch five leaks in a boat with two
hands and a roll of duct tape. Every dollar spent defending North Carolina is a dollar not spent
defending Michigan. Every ad running in Georgia is an ad not running in New Hampshire.
Now, Republicans, meanwhile, they get to be choosy. Billions of dollars buys options, okay?
I mean, you get to pick your battles instead of fighting all of them at once. Exhausted,
low on funds, with your own party's debt collectors calling. It's not that the Democrats
have less money. Well, let me rephrase. It's actually, it's not just that the Democrats have
less money. It's that they have less money spread across more fires than they can even put out.
This is not a fundraising problem anymore. This is a math problem.
Now, here's the historical rule nobody knows. The president's party loses seats in the midterms.
Every single time. It's practically a law of physics at this point, right? Kind of like
gravity, but for approval ratings. Except it happened backwards three times in the last
hundred years. 1934, 1998, and 2002. Republicans are betting that 2026 might make this four.
So now, before anybody gets a little bit too comfortable, a projection is not a trophy.
Cook, inside elections, Fox News, these are all educated guesses. They're not engraved certificates.
Ask anybody who's lived through the 2022 red wave that showed up looking more like a red puddle.
Yeah. Money helps. Maps help. Court rulings help. But none of it actually casts a single vote.
Someone still has to get off the couch, drive their little self over to the polling place,
and go ahead and circle in that little bubble with your number two pencil.
Revolutionary concept. I know, guys. But history says Republicans have the wind at their backs.
But history also says that wind can change direction awfully fast if people just stay
home. So I want to go ahead and bring it all together for you guys. So you got a billion
dollar Republican war chest. You got the Supreme Court blowing up 50 years of spending limits.
MAGA, Inc. barely touched. You got Michigan, Georgia, North Carolina,
New Hampshire, all genuine battlegrounds. House projections that would rewrite a century of
redistricting quietly tilt in the field and Democrats defending five fires with two hands.
That's a whole lot of advantages stacked on one side of the table.
But here's a billion dollar question. And it's not, do Republicans have the money? They clearly
do. The real question is whether all of that cash actually turns into votes in November.
Look, money buys ads. It doesn't buy turnout. And it doesn't fill in the ballot for you.
That part's still on you. So, hey, guys, and one more time for the people in the back,
if you would rather listen than watch, we are on Spotify too. Just search The Ron Yates Report,
hit follow, and take me with you tomorrow. Now, folks, we've said it before anybody else was
saying it. The map is shifting. The money is historic. The rules just changed. And whether
this becomes the biggest political story of the decade comes down to who actually shows up in
November. Now, hey, if today's video connected some dots for you, do me a quick favor on the
way out. Hit the like button. It's totally free. And it helps a lot more people find this video
who still think that it's just another midterm. And of course, if you're not subscribed yet,
what are you waiting for? We have been ahead of this story since day one. Hit subscribe.
There's a lot more coming before November. We'll see you next time.