Miami Heat's 0-4 Start Raises Playoff Concerns in 2026-27

Teams that have started 0-5 in a NBA season, the numbers are not good as far as making the postseason. In fact, the last team to start 0-5 and actually make the playoffs were the 2016 L.A. Lakers. So it has been over a decade since we've had it. And then prior to that, it almost never happened here. So and you would think, all right, there's 82 games in a season. Well, history tells us that if you're starting 0-5, there are some giant warts and issues with teams going on here. And it usually doesn't correct itself as the season grows longer. So I found that fascinating. And yet here we are with a Miami team that is 0-4 facing 0-5 on the road tonight against Atlanta. and oh my goodness what a unbelievable disappointment that would be if they lose tonight here and then somehow again history tells us not likely going to make the postseason that would be a big problem for the Miami Heat yeah so it's more of a question for you than it really is for me that the fact that you're betting on the NBA and i'm not so if we can dial back to two days ago because i'm going to pose the same exact question that i did two days ago to you now your strategy in theory two days ago made a lot of sense whereas the Mavericks were getting eight and a half points against the Heat the Mavericks took the lead you jumped on them at minus two and a half and i thought to myself okay now now that makes a lot more sense but i'm guessing at the end of that game Joe you had the feeling that i was trying to portray before the game which is that certainly could happen and the Heat could win but boy would i feel stupid betting on the Heat if they lose this game because they've literally lost and gotten killed in all the games that they've played so here we are again and now here we are again and I would ask you like how do you approach this because I I would think until the Heat wins how can you take them I mean I I don't know maybe you maybe you'll play that game again tonight I don't know I could not take the Heat because if I bet them tonight plus five and a half and they lost by 20 I would be blaming myself again and I would say wait a second here they were horrible so far now that may all change and maybe it starts tonight so that's what I would ask you I literally now I'm watching the Heat maybe more than closely than any other team in the NBA I can't bet them until they win Joe I mean how could I how could I do this and then the Heat lose by 17 tonight to the Hawks and I go to sleep I'll be dreaming like what what did I do what why did I even think this after seeing how they played against Dallas now so you tell me I don't know what does the Hawks matchup look like tonight uh I I know the Hawks uh you know made a lot of changes in the offseason certainly for them to be five and a half point favorite tonight tells me the odds makers think that the Hawks are better than the Heat as well yeah and listen it was the right strategy against them I didn't want to lay, they didn't want to lay seven and a half eight, but the fact that we can get them two and a half in the first quarter which by the way uh you know they were able to get the lead back and it was, it worked out perfectly until the fourth quarter when Miami went nine of 25 from the field and here's the thing that really kicks you which is what is the big anomaly with betting the NBA here, right? They missed 50 of their free throws, they shot 11 of 25, they missed 11 of 25 free throws in that game, all right so does that mean the bet was wrong? Absolutely not it was the right bet, it was, well, you got a better line because of variance, yeah, no, it's you got, you got every look, I mean it's, it listen if you took the Rams against the Cardinals when they were get, when they were laying 13 and after five minutes in the game you were laying six yes, it's always the right thing to do even though the Rams lost to the Cardinals in that spot, I get you're getting a much better line but it still doesn't make me feel any better and sleep any better and I would still say to myself even tonight, like I, like tonight for an example if, if the Heat was down 11 to 1 and you were getting 9 and you got a better line, Joe, I can't sit here and tell you tonight you're getting better value at getting 9, I can't do it until I see the Heat win a game, I don't know how you could do it, I don't know how anybody could take the Heat at this point, they've looked, they've looked so bad, but you're look at that look when you did it at the time, I thought wow, now that's the way to bet the NBA, you just wait until things normalize a little bit, but they didn't lose, they didn't lose and we didn't lose that bet because the Heat weren't for all the right reasons where the are the better team we lost it because the Heat didn't do what they normally do and variance is going to happen more so in the NBA than anything out especially when you're talking about a bucket here or there, there is on paper not a bucket difference between Dallas and Miami, Miami should be a much better team, has much more talent than Dallas does, uh but when you go shoot 50 from the free throw line, yes that is a problem when you go you know ice cold in the fourth quarter that's a problem but to your point, we always say don't catch a falling knife, you don't want to be the guy catching a falling knife Thank you.